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Estados Unidos y Ecuador lanzan operaciones militares conjuntas contra el narcotráfico

4 Mar 2026, 04:50 – El País LATAM

Estados Unidos y Ecuador han lanzado operaciones militares conjuntas contra “organizaciones terroristas designadas” en el país sudamericano, según ha informado este martes el Comando Sur (SouthCom), responsable de las operaciones de las fuerzas armadas estadounidenses en América Latina. Las nuevas misiones parecen anunciar una expansión drástica de las operaciones militares estadounidenses de lucha contra los carteles de la droga y de destrucción de supuestas narcolanchas en el Caribe y al Pacífico oriental.

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Videocolumna | Los Jensen y la trama millonaria de huachicol fiscal con el Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generación

4 Mar 2026, 04:40 – El País LATAM

El huachicol es el nombre que se le da en México al combustible robado a Pemex, la petrolera estatal. Una nueva modalidad, llamada huachicol fiscal, introduce contrabando a México de hidrocarburos desde Estados Unidos, especialmente desde Texas, sin pagar los impuestos correspondientes. México ha perdido recursos enormes por ese tipo de elusión fiscal.

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La voracidad minera de China arrasa con comunidades indígenas en Nicaragua

4 Mar 2026, 04:40 – El País LATAM

Francis vio que los hombres uniformados con chalecos anaranjados entraron a su comunidad acompañados con policías armados con fusiles del régimen de Daniel Ortega y Rosario Murillo. Era finales de enero y los uniformados, sin orden judicial, les dijeron a los vecinos del Barrio 19 de Julio, en el municipio caribeño de Rosita — uno de los grandes distritos mineros de Nicaragua— que parte de sus tierras le pertenecen ahora a la empresa Santa Rita Mining Company, una minera china beneficiada con una concesión de 3.356 hectáreas para explotar oro. “Entraron a arrancar unos cercos, clavaron unas varillas, pusieron unos mojones rojos y nos dijeron que esta tierra ya no es de nosotros, que está bajo concesión”, relata Francis, un hombre de 35 años y perteneciente a la etnia miskita. La concesión forma parte del auge de las mineras chinas que avanzan en territorios indígenas con la venia del régimen de Ortega.

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Reforma electoral: la historia de dos marionetas

4 Mar 2026, 04:40 – El País LATAM

Había una vez dos pedazos de madera. Dos simples pedazos de leña.

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Los Char contra los Torres: las cabezas de lista a la Cámara de Representantes por Atlántico para el 2026

4 Mar 2026, 04:30 – El País LATAM

Las dos casas políticas que dominan el Atlántico librarán este domingo una batalla electoral que puede redefinir su proyección nacional. Se disputan las siete curules que le corresponden al departamento caribeño, de casi tres millones de habitantes, en la Cámara de Representantes. Los Char, el poderoso clan familiar que fundó el exsenador Fuad Char, acude por primera vez a las elecciones legislativas sin que su apellido esté presente. Apuestan por una lista de jóvenes exconcejales, líderes sociales e influencers para, por lo menos, retener sus tres curules. Los Torres, fortalecidos tras apoyar al presidente Gustavo Petro desde su candidatura en 2022, tienen una estrategia a dos bandas: buscan retener un escaño en el Partido Liberal y han puesto la cabeza de lista del petrista Pacto Histórico.

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Paraguay steps up intelligence and financial controls in the Tri-Border Area amid Middle East tensions

4 Mar 2026, 03:18 – MercoPress

Pereira said the focus is on tighter oversight of “illicit financing” and on preventing the “infiltration of extremist groups,” with counterterrorism and anti–money laundering efforts Paraguay’s government has activated intelligence, prevention and financial-control measures in the Tri-Border Area it shares with Argentina and Brazil amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, according to Internal Security Vice Minister Óscar Pereira.

Three foreigners convicted in Uruguay for attempting to obtain a passport with forgeries

4 Mar 2026, 02:56 – MercoPress

The case began when DNIC staff flagged irregularities in the paperwork presented by the applicants, triggering a police alert and the involvement of the Flores departmental prosecutor’s office A court in Uruguay’s Flores department convicted three foreign nationals —a Russian, a Kazakh and a Mexican woman— after authorities said they attempted to begin identification procedures using false documentation at the National Civil Identification Directorate (DNIC) office in the city of Trinidad.

Families of military members criticize Venezuela’s new amnesty law as exclusionary  

3 Mar 2026, 20:50 – Latin America Reports

Caracas, Venezuela — Venezuela’s recent approval of a new amnesty law, which aims to free political prisoners detained during the regime of Nicolás Maduro, has come under scrutiny from critics for excluding some prisoners, including military personnel who rebelled against the government. 

Family members of detainees and rights groups have denounced the law, which was approved by the National Assembly on February 19, calling it unfair. 

“It is a law that speaks of peace and reconciliation on paper, but in practice it excludes those who have suffered the most political persecution and torture: the military personnel who decided not to betray their conscience and to side with history and the people,” Irene Olazo de Caguaripano, told Latin America Reports

Her husband, Juan Carlos Caguaripano, was detained in August 2017 after he led a group of 20 men to the Paramacay military base in the state of Valencia, declaring a rebellion against the government and making off with a small cache of weapons. 

“The military personnel who are in prison today are not common criminals; they are men who swore to defend the Constitution, military honor and sovereignty,” she said. “Many of them did not act out of ambition for power, but out of conviction, out of conscience, out of refusal to participate in what they considered unjust or unconstitutional.”

Congressman Jorge Arreaza said that the amnesty law had freed some 223 incarcerated people and had benefitted some 4,534 people who had some form of freedom restriction, such as house arrest, since Maduro was captured on January 3. 

The parliamentarian explained that they have granted 4,757 full releases out of the 8,110 amnesty applications received by the authorities. These cases must be resolved within a period of no more than 15 days.

On February 27, Arreaza announced that 31 detained military personnel had been granted conditional release, a surprising move given the persistent complaints from NGOs and family members. He explained that these were “alternative measures” as part of efforts to achieve coexistence and peace in the country.

As of February 27, Foro Penal, an NGO that tracks political prisoners in the country, counted 182 military political prisoners and 386 civilians, for a total of 568.

Torture and human rights abuses of prisoners 

Venezuela’s government tortured military personnel accused of subversion, according to a 2019 report from Human Rights Watch and Foro Penal. The report found that the country’s General Directorate of Military Counterintelligence (DGCIM) and Bolivarian National Intelligence Service (SEBIN) subjected detainees to “severe beatings, asphyxiation, and electric shocks.” 

For families like Olazo’s, fears for their loved ones remain despite the amnesty law. 

“I have seen the tears of those mothers, how they break down,” she said. “We saw it recently when some relatives of the so-called ‘Gedeones’ were able to see them after months without any sign of life: emaciated, malnourished young men, weighing less than 20 kilos, disoriented, with yellowish skin, with serious health problems,” she added, referring to military members who participated in Silvercorp USA’s Jordan Goudreau’s failed 2020 attempt to overthrow Maduro. 

Juan Carlos Caguaripano and his wife Irene Olazo de Caguaripano. Image credit: Irene Olazo de Caguaripano

The question of exiles 

Another point of contention for the law surrounds people who’ve fled Venezuela in exile. Nearly 8 million people have fled Venezuela in recent years, some facing criminal charges at home. 

Article 11 of the law obliges the courts to dismiss cases and cancel international arrest warrants (such as Interpol alerts) for those being prosecuted for the 13 political events mentioned in the law. However, there is a significant limitation that affects key leaders in exile. 

The law excludes from amnesty those who have “promoted or requested foreign intervention or sanctions against the Republic.”

Critics, especially family members of military personnel who have fled the country, want stricter guarantees for exiles. 

Experts from the UN said, “Those who were forced to exile due to persecution, should not be required to return until there is clear determination on the applicability of the amnesty to their cases”.

“This law allows those outside the country to submit their application through a lawyer from abroad, but how can a lawyer be assigned when there are no embassies in many countries,” said Olazo. In February, the US announced it would re-establish diplomatic relations with Venezuela. 

How will amnesty play a part in reconciliation in Venezuela post-Maduro? 

After years of intense political confrontation, the country could be entering a new phase with the possibility of reconciliation between Chavismo supporters and the opposition. 

However, despite years of attempts to reach agreements between the two sides, no real change has yet materialized. 

For this to happen, a main focus will be on dismantling the repressive apparatus that has persecuted and imprisoned Venezuelans who opposed the Chavista government.

Amnesty serves as an important signal for reconciliation, as it allows the Rodríguez government to say that it is complying with international demands and allows the opposition to recover some of its imprisoned leaders.

However, Olazo argues that the selectiveness of the amnesty law demonstrates that there is no real interest on the part of the government to achieve full reconciliation.

“There cannot be a history with selective memory,” she said. “True reconciliation cannot have double standards. Either it is for everyone, or it is not reconciliation.” 

Olazo added, “They want us to forgive crimes against humanity, corruption, violent repression and torture committed against the Venezuelan people. But who is going to forgive us for thinking differently?”

Featured image: Families of political prisoners in Venezuela protest for their release.

Image credit: Julio Blanca

The post Families of military members criticize Venezuela’s new amnesty law as exclusionary   appeared first on Latin America Reports.

U.S.-based Cuban opposition groups unite under “Liberation Accord” and plan democratic restoration on the island

3 Mar 2026, 20:22 – Latin America Reports

Various Cuban opposition groups, including Cuban Freedom March, Pasos de Cambio and the Assembly of Cuban Resistance (ARC), assembled at the Ermita de la Caridad del Cobre – a Roman Catholic church and shrine in Miami dedicated to the patroness of Cuba – to sign the ‘Liberation Accord’. 

Rosa María Paya, one of the two (along with Secretary General of the ARC Orlando Gutiérrez-Boronat) main signatories of the Accord and prominent Cuban opposition activist, defined the Accord as “a coordinated transition framework endorsed by a unified coalition of Cuban opposition forces, both on the island and in exile”. 

John Suarez, the Executive Director at the anti-Cuban regime Center for a Free Cuba, spoke to Latin America Reports about the significance of the unification of the Cuban opposition. The Liberation Accord, he explained, “is a step forward in uniting Cuba’s opposition movement with a vision to return sovereignty to the Cuban people after 67 years of communist dictatorship”. 

The signing of such a document appears to indicate that the Cuban opposition anticipates some kind of regime change and subsequent democratic transition on the island in the near future. 

Suárez confirmed that the Cuban opposition “believe[s] change is imminent” because of “the exhaustion of the communist model in Cuba which is repudiated by the majority of Cubans” and the decision of the White House to pressure “the existing regime to make fundamental changes”.

The Liberation Accord maps out what this transition might look like. In addition to condemning the regime, the document sets out a three-stage plan for change in Cuba: it proposes a “liberation”, “stabilization” and “democratization” of the island. 

That process would involve “dismantling the criminal enterprise that is the Communist Party of Cuba, along with dismantling all its repressive organizational mechanisms”. In concrete terms, the document suggests that the Cuban opposition movement would establish a provisional government to address the deepening humanitarian crisis, free political prisoners, rebuild democratic institutions and guarantee a stable transition to free, multiparty elections on the island. 

Suárez explained that unity among diaspora and resident Cubans would be a key part of the process set out by the opposition’s plan. The opposition reportedly invites “all Cubans who have not committed grave human rights violations to join this effort”. 

 If the transition to democracy happens, Suárez expects an end to the “United States embargo on Cuba due to … [the] law established in the Cuban Liberty and Democratic Solidarity Act on March 12, 1996”. This law, widely known as the Helms-Burton Act, stipulates that the establishment of a democratic transitional government is a legal prerequisite for the removal of the embargo.

The proposed democratic transition would likely need the backing of the United States to be successful; the signatories of the Liberation Accord are based primarily in South Florida. The U.S. government, which has recently repeatedly threatened regime change on the island and tightened anti-Cuba economic sanctions, could well support the newly unified Cuban opposition movement’s ambitions. 

Dr Orlando Gutiérrez-Boronat (left) representing the Assembly of Cuban Resistance and Rosa María Paya (right) representing the Pasos de Cambio organization holding the “Liberation Accord” with other Cuban opposition figures in the background
Image Source:Rosa María Paya A. via X

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has long been a staunch critic of the Cuban regime and is an ally of María Paya, having previously nominated her to the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights. In his statement supporting her nomination, he described her as “a principled, courageous, and deeply committed human rights and democracy defender”.

Sebastián Arcos Cazabón, the Associate Director of the Cuban Research Institute of Florida International University and a Research Council member of the Center for a Free Cuba, spoke to Latin America Reports about the unique nature of the current political moment:  “There are many active Cuban political [opposition] groups inside and outside the island, and a unified umbrella … always seemed unreachable”, Cazabón explained.

The Cuban opposition activist, who was born in Havana and was imprisoned on the island for attempting to escape the country in the early 1980s, expressed hope that this latest declaration by the various Cuban opposition groups “achieves what seemed impossible” and that this unification, combined with support from the United States, will lead to a “complete regime transition to a full democracy … [and] nothing less than free elections  in a relatively short period of time, two or three years max”. 

However, some Cubans have questioned the intentions of the “Liberation Accord”. An official of the Cuban Foreign Ministry, who asked to remain anonymous, told Latin America Reports that “these organizations do not represent the Cuban people, they have no legal standing, and their members prioritize personal and economic interests. Waging counterrevolution in Miami is a lucrative business”.

Although the Cuban government has not thus far published an official statement regarding the “Liberation Accord”, certain left-wing figures have expressed their skepticism about the intentions of the plan. 

María Teresa Felipe Sosa, a Cuban journalist who writes for the left-leaning Diario Red, questioned the legitimacy of Paya and Boronat, as well as the other signatories. Felipe Sosa referred to the supposedly dubious “moral or political authority of those who intend to decide the future of Cubans from a territory that has served as a base to organize terrorist acts against our people”. 

There has indeed been a history of covert and, in some cases, violent incursions of Cuban exiles on Cuban territory with the explicit aim of forcing regime change. Last week, the Cuban authorities intercepted and were allegedly attacked by a Florida-registered speedboat reportedly carrying 10 Cuban nationals who were resident in the U.S. 

According to the Cuban authorities, the group planned an “infiltration [of the island] with terrorist aims”. Cuban Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernández de Cossío also lambasted “anti-Cuban groups operating in the United States [that] resort to terrorism as an expression of their hatred against Cuba and the impunity they believe they enjoy” in a statement to the press last week. There has been no suggestion, however, that any of the signatories of the “Liberation Accord” were involved in this incident. 

Featured Image: Rosa María Paya and U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio at the Department of State

Image Credit: U.S. Department of State via Wikimedia Commons 

License: Creative Commons Licenses

The post U.S.-based Cuban opposition groups unite under “Liberation Accord” and plan democratic restoration on the island appeared first on Latin America Reports.

Colombian state sued over alleged failures surrounding femicide of US citizen in Medellín

3 Mar 2026, 19:20 – Latin America Reports

Medellín, Colombia – On March 2, 2026, the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights (IACHR) filed a legal complaint against the Colombian State, claiming a failure to prevent, investigate, and determine responsibility for the alleged femicide of U.S. citizen Kelly Ann Knight, who was found dead in Medellín on July 19, 2019.

IHR Legal, an international human rights law firm, submitted that Colombian authorities ignored documented warnings and alerts of domestic violence in Knight’s case and failed to bring the perpetrators to justice.  

The complaint, which also accuses the state of failing to protect victims of femicide and domestic abuse, renews scrutiny over institutional deficiencies in handling violence against women in Colombia. 

Legal framework and state obligations

Since the enactment of Law 1761, known as the Rosa Elvira Cely Law, femicide has been recognized as a criminal offense in Colombia. The law was implemented in 2015 during the administration of Juan Manuel Santos, following widespread public outrage over the 2012 murder of Rosa Elvira Cely.

The legislation seeks to guarantee investigation and punishment of gender-based killings, address structural violence against women, and strengthen prevention, awareness, and protection mechanisms.

But cases like the murder of Kelly Knight highlight the government’s repeated failure to enforce the law, posing significant threats to civilian well-being, especially for women in Colombia. 

Prior complaints and alleged pattern of abuse

On February 28, 2026, Knight was hospitalized at Clínica Las Américas in Medellín, where she began formally reporting to Colombian authorities that she was a victim of a sustained pattern of physical, psychological, and economic violence since the beginning of her marriage in February 2018. She identified her Colombian husband, with whom she lived in Medellín, as the alleged perpetrator.

However, despite the severity of the complaint and what the petition describes as an “imminent and identifiable risk,” that, according to the claims, authorities had failed to implement protective measures, conduct a comprehensive risk assessment, provide psychosocial support, or initiate an effective criminal investigation before her death.

Other witness statements filed in the case described repeated signs of physical assault, some of which were so severe that they allegedly led to the misscarriage of Knight’s two children during her pregnancy. The complaint also addresses death threat allegations, excessive control over her daily activities, and almost absolute restriction to financial resources. 

Events preceding her death

While staying with her husband at a hotel in Doradal, Antioquia on the night of July 18, 2019, hotel staff reported to the police hearing screams from the room, alerting a possible threat. However, the petition claims that officers failed to provide adequate support. 

According to documented communications between her and a friend of hers, Knight was allegedly assaulted and then dragged across the asphalt following that incident. 

She was found dead in her Medellín apartment the following morning; the circumstances remain unresolved. 

In 2029, a preliminary investigation was opened under the accusation of femicide, but the case has remained at a preliminary stage for over six years, without any formal charges being filed, and nobody has been arrested. 

The petition also addresses Knight’s autopsy, which documented several injuries and precedents that sustain the repeated patterns of abuse that were previously reported to the authorities. 

Alleged investigative failures

The filing highlights the state’s deficiencies in the authorities’ response, such as failure to preserve the crime scene, poor management of material evidence and delays in a forensic analysis of the case. According to IHR Legal, these failures have contributed to sustained impunity and a failure to comply with a law meant to protect victims from such abuse. 

“Kelly’s case is a classic example of violence against women that exposes structural flaws in the state’s response to gender-based violence, particularly when documented complaints in her defense went ignored,” said Ignacio Javier Álvarez Martínez, Executive Director of IHR Legal and former Special Rapporteur for Freedom of Expression of the IACHR.

“The legacy of her death transcends her individual case and demonstrates the urgent need for early, effective, and gender-sensitive state responses,” he added.

International claims

The petition before the IACHR alleges that Colombia failed to comply with its international human rights obligations, including the duty to prevent foreseeable violence against women, investigate deaths occurring in contexts of gender-based violence with due diligence, and guarantee access to justice for the victim’s family.

If admitted, the case could place Colombia’s implementation of its femicide legislation under international scrutiny and renew broader debate about structural impunity in cases of gender-based violence in the region.

Featured image description: Inter-American Commission on Human Rights

Featured image credit: Wikimedia Commons

The post Colombian state sued over alleged failures surrounding femicide of US citizen in Medellín appeared first on Latin America Reports.

The Border Token launches groundbreaking project to rewrite the script at U.S.-Mexican Border

3 Mar 2026, 19:09 – Latin America Reports

For decades, the story around the U.S. border with Mexico has been defined by fear and polarization, with the narrative dictated by an immigration crisis. One organization, however, is bringing to light the lived realities of life along the border — and the untapped economic potential found there. The Border Token is on a mission to transform border management into an economic development strategy that benefits communities on both sides of the line. 

Following a two-year development and testing process, The Border Token aims to build a Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Network (DePIN). Comprised of 80 cybersecurity nodes located at exact strategic coordinates along the border, DePIN both creates economic prosperity and strengthens security protocols — with human dignity enshrined at the strategy’s core.

Crucially, DePIN is a shift from the U.S.’s centralized management strategy, which comes with its own set of vulnerabilities, including single points of failure and data breaches. Instead, physical assets, such as sensors, are managed via decentralized protocols, facilitating real-time, proactive responses to threats. The Border TokenTM activates and maintains the cybersecurity nodes, allows holders to actively participate in decentralized governance, and enables secure data exchange and monetization opportunities. 

Billions of dollars are sunk into deportation measures on an annual basis by the U.S. government, leading to just a 2% reduction in illegal crossings. At the same time, fear sets the tone for discussions around border management, spawning distrust and alienation. This approach burns bridges between the two countries, creates a cash drain on much-needed government resources, and is ultimately a ‘human rights catastrophe.’

The nodes will be placed 2,000 meters from the border in both the U.S. and Mexico, establishing a 4,000-meter range economic development zone. These represent the placement of motion and weapon detectors every 25 miles along the border. Through DePIN and The Border TokenTM ecosystem, the project shifts the lens from a politicized debate to data-driven cooperation founded on transparency and dignity for all. 

Engaging governments, businesses, and communities in a powerful public-private partnership, the economic and social benefits are set to be abundant. Annual costs to the U.S. government will be slashed to $30 billion, while trade surplus gains are projected to grow from about $100 billion to $500 billion. Just as compelling is the potential for a 98% reduction in illegal crossings that will fortify security as well as trade flow and trust. 

The border story will also be retold by providing a platform for the voices of those who live the experience on the ground. is partnering with  to create a docuseries called Footprints that unearths the realities of the lived experience and why change is so desperately needed. This docuseries gives a new lens to what is happening, and what needs to happen, on the U.S.-Mexican border. 

Deux Knights Dream Inc. Founder and Footprints Director Giancarlo Cornejo says, “Footprints — every individual on this earth leaves a mark for their legacy to live on. What’s yours? Footprints touches on illustrious everyday hard-working people who contribute to the betterment of society,  progressively moving forward from culture all the way to economics. The passion behind this project comes from the sense of urgency to shift the perspective and narrative on borders around the world. We aim to begin the conversation of collective collaboration in solving complex issues. The world gets smaller every day.”

A book series is also in the works, titled The Economics of Mercy, which homes in on how Catholic USD and the Catholic stablecoin can be paired with real-world asset tokens like the Border Token. The Economics of Mercy book will use blockchain technology via QR codes for wallets with Bitgo, and each book purchaser will receive $5 in Catholic USD and $5 in The Border Token.

Border Token Founder and The Economics of Mercy author Eddie Francis Cullen (EFC) iterates that,“The Catholic USD and Border Token together form a new conduit of finance at the U.S.–Mexico border, pairing mercy with markets and infrastructure with inclusion. Through decentralized physical infrastructure (DePIN), we are transforming the border from a line of division into a living economic corridor, where security drives trade revenue, trade revenue creates jobs, and prosperity is built on human dignity.”

After traveling along the border to tell the untold side of the issue, the Border Token will officially launch the token on November 17, 2026, at Solana Breakpoint in London.

Disclaimer: This article mentions a client of an Espacio portfolio company.

Featured image description: Mexico – US Border.

Featured image credit: Canva

The post The Border Token launches groundbreaking project to rewrite the script at U.S.-Mexican Border appeared first on Aztec Reports.

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No One Scores Alone

3 Mar 2026, 17:51 – AULA Blog

Part III – A Personal Journey Through Soccer and Resettlement

pictured Bashir Mobasher – author

by Bashir Mobasher

My interest in this project comes from something deeply personal. As an immigrant and a soccer player, I have lived the story I am telling. I started playing soccer in the United States around 2013 during my doctoral studies. While I had played the game as a child in Afghanistan, I left it behind  when I began preparations for the university entry exam. By the time I returned to it in Seattle, Washington, thousands of miles away, many years had passed.

I started my doctoral studies at the University of Washington School of Law in 2013. Pursuing a PhD was emotionally and mentally exhausting, wearing me down slowly. Between the isolation of doctoral work and the emotional toll of living far from home, I was looking for something that could help me breathe easier. I had also just gained some weight because I wasn’t very active physically. I carried a belly I wanted to get rid of. I knew I needed a remedy, something to refresh my mind and keep me active. That is when soccer returned to my life.

At that time, I was fortunate to be in a program with several other Afghan students. Many of them were pursuing master’s or PhD degrees and shared a love of soccer. Together, we quickly built our soccer community from scratch. We started small, just a few of us kicking a ball around. It did not take long before we had a team, as players from other communities began to join us. A few Indonesian students who lived in the same block, and were already our good friends, began playing with us regularly. Despite that, our team remained predominantly Afghan. However, as time passed and many of my Afghan teammates graduated or returned home, a few of us stayed behind, determined to keep playing.

I started joining pickup games, this time with people from all over the world, including American students, international scholars, and professionals. I began to remember their names, learn their stories, and share mine. We bonded over the game, but we ended up doing so much more together. I went to my first American Football match with them. We watched the 2014 World Cup and Champions League at pubs and movie theaters. Pickup soccer quickly became part of my routine. I would play late in the evening (around 9 pm) during weekdays and around noon on the weekends. Neither rain, nor snow, nor wind, nor harsh summer sun could break our commitment to the game. We showed up in soaked jerseys and with frozen fingers. Sweat and laughter would mix under cloudy skies or blazing heat. It was never about perfect conditions. It was about showing up, again and again, because something bigger than the weather pulled us together.

At one point, some friends invited me to join a local coed league. That was a new experience. Up until then, I had mainly played with male players. This new team felt even more like a family. After our games, we often went out together for food or bubble tea. I remember this team as the Bubble Team because of our collective love for bubble tea. Some of the players were into video games. I never joined them for that part, because I was too cautious about getting hooked and losing focus on my studies, but I loved watching their joy and being part of their world.

When I returned to Afghanistan after completing my PhD, I encouraged friends to form a team and continued playing until I moved back to the United States. Upon returning to Virginia in 2021, I wasted no time. I joined a pickup team and immediately made friends with players from the US, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Argentina, and many other places. During the games and afterwards, we teased each other, shared stories, and celebrated our goals and achievements. Now that my leg is injured, I am unable to play soccer for a while, but I still set aside time to meet with fellow players.

Soccer gives me more than a workout. It gives me joy, purpose, and community. The moment I step onto the field, it feels like entering a different world, a world full of energy, laughter, and healing. It is the best therapy I could have ever asked for. After every game, I return home recharged and ready to give my best to my research and writing.

Dr. Bashir Mobasher is a scholar of constitutional law and identity politics, specializing in governance and institutional design in democratic societies. He currently teaches at the American University Department of Sociology and New York University–Washington, D.C. Mobasher serves as the President of the Afghanistan Law and Political Science Association (in Exile), a network of Afghan academics advancing research, publication, and women’s education inside Afghanistan.

He earned his Ph.D. in Law from the University of Washington in 2017. His recent book is entitled Constitutional Law and the Politics of Ethnic Accommodation.

No One Scores Alone

3 Mar 2026, 17:42 – AULA Blog

Part II – How Soccer Creates Belonging for Displaced Youth

by Bashir Mobasher

Hajar Abulfazl is an Afghan soccer player whose journey speaks to the quiet power of the game. She recently coached a middle school team in Baltimore to remarkable success. When we visited her on the field, her team scored numerous goals against a strong opponent. Hajar was hopeful that her team could make it to the final. Beyond her own recreational play, she coaches at Soccer Without Borders (SWB). This organization understands what soccer can do for a young person who is learning to navigate a new life.

Soccer Without Borders recognizes that the field can be a place of belonging for those who feel displaced by conflict, migration, and cultural transition. Its mission is simple . Use soccer to create inclusion, growth, and community. The organization serves refugee and immigrant youth, as well as young people who have been pushed to the margins and have little access to extracurricular opportunities.

The program began in Oakland, California, and has grown into a network with sites in several states as well as in Uganda and Nicaragua. Through partnerships with elementary, middle, and high schools, SWB invites students into a space where the message is clear. You are not alone. Hajar says that this is the heart of their work, a promise carried from practice to practice. It is here that around thirty Afghan players, boys and girls, meet hundreds of students from around the world and begin to form a new community. 

Soccer Without Borders offers English classes, which Hajar describes as essential for integration and confidence. For young refugees, language can be the first barrier to social life, so these classes allow students to participate more fully not only in the game but in everyday life.

Hajar speaks with warmth about her coaching job. It fulfills her, not just financially but emotionally and socially. When she first arrived in the United States, she felt isolated. Soccer helped her make friends, find support, and build confidence. It became her way into a new community. Her passion is community building. She says she has no interest in politics. She visits schools, talks to students, encourages them to join the program, and explains how SWB supports families beyond the pitch. They provide opportunities, summer camps, events, and assistance when families face hardship.

Students often tell her, “Coach Hajar, thank you for bringing us out of our homes and away from the screens to play soccer and have fun.” Their joy becomes her joy. In one instance, she took her team to Washington DC to watch a significant match: Washington Spirit vs. Chicago Stars. For most of the students, it was their first time entering a stadium. They watched the game with wide eyes, shouting and cheering with a passion that could only come from a group seeing the sport in a new light. They thanked her for an experience they would remember for a very long time.

Hajar and colleagues have taken players hiking, camping, and on picnics. These outings create friendships that thrive outside school and practice. They strengthen the sense of belonging that so many newly arrived families desperately seek.

The team also steps in during moments of crisis. Hajar told me about a family whose house burned down. Soccer Without Borders acted immediately, gathering clothing, kitchen supplies, and other essentials. They found the family a temporary home with another Afghan household. Later, when the family moved into a new place, the organization helped raise funds and provided appliances to help them begin again. It was a reminder that being a part of a team is much larger than what happens on the field.

Soccer Without Borders also creates economic opportunities. Students who stay with the program for two years and show commitment, strong character, and a good understanding of the game can become paid referees. One beneficiary of this program was a young girl named Gaga. When she first arrived, she knew nothing about soccer. Under Hajar’s guidance, she became one of the strongest players on the team. Eventually, she became a referee. Hajar has been writing letters of recommendation to support her college applications, hoping she will one day play at the collegiate level.

But the work is not without challenges. Hajar and her colleagues have had to address issues tied to gender in sports. In the beginning, the program encouraged mixed teams, but some of the boys began sidelining female players to gain more playing time, overlooking the girls’ talent. Several girls expressed concern and frustration. In response, Soccer Without Borders created separate teams for girls. The number of girls increased significantly, and many began encouraging other young women to join. Their confidence grew and their teams  expanded.

Hajar’s story, and the story of Soccer Without Borders, shows how soccer becomes much more than a sport. It becomes a lifeline, a classroom, a community, a second home. It brings young people out of isolation, gives them tools to rebuild their sense of self, and reminds them that they are seen. And above all, it shows that in soccer, as in resettlement, no one scores alone.

Dr. Bashir Mobasher is a scholar of constitutional law and identity politics, specializing in governance and institutional design in democratic societies. He currently teaches at the American University Department of Sociology and New York University–Washington, D.C. Mobasher serves as the President of the Afghanistan Law and Political Science Association (in Exile), a network of Afghan academics advancing research, publication, and women’s education inside Afghanistan.

He earned his Ph.D. in Law from the University of Washington in 2017. His recent book is entitled Constitutional Law and the Politics of Ethnic Accommodation.

No One Scores Alone

3 Mar 2026, 16:25 – AULA Blog

Part I – Soccer, A Perfect Resettlement Game

by Bashir Mobasher

As Pelé once said, “Football is a reflection of life. It has all the elements: joy, sorrow, drama, surprise, failure, success.” Just like resettlement, it comes with red cards and unfair fouls. These setbacks feel both personal and structural. But it also brings assists, breakthroughs, and goals, small victories that lift the spirit and remind players they are not alone. And when those moments arrive, the celebrations are never solitary because in both soccer and resettlement, no one scores alone.

Although soccer is the most popular sport in the world, its profound social significance, especially its role in shaping identity and supporting immigrant resettlement, remains underexplored. Most research focuses on top leagues, famous athletes, or massive fan cultures (Giulianotti and Robertson 2009; Foer 2004). But the most telling stories happen far from the spotlight: in community parks and weekend leagues. At this purely communal and non-transactional level, soccer becomes something else entirely. It becomes a way to cope, to connect, and to begin again. For refugees and immigrants, it becomes a space where healing begins and where identity is slowly rebuilt (Bačová 2022; Armstrong and Giulianotti 2004; Refugee Council of Australia 2010).

Unlike formal resettlement services, soccer works without funding, programming, or bureaucracy. And yet, it provides almost every tool that resettlement demands. Its psychological effects are especially significant in a community like Afghanistan, where therapy often carries stigma or is simply unavailable. Soccer, by contrast, is a space of movement and belonging. It brings rhythm back to the day. It helps players breathe easier. Socially, it builds bonds and networks. Economically, it creates opportunities.

Thanks to the Humanities Truck Fellowship, I was able to engage with Afghan and international soccer players across the DMV area. This episode focuses on my time with Itehad FC, a team based in Northern Virginia. While most players are of Afghan origin, the team also includes players from Nigeria, Palestine, and Tajikistan. Together, they compete in semi-official leagues. However, for Itehad FC, soccer is about more than wins and losses. 

For many Itehad players, the field was the first place they felt welcomed in the United States. Some had played soccer back home before migration disrupted their lives. Others, like Daud Sakhizada, had never played before. He joined the team simply to make friends. Like most others, he was invited by someone he knew. Once he arrived, he stayed. The field became a place where the weight of loneliness began to lift and where the burdens of daily life felt, for a moment, lighter.

Zabi Hamdam and Farhad both shared with me how soccer has become a kind of healing session, especially after difficult days. Zabi once told me he counts the hours until he can get back to the field. And once he is there, the challenges of the day begin to fade. He smiles, passes, dribbles, and jokes with his teammates. It is remarkable how something so ordinary can become a source of such relief. They may play hard, but in doing so, they breathe a little easier.

The connections do not end with the game. Players stay linked through WhatsApp and Messenger, where conversations extend  beyond scheduling matches. They share jokes, check in on one another, plan get-togethers, and exchange news, including immigration updates. Most players are now citizens, but they still share resources that help their broader communities. 

Their bonds extend into homes and holidays. Every Thanksgiving, Farhad opens his door to teammates and their families. Few images capture resettlement better than immigrants celebrating an American holiday with people they met in the field. This year, they were unable to gather due to scheduling conflicts, but the tradition remains alive in memory and the promise of celebrating it together next year. They also come together for Eid, Nowruz, Christmas, and July Fourth, says Zabi Hamdam. Each gathering is a quiet act of community building.

Beyond holidays, these friendships spill into everyday life. Teammates take turns visiting one another’s homes. They go on road trips, camp together, hike trails, and sometimes just gather in someone’s living room to talk. Sometimes they gather with their families. Sometimes it’s just the boys. In the summer of 2025, the team even planned a trip to Arizona to visit a former teammate who helped establish Itehad. Although the trip did not happen, the effort spoke volumes. They were honoring a shared past, held together by memory and loyalty.

On October 26, 2025, Fawad Rahimi hosted the team to watch El Clásico at Huqqa Lounge. For many players, major matches like this—whether El Clásico or a Champions League final—are sacred rituals. Fawad was more excited than anyone. These gatherings, filled with arguments over players and teams, shared plates of food, and familiar laughter, reflect a profound aspect of the Itehad community. They carry forward a long-standing Afghan tradition: one person hosts, and everyone else comes as a guest. No splitting bills. No formalities. Just hospitality and kinship.

The team also functions as an economic support system. Jobs are found. Services are exchanged. Networks grow. Hoshang Jawan hired a teammate to do flooring in his home. It was not just about labor, but about trust built on the field. Zabi Hamdam plans to do the same. Zabi, who studied law at Alberoni University before migrating to the United States, changed career paths to survive. Now he mentors others, including Hoshang, who found a better job after following Zabi’s advice. These exchanges are more than practical. They are profoundly relational.

The story of Itehad FC is not just a sports story. It is a migration story. A story of finding people, building lives, and claiming space in a new country. What brought these players together was not just the love of the game. It was the chance to be seen, valued, and belong. Soccer offered them more than exercise. It gave them rhythm and a second home. For these players, soccer is not simply something they do. It is how they live, resettle, and begin again together. 

Dr. Bashir Mobasher is a scholar of constitutional law and identity politics, specializing in governance and institutional design in democratic societies. He currently teaches at the American University Department of Sociology and New York University–Washington, D.C. Mobasher serves as the President of the Afghanistan Law and Political Science Association (in Exile), a network of Afghan academics advancing research, publication, and women’s education inside Afghanistan.

He earned his Ph.D. in Law from the University of Washington in 2017. His recent book is entitled Constitutional Law and the Politics of Ethnic Accommodation.

Women’s History Month – Caribbean Women Who Shaped The Modern World

3 Mar 2026, 14:52 – News Americas Now
Women’s History Month - Caribbean Women Who Shaped The Modern WorldWomen’s History Month - Caribbean Women Who Shaped The Modern World

By Nyan Reynolds

News Americas, NY, NY, Tues. Mar. 3, 2026: Every March, Women’s History Month invites reflection. It asks us to consider who shaped our world, who challenged injustice, who built institutions, and who carried culture across borders. Too often, those narratives center the same global capitals and the same familiar names.

But to understand modern political leadership, diasporic activism, literary authority, and cultural power, we must look to the Caribbean.

Caribbean women have never been confined by geography. From small island states and colonial territories emerged leaders, thinkers, artists, and organizers whose work reshaped the 20th and 21st centuries. Their influence moved across oceans. Their ideas crossed languages. Their leadership challenged assumptions about race, gender, power, and nationhood.

As we begin Women’s History Month, we highlight just a few of the women whose lives demonstrate a larger truth: Caribbean women are not peripheral to global history. They are central to it.

And this list is only a beginning.

Political Power: Rewriting the Image of Leadership

When Eugenia Charles became the first woman prime minister in the Caribbean in 1980, it was a defining moment for the region. Leading Dominica during a period of political instability and economic strain, she earned a reputation for firmness and resolve. Internationally, she stood alongside world leaders at a time when female heads of government were still rare.

Her leadership disrupted long-standing assumptions about who could command authority in post-colonial Caribbean politics. She was not symbolic. She was decisive.

Years later, Portia Simpson-Miller would rise to become Jamaica’s first female prime minister. Her story mattered not only because of her gender, but because of her journey. Coming from working-class roots, she expanded the image of national leadership. She embodied possibility for women who had never seen themselves reflected in the highest office.

Today, Mia Mottley represents a new phase of Caribbean political influence. Under her leadership, Barbados transitioned to a republic, formally removing the British monarch as head of state. Beyond regional milestones, her advocacy on climate justice has positioned her as one of the most respected voices on the global stage. In international forums, she has spoken with urgency about the vulnerabilities of small island developing states, insisting that global financial systems account for historical inequities.

Together, these women illustrate a clear progression. Caribbean women are not merely participating in governance. They are shaping international policy conversations, redefining sovereignty, and expanding what political leadership looks like.

Social Justice and Diasporic Vision

Long before “intersectionality” became common language, Caribbean women were articulating the connections between race, gender, labor, and empire.

Amy Ashwood Garvey, co-founder of the Universal Negro Improvement Association, was instrumental in shaping early 20th-century Pan-African thought. While often overshadowed in popular history, she advocated for women’s leadership within global Black liberation movements and worked to ensure that women were not relegated to supportive roles.

Her activism traveled across continents, from the Caribbean to the United States and the United Kingdom. She understood that Caribbean identity was inseparable from the wider African diaspora.

Similarly, Claudia Jones carried Caribbean radical thought into international spaces. Born in Trinidad and later active in the United States and Britain, she confronted racism, economic inequality, and gender discrimination head-on. She argued that the liberation of Black communities required attention to the unique experiences of women.

Jones also founded what would become the Notting Hill Carnival in London, transforming Caribbean culture into a powerful symbol of resistance and pride in the diaspora. What began as community expression evolved into one of the largest cultural festivals in Europe.

Through activism and institution-building, these women reshaped not only political discourse but cultural memory. They demonstrated that Caribbean women were theorists, strategists, and movement architects.

Literature and Intellectual Authority

If politics shapes policy, literature shapes imagination. Caribbean women have long insisted on telling their own stories.

Maryse Condé confronted colonialism and its aftermath through novels that explored identity, displacement, and womanhood. Her work complicated romanticized images of the Caribbean, revealing the layered histories of slavery, migration, and resistance. In 2018, she received the New Academy Prize in Literature, an acknowledgment of her global literary impact.

Edwidge Danticat has similarly ensured that Haiti’s history and the experiences of Haitian women are preserved in global consciousness. Through fiction and essays, she addresses migration, memory, political violence, and resilience. Her work bridges homeland and diaspora, reminding readers that Caribbean narratives extend far beyond tourism brochures and simplified stereotypes.

These writers expanded intellectual space. They challenged dominant narratives written about the Caribbean and replaced them with narratives written from within it. In doing so, they reshaped how the world understands Caribbean history and womanhood.

Culture as Global Power

Cultural influence is one of the Caribbean’s most visible contributions to the world. And women have been central to that influence.

Rihanna emerged from Barbados to become one of the most recognized entertainers and entrepreneurs in the world. Beyond music, her business ventures in beauty and fashion disrupted industries long criticized for limited representation. When she was declared a National Hero of Barbados, it symbolized more than celebrity recognition. It marked the elevation of cultural entrepreneurship as national pride.

Before and alongside contemporary icons, artists like Celia Cruz carried Afro-Caribbean music onto international stages. Known as the “Queen of Salsa,” her voice became synonymous with joy, defiance, and cultural affirmation. Through performance, she preserved and amplified Afro-Caribbean identity across borders.

Culture, in this context, is not entertainment alone. It is diplomacy. It is economic power. It is narrative control.

Caribbean women have used it to shift perceptions and claim space in industries that once excluded them.

More Than a List

It is important to say clearly: this is not an exhaustive roster. For every internationally recognized figure, there are countless Caribbean women shaping academia, grassroots activism, public health, environmental policy, education, and community development.

Women’s History Month offers an opportunity to widen the lens. To move beyond token recognition and toward deeper acknowledgment of sustained impact.

The Caribbean’s history is one of colonization and resistance, migration and reinvention. Within that history, women have always been central. They organized communities during independence struggles. They preserved language and culture under colonial rule. They built businesses, led classrooms, and carried families across borders in search of opportunity.

The 21st century did not create Caribbean women leaders. It revealed them to a wider audience.

Why This Moment Matters

Beginning Women’s History Month by honoring Caribbean women is not about regional pride alone. It is about correcting perspective.

Global history often flows through powerful nations and dominant narratives. Yet many of the ideas shaping today’s conversations about climate justice, diasporic identity, intersectional activism, cultural entrepreneurship, and post-colonial sovereignty have deep Caribbean roots.

The women highlighted here did not wait for permission to lead. They entered political chambers, literary circles, protest movements, and global industries with clarity about who they were and what they represented.

They shifted the image of the Caribbean woman from background figure to global force.

As this month unfolds, there will be space to explore their stories individually and to highlight many others whose work deserves equal attention. But at the outset, the message is simple.

Caribbean women have shaped the modern world.

Women’s History Month gives us language to celebrate that truth. The Caribbean gives us generations of women who made it undeniable.

 EDITOR’S NOTE: Nyan Reynolds is a U.S. Army veteran and published author whose novels and cultural works draw from his Jamaican heritage, military service, and life experiences. His writing blends storytelling, resilience, and heritage to inspire readers.  

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Sawgrass LNG & Power Marks Ten Years as the First U.S. LNG Exporter from the Continental United States

3 Mar 2026, 13:24 – News Americas Now
Sawgrass LNG & Power Marks Ten Years as the First U.S. LNG Exporter from the Continental United StatesSawgrass LNG & Power Marks Ten Years as the First U.S. LNG Exporter from the Continental United States

MIAMI, March 3, 2026 /PRNewswire-HISPANIC PR WIRE/ — Sawgrass LNG & Power celebrated its ten-year anniversary last month, marking a decade since the company completed the first-ever LNG export from the continental United States with a shipment to Barbados on February 2, 2016.

Sawgrass LNG & Power

That first export marked the beginning of a new era for LNG in the United States and laid the foundation for what has become a decade of safe, reliable operations at Sawgrass LNG & Power’s Miami liquefaction facility and at customer sites across the region.

Since that milestone, Sawgrass LNG & Power has grown into one of the most experienced LNG suppliers serving customers in the Southeast United States and throughout the Caribbean. Over the past decade, the company has supported a wide range of users, from transportation and industrial customers to resorts and island utilities seeking to transition away from diesel and heavy fuel oil. Sawgrass LNG & Power’s focus on operational safety and reliability has helped customers reduce energy costs, lower emissions, and strengthen system resilience in regions where energy delivery can be particularly challenging.

“We take pride in our place in the history of U.S. LNG and in the industry’s extraordinary growth over the last decade. We are especially proud to have been the first to deliver LNG to Barbados, the Bahamas, and Haiti. Sawgrass looks forward to continuing to grow and support our customers with energy solutions over the next ten years,” said Daniel McLaughlin, President & Chief Commercial Officer.

Today, Sawgrass LNG & Power continues to expand to meet rising demand from customers seeking practical, lower-cost alternatives to conventional liquid fuels across the Florida and Caribbean markets. The company’s deep experience operating in remote markets has made it a trusted partner for utilities, industrial operations, commercial customers, and transportation providers alike. As it enters its second decade, Sawgrass LNG & Power remains committed to the principles that have defined its success: safe operations, reliable service, and strong partnerships with the customers and communities it serves.

About Sawgrass LNG & Power

Sawgrass LNG & Power is a leading provider of LNG supply and gas-to-power solutions, serving a diverse range of customers in the Southeastern U.S. and the Caribbean. Headquartered in Miami, Florida, the company operates a state-of-the-art LNG facility and provides turnkey LNG supply, logistics, and gas-to-power solutions for utilities, industrial users and commercial operators.

The global south betting tech stack: infrastructure lessons from Colombia and Tanzania

3 Mar 2026, 13:13 – News Americas Now
The global south betting tech stack: infrastructure lessons from Colombia and TanzaniaThe global south betting tech stack: infrastructure lessons from Colombia and Tanzania

News Americas, NY, NY, Tues. Mar. 2, 2026: Colombia and Tanzania illustrate how public policy quietly becomes part of betting infrastructure. In both markets, licensing frameworks define what payment rails, identity checks and content integrations operators can deploy. Colombia’s national regulator, Coljuegos, created a unified online betting regime early, allowing international platforms to operate under clear taxation and compliance conditions; the country recorded more than 1.3 billion regulated online betting transactions in 2024 alone. 

The global south betting tech stack: infrastructure lessons from Colombia and Tanzania

Tanzania’s Gaming Board followed a different cadence, yet reached a similar outcome: a licensed digital ecosystem where operators integrate directly with national oversight systems. Over 70% of wagers in Tanzania already flow through online channels, demonstrating how regulation effectively sets the default transaction layer for betting Tanzania platforms. For anyone evaluating market entry, the first technical integration target often sits inside regulatory architecture.

Mobile money as the core transaction layer

If you design or operate betting products in emerging markets, Tanzania demonstrates that wallets matter more than cards. Mobile money subscriptions surpassed 70 million in 2025, embedding digital wallets into everyday commerce and gaming payments across the country. So, today, licensed sportsbooks now rely heavily on these rails for deposits and withdrawals, making mobile money the settlement backbone of betting Tanzania applications. 

Operators increasingly design apps around USSD and low-bandwidth mobile experiences because smartphones remain unevenly distributed. Payment design, therefore, starts with telecom infrastructure, reversing assumptions common in Europe or North America. When you map user journeys in Tanzania, account funding and cash-out experiences almost always center on telecom wallets, revealing why payment strategy often defines competitive advantage in betting Tanzania systems.

Distribution through telecom and handset ecosystems

Infrastructure lessons from betting Tanzania also highlight distribution physics across the Global South. Roughly three-quarters of Tanzanians own mobile phones, with internet users expanding from under 2 million in 2014 to tens of millions within a decade. Telecom expansion and rural fiber investment pushed betting access far beyond urban kiosks, shifting the industry toward app-first engagement. 

For product teams, this means acquisition channels resemble prepaid airtime marketing and SIM registration ecosystems more than desktop advertising. Colombia’s trajectory parallels this pattern through mobile broadband growth in secondary cities, confirming that telecom reach often determines betting scale before marketing spend does. When you evaluate distribution strategy in betting Tanzania environments, telecom partnerships frequently matter as much as brand campaigns or odds differentiation.

Operator architecture: low-data, high-volume systems

Technical design priorities in betting Tanzania domains differ sharply from mature markets, with platforms emphasizing lightweight interfaces, asynchronous transactions and tolerance for intermittent connectivity across diverse network conditions. Many sportsbooks support SMS or USSD wagers, so users without smartphones can still participate, effectively extending the tech stack into telecom signaling networks. 

This architecture favors stateless transaction processing and rapid settlement cycles, since users expect immediate wallet updates after each wager. Colombia’s operators faced similar constraints during early mobile adoption phases, reinforcing that scalable betting systems in the Global South evolve around bandwidth scarcity. When you architect services for betting Tanzania contexts, performance per kilobyte often outweighs visual richness or complex interactive layers.

Data, compliance and identity at scale

Identity and compliance requirements also reveal infrastructure convergence between Colombia and Tanzania. Tanzania mandates age verification and licensing checks for all operators, pushing platforms to integrate national identification workflows and regulator reporting channels directly into transaction systems. Digital tax collection and monitoring services operated by the Gaming Board now sit inside operator reporting pipelines, effectively turning compliance into an API layer within betting Tanzania stacks. 

Colombia’s centralized regulatory data exchange works in a comparable fashion, illustrating how oversight technology becomes inseparable from product architecture. Engineers entering these markets quickly discover that regulatory telemetry can rival gameplay logic in system complexity. When you deploy or scale betting Tanzania platforms, compliance automation often becomes a core engineering discipline.

Economic gravity and platform investment loops

Market size feeds back into infrastructure investment, with Tanzania offering a clear illustration of this cycle. Betting activity contributes several percent of national GDP, supporting tens of thousands of direct and indirect jobs across retail and digital channels. Operators invested tens of billions of Tanzanian shillings in technology and content between 2024 and 2026, expanding the catalog of games, odds feeds and mobile services available nationwide. 

Such capital flows reinforce the dominance of mobile-first architecture across betting Tanzania platforms, since revenue correlates directly with transaction volume beyond just high-end graphics or immersive features. Colombia’s earlier regulatory certainty produced the same investment loop, validating the model across regions. When you analyze betting Tanzania growth patterns, infrastructure investment and market demand appear tightly coupled.

Strategic lessons for builders and regulators

Viewed together, Colombia and Tanzania show that betting infrastructure in the Global South emerges from three converging systems: telecom networks, mobile money ecosystems and centralized regulatory platforms. Product teams entering betting Tanzania environments benefit from prioritizing wallet integration, low-data design and compliance automation before entertainment features or advanced personalization. Policymakers gain parallel insight, since clear licensing and payment interoperability accelerate digital migration faster than retail expansion alone. 

Global operators often assume technology leadership flows from mature markets outward, yet these cases demonstrate reverse innovation, where constraints produce architectures later adopted elsewhere. Today, betting ecosystems built around mobile wallets and regulatory APIs increasingly influence platform design beyond their origins. Ultimately, when you study betting Tanzania stacks, future global betting architecture trends become visible early. For technology strategists, these markets function more strongly as practical laboratories for the next generation of scalable betting infrastructure.

Colombia and Ecuador join forces on border crime despite escalating trade war

2 Mar 2026, 23:40 – Latin America Reports

Medellín, Colombia – Security forces in Colombia and Ecuador have launched a joint operation to target criminal groups on their shared 600km border, Colombian Defense Minister Pedro Sánchez announced yesterday.

As part of “Operación Espejo”, or “Operation Mirror”, the two nations have identified five target zones which will see a permanent presence of Colombian and Ecuadorian military forces and the use of drones, anti-drone systems, helicopters, gunships and patrol boats.

The announcement came the same day that Ecuador raised tariffs on Colombia to 50%, which it described as a “security fee” for its neighbor’s failure to police the border. 

In response, Colombia’s Commerce Minister drafted a reciprocal 50% import tax which once approved is set to be in force until the Ecuadorian tariffs are lifted.  

Following the announcement of the joint operation, Sánchez reaffirmed that the “enemy is armed groups, not nations”. 

The Defense Minister also celebrated the destruction of 45 drug laboratories in the three preceding days of operations in the Colombian Pacific department of Nariño. 20,000 security personnel have already been stationed on the Colombian side of the border in Nariño and Putumayo. The United States will also provide intelligence assistance to help identify areas of illegal activity. 

“The problem of drugs is not only a health problem; while consumption increases in European countries and the U.S. […] here we are suffering from the production,” said Sánchez. While the defense minister underlined that the joint operation will respect the possibility of dialogue with some groups, bombing border zones has not been ruled out. 

“We will act with full force against crime […] we will not tolerate the crimes, terrorism, extortion, kidnapping, and forced displacement that these criminals commit,” he added.

The most recent tariffs mark the latest escalation in the neighbours’ trade back and forth dispute that commenced in January. Tough-on-crime Trump ally Noboa has claimed Colombia is failing to “implement concrete and effective measures in the area of border security.”

Colombian President Gustavo Petro imposed a retaliatory 30% tariff in January whilst defending his record on crime and praising the two countries’ historically close security relationship. 

The trade dispute has been generating anxiety on the part of businesses and workers in both countries, with ex-ministers calling for the reopening of dialogue between the two nations. 

Featured image: A Colombian military checkpoint

Image credit: @Mindefensa via X.

The post Colombia and Ecuador join forces on border crime despite escalating trade war appeared first on Latin America Reports.

Caribbean Watch: Anticipation and Uncertainty Ahead of High-Profile Talks With Washington

2 Mar 2026, 20:15 – News Americas Now
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio participates in a family photo with Caribbean Community (CARICOM) heads of government in Basseterre, Saint Kitts and Nevis, February 25, 2026US Secretary of State Marco Rubio participates in a family photo with Caribbean Community (CARICOM) heads of government in Basseterre, Saint Kitts and Nevis, February 25, 2026

By Keith Bernard

NEWS AMERICAS, NY, NY, Mon. Mar. 2, 2026: If ever there were a moment in recent Caribbean and hemispheric history where one would desperately wish to be a fly on the wall, it is now — on the eve of the anticipated meeting between the Presidents of Guyana, Trinidad and Tobago, and the United States of America. At a time when the Middle East continues to burn with a ferocity that is reshaping global alliances, energy markets, and the very architecture of international order, such a gathering carries implications that stretch far beyond the walls of whatever room these three leaders occupy.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio participates in a family photo with Caribbean Community (CARICOM) heads of government in Basseterre, Saint Kitts and Nevis, February 25, 2026
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio participates in a family photo with Caribbean Community (CARICOM) heads of government in Basseterre, Saint Kitts and Nevis, February 25, 2026. Rubio is meeting with Caribbean leaders seeking a common line on Venezuela and pressure on Cuba. He’s also addressing President Donald Trump’s priorities, including combating illegal immigration, drug trafficking and regional security. (Photo by Jonathan Ernst / POOL / AFP via Getty Images)

The world in which this meeting takes place is not the world of even five years ago. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East — with its cascading effects on oil prices, shipping routes, global food security, and the re-alignment of geopolitical loyalties — has elevated the strategic importance of the Western Hemisphere’s energy producers to a degree that would have seemed extraordinary in calmer times. Guyana, sitting atop one of the most significant oil discoveries of the twenty-first century, and Trinidad and Tobago, a seasoned natural gas exporter with decades of energy diplomacy under its belt, are no longer peripheral players in conversations that Washington must have. They are, increasingly, central to them.

And so, as a Caribbean citizen watching all of this unfold, I confess I would give much to hear what is truly said — not the polished communiqués that will emerge for public consumption, but the frank exchanges that happen between statesmen who know the weight of what they carry. What does Washington really want from Guyana and Trinidad? Is this a conversation about energy security — redirecting supply chains away from volatile Middle Eastern sources — or is there a broader strategic ask being made, perhaps regarding regional security architecture, the posture toward Venezuela, or the management of China’s deepening footprint in the region?

I would want to hear how our leaders push back — or whether they do. Will Guyana’s President articulate a vision for how this oil wealth serves Guyanese first, even as global powers circle with their interests? Will Trinidad’s leader bring to the table the voice of a small island state that has survived the boom-and-bust cycles of hydrocarbon dependence and has something honest to say about the terms of these relationships? The Middle East crisis has a way of making powerful nations suddenly generous — but generosity from the powerful rarely arrives without strings.

There is also the humanitarian dimension to consider. As the Middle East conflict has deepened divisions within international institutions — the United Nations rendered increasingly impotent, Western consensus fractured, and the Global South watching with a mixture of anger and calculation — small states like ours face real choices about which version of the international order we wish to inhabit and uphold. I would want to hear whether anyone in that room speaks to this, or whether the conversation stays safely within the language of investment, trade, and strategic partnership.

History is being made in real time, and the Caribbean — often spoken about as an afterthought in global affairs — now finds itself in a peculiar and powerful position. I would want to know, in that room, whether our leaders recognise this fully and are negotiating accordingly; or whether old habits of deference and dependency are quietly reasserting themselves under the pressure of a superpower’s invitation.

A fly on the wall would hear the truth of it. The rest of us will have to read between the lines of whatever statement follows. I trust that our leaders understand that the people of this region are watching — and hoping — that they negotiate not just for today’s headlines, but for the long arc of our sovereignty and wellbeing.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Keith Bernard is a Guyanese-born, NYC-based analyst and a frequent contributor to News Americas.

RELATED: CARICOM’s Animal Farm? – Why The Caribbean Is United in Rhetoric, Divided In Reality

Equisoft achieves highest “Luminary” status for third consecutive time in Celent’s LATAM Policy Administration System Report

2 Mar 2026, 19:52 – News Americas Now
Equisoft Inc--Equisoft achieves highest -Luminary- status for thEquisoft Inc--Equisoft achieves highest -Luminary- status for th

TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO and MEXICO CITY, March 2, 2026 /PRNewswire-HISPANIC PR WIRE/ — Equisoft, a leading global digital solutions provider to the financial services industry, announced today that Equisoft/manage, a cloud-based and AI-native policy administration system, is the only platform that earned top tier “Luminary” status in Celent’s LATAM Policy Administration System report, which includes the Caribbean region. Recognized for its integration capabilities, agentic AI innovation, and comprehensive functionality spanning from illustrations through claims, Equisoft/manage is also the winner of the XCelent Awards for Advanced Technology in LATAM (and Caribbean) and North America.

 Equisoft’s AI-native life insurance platform earns “Luminary” status and XCelent Awards across multiple regions

“Having recently partnered with over 18 Caribbean insurers to modernize their legacy systems, we understand firsthand the unique challenges and opportunities that define this market,” said Ruben Veerasamy, Senior Vice President, Caribbean at Equisoft. “This third consecutive Celent recognition affirms that our investments in AI-enabled technology and comprehensive platform functionality are directly aligned with what the Caribbean and LATAM markets need to remain competitive and serve policyholders better.”

Equisoft’s AI-powered capabilities include automated underwriting and claims support, intelligent document processing, real-time product changes without IT support and Agentic AI powered workflows that help insurers reduce operational costs while improving speed-to-market for new products. The solution supports the complete life insurance value chain, from illustration and application through policy servicing and claims administration.

“The AI components integrated into Equisoft/manage are designed to help carriers improve efficiency and identify potential revenue opportunities. Along with other factors, this supported Equisoft/manage receiving the XCelent Award for Advanced Technology,” said Fabio Sarrico, Senior Analyst in Celent’s insurance practice. “With its broad platform functionality and AI capabilities, the platform can help insurers streamline operations and adapt to changing market conditions.

Equisoft continues to invest in AI capabilities, data migration expertise, and cloud infrastructure to maintain its position at the forefront of insurance technology innovation.

To download the full report, click here.

To learn more about Equisoft/manage, click here.

About Equisoft

Founded in 1994, Equisoft is a global provider of advanced insurance and investment digital solutions. Recognized as a valued partner by over 325 of the world’s leading financial institutions, Equisoft offers a complete AI-enabled ecosystem—from front-end applications to integrated back-office and pension systems—backed by proven data migration expertise. The firm’s ecosystem serves insurers, distributors, banks, pensions, and asset managers. With a multicultural team of over 850 experts based in North America, the Caribbean, Latin America, Europe, Africa, Asia and Australia, Equisoft helps its clients tackle any challenge in this era of digital disruption.

For more information, please visit www.equisoft.com.

About Celent

Celent is a leading research and advisory firm focused on technology for financial institutions globally.

The Celent Policy Administration System North American edition provides an overview of the policy administration systems available in North America for individual and group life insurers. The report profiles 21 policy administration systems and provides an overview of their functionality, customer bases, supported lines of business, technology, implementation, pricing, and support.

About the xCelent Awards

To help financial institutions better understand the vendor landscape and compare vendors, Celent developed its ABC methodology, which positions and awards vendors across three dimensions: Advanced Technology, Breadth of Functionality, and Customer Base and Support. Top performers in each ABC dimension receive a corresponding XCelent award.

Ecuador’s rainy season: 21,089 affected as regional emergency remains in force across eight provinces

2 Mar 2026, 02:27 – MercoPress

Since the start of the year, Ecuador has registered 1,146 weather-related adverse events linked to rainfall across all 24 provinces Ecuador’s rainy season has left 21,089 people affected since January 1, 2026, with three deaths and 14 injured, according to the latest assessment by the National Secretariat for Risk Management (SNGR).

The Pantanal hotspot of Biodiversity

28 Feb 2026, 18:33 – Cosmos Chronicle

The Pantanal is a land of superlatives. The largest tropical wetland in the world. A biodiversity hot spot. Home to South America’s “Big Five”: Jaguar, Giant Anteater, Giant River Otter, Maned Wolf & Brazilian Tapir. Not to mention the Pantaneira culture, shaped by an unforgiving landscape. What the floodplain landscape lacks in elevation it holds […]

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Bolivia military plane carrying central bank cash crashes; crowd tries to grab banknotes

28 Feb 2026, 01:13 – MercoPress

Witness accounts described the plane hitting numerous vehicles before coming to a stop. A Bolivian military Hercules C-130 transport aircraft suffered an accident on Friday afternoon in El Alto, the city adjacent to La Paz, leaving at least 15 people dead, according to a preliminary toll attributed to firefighters. The aircraft overran the runway and slid onto a main avenue, striking vehicles and triggering chaotic scenes as residents attempted to collect bundles of cash scattered across the crash area.

Trump floats a “friendly takeover” of Cuba, says talks are under way with Havana

27 Feb 2026, 19:04 – MercoPress

“Maybe we’ll have a friendly takeover of Cuba,” Trump told reporters as he departed the White House for Texas, adding that Secretary of State Marco Rubio is managing the contacts U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday that his administration is holding talks with Cuba and suggested the process could lead to a potential “friendly takeover” of the island, portraying Havana as facing acute economic and supply strains.

Download These Travel Apps Before Your Latin America Trip

25 Feb 2026, 11:22 – Luxury Latin America Blog

You’ve bought your plane ticket, booked your hotels, lined up tours, and you’ll be heading to a country in Latin America on vacation. Great! You’re not quite done yet though. Make sure you’re prepared for what can go wrong along the way by getting a few extra travel apps on your phone or laptop....

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Does the Trump Administration Really Believe People are so Brainless?

24 Feb 2026, 19:59 – Steve Ellner’s Blog

In the face of Trump’s steady decline in approval ratings, White House spokesman Davis Ingle claimed: “The ultimate poll was November 5th 2024 when nearly 80 million Americans overwhelmingly elected President Trump to deliver on his popular and commonsense agenda.” OVERWHELMINGLY? Trump received under 50% of the popular vote and only 1.5% more than Kamala Harris. Does that make his triumph “overwhelming?” Of course not, but that doesn’t deter Trump and his allies from constantly conflating the popular vote and the electoral college vote in order to claim that 2024 was a landslide victory.

 

Venezuela offers Amnesty and pardon for Political Prisoners

24 Feb 2026, 13:30 – Cosmos Chronicle

Mérida, February 23, 2026 (venezuelanalysis.com) – The Venezuelan National Assembly passed the Amnesty Law for Democratic Coexistence on Thursday, January 19. The government, led by Acting President Delcy Rodríguez, immediately enacted the legislation and presented it as a step toward “peace and tolerance.” The law establishes mechanisms that aim to promote political reconciliation through a […]

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No Kings Rally is Building Momentum but Needs to Raise the Issue of Washington's War Mongering

22 Feb 2026, 04:32 – Steve Ellner’s Blog

Momentum is building for the March 28 massive nation-wide No Kings rally. But as reflected in this sign “No War on Venezuela,” the protests should focus as much on the aggressive regime-change moves by the U.S. and the resultant death and destruction, as on issues on the domestic front. These photos are from today’s protest in Germantown MD, which are taking place every Saturday and are getting positive, enthusiastic responses from cars passing by at this busy intersection. 


 

The Illusion of Progress? The Rise of Women in Ecuadorian Politics Despite Ongoing Gender Violence in Its Indigenous Communities

20 Feb 2026, 19:36 – AULA Blog

(Source: Wikimedia Commons)

By Isabella Serra & S. Shrestha  

On January 24, 2006, Estuardo Remache was criminally charged with domestic violence and removed from his position as head of Ecuador’s Human Rights Commission. The case was brought forward by his wife, Maria Lucrecia Nono, who had spent years seeking justice for the repeated abuse she endured. On numerous occasions Maria’s attempts to report the violence were dismissed, her credibility questioned, and her intentions painted as vindictive.

When Maria first turned to local authorities and Comisarías, state-run women’s centers meant to support survivors of gender-based violence (GBV), she was told her case was a personal matter to be resolved at home. Officials cited Article 191 of the Ecuadorian Constitution, which separates the federal and Indigenous legal systems, and told her she must seek justice within her own Kichwa community. 

Gender-based violence, which includes emotional, physical, and sexual harm rooted in gender inequality, is a widespread and deeply structural form of oppression. Maria’s abuse didn’t stop at home; it was reinforced by the very institutions intended to protect her. Each time she sought help, she was met with indifference, disbelief, or outright rejection, despite returning with visible bruises and ongoing emotional trauma. Her story points to a more systemic issue: the absence of female political power in Ecuador to challenge and transform these injustices. 

Maria’s ordeal highlights a troubling paradox: the greater presence of women – particularly Indigenous Kichwa women – in Ecuador’s political sphere, alongside the continued high rates of GBV in their communities. Why, despite growing political representation for women, does gender-based violence remain so entrenched, especially among Indigenous communities?

 Legal and Structural Context 

Ecuador’s 2008 Constitution marked a turning point, officially recognizing the country as plurinational and intercultural, thus legitimizing Indigenous governance structures alongside the national legal system. Yet this dual system has limitations. While intended to acknowledge indigenous sovereignty, in practice it often creates conditions of legal marginality, particularly for Indigenous women. In Maria’s case, the national judiciary abdicated responsibility, claiming the Kichwa system to be the appropriate jurisdiction, while Kichwa authorities sought to silence her to avoid casting their communities in a negative light. 

This tension reflects a broader legal failure: the promotion of state-sponsored multiculturalism but the failure to protect vulnerable populations within specific communities. The burden of representation falls heavily on Indigenous women like Mirian Masaquiza Jerez, a Kichwa woman staffing the UN Permanent Forum on Indigenous Issues. In an interview, she explained that any missteps are seen not as individual failings, but as reflections on her entire community. Despite these pressures, her greater visibility, along with that of many others, marks a notable shift in the gendered landscape of Ecuadorian politics 

 Gender-Based Violence in Context 

Ecuador has made substantial progress toward increasing women’s political representation, thanks in part to gender quotas implemented since the early 2000s. These measures mandate a minimum number of female candidates in national and local elections, enabling more women to ascend to political leadership. Despite recent infighting and a diminished presence in the national legislature, Ecuador’s Indigenous-led Pachakutik party has played a pivotal role in this shift over the past three decades, advocating for environmental justice and Indigenous rights, including those of women. 

Yet political representation does not always translate to structural change. The existence of women in positions of power can obscure the continued suffering of those on the margins. Indigenous women in rural areas still live under deeply patriarchal norms, face high rates of GBV, and often lack access to justice, health care, or safe housing. Nearly 6 in 10 women in Ecuador report having experienced GBV. The rate rises to 68 percent among Indigenous women, 10 percentage points higher than among their non-indigenous counterparts. These figures expose the intersectional nature of GBV: it disproportionately affects women who are poor, Indigenous, or otherwise marginalized. GBV is not just a personal issue; it is a societal failure sustained by socioeconomic inequality, cultural norms, and weak legal protections. 

In many Indigenous communities, patriarchal expectations remain strong. Divorce and contraceptives are taboo, and women who speak out like Maria risk being ostracized by their families and communities. Maria’s relatives warned her that if she pursued legal action, she might lose custody of her children. And she nearly did: Estuardo Remache was awarded custody of four of their five children before he was convicted. 

Eco-Politics, Exploitation, and Gendered Harm 

The entanglement of environmental exploitation and gender inequality has further exacerbated the issue. Since the 1960s, Ecuador’s adoption of a free-market model encouraged the expansion of oil extraction in the Amazon. While economically beneficial in the short term, these projects have devastated Indigenous lands and polluted vital resources. The resulting health effects, such as increased miscarriages and birth defects, are disproportionately born by women. 

Historically oil companies, empowered by deregulation, offered large financial incentives to communities in exchange for land. Communities that resisted remained poor and resource scarce. Those who accommodated faced social stigma, displacement, and environmental degradation. Both paths potentially deepened indigenous poverty. 

These developments have reshaped gender roles. As men leave to work for the very oil companies that displaced their communities, women are left to manage households, often under increased financial and social stress. This dynamic has continued to entrench patriarchal authority and contributes to higher rates of domestic violence. Workers exposed to exploitative labor, drugs, and alcohol often bring that trauma home. Women, already made vulnerable by poverty and legal liminality, often suffer the consequences. 

While the 2008 Constitution granted new rights, Ecuador’s laws have failed to notably improve conditions for indigenous women, and in some cases, have exacerbated hardships. The continued expansion of extractive industries under new hydrocarbons and related environmental laws, has led to further environmental contamination, social disruption, and increased gendered violence. 

Reassessing “Progress” 

After years of litigation, Ecuador’s Constitutional Court issued a judgment in 2014 finding that María Lucrecia Nono’s constitutional rights had been violated. Yet the ruling did not bring closure: the prolonged process left her struggle for justice fundamentally unresolved.

Maria’s story is often held up as an example of progress, offered as proof that Indigenous women can now access justice. But this interpretation is dangerously reductive. Maria’s case dragged on for years. She endured physical and emotional abuse, not only from her husband but from a system that refused to believe her. Even after winning she paid a steep price: continued violence, loss of custody, and pressure from Indigenous political leaders urging her to remain silent to protect their image. 

Her case exposes the limits of symbolic victory. Representation alone is not enough to dismantle cultures of impunity and deeply rooted systems of oppression. Real justice requires the transformation of legal systems, political norms, and economic structures that continue to marginalize Indigenous women. 

Conclusions  

Ecuador presents a complex landscape: a country lauded for increasing female political representation, yet plagued by high levels of GBV, especially within Indigenous communities. Maria Lucrecia Nono’s case is not a victory; it is a warning. It illustrates how cultural recognition, extractive capitalism, and patriarchal power can conspire to silence women, even when they appear to be gaining political stature

The emergence of Indigenous women in Ecuador’s political sphere is long overdue. But without corresponding reforms in legal protections, community norms, and economic structures, political power will remain largely symbolic. True liberation for Indigenous women in Ecuador will require dismantling the intersecting systems that perpetuate gender-based violence, which requires listening to women like Maria not only when they win, but when they are silenced. 

Isabella Serra & S. Shrestha  are Research Assistants at The Immigration Lab

*This post continues an ongoing series, as part of CLALS’s Ecuador Initiative, examining the country’s economic, governance, security, and societal challenges, made possible with generous support from Dr. Maria Donoso Clark, CAS/PhD ’91.

The 3 Velas Resorts of Los Cabos

20 Feb 2026, 17:44 – Luxury Latin America Blog

Often when a lodging company has three resorts in one location, they’re scattered around town in different spots, even if it’s a big brand like Marriott. The Velas Resorts company has a very different situation in Los Cabos though, where their three resorts that appeal to different crowds are all a few minutes’ walk...

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USA demands Venezuela to change Labor Laws, Court & Banking Systems

19 Feb 2026, 17:21 – Cosmos Chronicle

US President Donald Trump is considering a visit to Venezuela, though he did not specify when the trip might take place or what agenda it would entail. I’m going to make a visit to Venezuela, Trump told reporters outside the White House on Friday. The US President addressed the press ahead of a trip to […]

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Trump Recognizes that his Embargo on Cuba Represents a “Humanitarian Threat”

19 Feb 2026, 01:49 – Steve Ellner’s Blog

The U.S. embargo (really a blockade) on Cuba is a “humanitarian threat.” Those aren’t my words. They’re Trump’s very words. Basically, what Trump is saying amounts to this: Someone puts a gun to some else’s head and tells the person to pull down their pants. He then says, if you don’t do what I'm telling you to do, I’m going to kill you and it’ll be your fault.


 

Protect Your Personal Data from Cyber Threats in Hotels

14 Feb 2026, 20:50 – Luxury Latin America Blog

I’m writing this post from a hotel, which is not unusual since I’m a travel editor. I’m on an open signal that anyone in the 400+ rooms here can access without a log-in, as can any random person here for a conference, a meal, or a drink. If I opened up my travel itinerary...

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Pam Bondi Shirks Responsibility for Criminal Neglect

14 Feb 2026, 04:38 – Steve Ellner’s Blog


Pam Bondi gets the award for coming up with the worst excuse ever made in all of history. At the hearing of the House Judiciary Committee, various Democratic Representatives asked her if she would apologize for the Justic Department’s failure to redact names of Jeffrey Epstein victims who were sitting just in back of her. She shouted back at the Democrats asking ‘have you apologized for the criminal charges you leveled against the greatest president in U.S. history for supposedly attempting to rig the 2020 presidential elections?’ Anybody who doesn’t see the pathetic nature of Bondi’s response, let me recommend an undergraduate course in “Introduction to Logic.”

 

Bendito Benito: The Cultural is Always Political

13 Feb 2026, 07:04 – AULA Blog
Image Source: Heute.at

By Ernesto Castañeda

Bad Bunny’s halftime performance showed how much Latinos love America, even if some parts of America do not love them back. Performed mostly in Spanish, it showed the reality that Latinos and Spanish are part of America’s culture: its history, its present, and its future. As the performance’s references to salsa and Ricky Martin’s participation in it reminded us, Latinos’ contributions to U.S. and global culture are not a new phenomenon.

Performances like this weaken MAGA’s ideological project even without any direct references to the current administration. Most importantly, they are a reminder of what most people can see: that Latinos, Asians, and Africans are part of U.S. communities, schools, labs, and the art and music scenes.

That is why most people in the U.S. were against ICE and mass deportations before the Super Bowl halftime show. But the humanization of Puerto Ricans and brown people could have reached and created empathy or even admiration among some people who were on the fence, do not follow the news, or live in areas with few immigrants.

When Bad Bunny was announced, some said they would boycott, that ICE would be present and carry out mass arrests, that people would not watch the show, or that it would go badly. None of that happened. The hate and fearmongering just made Bad Bunny’s performance even more special and powerful.

The performance’s positive message about love and inclusivity is a strong antidote to the fear created by ICE operations and the hatred induced by anti-immigrant, anti-Latino, and anti-black discourse. As a Puerto Rican, Benito Antonio Martínez Ocasio, aka Bad Bunny, is a U.S. citizen. However, like many other minorities, on the street, he is racialized and treated as having fewer rights and valid political claims than white citizens who speak English as their first language.

Trusting his team to catch him after he fell backwards from the roof of the casita is a good metaphor for how he knew that Puerto Ricans, Latinos, immigrants, and Americans would have his back, despite the death threats against him that forced him to wear a bulletproof vest during the Grammys ceremony. The community was able to celebrate with him and through him as they watched the Super Bowl during a challenging time. Thus, in his own eyes, his music, lyrics, and his political statements against colonialism, calling Puerto Rica trash, and the dehumanization of people of color and the risks this entails, are worth it.

The halftime show made Latino kids and teenagers feel proud of who they are. It also made many Latinos and non-Latinos, whether they speak Spanish or not, proud of their musical tastes. Some of their parents or grandparents may not have known Bad Bunny’s music, but his fans are not alone. Bad Bunny recently won the Grammy for Album of the Year. He is the most-streamed artist globally on Spotify and other platforms, and the Super Bowl halftime show was enjoyed by over 130 million live viewers, plus over 80 million replays on the NFL YouTube page. This is as close as any cultural act can come to entering the U.S. and global mainstream. 

That is why the NFL selected the world’s leading artist. Bad Bunny is popular worldwide, singing in Spanish. He has no shame about his native language, accent, lingo, or culture. He is proudly Puerto Rican, which makes him emblematic of this multicultural reality.

MAGA proposes that these types of performances threaten US culture. But the USA is stronger than MAGA thinks. It is strong because of its diversity and its mixing of elements from around the world into new, creative products that sell very well. 

As I told Univision News, soon after Bad Bunny was announced as the performer for Super Bowl LX, and after he had hosted SNL and addressed the controversy the announcement caused, sending ICE to the Super Bowl would not have changed our multicultural reality; though it would have represented the fact that ICE and CBP act as if immigration equals crime. Santa Clara, California, is in the San Francisco Bay Area, where many residents were born abroad and work at Silicon Valley’s corporations. Thus, it would have been very difficult for ICE to patrol the streets around the Levy Stadium. Furthermore, it would have been economically and politically expensive if a large ICE operation in or around the stadium had caused the Super Bowl to start later or be severely understaffed. 

When criticized by conservatives for being selected, Bad Bunny defended himself. In doing so, he also indirectly defended other Latinos who are not as famous as he is, but who also contribute in their own way to daily life in the U.S.A. 

The U.S. continues living a practical contradiction on the one side being dependent on immigrant labor for affordability and economic growth but also complains about people arrivie to work and study. On the one hand, we have ICE detaining people for speaking Spanish, for being Latino, and hundreds of thousands of deportations happening. On the other hand, we have Latinos, the majority of whom are American citizens. Latinos are part of the economy, of culture, and of music. In the case of Bad Bunny, they make America great. 

All Puerto Ricans are citizens because Puerto Rico is a U.S. territory. Nevertheless, many assume that being American means being white and speaking English without an accent, which is not true. There are U.S. citizens of all origins, races, skin colors, faiths, and mother tongues. This Super Bowl halftime show was a celebration of that diversity, which makes us strong. Bad Bunny was not out of place in the Super Bowl, but much discrimination against Latinos includes the belief that Latinos are not one hundred percent American.

The upset from MAGA spokespeople is because they do not have control over popular culture. They would like corridos and songs in all genres to be written in celebration of Trump. However, with a few rare exceptions, this is not the case. 

People vote every few years, but they listen to music every week. The “culture wars” are not what Fox News says they are. Fox and other right-wing organizations politicize social issues that are at the early stages of the popular opinion shifts that ultimately lead to social change. No cultural product is loved by one hundred percent of the public. Culture is about practice, consumption, and remixing. People choose what type of food, music, and movies to consume time and time again. In recent years, Pedro Pascal, Diego Luna, Oscar Isaac, Benicio del Toro, Marcelo Hernández, Zoe Saldana, Ana de Armas, Rosario Dawson, Sofia Vergara, to name a few, have played key roles in some of the most popular movies and shows. 

The takeaway is that Latinos are an important part of the United States and make cultural contributions that benefit the whole world. Besides many transnational influences, collaboration with other artists based in the U.S. and throughout the Americas creates a new cultural reality. This cultural reality is a blend of contributions from Latinos and other U.S.-based artists. Together, we are all stronger, and our music is more universal, as the broad national and international appeal of Bad Bunny’s performance clearly shows.

Ernesto Castañeda is a political, social, and cultural analyst.

Yesterday’s Superbowl: A Demonstration of the Inequalities of Football

10 Feb 2026, 03:52 – Steve Ellner’s Blog

Football teams have 22 players in addition to punters and kickers. Of those 22, one player, the quarterback, gets 60 % of the attention and credit (and blame) for a team’s performance. Five other players (the backs and the two ends) get 35% (in other words each get 7%) of the attention. The remaining 5% goes to the 11 members of the defensive team (that is, each get less than a half of 1%). The 5 members of the offensive line (excluding the ends) get 0%. Why is that? The performance of the defensive line can get measured by the number of tackles, sacks and fumble recoveries. But all the offensive line does is block. How can you measure that?

 

Drake Maye got all the blame for the Patriot’s poor performance. But the game was really about Seattle’s defensive line which didn’t give Maye time to throw, and sacked him a record number of times for a Superbowl. They deserved most of the credit for Seattle’s victory. And the team’s head coach recognized their performance on stage when the Vince Lombardi trophy was presented. But who were the two players on stage who got to speak for the team? Seattle’s quarterback Sam Darnold and running back Kenneth Walker. And it was Walker who received the trophy.

 

Today’s controversy: 'Walker didn’t deserve the trophy, but rather kicker Jason Myers who broke an NFL Super Bowl record with 6 field goals.' That controversy may have been a manifestation of racism. Kickers are white possibly without exception. But what about the Seattle’s defensive linemen? Those who criticized the choice of Walker didn’t even consider that maybe the defensive linemen should have been given the trophy. Maybe all 5 of them collectively.


And poor Maye got all the blame for the Patriot’s defeat. But shouldn’t most of the blame have gone to the offensive linemen? I suppose if quarterbacks get most of the credit for victories, it’s only logical that they receive the brunt of the blame for defeats. It all shows how unequal and unfair football is. 

 


 

Venezuela stages Massive Rally demanding Maduro Liberation & Return to Caracas

8 Feb 2026, 16:36 – Cosmos Chronicle

Caracas, February 4, 2026 (venezuelanalysis.com) – Chavista supporters filled the streets of Caracas on Tuesday to demand the release of President Nicolás Maduro and First Lady and Deputy Cilia Flores. The rally marked one month from their kidnapping on January 3 as part of a US military attack against Venezuela. Heavy gunfire erupts near Presidential […]

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Bolivia to honor transparent Lithium Deals with Russia & China

7 Feb 2026, 12:58 – Cosmos Chronicle

Bolivia will honor lithium agreements concluded by the previous government with Russia and China if the integrity and transparency of those deals are confirmed, President Rodrigo Paz said. The deals will be reviewed and made public to allow proper scrutiny, Paz told the Financial Times in an interview published Tuesday. Bolivia controls the Price of […]

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Tour Grand Solmar Land’s End at the Tip of the Baja Peninsula

4 Feb 2026, 19:06 – Luxury Latin America Blog

The luxury resort scene in Los Cabos keeps getting more heated all the time. This has clearly become the go-to spot for high-end hotel chains to make their mark in Mexico. The home-grown Mexican companies are no slackers, however, and Grand Solmar Land’s End is worth considering for its impressive pool complexes, large rooms,...

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The Best Time to Go to Antarctica

27 Jan 2026, 16:35 – Luxury Latin America Blog

Even in today’s connected world, a journey to Antarctica is not a spontaneous trip you decide to take on a whim. It takes a day or two to get to the bottom of South America for the departure point, you need to build in buffer time, and then there are all those decisions on...

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The US's Magical Realism show in Venezuela

13 Jan 2026, 01:01 – Latin American Affairs

What has happened in Venezuela is not a surprise to those who have read the Magical Realism stories of Gabriel Garcia Marquez and the other famous Latin American writers. In this signature genre of Latin American literature, the writers blur the line between fantasy and facts, weaving magic into reality.

Machado is Magic…

Rodriguez is Realism..in the ongoing Magical Realism show of Venezuela choreographed by the US.


Maria Corina Machado, the Nobel Prize winner, had the Fantasy of flying in an American magic carpet  and land on the Miraflores Presidential palace in Caracas after the kidnapping of President Maduro by the American forces. Machado has been a relentless democratic activist fighting the Chavista dictatorship in the last two decades. She wanted to wipe out the Chavistas with the military help of US. But the Fact is that Delcy Rodrigues from the ruling Chavista (followers of Hugo Chavez who was President from 1998 till his death in 2013) regime has moved into the Presidential palace. Machado has got a reality check from President Trump who ruled her out "as not having enough support or respect within Venezuela”. He chose to let Delcy Rodriguez, the Vice President under Maduro, to continue as Acting President. Rodriguez is better for Tump to get oil and other benefits. Machado’s take over of power would have resulted in violent clashes between her party cadres and the Chavistas resulting in bloodshed and instability. This would have complicated Trump’s agenda which was focussed on oil and not restoration of democracy, as imagined by Machado.




This was not the first American Magical Realism Show in Venezuela.


In 2019, the US had recognized Juan Guaido, another opposition leader, as the Real President of Venezuela between January 2019 and January 2023. The US refused to recognize Maduro as President accusing that the 2018 election was rigged. Over fifty countries followed the US dictat (some willingly and some under force) and recognized Juan Guaido as the legitimate President.  Guaido assumed the role of President seriously, appointing cabinet ministers and ambassadors. He and his appointees as well as his American lawyers and collaborators swindled and spent hundreds of millions of dollars of Venezuelan government funds seized by the US government. Eventually, Guaido succumbed to the scandals and he was dropped as a useless luggage. But despite derecognition of President Maduro, the US and other western governments continued to have official dealings with the government of President Maduro. The devious Brits refused to hand over the Venezuelan gold in their Bank of England when Maduro wanted it back. The excuse was that UK had not recognized Maduro as the President. The Brits continued to deal with President Maduro officially and shamelessly and are holding on to the Venezuelan gold even now.


There was a brief Magical Realism show in May 2020.  A group of ex-marine mercenaries of US hatched a plan code named “Operation Gideon”. They attempted a sea borne raid through boats to land in Venezuela, capture President Maduro, take him to the US and claim the 15 million dollar bounty which was the going rate announced by Washington DC at that time. The mercenaries were caught and some were killed and others jailed by Venezuelan authorities. While the US  administration claimed that it was not an official operation, they had got these criminals released through quiet negotiations and got them back to the US in 2023. 


Who stole the Venezuelan election


Maduro claimed to be the winner of 2024 election. Trump and Machado claimed that Edmundo Gonzalez was the winner and accused Maduro of stealing the election. Now Trump has ditched Gonzalez and Machado while jailing Maduro.. Trump says he will run Venezuela. He has appointed himself as the " Acting President of Venezuela" in his social media post.

So, it would not be an exaggeration to say that the real thief who has stolen the election is Trump..He refuses to give a timeline for election or transition and says that it would take years. Restoration of democracy is not Trump’s priority. 

Trump says that the the interim government of Venezuela is “giving us everything that we feel is necessary.  They’re treating us with great respect. We’re getting along very well with the administration that is there right now". 

The fable of a Monkey and two cats
Once upon a time, two cats were fighting over a piece of bread. Each wanted more than the other. A monkey saw this and offered a solution. It brought a weighing scale and broke the bread in two unequal pieces deliberately and put on each side of the weighing scale. When one side weighed heavier it took a bite from that and put the rest in the scale. Then the other side was heavier and the monkey took a bite from the other side. Eventually the monkey finished the pieces on both the sides and the foolish cats were left hungry. Trump has done the Monkey trick to the Maduro and Machado cats.

Trump has announced that he would extract Venezuelan oil from its huge reserves for years. He has already begun to make money for the United States by taking oil that has been under sanctions. He says that the US would obtain 30 to 50 million barrels of Venezuelan crude oil in the near future. He talks of a deal with the Venezuelan authorities whereby America would market all Venezuelan oil “indefinitely”. The proceeds “will be disbursed for the benefit of the American people and the Venezuelan people at the discretion of the US government”.  Trump adds that all the goods purchased for Venezuela in this way would be American.

Maduro was not a dictator in the classical sense

Maduro was not a classical dictator like Pinochet of Chile or Noriega of Panama. He did not have absolute powers and control over others in the regime. He was a just a public face of the collective leadership of the post-Chavez regime. He had less power than Diosdado Cabello, the Interior Minister or Padrino Lopez, the Defense Minister and Army Chief or the Rodriguez siblings Delcy Rodrigues, the Vice President and her brother Jorge Rodriguez, the President of the National Assembly. He could not take any major decisions without the approval of the other four.

Maduro did not have the charisma or grassroots support or any personal vision or agenda, unlike Chavez. Even in speeches, he tried simply to imitate the style and rhetoric of Chavez. The other four powerful figures let him appear in the TV, sing and dance. This was a clever move which paved the way for his being portrayed in the western media as a dictator responsible for rigging of elections and economic collapse. 

The Cuba angle

Maduro was not the prime candidate to succeed Chavez. It was Diosdado Cabello, the interior minister, who was expected to inherit the mantle of Chavez. He had better credentials as the second strongest man after Chave. But the Cubans had influenced Chavez to appoint Maduro as successor during the last days of Chavez in a Cuban hospital. The Cubans did not warm to Cabello who was independent and did not share Chavez’s or Maduro’s admiration for Cuba. After the coup against him in 2002 (in which a few dissident Generals joined), Chavez took on Cuban advisors for personal protection and intelligence services. This system continued for Maduro also. Since he had less power than the other quartet of power, Maduro relied even more on his Cuban advisors. This was resented by the others. That’s why they let the Americans kill 32 Cubans during the raid.

Chavez considered Fidel Castro as his role model and mentor. He gave free and subsidized oil besides monetary and other support to Cuba which was helpless after the withdrawal of Soviet assistance in 1991. Maduro continued Chavez's policy of supporting Cuba with oil and money. This was not to the liking of the other Chavista factions. 

The Americans have instructed Delcy Rodriguez to end the support to Cuba, which will become even more vulnerable and easier game for US. This has pleased the Cuban-origin Secretary of State Marco Rubio who has been dreaming of liberating Cuba from Communism and claiming the properties owned by his family. Rubio has already warned that the Cuban regime should be afraid.

The capture and kidnap was just a stage-managed event

The so called capture and kidnapping of Maduro was a stage-managed event. Delcy Rodriguez and company had willingly offered the head of Maduro to appease the deities of Washington DC in return for the Americans allowing thousands of Chavistas to continue with their heads on their bodies.  There is bounty of 25 million dollars on interior minister Diosdado Cabello and 15m on defense minister Padrino Lopez.  Plus some more millions on other heads. Trump is not pursuing them despite the trumped up charges and US court convictions against them. If Machado/ Gonzalez had taken over power, they would have happily handed over hundreds of Chavista heads to the Americans. 

Delcy Rodriguez has been in touch with the Americans through Chevron which still operates in Venezuela. As the minister in charge of oil sector, she had the excuse to deal with the Americans. She is more pragmatic and better skilled in negotiations than Cabello or Lopez. So, She was chosen by both the sides to do the deal of offering Maduro’s head and lot of oil to the Americans. Even Maduro was willing to give oil and other things except his head. But Trump wanted a trophy and a spectacular power display of his macho MAGA image. Rodriguez agreed and let the Americans display the power of airforce jets, helicopters, high-tech weapons and skills of special forces. It was all prearranged.

It was not a Regime Change but a Regime Reset

So what has happened in Venezuela is not a Regime Change but a simple Regime Reconfiguration minus Maduro but plus Trump. This arrangement suits the US better than letting Machado/ Gonzalez to take over the country. If that was the case, the Chavistas (with their armed forces and militias) would have fought with the Machado government fiercely to save their heads and positions of power. There would have been bloodshed. Machado would not have been able to manage the situation and the American ground forces would have become necessary. Having learnt from the mistakes made in Iraq and Afghanistan, the Americans did not want a repeat. In any case Trump’s priority was not restoration of democracy. 


Trump’s priority is oil, not democracy


Venezuela has the world’s largest oil reserves of over 300 billion barrels. It was the American companies who had discovered the oil in 1914 and produced till the nationalization in 1975 by President Carlos Andres Perez. He had paid them compensation through negotiations and after approval by the Venezuelan Congress. In the 1990s the Venezuelan government had invited foreign companies back into the oil sector. Some companies such as Chevron, Exxon Mobile and Conoco Philps went back. But when President Chavez came to power in 1998, he wanted these companies to form joint ventures with PDVSA, the national oil company holding majority shares. Except Chevron, the other companies refused the terms and exited. They claimed compensation but the amounts were exorbitant. So they went to courts and arbitration. These claims, with interest, now amount to 22 billion dollars. The American companies would certainly plan to take Venezuelan oil against the dues, claimed by them.


Despite the dispute over compensation disputes, Chevron has been operating in Venezuela all these years. When the Americans imposed sanctions on Venezuela in 2019, Chevron got a special license to operate in the country. It has been operating with repeated renewal of sanctions. 


In the meeting with President Trump on 9 January, the oil companies asked for change of Venezuelan laws on regulations as well as investment guarantees in order to go back to the country. Because of sanctions, PDVSA’s production capacity has been crippled due to shortage of equipments and materials needed for repairs and modernization. Billions of dollars would need to be invested to restore production to the pre-sanction level of over 3 million barrels per day.


Oil is a resource curse for Venezuela


The country has so much of fertile agricultural land, mineral resources including gold and diamond, hydroelectric potential, beautiful beaches and pleasant climate. These resources are sufficient to be a prosperous nation, even without oil. But when the easy money from oil started coming, the Venezuelans abandoned all the other resources and started living exclusively on oil income. 


The problems of Venezuela started when oil was discovered in 1914.  In just a decade, the country had undergone a rapid transformation from an obscure agricultural backwater somewhere in the Andes to the world’s largest oil exporter and the second-largest oil producer after the United States. 

 Since then, the Venezuelans have been infected incurably by the Dutch disease and resource curse. Oil has spoiled both the rulers and the ruled. The politicians stole and misspent the petrodollars during the high oil prices and let the economy slide into crisis when the prices went down. The businessmen gave up productive industries and went into imports and quick ways of making fast buck. Farmers neglected agriculture and moved into cities to share the luxury life style spawned by the oil boom. 


By 1930, while the world struggled with the Great Depression, Venezuelans began to enjoy enormous riches. Venezuela became a key supplier of the oil that fueled the Allied effort during World War II. The flood of oil revenue caused their currency bolivar to appreciate against the dollar.  The strong currency was a boon for Venezuelan consumers, who could suddenly afford to import what they used, wore, and ate every day. Caracas became expensive. A US diplomat earning 2000 dollars in Washington DC needed 5000 dollars to live in Caracas. 


Venezuela’s days of economic plenty did not last. World War II disrupted global trade and pushed the import-dependent nation into economic disarray, plagued by product shortages. Venezuela quickly went from a nation with enough purchasing power to import fine wines to a place where people struggled to find car tires.


Venezuela had increased its oil revenue thanks to a smart Venezuelan, Pérez Alfonzo, the Minister of Development, appointed by the military rulers after the 1945 coup. He changed the game of negotiations with the foreign oil companies. He pushed them for fifty-fifty share in the profits the multinational oil companies derived from the sale of crude oil as well as refining, transportation, and sale of fuel. He educated the sheikhs in the Middle East and helped them to get a similar arrangement with the foreign oil firms. Pérez Alfonzo worked with the representatives of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, and Iran and signed the agreement to create the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, OPEC. From that point on, oil companies would have to consult with exporter countries before setting oil prices.
In the period 1950-57 Venezuela accumulated huge foreign exchange reserves, thanks to the hike in oil prices after the coup in Iran and closure of Suez Canal. In 1963, the country churned out 3.5 million barrels of oil a day. The country’s per capita income was the highest in Latin America, and the currency bolivar remained one of the world’s strongest currencies. Sears Roebuck had opened eleven stores in Venezuela.
After the Arab oil embargo in 1973, Venezuela’s petrodollars tripled. The flow of dollars from oil was too much for Venezuela’s economy causing a form of economic indigestion. The newly elected president Carlos Andrés Pérez asked congress for special powers to better handle the avalanche of money. Venezuela was in a state of emergency because it had too much cash.
Venezuelans wasted no time in developing a taste for the finer things in life. The country became known for having the best French and Italian restaurants in Latin America, many of them run by famed chefs. Venezuela became one of the largest importers of premium alcohol, like whiskey and champagne, as well as luxury vehicles, like the Cadillac El Dorado. Caracas became such a chic destination that Air France’s Concorde supersonic jet opened a Paris–Caracas flight in 1976. The per capita income of Venezuelans rivaled that of West Germany. 
Chavez was a creation of the situation created by the Venezuelan oligarchs
In the 1980s, Venezuela faced a crisis after the fall in prices due to a global oil glut and lower demand.  Since Venezuelans had grown accustomed to generous governments, politicians continued to spend even in the face of less money coming in. The country’s economy in 1989 went into its worst recession ever, with gross domestic product contracting nearly 9 percent. Venezuela was forced to seek a financial lifeline from the International Monetary Fund and asked the U.S. government’s help to renegotiate and reduce its outstanding debts. People got frustrated with the austerity program of the government and took to the streets by the thousands to protest, riot, and loot for ten days. Protesters set fire to cars and buses, and they clashed with the military. When it was all over, the uprising that became known as El Caracazo had left three hundred people dead and material losses in the millions of dollars. During the eight years ending in 1989, poverty had increased tenfold. Inflation topped 100 percent in 1996. 

It was at this time that Chavez entered politics as an outsider challenging the two established political parties (AD and COPEI) run by oligarchs. He asked a simple question to the audience during his election campaign; “ Venezuela is a rich country with the largest reserves of oil. Why then 44% of the people are poor?”. The masses voted for him overwhelmingly.  He won the subsequent elections and a constitutional referendum overwhelmingly. He did not need to rig them.  Chavez started implementing his pro-poor and other socialistic policies. He wanted PDVSA, which was a state within the state to reduce overdependence on US and diversify other markets. 

Overthrow of Chavez in a coup 

The two oligarchic political parties, who were wiped out in the elections, realized that they could not beat Chavez electorally. So they went to Uncle Sam and organized a coup in April 2002 and overthrew Chavez with the help of a few dissident elements from the army.  The PDVSA employees went on a strike and crippled oil production, exports and even internal distribution. There was severe shortage of gasoline. Chavez was sent to jail in a remote island. But the oligarchs started fighting against each other for spoils and refused to give any share to the generals. So the generals freed Chavez and restored him as President after two days. As Ambassador of India to Venezuela, I saw the coup and its aftermath.

Chavez wanted to teach a lesson to those who were involved in and supported the coup. He sacked 15,000 employees of PDVSA and put the company under the control of Chavistas. He started destroying the business and industry of the oligarchs systematically. He imposed strict controls on foreign exchange and business licenses. He took over some factories and put the army in charge of distribution of essential supplies and some business. He let the army commanders and militant followers to make money through corruption. He brought democratic institutions, judiciary and the election tribunal under his control. Since the opposition parties had become insignificant, he assumed more powers and became authoritarian.  This is how the country became a Chavista dictatorship which mismanaged the economy. Inflation and devaluation of currency reached five digits. The GDP contracted for several years. This was the system inherited by Maduro when he was appointed as the successor after Chavez’s death in 2013. The system worsened under Maduro who could not control the others involved in corruption and mismanagement. He did not have the power or competency to arrest the deterioration.

The US, with its bounties and sanctions, became the obstacle for free and fair elections

The American sanctions starting from 2006 worsened the Venezuelan situation. The sanctions on oil exports, started and intensified since 2017,  crippled the Venezuelan economy. Shortage of foreign exchange meant  scarcity of essential items, more control, crime and corruption. This triggered economic emigration of several million Venezuelans. 

Maduro and the Chavista party PSUV (United Socialist Party of Venezuela) would have definitely been voted out in the 2024 elections. The people were angry and frustrated with the misery of daily life. But Maduro was forced to rig the elections because of the fear of American bounties. 
The US had imposed bounties of 50 million dollars on the head of President Maduro, 25 million on Interior Minister Cabello and 15 m on Defense Minister Lopez besides several more millions on others. This meant that if the pro-American opposition came to power, they would have sent all of the top Chavista leadership  to American jails. So, the Chavista regime could not hold free and fair elections which would have been their death warrant. They had no option but to rig the elections to prevent the opposition from coming to power. Thus, the US became the obstacle for free and fair elections in Venezuela

The political parties of Brazil, Chile, Argentina and Uruguay restored democracy in the 1980s by internal protests, guerrilla warfare and eventually negotiations with the military dictatorships who were supported by the US.  The political leaders offered amnesty to the perpetrators of human rights crimes only after which the Generals agreed to hand over power. But Machado forgot this history of Latin America. She made a dangerous move when she openly sought US military intervention. She did not realize that it would come at a price. Trump says he will run the country. He finds that the Chavista regime is better suited for him to get oil and other benefits. He is not going to allow elections in the near future, since he fears that Machado will come to power and complicate his agenda. Thus, the US has again become the obstacle for restoration of democracy. 

American serial wars on Latin America

Machado has caused a dangerous problem for the Latin American region by her open invitation for US military intervention and the success of 'Operation Absolute Resolve’.  She has whetted the appetite of US for further adventures in Cuba, Colombia and Mexico. 

The history of Latin America is filled with American invasions, occupations, military coups and destabilizations. It is like a Netflix serial. Location shootings and subtitles change. But the main plot through the episodes is the same; regime change to remove leftist governments and install pro-US regimes to promote American business and hegemony. The wars are given different titles such as war on communism, war on drugs, war on terrorism and war on corruption. The last one was used to bring down the government of the Workers’ Party in Brazil and some leftist presidents in the region. In the current campaign to oust President Maduro, the Americans started with the title “war on drugs” but changed it to 'war on terrorism’ and combined the two later to “ War on Narco-terrorism” to get more bang for the buck. Venezuela and Maduro were not significant sources of drugs nor were they terrorist threats to the US. 

War on Drugs

The US has accused Maduro and his colleagues of involvement in drug trafficking to the US. This is a false accusation. Even according to American official sources, Venezuela accounts for an insignificant portion of drugs which go to the US. 

Secondly, drug is not a supply side problem. Drug is a demand and consumer-driven multibillion dollar US business. Out of every drug dollar, only 20 cents go outside US to the producers and traffickers, while 80 cents remain within the US. Millions of Americans pay top dollars willingly and happily to get high on drugs from wherever they can get them. Some years back, an American firm, Purdue Pharma, had aggressively marketed its opioid Oxycontin and made billion of dollars while thousands of Americans became addicts and ended up dead. The DEA did not do a drug war against the company. The Justice Department did a deal with it and the company got away with some fines. As long American consumers continue to demand and pay for the drugs, the business will go on. The drug consumption in US has not decreased after the killing of Pablo Escobar or the arrest of Chapo Guzman. Drug is simply and clearly an American domestic issue. But the US has created a false and malicious narrative blaming other countries and the Hollywood has propagated this falsehood through films and the Netflix serial “Narcos”.

There is a flip side to the drug issue. The Latin American cartels have been empowered by illegally supplied American guns. US is the main source of illegal  guns to the cartels. Mexico has only two gun shops for the whole country. These are run by the Mexican military which has rigorous checking and control procedures. But there are nearly 10,000 (yes, Ten Thousand) American gun shops in the border with Mexico. About 200,000 American guns are supplied illegally to Mexico every year. These guns cause more Latin American deaths than the drugs in the US. While the drug is consumed by the user, the guns stay around for many years to kill lot of people. The Americans refuse to recognize this issue and do not take any action to stop the gun trafficking.

Simon Bolivar’s prophecy


Simon Bolivar, the Venezuelan independence hero and Liberator of South America, wrote in a private letter dated August 5, 1829, addressed to British diplomat Patrick Campbell, "The United States appear to be destined by providence to plague Latin America with misery in the name of liberty”.  Venezuela is the latest example of misery caused by US in the name of liberty. The Donroe Doctrine will cause only more misery to the Latin Americans in future.


The article was published by The Wire magazine on 12 January 2026


https://thewire.in/world/the-uss-magical-realism-show-in-venezuela




"The Tree Within: The Mexican Nobel Laureate writer Octavio Paz’s Years in India" - Book by Indranil Chakravarty

5 Dec 2025, 22:59 – Latin American Affairs

The Mexican writer Octavio Paz was the most prominent Latin American to understand, analyze, interpret and promote India intellectually and culturally  from a Latin American perspective in the twentieth century. He had first hand experience of India as a diplomat posted in New Delhi for seven years. He has written numerous poems and articles on India. His book "Vislumbres de la India" (In the light of India) is regarded as one of the best introductions to India among Latin American thinkers.  Some cultural visitors from the Spanish-speaking world travel around the country with Paz’s book as an ‘intimate guide’. They see India through his eyes, trying to grasp the immense complexity of India. 


Author Indranil Chakravarty has given a comprehensive account of Paz’s years in India and his writings on India. He has done extensive research including declassified diplomatic files and personal letters. He has interviewed many Indians and Latin Americans as well their offsprings and close associates who had interacted with Paz. With his knowledge of Latin America and Spanish literature as well as his fluency in Spanish language he has put Paz’s works on India in a larger perspective including in the context of Mexico’s cultural connections with India before Paz.



Paz’s first experience with India was negative. He was unhappy when he was posted as a junior diplomat in the newly opened Mexican embassy in Delhi in 1951. He was disappointed with the "atrocious and immense Indian reality” of the early fifties struggling with poverty and post-partition reconciliation. During this first stay for six months in India, he hardly made any friends, lived largely within the confines of his hotel, and did not like either Delhi or the people he met. Later, he reassessed his responses as partly a projection of his own unhappiness and partly the impact of deep-rooted Western prejudices he unconsciously carried within himself.


Delhi posting was a stark contrast to his colorful cultural life in Paris from where he was transferred to Delhi, against his will. At that time, Paz was enjoying his emergence as a budding celebrity poet in Paris where he was posted in the Mexican embassy. He did not want to leave his large circle of European and Latin American artists and writers in Paris. As a lowly diplomat in Delhi, Paz missed the Parisian charms and  excitement of conversations in its cafes. 


Later, Paz came to India as ambassador in 1962 and stayed in the post till 1968. As ambassador, Paz had a different and transforming experience. As ambassador he had privileged status and access as well as the facility to travel extensively. His relationships with figures such as Jawaharlal Nehru and Indira Gandhi allowed him to engage actively in the country’s political and cultural history. When Paz left India in1968, Indira Gandhi organised a party at her residence. Paz had forged lasting friendships with many of India's leading artists and writers. His large house in Prithviraj road became a meeting point for Indian artists, writers, and thinkers. He had invited Latin American visitors to stay in his house and took them around India. He got married under the neem tree of the house with Maria Jose, his second wife. 


Paz has repeatedly characterized his years in India as momentous: ‘It was a second birth’, a phrase that evokes the Hindu idea of dvija, the twice-born, suggesting an awakening of the self.  Paz has said, “ India has been my sentimental, artistic and spiritual education. Its influence can be seen in my poems, prose texts and in my life itself.”  His creative output during his second stay in India, between 1962 and 1968, was astounding. It was the most bountiful period of an unimaginably productive life. Paz has written poems on variety of Indian subjects such as Lodhi garden, Vrindavan, Madurai and painter Swaminathan.


Paz immersed himself in India’s contemplative traditions, history, philosophy, art and literature. He understood the complexity and contradictions of India based on his own analysis. This is evident from his statement: The centrifugal forces of India are old and powerful: they have not destroyed the country because, without intending to, they have neutralised one another. He referred to Varanasi as incarnating ‘the sacred in all its incredible banality’. He had discovered India through his Mexican eyes and perspectives. He found resonance in India as a spiritual home to his complex and labyrinthine Mexican identity. He said, “The strangeness of India brought to mind that other strangeness: my own country”. 


Paz’s experiences in India are palpable in two collections of poetry often considered among his finest, a genre-defying philosophical reflection on his journey through Rajasthan, two volumes of essays and a memoir, his final book written three decades after leaving India. Drawing parallels with his own country, Paz once said that he understood what it meant to be an Indian precisely because he was Mexican. He insisted that the country entered his life not merely through his intellect but viscerally, through all his senses. In India, where the erotic and the sacred blend in ecstatic union—unlike in the West, where the two are scrupulously kept apart—he saw the possibility of a new synthesis through the dissolution of dualities. Paz was under the spell of Buddhism more than anything else. He immersed himself in the works of the philosopher-poets Nagarjuna, Dharmakirti and Bhartrihari, bringing them within a comparative framework of reference that included the West and Mesoamerican cultures. 


Paz said, "East Slope” (Ladera Leste) was 'a response to the accidents, the circumstances, the stimuli of my life in India. Circumstances sometimes external, sometimes intimate. There are many poems with a loving, erotic tone; many others in which I talked about landscapes, monuments, gods. It can also be seen as a kind of discontinuous diary of a poet in India'.

Paz had planted ‘India’ in the minds of many Latin American artists and thinkers. His passion for India has left a certain impact on Spanish–American literature. His writings became a bridge between continents, blending Eastern and Western sensibilities in ways that enriched the literary landscapes of both. He hosted the visits of Latin American writers and artists such as Julio Cortázar  and the Mexican painter Rufino Tamayo. Cuban writer Severo Sarduy (1937–1993), one of the most outrageous and baroque of the Latin American ‘Boom’ writers of the sixties and seventies wrote, ‘Octavio Paz gave me India, the most extraordinary gift that anyone can give'. In their struggle for identity, the Latin Americans  often saw in the ‘Orient’ a reflection of their own selves waiting to be discovered and celebrated. 


Paz touched the lives of leading Indian artists, journalists and writers who visited Paz’s house often, sometimes uninvited and enjoyed Paz’s hospitality and intellectual and cultural conversations. As a junior diplomat in 1951, he had identified Satish Gujral’s artistic promise and selected him for a scholarship to Mexico, going against the decision of the other members of the selection committee. Paz shaped  Satish Gujral’s  development as an artist by inserting Gujral among the maestros of the Mexican mural movement. The influence of the Mexican mural movement on modern Indian art through Gujral would not have been possible without Octavio Paz’s decision to send him to Mexico. 


Paz took on the role of a mentor to some young Indian painters, helping them to get international scholarships and introducing them to leading European and Latin American artists. After his return to Mexico in 1971, Paz was delighted to receive Swaminathan, Krishen Khanna, Vivan Sundaram and Himmat Shah among other Indians at his home in Mexico City.

Why the title “ The Tree Within”?

In his poem Cuento de dos jardines (‘A Tale of Two Gardens’), Paz imagined his life as bookended by two gardens, primal in their association. One was the fig tree of his childhood home in Mexico whose branches seemed to reach out to him through the window; the other was a sumptuous and evergreen neem tree at his ambassadorial house in New Delhi under whose shadow he took his marital vows with the woman of his life.

The fig tree is native to India and is considered sacred. Buddha had attained enlightenment under this Bodhi tree,  Paz’s poetry is replete with arboreal references. He admired their silent tenacity, the pain of roots and broken limbs, their fierce stubbornness even as the storm threatens to uproot them. Even though trees are quiet and rooted, like ideas, they grow within. Here is Paz’s poem:

A tree grew inside my head, 
It grew inward. 
Its roots are veins, 
its branches nerves, 
thoughts its confused foliage. 
Your glances light it up 
and its fruits of shade 
are oranges of blood, 
are pomegranates of fire. 
                                             Day breaks 
in the night of the body. 
There, within, inside my head, 
the tree speaks. 
                          Come closer, do you hear it? 

There are already a number of articles and some publications on Paz’s passion for India. Indranil Chakravarti’s book is a valuable addition with new information and perspectives. The book has just been (31 October 2025) published and is available in Amazon.

Nicaragua, the “Republic of Poets” has become a “Republic of Clandestine Poets.”

14 Oct 2025, 07:11 – Latin American Affairs

 Nicaragua, the “Republic of Poets” has become a “Republic of Clandestine Poets.”

" There are poets and writers in every street of Nicaragua;  everybody is considered to be a poet until proved to the contrary¨- says Salman Rushdie in his book 'The jaguar smile',
The Sandinista revolution was a revolution of poets: Ernesto Cardenal, Mejía Godoy, Sergio Ramírez, Gioconda Belli, Daniel Ortega and Rosario Murillo. 

One of the martyred heroes of the Sandinista revolution is Leonel Rugama, the young poet who died in combat at the age of 20. His poem "The Earth is a satellite of the Moon " has been considered by critics as one of the most widely distributed poems in Latin American poetry. It was a poet, Rigoberto Lopez Perez, who assassinated the first Somoza, at a ball in 1956, and was himself beaten and shot to death on the dance floor.

Poetry writing, reading, and recitals are not restricted to the esoteric world of urban literary societies. Shopkeepers, farmers and common people write, read and enjoy poetry. The revolutionaries and common people find solace and expression in poetry for survival and inspiration during the volcanic eruptions of revolutions, war and struggles. When novelist and poet Sergio Ramirez returned from Spain after receiving the prestigious Cervantes literary prize, people lined the streets to cheer him as he rode from the Managua airport to his home.

Nicaraguan newspapers used to feature literary supplements filled with poems from both luminaries and unknowns. Leading poets could be spotted, like movie stars, in certain cafes in the cities. In the university town of Leon, busts of Nicaraguan poets and plaques with quotations from their work fill the “Park of Poets,” while the main street, Calle Ruben Dario, is named for the country’s preeminent poet. 

Ruben Dario, the poet and writer of Nicaragua is the most well-known in the world. He is considered as the father of the Modernist Movement in Spanish literature in the twentieth century. His book Azul (1888) is said to be the inaugural book of Hispanic-American modernism. He was a precocious poet and published his poem in a newspaper at the age of thirteen.

Dario is remembered for the following prophetic poem in which he anticipated US as an invader.

Eres los Estados Unidos,
eres el futuro invasor

You are the United States
you are the future invader

Nicaragua was one of the worst victims of US interventions. The US had occupied Nicaragua from 1912 to 1933 to protect American business interests. The US had supported and nurtured the Somoza dictatorship for four decades. Later, the US unleashed a deadly counter-revolutionary war to bleed the elected Sandinista government from 1979 to 1989 with mercenaries recruited from other Central American countries.

An American mercenary adventurer William Walker maneuvered to appoint himself as President of Nicaragua in 1856 and ruled for a year and even made English as the official language. Walker recruited about a thousand American and European mercenaries to invade the other four Central American nations: Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, and Costa Rica. This was supported by the American tycoon Cornelius Vanderbilt who had business interests in the region. Fortunately the invasion failed and Walker was later executed.

President Daniel Ortega is a poet, as is his wife, Rosario Murillo. When Ortega was a political prisoner from 1968 (at the age of 23) to 1974 during the dictatorship of Somoza, he wrote many poems, including the famous one titled “I never saw Managua when miniskirts were in fashion.” While in jail he received visits from Rosario Murillo, a poet. The prisoner and visitor fell in love; Murillo became Ortega's wife. She has published several books of poems. One of them is called as ¨Amar es combatir ¨- to love is to combat. 

After the overthrow of the Somoza dictatorship in 1979, the victorious Sandinistas named one of the country’s most famous poets, Ernesto Cardenal, as minister of culture. He brought poets to all corners of the country to teach people to read and write poetry at a time when Nicaragua suffered a 70 to 95 percent illiteracy rate. It is still possible in villages to find people who are unable to read or write but can recite Dario’s poetry by heart. Poetry was used as a tool for political literacy, consolidating the country as a "Republic of Poets.”

Some of the ministers in the initial years of President Ortega's cabinet were poets and writers. Notable among these is Sergio Ramirez, Gioconda Belli and Ernesto Cardinal. 

Since his reelection as President in 2007, Daniel Ortega has become authoritarian and has rigged the elections and the constitution to continue as president indefinitely. His wife Rosario Murillo has now become the Co-President after having been Vice-President for some years. The couple have betrayed the noble ideals of the Sandinista revolution and have created a corrupt family dictatorship, similiar to the Somoza dynastic dictatorship which had ruled for 42 years. Most of the writers and intellectuals who had nurtured the revolution eventually left the Sandinista party and started fighting against the dictatorial regime. They used poetry to fight back, just like they did during the revolutionary era against the Somoza dictatorship.  The Ortegas have suppressed dissent and persecuted poets, intellectuals and journalists besides political leaders who resisted their dictatorship. The regime has imprisoned or exiled some of the dissidents, stripped their citizenship and even seized their assets and houses. The regime has become harsher after the large scale public protests in 2018. Many exiled poets and writes live in Costa Rica and Spain. The exiled poets include Sergio Ramírez, Gioconda Belli and Freddy Quezada. The regime has shut down thousands of NGOs and independent media outlets, including PEN Nicaragua and the Nicaraguan Academy of Language. One of the hardest blows to Nicaraguan literary culture came in 2022 with the cancellation of the Granada International Poetry Festival, created in 2005, which once brought together more than 1,200 poets from 120 countries. The regime revoked the legal status of the NGO that funded it, leading to its cancellation.

While accepting the Cervantes Prize for literature in April 2018, Ramírez dedicated his award to the young people then protesting Ortega’s government and to the memory of Nicaraguans who had recently “been murdered on the streets after demanding justice and democracy.”

The Ortega-Murillo dictatorship has driven the poetry underground. The poets hide themselves and their poems from the repressive regime which has been ruthlessly censoring literature and news. The poets write clandestinely expressing their frustration and resistance. The "Republic of Poets" has now become the "Republic of Clandestine Poets". 

Crooked plow- Brazilian novel by Itamar Vieira Junior

25 Sep 2025, 01:59 – Latin American Affairs

Itamar Vieira is a young and upcoming Brazilian writer. Crooked Plow (Torto Arado) is his first novel. He has earlier written a short story collection.

Although Itamar Vieira is a new author, the theme and characters of his novel are familiar to me. They are similar to those of my favorite Brazilian writer Jorge Amado whose famous novels include titles such as “Dona Flor and her two husbands” and "Gabriela, Clove and Cinnamon”.


Crooked Plow is the story of struggle and misery of the subsistence farmers in the rural areas of Bahia, the northeastern part of Brazil, poor in development but rich in culture. The main characters are the seven and six years old sisters Bibiana and Belonisia.  They find a knife in the old suitcase of their grandmother. Bibiana puts the knife in her mouth trying to taste the glittering metal. Belonisia  pulls out the knife violently from her sister’s mouth in order to taste it herself. In this childish fight,  Bibiana loses her tongue while the other’s is hurt badly. After this, the sisters become the voice of each other with a muted bond. Here is how the author describes, "When they interacted, one of them would need to become more perceptive, read more attentively the sister’s eyes and gestures. They would become one. The sister who lent her voice studied the body language of the sister who was mute. The sister who was mute transmitted, through elaborate gestures and subtle movements, what she wanted to communicate. For this symbiosis to occur and endure, their differences had to be put aside. They devoted their time to gaining a new understanding of each other’s bodies. At first, it was hard for both, very hard—the constant repetition of words, picking up objects, pointing here and there so that one sister might grasp the other’s intention. As the years passed, this shared body language became an extension of their individual expressions until each of them almost became the other, but without losing herself. Sometimes one would get annoyed with the other, but the pressing need for one sister to communicate something, and for the other to translate it, made it so that they would both forget what had annoyed them in the first place”. The silenced sister symbolizes the voiceless poor Afro-Brazilians.

Later,  the sisters would fight with each other over a boyfriend. Bibiana used the same knife once to save a woman from her drunken husband and at another time to kill the owner of their estate who tries to evict the tenants and sell the land.

Itamar Vieira narrates in detail the struggles of the tenant farmers in the rural estates called as Fazendas in Portuguese.  "They could build houses of mud, but not brick, nothing enduring to mark how long a family had been on the land. They could cultivate a small plot of squashes, beans, and okra, but nothing that would distract them from the owner’s crops because, after all, working for the owner was what enabled them to live on this land. They could bring their women and children; the more the merrier, in fact, because eventually the children would grow up and replace whoever was too old to work. The owner of the plantation would have confidence in them, trust them; they’d be his godchildren. Money, there’d be none of that, but there’d be food on the table. The workers could make their home on the plantation with no problem, without being harassed. They just had to follow the rules”.

The tenant farmers are forced to buy necessities from the overpriced estate shop which make the tenants perpetually in debt. Their children join the workforce to pay off the debt. They are expected to be grateful to the estate owners for letting them a place to live. When a young rebellious farmer tries to ask for more rights he is killed by the hired assassins of the owner. The police close the case alleging falsely that the farmer was growing marijuana and got killed in a fight with drug traffickers.

The subsistent farmers would smile and some would even jump with joy when they noticed rain clouds finally looming, and from the land rose a freshness that farmers liked to call a bit of “luck.” They said you could dig a little into the dry mud and actually feel the moisture arriving, feel that the earth was a bit cooler, a sign the drought was coming to an end. The women would put empty buckets out to catch the rain. The plantation would resound with the old songs of the local women bringing their laundry down to the widening river or carrying their hoes to clear their small plots and do some slash-and-burn farming. The men could join the women only after they’d cleared the vast fields for planting the landowners’ crops.

The tongueless sister did not like the teaching in the new school opened in the estate. She preferred to "immerse herself in the woods, walking up and down the trails, learning all about herbs and roots. She learned about clouds, too, how they’d foretell rain, all the secret changes of sky and earth. She learned that everything is in motion—quite different from the lifeless things taught in school.  She walked with her father watching the movement of animals, insects, and plants. Her father couldn’t read or do sums, but he knew the phases of the moon. He knew that under a full moon you could plant almost anything, although manioc, banana, and other fruits liked to be sown under a new moon; under a waning moon, it wasn’t time for planting but for clearing the land. He knew that for a plant to grow strong, you needed to weed around each one every day, reducing the risk of pests. You had to be vigilant, protecting the stalks, making small mounds of soil and watering carefully so they’d flourish. Whenever he encountered some problem in the fields, he would lie on the ground, his ear attuned to what was deep in the earth, before deciding what tools to use and what to do, where to advance and where to retreat. Like a doctor listening to a heartbeat".

The father of the girls, Zeca Chapeu Grande, is a tenant farmer and a healer for the community. He would use local herbs to heal physical wounds and African ceremonies to heal the souls. Most of the people here are of African origin. They practice their ancient rituals and religious practices. They are used to seeing stoically their neighbors going mad, teenage girls getting pregnant by estate officials, drunken husbands beating up wife and kids, broken families, orphaned children and hopeless existence. Their precarious lives are made worse by periodic droughts, floods and natural calamities. During these times, they survive by faith in their African gods and rituals, and offerings to please them. They would mix up their African gods and rituals sometimes with the Christian faith imposed by the Catholic Church. 

This novel has won several literary prizes and was shortlisted for 2024 International Booker prize. In an interview, the author says, “ For me, to write is an experience of surprise. I never know in advance the path my story will take”. He is already into writing of his next novel.

The novel is available in English translation.

"Small Earthquakes: A Journey Through Lost British History in South America” - book by Shafik Meghji

20 Sep 2025, 03:39 – Latin American Affairs

While the Spanish and Portuguese colonized Latin America, the British have played a significant role in slavery, wars of independence, politics, lending, investment, railways and football in the region. These have been brought out by the author of the book who has done extensive research and travelled through the South American countries which had been impacted by the British. 

Under the 1713 Treaty of Utrecht, Spain granted Britain a license to transport African slaves to its Latin American colonies. The London-based South Sea Company bought the contract from the British government for £9.5 million. Under the agreement, the firm could transport 4,800 enslaved Africans a year for the next three decades to Latin American ports. Working with the Royal African Company and protected by the Royal Navy, the South Sea Company trafficked about 42,000 Africans—7,000 of whom died en route.

The defeat of Napoleon at Waterloo in 1815 left Britain awash with unemployed soldiers—as many as half a million, according to some estimates. Thousands of them decided to fight for the aspirant nations in Spanish-controlled South America. Many were simply mercenaries; others sought adventure or a sense of purpose; and some regarded themselves as freedom fighters. In 1817, a representative of Simón Bolívar, known as the Liberator of South America "(El Libertador) visited London on a recruitment drive. Over the following two years, more than 6,000 men sailed from Britain to fight in Bolivar’s army. They carried supplies of arms and military equipment provided on credit by British merchants.

Bernardo O’Higgins, the Chilean independence leader and the first Head of State, was of Irish origin from his father’s side. He had studied in London and wanted “to make Chile the England of South America”, and he advocated English and Irish immigration as the best guarantee of progressive political institutions in South America.’ O’Higgins championed the adoption of a British-style constitutional system but was ousted in 1823, after a controversial £1 million loan he secured from the British government that came—predictably enough—with decidedly unfavourable repayment terms. He set sail from Valparaíso on a British ship, spending the rest of his days in exile in Peru.

Admiral Thomas was a British naval officer who  accepted the invitation to found Chile’s first navy and command it against Spanish forces. The nascent Chilean fleet was modelled on the Royal Navy and heavily staffed with British officers and sailors. 

Officially, Britain was neutral during the wars of independence but nevertheless sought to prevent other European nations from militarily aiding Spain. The British government was quick to recognise the independence of the new nations and signed commercial treaties with them to advance British business interests. 

In the 1850s, the British South American missionary society set up the first European settlement in Ushuaia to convert the local Yagan tribes into christianity. They had even brought some young members of the tribe to England to teach them English and the local culture and sent them back to their tribes to spread their new faith. The missionaries studied local languages and published dictionaries and books. The Argentine naval ships came much later to Ushuaia in 1884 to claim the region as part of their country.

In the 1880s, Argentina attracted 40–50 per cent of British foreign investment, most of which went into railways, ports, utilities, meat packing and trading. Between 1857 and 1920, more than 60,000 people from Britain came to Argentina. By the 1910s, British railway firms dominated the sector and were among the most valuable companies in Argentina. Opening in 1915, Retiro station in Buenos Aires city was once the hub of the biggest railway network in South America, extending across more than 27,000 miles of track at its peak in the 1940s. The Anglo-Argentine Tramways company built in 1913 Subte, the oldest underground railway in Latin America in Buenos Aires city. But many Argentines regarded railway companies as agents of imperialism and believed the country was being drawn into Britain’s ‘informal empire’. 

The first overseas branch of Harrods opened in Buenos Aires in 1914 and once virtually spanned an entire block. It was subsequently sold to a local retailer but retained the iconic name;  It closed in 1998, blighted by debts. Despite various attempts to re-open it over the years since, and the occasional temporary exhibition, it remains closed and near derelict. 

The British firm Barings gave an exploitative £1 million loan in 1824 to the government in Buenos Aires to operate the city’s water and sewage system, which was originally designed by engineers from Ireland and Britain. The company was later criticized for political and economic meddling, scheming to topple governors and even promoting the 1864–70 War of the Triple Alliance, a devastating conflict between Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay on one side and Paraguay on the other.

Alexander Watson Hutton, brought over the first footballs to Argentina, created the country’s first football pitch and encouraged his pupils to play the game. In 1893, he founded the Argentine Football Association (AFA), one of the oldest in the world outside of the UK. Hutton is called as the father of Argentine football. Many of the early players were British and the country's numerous clubs that exist today had British or Anglo-Argentine founder. The British also introduced Polo, Rugby and even cricket in Argentina.

Today, around 50,000 to 70,000 people in Chubut province of Argentina, have Welsh heritage. As many as 6,000 of these speak the Welsh language.

British banks had partly financed the independence wars of Peru, Bolivia and Chile. Later, the banks used these debts to help British companies to take over local business including nitrate mines and guano trading. The British companies and government had roles in the Pacific war in which Chile grabbed large territories of Bolivia and Peru. This benefitted British robber-baron firms such as Antony Gibbs & Sons, which dominated the nitrate industry for the next forty years.

When the Chilean President José Manuel Balmaceda nationalized the concessions of Liverpool Nitrate Company ( owned by John Thomas North), the British government, along with the British companies intervened and incited a civil war in 1891. The president committed suicide after he was overthrown.

In his epic poetry collection Canto General, Neruda wrote about North, the ‘powerful gringo’, and his dealings with Balmaceda:
The smooth sterling pounds
weave like golden spiders
an English cloth, legitimate,
for my people, a suit tailored
with blood, gunpowder and misery.

Atacama in Chile was one of the most valuable places on earth because of nitrate which accounted for as much as 80 per cent of Chile’s exports. But while the world war prompted a short-term profit surge, it also triggered the collapse of the industry. Germany’s nitrate supplies were cut-off by a British-led blockade during the conflict, which forced the country to seek out alternatives. German Chemists Fritz Haber and Carl Bosch subsequently developed an industrial process that combined nitrogen in the air with hydrogen to produce ammonia, launching the era of artificial fertilisers. After the war, this method proved to be a cheaper and quicker way to supply farmers and arms manufacturers in Europe. This ended the nitrate fortunes of Atacama.  

In 1973, the Conservative government of Edward Heath welcomed the Pinochet coup, with Foreign Secretary Alec Douglas-Home writing: ‘For British interests … there is no doubt that Chile under the junta is a better prospect than Allende’s chaotic road to socialism, our investments should do better, our loans may be successfully rescheduled, and export credits later resumed.’ Pinochet became a close ally of Margaret Thatcher, allowing a British surveillance team to use a Chilean military base in Punta Arenas to monitor Argentine air force operations during the Falklands War while also supplying crucial intelligence reports.

Britain had played a crucial role in the creation of an independent Uruguay in 1828. Britain was eager to create a buffer state between the two large warring nations of Brazil and Argentina in order to boost free trade, which, of course, would benefit Britain above all. A British envoy Lord Ponsonby, brokered the peace deal. 

The British moved quickly into the independent Uruguay with lending and investment in railways, meat industry and trading. The British also introduced football in Uruguay.




The Marxist school of Dependency Theory - An interview with Professor Jaime Osorio

13 Dec 2022, 22:45 – Latin American Perspectives

 By Hilary Goodfriend- Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of California Riverside Latino and Latin American Studies Research Center

When neoliberalism began its bloody march across Latin America, its advocates insisted that the sacrifices of human labor and civil rights that tended to accompany its implementation would be compensated by an eventual global convergence that would free the region from underdevelopment. Deregulation, privatization, and free trade, they said, would eventually close the gap between the decolonized world and their former metropolitan centers.

Our present, however, is one of spiraling crises. Since the financial crash of 2008, the economic crisis converges with ecological collapse and the exhaustion of liberal democratic forms, reaching civilizational dimensions. In this context, the pandemic laid bare how, instead of disappearing, the divide between the center and periphery of the world system is as sharp and as meaningful as ever. 

With neoliberal hegemony fractured, other ways of thinking and practicing politics have reemerged from their intellectual exiles. Among these, dependency theory stands out as an original and revolutionary contribution of Latin American critical thought, offering tools for understanding uneven capitalist development and imperialism both historically and today. For an introduction to this unique framework, we turn to Dr. Jaime Osorio. 

When a military coup d’état in Chile overthrew the democratically elected government of Salvador Allende on September 11, 1973, Osorio had already been accepted to begin his doctoral studies at the University of Chile’s Center for Socio-Economic Studies (CESO, in Spanish). The dictatorship’s advance brought him instead to Mexico, where today he ranks as Distinguished Professor at the Autonomous Metropolitan University (UAM) in Xochimilico and as Researcher Emeritus by the National Council of Science and Technology (CONACYT). He is the author of many books, including Fundamentos del análsis social. La realidad social y su conocimiento and Sistema mundial. Intercambio Desigual y renta de la tierra. 

In this interview, Osorio speaks with Jacobin contributing editor Hilary Goodfriend about the Marxist school of dependency theory, its origins and principles, and its present-day applications.  


Dependency theory and its Marxist strain emerged from debates and dialogues about development, underdevelopment, and imperialism in the context of decolonization and the national liberation struggles of the twentieth century. What were the main positions and strategies in dispute, and how did Marxist dependency theorists position themselves in these arguments?

At the theoretical level, Marxist dependency theory [TMD, in Spanish] is the result of the Cuban Revolution’s victory in 1959. Latin American Marxism was moved by the island’s gesture. All the main theses about the nature of Latin American societies and the character of revolution came into question. 

A little over a decade after that event, which sharpened the debates, TMD reached maturity. In those years, some of the proposals that fed theories of dependency emphasized the role of trade relations, such as the “deterioration of the terms of trade” thesis put forward by the [Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean] CEPAL, which referred to the cheapening of primary goods against the rising prices of industrial products in the world market.

Orthodox Marxists highlighted the presence of internal “obstacles” that impeded development, like idle terrain in the hands of landowners, which also blocked the expansion of wage relations. Generally, in these proposals, capitalism wasn’t to blame. In fact, it was necessary to accelerate its spread so that its inherent contradictions would heighten. Only then could a socialist revolution be proposed, according to this stage-based perspective prevalent in the Communist Parties.

For the Cepalinos, their horizon was achieving advanced capitalism, which would be possible by means of a process of industrialization. This would allow the region to cease exporting primary goods and food products and importing secondary goods, which would now be produced internally, sparking technological development and stemming the outflow of resources. 

In both proposals, the industrial bourgeoisie had a positive role to play, be it in the medium or long term.

For Marxist dependency theory, the region’s so-called economic “backwardness” was a result of the formation and expansion of the capitalist world system, whose course produced development and underdevelopment simultaneously. Therefore, these divergent economic histories are not independent processes, nor are they connected tangentially. From this perspective, the fundamental theoretical and historical problem required explaining the processes that generated both development and underdevelopment in the same movement. 

This problem demanded, furthermore, a response that accounted for how this process is reproduced over time since civilization and barbarism are constantly made anew by the world system. 


Many of the acclaimed Marxist dependency theorists—Ruy Mauro Marini, Theotonio Dos Santos, Vania Bambirra—share a trajectory of flight from South American dictatorships and exile in Mexico. You were also subject to this forced displacement. How did these experiences of revolution and counterrevolution influence the construction of TMD?

Four names stand out in the development of TMD: André Gunder Fank, Theotonio Dos Santos, Vania Vambirra, and Ruy Mauro Marini. The first was a German-U.S. economist and the other three Brazilians, who shared readings and discussions in Brazil before the 1964 coup in that country. Subsequently, they found each other in Chile in the late 1960s in the Center for Socio-Economic Studies, until the military coup of 1973. During this period—at least in the case of the Brazilians—they produced their principals works with regards to TMD. I had the fortune of meeting and working with Marini in Mexico in the mid-1970s, before his return to Brazil. 

TMD offers no concessions to the local ruling classes, holding them responsible for the prevailing conditions in which they manage to reap enormous profits in collusion with international capitals, despite [international] value transfers. For this reason, it was hard for these theorists to find spaces for their knowledge in the academic world.

The 1973 military coup in Chile meant that the principal creators of TMD appeared on the search lists of the military forces and their intelligence apparatus. And this coup in Chile, which was preceded by the coup in Brazil in 1964, was followed by many more in the Southern part of the continent, which dispersed and disbanded working groups and closed important spaces in those societies. 

At the same time, this long counterrevolutionary phase, which was not limited to military governments, favored sweeping transformations in the social sciences, where neoliberal theories and methodological individualism came to reign supreme. TMD emerged in an exceptional period of recent history. However, subsequently and in general—saving certain moments and countries in the region—ideal conditions for its development and dissemination have not existed.


In his classic work, The Dialectics of Dependency, Marini defines dependency as a “relation of subordination between formally independent nations, in whose framework the relations of production of the subordinate nation are modified or recreated in order to ensure the expanded production of dependency.” What are the mechanisms of this expanded production, and how have they changed since Marini formulated his proposal in the 1970s?

When we talk about the processes generated by dependent capitalism, the “dependent” qualifier isn’t redundant. We’re talking about another way of being capitalist. That is to say that in the world system, diverse forms of capitalism coexist and are integrated, and they feed off each other and deepen their particular forms within the global unity of capital. 

The heterogeneity of the system can be explained, then, not by the backwardness of some economies, not as prior states [of development], not as deficiencies.  Each constitutes its full, mature form of capitalism possible in this system. 

In this way, with the stroke of a pen, TMD destroyed the hopes of the developmentalists, who supposed that the dependent economies could achieve higher states of welfare and development within this order constituted by capital. For them, it was just a matter of taking advantage of windows that regularly open. There is nothing in the prevailing dynamic to suggest that things are moving in that direction. To the contrary, what is produced and continues to emerge is the “development of underdevelopment,” so long as capitalist social relations prevail. 

The gap between underdeveloped and developed capitalism, or between imperialist and dependent capitalism is ever widening. Dependency deepens and more acute modalities are generated. In a world in which digital capitalism is gaining ground—the internet of things, artificial intelligence, robotics, as an example—this isn’t hard to understand. 

Experiences like that of South Korea can’t be repeated at will. They are, instead, exceptions to the rule. Why did the IMF cut off and suffocate the Argentine economy and not extend its hand like imperialist capital did for South Korea after the 1952 war on the peninsula? It was the latter’s exceptional position in a strategic space, which was disrupted by the triumph of Mao’s revolution in China and the need to construct a barrier to prevent the expansion of socialism in Korea, that turned on the faucet of enormous resources, at least for Japan and the United States, and put blinders on those defenders of democracy and the free market when South Korea was governed by a succession of military dictatorships that ferociously applied state intervention, not the free market, to define plans and programs to define priorities for investment and loans. 

Today, all a government in the dependent world has to do is establish some rules for foreign capital, and the whole clamor and propaganda of transnational media demand that communism be stopped, impeding international loans, blocking access to markets, and seeking to suffocate those alleged subversives. 


The concept of superexploitation as a mechanism by which dependent capitalists compensate for their subordinate insertion in the international division of labor is perhaps Marini’s most original and polemic proposal. Some Marxists, for example, protest the possibility of the systematic violation of the law of value. This is a theme that you take up in your debate with the Argentinian researcher Claudio Katz. How do you define superexploitation, and why, or in what terms, do you defend its validity today?

With Marini’s short book, The Dialectics of Dependency, whose central body was written in 1972 and would be published in 1973, TMD reaches its point of greatest maturity. We can synthesize the nucleus of Marini’s thesis in the question: How is the reproduction of a capitalism that regularly transfers value to imperialist economies possible?

It’s possible because in dependent capitalism, a particular form of exploitation is imposed which means that capital isn’t just appropriating surplus value, but also part of workers’ consumption fund, which ought to correspond to their salaries, in order to transfer it to their accumulation fund. That’s what the category of superexploitation accounts for. If all capital eventually ends up being unpaid labor, in dependent capitalism, all capital is unpaid labor and the appropriated life fund [of the working class].

Marini’s response is theoretically and politically brilliant, because it allows us to explain the reasons for the multiplication of misery and the devastation of the workers in the dependent world, but also the reasons for which capital is unable to establish stable forms of domination in these regions, regularly expelling huge contingents of workers from its civilizational promises, thrusting them into barbarism and converting them into contingents that resist, revolt, and rise up against the projects of the powerful. 

Superexploitation has consequences at all levels of Latin American societies. For now, we can emphasize that it accompanies the formation of economies oriented to foreign markets. Following the processes of independence in the nineteenth century, and under the guidance of local capitals, the region’s economies advanced on the basis of exports, initially of primary materials and foodstuffs, to which we can add, recently, the production and assembly of luxury industrial goods like cars, televisions, state-of-the-art cell phones—products equally distant from the general consumption needs of most of the working population. This is compatible with the dominant modality of exploitation, which seriously impacts salaries, reducing workers’ consumption power and reducing their participation in the formation of a dynamic internal market. 

It’s relevant here to consider a significant difference with capitalism in the developed world. There, as capitalism advanced in the nineteenth century, it faced the dilemma that in order to keep expanding, which implied the multiplication of the mass of goods and products, it would need to incorporate workers into consumption. That was achieved by paying salaries with the purchasing power for basic goods such as clothing, shoes, utensils, and home furnishings. This balance was accomplished by introducing improved production techniques, which reduced the pressure to extend the working day by multiplying the mass of products thrown into the market. From there, we can understand the weight of relative surplus value in developed capitalism. 

But in Latin America, things worked differently. Nineteenth-century capitalism didn’t see the need to create markets, because they had been available since the colonial period in the imperialist centers. In addition, English capitalism’s takeoff increased the demand for primary materials and foodstuffs. For this reason, there wasn’t any hurry to change the kind of use values and products put on the market. They continued to be foodstuffs and primary goods. In this way, the emergent capitalism in our region was under no pressure to do something qualitatively different. The mass of salaried laborers expanded, but they don’t comprise the principal demand for the goods being produced, which was in Europe, the United States, and Asia.  

Through their insertion in the world market and when it comes time to sell products, Latin American economies transfer value [abroad] for the simple reason that the capitals that operate here have lower compositions and productivities than the capitals in economies that spend more on new machinery, equipment, and technology, allowing them greater productivity and the ability to appropriate value created in other parts of the world. This process is called unequal exchange. 

It's important to note that unequal exchange occurs in the market, at the moment of the purchase and sale of commodities. Apart from their low organic composition, this concept doesn’t tell us much about how these commodities were produced, and above all, what allows for a capitalist process to be reproduced over time in such conditions. That’s where super-exploitation comes in. 

That is the secret that makes dependent capitalism viable. And this calls all the more attention to the errors of people like Claudio Katz, who have formulated proposals that try to eliminate this concept and do so, furthermore, with grotesque arguments, like that Marx never mentioned it in Capital – he refers to [superexploitaiton] many times, in a variety of ways – because that would imply a dilution or a direct attack on his theoretical proposition since capitalism can’t annihilate its workforce. 

I’m not going to repeat those debates with Katz. I will simply reiterate that Marx’s Capital is a book that is central to the study of capitalism and its contradictions. But no one can claim that it accounts for everything, or that capitalism, in its spread over time, can’t exhibit theoretical or historical novelties of any kind. That is a religious reading, but Capital is not a sacred text. Such a position, furthermore, is an attack on a central dimension of Marxism as a theory able to explain not only what has existed, but also that which is new. For this reason, the only orthodoxy Marxism can claim is its mode of reflection.


It's also argued that the spread of superexploitation to the central economies following globalized neoliberal restructuring invalidates its character as a process unique to dependent capitalism. 

Superexploitation can be present anywhere that capital operates, be that in the developed or underdeveloped world, just like forms of relative surplus value and absolute surplus value. Of course, there is superexploitation in Brazil and Guatemala, just as there is in Germany and South Korea. 

But that’s not the problem. What’s relevant is to elucidate the weight of these forms of exploitation, which can be present in any capitalist space, in capital’s reproduction. So the central issue is different, and so are the economic, social, and political consequences. 

Setting aside periods of crisis, when the most brutal forms of exploitation can be exacerbated everywhere, can capitalism operate in the medium and long term without a market that generates salaries, or with extremely low salaries? Something like if, in Germany, the average salary of the Armenians and Turks was generalized for the entire working population, or if the salaries of Mexican and Central American workers in the United States were predominant there. I don’t think so. 


Finally, what tools or perspectives does Marxist dependency theory offer us in the face of today’s crises?

In its eagerness to deal with the acute and prolonged capitalist crisis, capital in every region seeks to accentuate forms of exploitation, including superexploitation. It seeks, once again, to reduce rights and benefits. With the war in Ukraine, it has found a good excuse to justify the increase in the price of food, housing, and energy, and its shameless return to the use of fuels that intensify pollution and environmental barbarism, as well as the increase in military budgets at the expense of wages and jobs. 

The great imperial powers expect the subordination of economies and states to their decisions in periods of this sort. But the current crisis is also accelerating the crisis of hegemony in the world system, which opens spaces for greater degrees of autonomy—which does not put an end to dependency. This is evident in Washington’s difficulties with disciplining the Latin American and African states to support their position in the conflict in Europe. 

The scenario in Latin America over the last few decades reveals processes of enormous interest. We have witnessed significant popular mobilization in almost every country in the region, questioning various aspects of the neoliberal tsunami, be it jobs, salaries, retirements, healthcare and education, as well as rights like abortion, recognition of gender identities, lands, water, and much more. 

On this deeply fractured terrain that capital generates in the dependent world, class disputes tend to intensify. This explains the regular social and political outbursts in our societies. It’s the result of the barbarity that capitalism imposes on regions like ours. 

One expression of this social force is manifested in the electoral terrain. But just as quickly as there have been victories, there have been defeats. These comings and goings can be naturalized, but why haven’t the victories allowed for lasting processes of change? 

Of course, this is not to deny that there have been violent coups of a new sort that have managed to unseat governments. But even then, there were already signs of exhaustion that limited the protests, with the clear exception of Bolivia. There is an enormous gap between the leftist voter and the person who occasionally votes for left projects. The neoliberal triumph was not only in the economic policies and transformations it achieved, but also in its installment of a vision and interpretation of the world, its problems, and its solutions.

The struggle against neoliberalism today involves dismantling privatization of every kind and putting a stop to the conversion of social services and policies into private businesses. That means taking on the most economic and politically powerful sectors of capital, with control over state institutions where legislators, judges, and military members operate, together with the main media, schools, and churches. We can add that these are the sectors of capital with the strongest ties to imperialist capitals and their assemblage of supranational institutions, media, and states. 

It's a powerful social bloc. It’s hard to think about attacking it without having to attack capitalism itself.  




Chile: ensaio sobre uma derrota histórica

18 Nov 2022, 23:43 – Latin American Perspectives

 

Por Joana Salém Vasconcelos, editora do LAP1

Publicado em Revista Rosa, Vol. 6, No. 1 Septembro 2022. 



“Me inquieta o final desta luta: quem serão os ganhadores e quem serão os perdedores?”
— Patricio Guzman, Mi país imaginário (documentário)

No dia 4 de setembro de 1970, o povo chileno foi às urnas para eleger Salvador Allende presidente da República. A vitória do socialista foi apertada, mas ainda assim referendada pelo Congresso, apesar das tentativas de golpe que já rondavam. Mil dias depois da sua posse, numa terça-feira, 11 de setembro de 1973, o presidente Allende despertou apreensivo com os rumores de traição militar, mas ainda assim determinado a um objetivo: anunciar um plebiscito popular sobre a necessidade de uma Nova Constituição, que superasse os limites da carta vigente desde 1925. Esta, por sua vez, havia sido escrita por uma cúpula de supostos “especialistas” no governo de Arturo Alessandri, latifundiário conhecido como “el León de Tarapacá”. A velha Constituição bloqueava o programa revolucionário da Unidade Popular, ao assegurar os privilégios e poderes da classe proprietária. E Allende era, como se sabe, um sério respeitador das leis.


Foi para evitar que Allende convocasse o plebiscito popular para uma Nova Constituição (análogo ao que os chilenos de hoje chamaram de “plebiscito de entrada”) que os comandantes militares anteciparam o golpe de 1973, ordenando o bombardeio ao Palácio de La Moneda dois dias antes do planejado. Foram informados das intenções presidenciais por Pinochet, chefe das Forças Armadas para quem, no domingo anterior, Allende havia confidenciado o anúncio do plebiscito em uma conversa privada na chácara de El Cañaveral.2


O plebiscito da Nova Constituição nunca foi anunciado. Allende morreu, a Unidade Popular foi massacrada. E a ideia allendista de um itinerário popular constituinte foi soterrada pela repressão. A isso seguiu-se a ditadura com quase 4 mil chilenos mortos e desaparecidos, com 38 mil presos e torturados e também com a constituição de 1980, escrita por Jaime Guzmán, Sérgio de Castro e outros homens da elite ditatorial. A carta teve a habilidade de projetar o “pinochetismo sem Pinochet”, fundando o Estado subsidiário e sua blindagem neoliberal que, por sua vez, foi perpetuada pelo pacto transicional de 1989, avançando por 30 anos de democracia. As décadas de 2000 e 2010 foram de crescente luta social contra a constituição pinochetista - culminando com a revolta de 2019 e o tardio colapso total da sua legitimidade.


Retomar esse percurso é importante para que se possa dimensionar o impacto histórico e simbólico do plebiscito de saída da Nova Constituição chilena ocorrido em 4 de setembro de 2022, cuja ampla escolha pelo rechazo ainda causa perplexidade e tristeza no movimento apruebista. Era enorme a carga de simbolismo histórico presente nesse plebiscito, a começar pela sua data: o atual itinerário constituinte estava desenhado para exorcizar Pinochet no aniversário de 52 anos do triunfo eleitoral de Allende. 


Se supunha que a Nova Constituição (NC), escrita de junho de 2021 a junho de 2022, era a mais genuína representação dos anseios populares, a primeira a escutar verdadeiramente as profundas demandas sociais desde o bombardeio de 11 de setembro. Mas não era. Dessa vez não foi um golpe militar que derrotou o horizonte de igualdade, diversidade, solidariedade e justiça plasmadas na nova carta, mas sim o próprio voto popular, em um enredo que, por isso mesmo, ganhou ares trágicos. Afinal, foi justamente aquele povo excluído e esquecido, invisibilizado e maltratado pelo Estado/mercado, o povo que a Convenção Constitucional acreditava representar de maneira profunda e inédita, que manifestou seu desagravo e gerou uma crise de legitimidade dos mecanismos democráticos mais inovadores do nosso continente. 


Como explicar a crise de representatividade do organismo supostamente mais representativo da história chilena?


Voto popular contra a Nova Constituição por classe e território


A Nova Constituição chilena foi escrita por uma Convenção Constitucional (CC) eleita em maio de 2021, com voto facultativo de 6,1 milhões de eleitores (41% de participação). De maneira inédita, a CC foi composta por 50% de mulheres (lei 21.216)3 e 11% de povos indígenas (lei 21.298)4, e elegeu 32% de convencionales independentes,5 sendo considerada um organismo da mais alta representatividade popular. Apesar do polêmico quórum de ⅔ para aprovação das normas constitucionais e da tensão constante entre movimentos populares e instituições, a crítica avassaladora que a revolta de 2019 produziu às classes políticas tradicionais se materializou em um organismo constitucional com rostos novos, formado por dezenas de “pessoas comuns”, ativistas e lideranças populares. A CC mostrou a possibilidade de alteração rápida e radical da casta política, ao ser muito diversa do congresso nacional e dos profissionais de partidos que comandaram o “duopólio” das três décadas de democracia no Chile. 


O resultado foi um texto constitucional atrelado às lutas dos movimentos sociais e aos valores da solidariedade social opostos ao neoliberalismo, um dos documentos mais avançados em direitos sociais e promoção da diversidade dos nossos tempos. 


Em poucas palavras, eu diria que cinco eixos caracterizavam a Nova Constituição chilena como uma das mais progressistas do mundo: 

  1. A plurinacionalidade intercultural, a representatividade política e o direito à autodeterminação dos povos indígenas, preservando-se a unidade do Estado chileno, conceito inspirado pelo novo constitucionalismo latino-americano inaugurado por Equador (2007) e Bolívia (2009); 

  2. Os direitos da natureza e os freios à sua mercantilização, recuperando por exemplo o direito universal de acesso à água e suplantando o Código de Águas da ditadura, sendo a primeira constituição do mundo a reconhecer a crise climática como emergência global e nacional; 

  3. Os direitos sociais de caráter universal, como a educação gratuita, a saúde pública integral, a aposentadoria solidária, pública e tripartite, a moradia e o trabalho dignos (incluindo o direito universal à greve inexistente hoje), bem como o direito à cultura, ao esporte, a ciência e ao tempo livre; 

  4. Os direitos reprodutivos, econômicos e políticos das mulheres em sentido transversal, assegurando reconhecimento da economia do cuidado e do trabalho doméstico, o combate à violência de gênero e a paridade em todos os organismos oficiais, bem como uma perspectiva feminista no sistema de justiça e uma educação não sexista; 

  5. A descentralização do Estado como forma de aprofundar a democracia, garantindo maior orçamento e atribuições às comunas, províncias e regiões, bem como criando organismos de poder popular vinculantes na formulação de políticas públicas locais e nacionais.


Apesar da NC responder à maioria das demandas populares levantadas na revolta de 2019 e nas mobilizações das décadas anteriores, algo na Convenção Constitucional falhou para que o resultado desse grande esforço tenha sido tão amplamente derrotado. Se por um lado foi evidente o peso das fake news e o volumoso aporte financeiro das elites chilenas na campanha do Rechazo, que recebeu quatro vezes mais dinheiro que a campanha do Apruebo,6 também é importante reconhecer que havia pontos cegos e fraturas na comunicação entre representantes constituintes e as maiorias chilenas. Do contrário, a campanha de desinformação das direitas contra a nova carta não encontraria terreno tão fértil para se disseminar e prosperar. 


Chegou-se ao seguinte paradoxo: o voto popular matou o projeto político mais democrático da história do Chile. O mesmo voto popular que desbancou as elites políticas tradicionais, rejeitou o suposto “amadorismo” dos convencionales, e com isso entregou o bastão da condução política constituinte novamente para o congresso. 


O voto obrigatório no plebiscito de saída foi certamente um dos principais fatores para essa guinada. Diferentemente do plebiscito de entrada em outubro de 2020, com voto facultativo de 7,5 milhões de chilenos (50% de participação); da eleição dos convencionales em maio de 2021, com voto facultativo de 6,1 milhões de chilenos (41%); e do 2o turno das eleições presidenciais que deram vitória à coligação “Apruebo Dignidad” com voto facultativo de 8,3 milhões de chilenos (55,7%), o plebiscito de saída teve voto obrigatório com multa de 180 mil pesos (aproximadamente mil reais) para quem não comparecesse às urnas. A obrigatoriedade punitiva do voto com essa altíssima multa, em um contexto de desemprego, inflação e carestia, deu origem a uma mudança de perfil do eleitor que escapou à percepção dos apruebistas. Além de inédita, a participação de 13 milhões de chilenos (86%) no plebiscito de saída forçou a manifestação de mais de 5 milhões de absenteístas históricos, possivelmente o setor menos interessado em política da sociedade e os mais ausentes nas eleições da última década. Não é nada desprezível o fato de que o plebiscito de saída tenha contado com mais que o dobro (216%) do total de votantes das eleições para os representantes convencionales.


Este é um dos elementos explicativos mais importantes de tamanha quebra de expectativas e da guinada política entre eleições tão próximas. A NC foi rechaçada por 7,8 milhões de chilenos (61,8%) contra 4,8 milhões de apruebistas (38,1%). Os votos contrários de Rechazo no plebiscito, sozinhos, somaram mais do que o total de votantes no pleito que elegeu os convencionales. Em números absolutos, o quórum de 4 de setembro de 2022 foi o maior de toda a história chilena. 


Tais números absolutos devem nos conduzir a uma análise dos votos por classes sociais e territórios, como alertou o historiador Sérgio Grez.7 Ao segmentar o total de comunas em quatro estratos de renda, o quintil que reúne as comunas mais pobres do país apresentou uma média de 75% rechazo, expressivamente maior que o resultado nacional. As comunas com renda média-baixa rechaçaram o texto em 71%; as média-altas o rechaçaram em 64%; e o quintil de maior renda o rechaçou em 60%. Quanto mais pobres as comunas, mais avassalador foi o rechaço. 


Em Colchane, por exemplo, a comuna de Tarapacá com mais altos índices de pobreza (24%)8 e que enfrentou a fase mais aguda da crise migratória do Norte, o rechaço obteve 94%. Ao mesmo tempo, províncias com maiores índices de população indígena também demonstraram altos níveis de rechaço, ao contrário do que se poderia imaginar. Foram as regiões de fronteira indígena - Ñuble (74%), Araucanía (73%), Maule (71%) e Biobio (69%)9 - que obtiveram os maiores níveis de rechaço em comparação à média nacional. Já as regiões com maior aceitação da NC - a Região Metropolitana (RM) e Valparaíso -, ainda assim experimentaram a derrota do texto, com respectivamente 55% e 57% de rechazo. Em termos nacionais, o Apruebo só obteve maioria em 8 de 346 comunas do país, sendo 5 em Valparaíso e 3 na RM.10 Entre elas, não está a comuna de Recoleta, na RM, governada desde 2012 pelo prefeito comunista Daniel Jadue, principal rival de Boric na coligação Apruebo Dignidad. A Recoleta foi palco de experimentos importantes do PC governo, como a universidade popular, as livrarias populares e as farmácias populares, reunindo habitantes  santiaguinos simpáticos à esquerda e entusiastas de Jadue. Seus votos do plebiscito, porém, resultaram em inexplicáveis 51,9% pelo Rechazo.


Além disso, como alertou Igor Donoso, nas comunas que “os ambientalistas denominaram zonas de sacrifício”11 por vivenciarem atividades de extrativismo e conflito socioambiental, o rechaço foi amplamente vitorioso, a despeito das diretrizes ecológicas da NC que asseguravam os direitos das populações dos territórios de mineração, pesca industrial, monoculturas florestais e outras atividades predatórias. Nestas “zonas de sacrifício”, Donoso menciona o triunfo do rechazo em La Ligua (58,93%), Quintero (58,11%), Los Vilos (56,93%), Puchuncaví (56,11%), Petorca (56,11%), Villa Alemana (57,82%) e Freirina (55,54%). Nas cidades mineiras afetadas pelo extrativismo e suas contaminações, o rechaço também venceu amplamente, como em Calama (70,64%) e Rancagua (60,63%).


Emblemática dessa contradição territorial foi a comuna de Petorca, cenário de uma aguerrida luta popular pelo acesso à água na última década. Ali, a desertificação prejudica os pequenos agricultores e a população em geral, que dependem de caminhões-pipa para obter a água necessária à sobrevivência e à produção de alimentos, enquanto grandes empresas monocultoras detém direitos de propriedade sobre a água inclusive das propriedades camponesas, uma vez que o Código de Águas de 1981 permitiu a bizarra desassociação dos mercados da terra e da água.12 A eleição de Rodrigo Mundaca, líder do Movimento pela Defesa do Acesso à Água, Terra e Proteção Ambiental (MODATIMA), a governador da região de Valparaíso em maio de 2021 indicava uma consistente orientação popular pela agenda ecológica e contra a privatização da água, princípios destacados da NC. No entanto, Petorca derrotou o novo texto com 56% de rechazo,13 o que fez Mundaca declarar: “sinto a incerteza de não reconhecer o lugar que habito (...). Parece bastante irracional a votação sustentada por esta comuna”. 14



Pontos cegos da política constituinte: causas do rechazo popular



Segundo pesquisa realizada pelo CIPER15 na semana seguinte ao plebiscito, com entrevista a 120 pessoas de 12 comunas com maiorias trabalhadoras, as principais razões do voto popular pelo rechazo foram, nesta ordem:


  1. O Estado se apropriaria das casas das pessoas

  2. Os fundos de pensão não seriam herdáveis

  3. O país seria dividido

  4. O governo merece críticas (voto castigo)

  5. Contrários ao aborto

 

A pesquisa CADEM feita na mesma semana,16 questionou 1.135 pessoas com a pergunta “qual foi a principal razão pela qual você votou rechazo?” e obteve como resultado o gráfico abaixo. Foram 40% de entrevistados que atribuíram seu voto a um processo constituinte “muy malo”, que despertou “desconfiança”; 35% de menções críticas à plurinacionalidade (um dos mais intensos focos de fake news); 29% de desaprovação do governo Boric; 24% de críticas à instabilidade e insegurança política e econômica; 13% contrários à suposta proibição de saúde e educação privadas (fake); 13% de referências a um “mal camino” do país associado à delinquência e ao conflito mapuche; 12% de menções contrárias a uma nova constituição e em defesa da reforma da carta da ditadura; e 8% de referências contrárias ao aborto e às mudanças do sistema político. 


Gráfico 1 - Razões para votar rechazo (CADEM)




As principais fake news que abalaram o voto apruebista se relacionavam à ameaça contra a chilenidade: se disseminou que a plurinacionalidade era o fim da bandeira e do hino, que o Chile iria mudar de nome, que imigrantes venezuelanos e povos indígenas tomariam o poder e se tornariam cidadãos privilegiados, sem punibilidade pela justiça, e que os chilenos não poderiam mais circular livremente pelo seu próprio território (usando como pretexto o desastrado episódio da ex ministra do Interior, Iskia Siches, impedida de realizar uma reunião em Temucuicui, Araucanía, bloqueada por uma barricada mapuche na primeira quinzena de governo Boric). Também os direitos reprodutivos, a constitucionalização do direito ao aborto e o direito à diversidade sexual ocuparam um lugar de destaque nas fake news, embora a pesquisa CADEM indique que este não tenha sido o ponto mais crítico impulsionador do rechazo


Além dos conglomerados midiáticos tradicionais da direita e extrema direita, dezenas de contas de Facebook, Youtube e Instagram não declaradas ao Servel propagaram, durante meses, uma série de mentiras sobre a NC, se aproveitando do sentimento de insegurança e instabilidade dos mais pobres, em função da crise econômica, do trauma da pandemia e do flagrante aumento da criminalidade. Medo da violência, racismo, xenofobia foram dispositivos conservadores mobilizados em massa, mas que não teriam obtido sucesso se tais sentimentos não existissem no terreno da experiência social e das ideologias populares, como diagnosticou Jorge Magasich.17 Afinal, fake news não se propaga no vácuo.


A opinião de que o processo constituinte foi “mal feito”, de que a Constituição não era uma obra tecnicamente viável e que a CC foi marcada por escrachos, anarquia e confusão é particularmente importante para um país que havia acabado de “demitir” sua classe política e convocar “pessoas comuns” para o centro da elaboração constituinte. Há um paradoxo de difícil interpretação no fato de que a revolta de 2019 consolidou a crítica popular ao duopólio, às instituições tradicionais e aos profissionais dos partidos, mas que somente três anos depois o plebiscito de saída tenha desmoralizado os legítimos representantes do chileno comum, do lado de fora dos acordões e diretamente do chão das ruas. Com isso, o plebiscito de saída devolveu a bola para as mesmas instituições de sempre, que o estallido social havia deslegitimado e declarado incapazes de governar. 


A ideia de uma Convenção amadora e caótica, que errou mais do que acertou, terminou sendo reiterada por declarações como de Marcos Arellano, convencional independente da Coordinadora Plurinacional, que pediu desculpas, em nome da CC: “é de exclusiva responsabilidade da Convenção como órgão”, declarou sobre o triunfo do rechazo: “vários convencionales tiveram condutas de soberba. Houve falta de solenidade em alguns casos, uma série de performances que afetaram a credibilidade do órgão”.18 Arellano também expressou uma autocrítica sobre o uso excessivo das horas de trabalho dos convencionales das portas da CC para dentro, com evidente descaso e descuido com o trabalho de comunicação política de massas e experiência de base nas periferias em defesa do novo texto. É fato inegável que os debates sobre justiça social, paridade e plurinacionalidade dos convencionales aconteceram em termos que alguns consideraram “acadêmicos” ou “pos-modernos”, distantes da realidade vivida pelo povo chileno e de suas subjetividades políticas. Essa fratura é trágica, porque a CC se legitimou como organismo mais popular, representativo e democrático da história do Chile, mas terminou sendo desmoralizada pelo povo que alegava representar. 


Talvez a vitória retumbante de 78% pelo Apruebo no plebiscito de entrada tenha distorcido a percepção política sobre o plebiscito de saída, subestimando sua dificuldade. O plebiscito de saída não era nenhum passeio. Não era uma vitória a mais na coleção de triunfos da esquerda pós-estallido, mas sim outra montanha a ser escalada, dentro de uma correlação de forças móvel, que afinal ofereceu 3,75 milhões de votos à extrema direita com José Antônio Kast em dezembro de 2021. A CN não estava ganha apenas pelos significados de justiça e solidariedade mobilizados pelo seu texto em si mesmo. Ainda mais considerando o fator voto obrigatório e o ponto cego dos 5 milhões de absenteístas agora convertidos em votantes, que sequer se interessaram pelos pleitos anteriores. Era preciso escrever a NC e ao mesmo tempo lutar pela sua comunicação popular nas poblaciones.


Por outro lado, questionar a capacidade técnica e a seriedade de um organismo com independentes, mulheres, indígenas e líderes populares parece ser uma forma trágica de cair na armadilha das campanhas de deslegitimação arquitetadas pelas direitas (pinochetista e centrista), que buscaram a todo tempo desmoralizar um organismo que permaneceu fora do seu tradicional controle político. Se levarmos em conta os relatos insuspeitos de uma brasileira, a constitucionalista Ester Rizzi, que esteve dentro da Convenção em fevereiro, os trabalhos estavam eficientes, técnicos, organizados e com assessoria de inúmeros profissionais competentes emprestados pelas universidades, em um processo constitucional com parcos recursos financeiros e pouco investimento público.19 Nesse sentido, a qualidade da NC foi quase um milagre, fruto de um esforço coletivo e técnico fenomenal em condições das mais adversas, que merece aplausos aos convencionales.


Entre as possibilidades não aproveitadas pela CC estavam os plebiscitos intermediários, que inicialmente visavam contornar o bloqueio dos ⅔ de quórum pelo voto popular e superar a impossibilidade de amplos consensos entre convencionales recorrendo às maiorias simples do povo. Talvez a impressionante vitória das esquerdas na eleição da CC em maio de 2021 tenha sido, no médio prazo, uma vitória de Pirro, ao gerar um excesso de confiança no procedimento interno do órgão, enfraquecendo a comunicação necessária com as maiorias sociais e descartando os plebiscitos intermediários em função dos consensos progressistas dos ⅔ de esquerda e centro-esquerda obtidos no caminho. Assim, a CC se fechou em si mesma e se distanciou do processo mobilizador que a tornou possível. 




Terceiro Turno, derrota de Boric e o novo gabinete 



A coligação de Boric, Apruebo Dignidad, carregava no seu nome a opção governista pela NC. Embora tenha se engajado na campanha tardia e timidamente, constrangido pelas imposições da Fiscalía que proibia a campanha oficialista para qualquer um dos lados, Boric utilizou a ideia de que a máxima participação no plebiscito seria em si mesmo um triunfo da democracia. Será mesmo?


Entre as causas mais relevantes do rechazo está a evidência de que o plebiscito representou o terceiro turno das eleições presidenciais. A má avaliação do governo, por sua incapacidade de apresentar soluções compreensíveis aos problemas do país e melhorias rápidas da vida popular, somadas as contradições entre o comportamento de Boric antes e depois de se tornar presidente (sendo a posição contrária ao “quinto retiro” dos fundos de pensão o exemplo mais escancarado), fez cair a popularidade do presidente numa velocidade preocupante. Entre março e setembro de 2022, a aprovação do governo Boric caiu de 50% para 33%, enquanto a reprovação subiu de 20% a 60%. Não por acaso, a reprovação corresponde à votação no Rechazo, como mostra o gráfico abaixo.



Gráfico 2 - Aprovação do presidente Gabriel Boric, mar-set/2022 (CADEM)



Em termos numéricos, o voto Apruebo correspondeu de maneira quase exata ao voto em Boric no segundo turno (ganhando apenas 200 mil novos apoiadores, de 4,6 milhões nas eleições a 4,8 milhões no plebiscito).20 Territorialmente, a votação do Apruebo foi quase idêntica à de Boric. Na RM, por exemplo, Boric teve 2,1 milhões e o Apruebo 2,2 milhões. Em Valparaíso, 545 mil votos em Boric e 583 mil no Apruebo. Na região de O’Higgins, respectivamente 252 mil e 244 mil. As diferenças entre os votos do Boric e do Apruebo foi tão pequena que se conclui que os quase 5 milhões de novos votantes no plebiscito de saída se direcionaram quase integralmente para o rechazo


A incapacidade do Apruebo de ganhar votos entre o segundo turno presidencial (dezembro de 2021) e o plebiscito (setembro de 2022) diz muito sobre as dificuldades de dois setores das esquerdas em transferir suas agendas de mudança do plano da utopia e da imaginação política para a vida concreta das maiorias mais desinteressadas do país. Tanto a esquerda centrista do governo com seu modus operandi continuista e até repressor de movimentos sociais, como as esquerdas de horizontes mais rupturistas que atuaram na CC (chamadas por Boric de maximalistas), por motivos diferentes, não conseguiram atingir o objetivo mais crucial de toda sua luta: superar o a Constituição pinochetista/neoliberal e abrir caminho constitucional para um Estado de bem estar social, com justiça distributiva e direitos assegurados. 


De tudo isso, se apreendeu que a relação entre as multidões mobilizadas no estallido (que encheram avenidas com milhões e demonstraram uma convicção impressionante) e as multidões silenciosas, absenteístas e invisibilizadas (que estiveram em casa nos últimos dez anos de eleições) é profundamente contraditória e muito mais complexa e tensa do que os apruebistas supunham. As classes trabalhadoras são heterogêneas e nem sempre se entendem.


A mudança de gabinete de Boric mostrou que das duas coligações que compõe o governo - Apruebo Dignidad e Socialismo Democrático - a segunda saiu ganhando. A nova ministra do interior, Carolina Tohá (filha do ministro do interior de Allende, José Tohá) foi Secretária Geral da Presidência (Segpres) de Bachelet, entrou no lugar da polêmica Iskia Siches, que teve sua reputação derretida em cinco meses de governo, erros vergonhosos e excessivos pedidos de desculpas. A nova Segpres, que substituiu Giorgio Jackson (o engenheiro da Frente Ampla), é Ana Lya Uriarte, que foi chefa de gabinete de Bachelet. Enquanto Siches foi demitida, Jackson, que não poderia ficar fora do governo por sua enorme relevância na trajetória de Boric da FECH à presidência, foi deslocado para o ministério do desenvolvimento social.


O governo Boric, dessa forma, aumentou o número de mulheres em seu comitê político tanto quanto de bacheletistas, se transformando em uma espécie de governo Bachelet 3.


Buscando atenuar e naturalizar sua derrota, Boric discursou no 4 de setembro: “no Chile as instituições funcionam (…), a democracia chilena sai mais robusta”.21 Também apontou para mais um passo em direção à moderação, dizendo que “o maximalismo, a violência e a intolerância com que pensa diferente devem ficar definitivamente de lado”, como se algum tipo de radicalismo  tivesse dado o tom da CC, o que não é verdade. Afirmou ainda que “é preciso escutar a voz do povo, não só este dia, mas sim de tudo o que aconteceu nestes últimos anos intensos”. E arrematou: “Não esqueçamos porque chegamos até aqui. Este mal estar segue latente e não podemos ignorá-lo”. 


No mesmo tom de relativização da derrota, a ministra vocera Camila Vallejo, cujo cargo é o equilíbrio tênue que segura o Partido Comunista em uma coligação cada vez mais inconveniente, afirmou: “o compromisso do governo de impulsionar seu programa está intacto (…). Não esqueçamos porque estamos aqui. O que nos levou a ser governo foram anos e décadas demandando maior justiça social, aposentadoria digna, saúde digna, o direito à educação. Temos um mandato a cumprir. (…) Estes desafios estão em pleno trâmite”.22 Resta saber, ainda, como seria possível cumprir o programa de Boric sem a NC. A verdade inconveniente é a adequação deste programa à velha ordem (Bachelet 3).



Limbo constitucional e novo itinerário 


Até mesmo os politicos da direita tradicional, comemorando o resultado na sede do comando do Rechazo, afirmaram que a constituição de 1980 está morta. Sua campanha esteve baseada em escrever uma “NC melhor”, “uma que nos una”, mais nacional e unitária, que não “dívida o país”, apelando à falsa compreensão do plurinacional como antagônico ao nacional. 


É certo que haverá um novo itinerário constituinte, mas não se sabe ainda quanto da Constituição de 1980 será contrabandeada para dentro do novo processo. Fez parte dos acordos pós-estallido a ideia de uma NC a partir de uma folha em branco, contrária a reformar mais uma vez o texto de Pinochet. Agora, como disse Boric e sua nova ministra Uriarte, o protagonismo será do congresso, o que contraria todo esforço da revolta de 2019 até aqui. 


 Ainda havia a possibilidade de diferentes modalidades de golpe contra o resultado do plebiscito de entrada, que apontou inequivocamente para uma nova constituição e para uma convenção eleita para este fim, rejeitando que o congresso redigisse o novo texto para envernizar o velho. No dia 12 de setembro, uma reunião entre lideranças dos partidos no Parlamento definiu que haverá sim um “organismo eleito”, possivelmente formado nos próximos meses, e acompanhado de um “comitê de expertos”,23 o que significa o triunfo do neoliberalismo pela tecnocracia. 


Ganha a interpretação de que a NC foi rechaçada por ser amadora, enquanto a nova carta deverá ser controlada por saberes tecnocráticos obviamente vinculados ao mercado e suas normativas típicas. A questão é que se já era difícil combater o neoliberalismo com uma nova constituição (cuja aplicação seria desafiadora e dependeria da luta constante dos movimentos sociais), se tornou frustrante e falsificador combatê-lo submetido a uma tutela tecnocrática que emanará da racionalidade neoliberal. 


Mas a luta não terminou. Segundo a declaração dos movimentos sociais após a derrota, “o aprendizado que construímos será fundamental, porque os movimentos sociais já não somos o que éramos antes de escrever esta Constituição. Neste processo o povo aprendeu a auto representar-se, isso não é algo dado, depois de décadas de exclusão dos setores populares da vida política, poder representar a nós mesmas é um trabalho do qual não iremos renunciar”.25


O Rechazo foi um bombardeio às avessas, quase tão inimaginável quanto o do dia 11. O Palácio de La Moneda não foi avariado física, mas politicamente. Dessa vez não de cima pela Força Aérea, mas “desde abajo” pela vontade popular, em um estranho paradoxo democrático. 


Para atravessar tempos de derrota histórica, os mapuche usam a palavra “marichiweu”, que significa “nunca vão nos vencer”, explica Elisa Loncón, a linguista indígena que presidiu a primeira metade da CC.25 


Nos triênios de 1970-1973 e de 2019-2022, o Chile mostrou sua capacidade de entusiasmar a América Latina com criatividade política e projetos utópicos, que inspiram e iluminam povos vizinhos como miragens magnetizantes. Suas derrotas doem, porque também costumam ser nossas.


Notas:

1. Doutora em História Econômica pela USP com uma  tese sobre a história da reforma agrária chilena; editora da revista Latin American Perspectives; co-organizadora do livro La Vía Chilena al Socialismo 50 años después: Historia y Memória (2 tomos, CLACSO, 2020), entre outros livros, capítulos, artigos e ensaios sobre o Chile. 

2. Joan Garcés, Allende e as armas da política. São Paulo: Scritta, 1993. 

2. Chile, Ley 21.216 sobre Paridad de Género para el proceso Constituyente. Disponível em: https://www.bcn.cl/procesoconstituyente/detalle_cronograma?id=f_publicacion-de-la-ley-21-216-paridad-de-genero-para-el-proceso-constituyente 

3.  CHILE, Ley 21.216 sobre Paridad de Género para el proceso Constituyente. Disponível em: https://www.bcn.cl/procesoconstituyente/detalle_cronograma?id=f_publicacion-de-la-ley-21-216-paridad-de-genero-para-el-proceso-constituyente

4. Chile, Ley 21.298 sobre Reserva de Escaños o Cupos en la Convención Constitucional a los Pueblos Indígenas y Participación de las Personas en Situación de Discapacidad. Disponível em: https://www.bcn.cl/procesoconstituyente/detalle_cronograma?id=f_publicacion-de-la-ley-ndeg-21-298-reserva-escanos-o-cupos-en-la-convencion-constitucional-a-los-pueblos-indigenas-y-resguarda-y-promueve-la-participacion-de-las-personas-en-situacion-de-discapacidad 

5. Site oficial da Convenção Constitucional: https://www.chileconvencion.cl/convencionales/ 

6. Pablo Quejer, “Aportes económicos para campañas del Apruebo y del Rechazo en el plebiscito de salida superan a los 1400 millones de pesos”. Novena Digital, Santiago, 29/08/2022. Disponível em: https://novenadigital.cl/aportes-economicos-para-campanas-de-apruebo-y-del-rechazo-en-el-plebiscito-de-salida-superan-los-1400-millones-de-pesos/ 

6. O plebiscito de entrada deu início ao itinerário constitucional chileno em outubro de 2020 com duas perguntas: “¿Quiere usted una Nueva Constitución?” e “¿Qué tipo de órgano debe redactar la Nueva Constitución?”. O plebiscito de saída dava a palavra final sobre a Nova Constituição com a pergunta “¿Aprueba usted el texto de Nueva Constitución propuesto por la Convención Constitucional?”. 

7.  Sergio Grez e Felipe Portales, ¿Por qué el Rechazo se impuso entre los trabajadores, los jóvenes y las mujeres? Mate al Rey, Santiago, 11/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OtItx7diOJc&feature=youtu.be

8. CIREN/CHILE, Características demográficas y socioeconómicas, Comuna de Colchane. Marzo, 2021. Disponível em:  https://www.sitrural.cl/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/Colchane_demografico.pdf 

9.  SERVEL. Disponível em: https://preliminares.servelelecciones.cl/#/votacion/elecciones_constitucion/pais/8056 

10. Igor Goicovic Donoso, “La derrota reformista y el escenario del conflicto político”. Rebelión. Santiago, 06/09/2011. Disponível em: https://rebelion.org/la-derrota-reformista-y-el-escenario-del-conflicto-politico/ 

11. Ibid. 

12. Ou seja, uma grande empresa pode deter títulos de proprietária da água do subsolo de uma pequena propriedade camponesa. 

13. SERVEL. Disponível em: https://preliminares.servelelecciones.cl/#/votacion/elecciones_constitucion/comunas/2556 

14. Paola Valenzuela, “No reconozco el lugar que habito": Gobernador Mundaca tras el triunfo del Rechazo en Petorca”. Radio Bío-bío Chile. Santiago, 05/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/nacional/region-de-valparaiso/2022/09/05/amp/mundaca-tras-triunfo-del-rechazo.shtml 

15. Equipo Ciper, “120 residentes de 12 comunas populares de la Región Metropolitana explican por qué votaron Rechazo”. Ciper, Santiago, 08/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.ciperchile.cl/2022/09/07/120-residentes-de-12-comunas-populares-de-la-region-metropolitana-explican-por-que-votaron-rechazo/ 

16. Rodrigo Valenzuela, “Cadem: Desaprobación del Presidente Boric sube a un 60%, mientras que un 67% está de acuerdo con una nueva Constitución”. Radio Agricultura, Santiago, 11/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.radioagricultura.cl/nacional/2022/09/11/cadem-desaprobacion-del-presidente-boric-sube-a-un-60-mientras-que-un-67-esta-de-acuerdo-con-una-nueva-constitucion/  

17. Jorge Magasich, “Por qué ganó el rechazo?: un intento de análisis”. Le Monde Diplomatique Chile. Santiago, 12/09/2022. Disponível em: ttps://www.lemondediplomatique.cl/por-que-gano-el-rechazo-un-intento-de-analisis-por-jorge-magasich.html  

18. Cristóbal Fuentes, Marco Arellano, exconvencional: “Quiero pedir disculpas al país por el trabajo que se realizó”. La Tercera, Santiago, 08/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.latercera.com/la-tercera-pm/noticia/marco-arellano-exconvencional-quiero-pedir-disculpas-al-pais-por-el-trabajo-que-se-realizo/O4BQRV2ECVFD5JXFRVYK54CWYU/ 

19. Ver a série de cinco artigos de Ester Rizzi sobre sua passagem por dentro da cc. Ester Rizzi, “Empaparme de Chile”. Consultor Jurídico (Conjur), fev/2022. Disponíveis em: https://www.conjur.com.br/2022-fev-08/rizzi-brasileira-convencao-constitucional-chilena-parte1 

20. CELAG, Informe postelectoral del plebiscito chileno. Centro Estratégico Latinoamericano de Geopolítica, 5/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.celag.org/informe-postelectoral-del-plebiscito-chileno/ 

21. Chile: “El discurso íntegro de Boric tras el rechazo a la Constitución”. El País, 04/09/2022. Disponível em: https://youtu.be/SgqgMEy6RcM 

22. “Como debe escribirse una ‘nueva nueva’ Constitución?”. El Café Diário, podcast de La Tercera. Disponível em: https://open.spotify.com/episode/1QmL2N97eJK7sP8keOe3tI?si=_MPAF_tQS8S-dc0I4oyLdA 

23. Catalina Martinez & Graciela Pérez, “Partidos políticos acuerdan que Nueva Constitución sea redactada por una convención electa, pero apoyada por comité de expertos”. La Tercera, Santiago, 12/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.latercera.com/politica/noticia/partidos-politicos-acuerdan-que-nueva-constitucion-sea-redactada-por-una-convencion-electa-pero-apoyada-por-comite-de-expertos/E3M5ME6WZVG6HAGXIHVYROYWFM/ 

24. Movimentos Sociais chilenos lançam declaração sobre derrota do Apruebo: “já não somos o que éramos antes de escrever esta Constituição”. Trad.: Bruno Rodrigues. Esquerda Online, 5/09/2022. Disponível em: https://esquerdaonline.com.br/2022/09/05/movimentos-sociais-chilenos-lancam-declaracao-sobre-derrota-do-apruebo-ja-nao-somos-o-que-eramos-antes-de-escrever-esta-constituicao/ 

25. Depoimento de Elisa Loncón no documentário “Mi Pais Imaginário”, de Patricio Guzman. 

The Latin America Daily Briefing is Moving

23 May 2022, 19:16 – Latin America Daily Briefing

 Dear Readers:

The Latin America Daily Briefing is moving to Substack, part of a broader redesign project that aims to get you the same content you know (and hopefully love) in better formats with fewer technical glitches. 

If you're already a subscriber, you don't need to do anything. If you are a new reader interested in subscribing or reading content online, please head to: https://latinamericadailybriefing.substack.com/ to check it out.

Thank you all!


-- Jordana

Gang warfare in Haiti (May 23, 2022)

23 May 2022, 17:35 – Latin America Daily Briefing
Gang warfare in Haiti's Port-au-Prince has reached new peaks of intensity and brutality. Experts say the scale and duration of gang clashes, the power criminals wield and the amount of territory they control has reached levels not seen before, reports the Associated Press.

The UN said that between April 24 and May 16, at least 92 people unaffiliated with gangs, and some 96 alleged gang members, were reportedly killed during coordinated armed attacks in the sprawling Haitian capital. Another 113 were injured, 12 reported missing, and 49 kidnapped for ransom, according to figures corroborated by UN human rights officers, although the actual number of those killed may be much higher. (See today's Just Caribbean Updates)

The United Nations human rights chief Michelle Bachelet, said last week armed violence has reached “unimaginable and intolerable levels” in Haiti and that the surge in violence is being fuelled by heavily armed gangs in Port-au-Prince. (United Nations)

Gangs also are recruiting more children than before, arming them with heavy weapons and forming temporary alliances with other gangs in attempts to take over more territory for economic and political gain ahead of the country’s general elections, reports the Associated Press.

The security situation has a direct impact on the country's political crisis, notes the Latin America Risk Report: "Even accepting some level of electoral weakness if Haiti holds elections this year, elections under the current levels of gang violence and influence would not be accepted by much of Haitian society. Solving the security situation must be a priority."

-------------------------

Haiti's Ransom

New York Times investigation -- The Ransom -- delves into the reparations paid by Haiti after it won its freedom from France. "What if? What if the nation had not been looted by outside powers, foreign banks and its own leaders almost since birth? How much more money might it have had to build a nation? Persistent corruption is one reason for Haiti's apparently perpetual crisis. But a history of crippling reparations and later extractivist policies by French financial institutions are critical to understanding Haiti's current woes.

For more than a year, a team of Times correspondents scoured long-forgotten documents languishing in archives and libraries on three continents to answer that question, to put a number on what it cost Haitians to be free. For generations after independence, Haitians were forced to pay the descendants of their former slave masters,  the world’s first and only country to do so. Loans from French banks were used to finance these payments, what became known as Haiti’s “double debt” — the ransom and the loan to pay it — a stunning load that boosted the fledgling Parisian international banking system and helped cement Haiti’s path into poverty and underdevelopment, reports the New York Times, based on original historical records.

A New York Times investigation into historical records uncovers how Parisian bank Crédit Industriel et Commercial, which in 1880 set up Haiti's national bank, choked Haiti’s economy, taking much of the young nation’s income back to Paris and impairing its ability to start schools, hospitals and the other building blocks of an independent country. Crédit Industriel, known in France as C.I.C., is now a $355 billion subsidiary of one of Europe’s largest financial conglomerates.

And the history continues to have significant repercussions: French diplomats admit that Jean-Bertrand Aristide's sudden calls for reparations in 2003, a bombshell that became a hallmark of his presidency, played a role in his eventual ouster in a coup supported by France and the U.S., reports the New York Times.

News Briefs

Region
  • There’s no single trajectory for how Latin American countries came to legalize abortion -- recent examples include laws passed by Congress, Supreme Court decisions and, soon, Chile might include the right in a new constitution, writes Omar G. Encarnación in The Nation. But, broadly speaking, Latin American activists have framed the question as one of human rights, rather than personal choice as in the U.S.

  • Despite these significant advances, millions still live in a horrendous reality, writes Diana Cariboni in Nacla. Abortion is completely banned in the Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Haiti, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Suriname. Raped girls and women are forced to give birth in the countries with total abortion bans, but also in Costa Rica, Guatemala, Paraguay, Peru, and Venezuela. There seems little hope of any change to abortion restrictions in Central America, but the next big win could come in the region’s most populous country, Brazil.
Cuba
  • Cubans have been hit by mass shortages of basic goods as part of its pressing economic crisis -- lack of milk is one of the most potent symbols of the country’s precarious state, reports the Washington Post.
Regional Relations
  • The U.S. Biden administration is considering inviting a Cuban representative to attend the upcoming Summit of the Americas as an observer, reports the Associated Press. It’s unclear if Cuba would accept the invitation — which would be extended to someone in the foreign ministry, not the foreign minister himself — and whether that would assuage concerns among Latin American and Caribbean leaders who have threatened to boycott the meeting over Cuba and Venezuela's exclusion.

  • Guyana will be attending the upcoming Summit of the Americas to discuss high-priority matters, highlighting the dilemma countries in the region face, as they threaten a boycott over the likely exclusion by the U.S. of Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua. (NewsRoom)
Brazil
  • Even if Brazilians deny President Jair Bolsonaro a second term in October, it will take a generation to dismantle his many negative legacies, from loosened gun regulation to attacks on democratic institutions. But the most serious is Bolsonaro's example of negationism, write Conrado Hübner Mendes, Mariana Celano de Souza Amaral and Marina Slhessarenko Barreto in the Post Opinión.

  • Some of the world’s biggest mining companies have withdrawn requests to research and extract minerals on Indigenous land in Brazil’s Amazon rainforest, and have repudiated Bolsonaro’s efforts to legalize mining activity in the areas. (Associated Press)
Colombia
  • Four of the six presidential tickets in Colombia's May 29 election have an Afro-Colombian vice-presidential candidate — a remarkable shift in a country historically led by men from a small group of elite families, reports the Washington Post. But Francia Márquez, a Black environmental activist who has never held political office is by far the most visible: she won the third most votes in the country’s March presidential primary, and is now running alongside leftist frontrunner Gustavo Petro.
Peru
  • Peruvian President Pedro Castillo named four new cabinet ministers yesterday -- including Interior and Mining. The latest of many Cabinet shuffles in less than a year in office comes amid rising tensions over protests in the country's mining regions. (Reuters, Infobae)
Ecuador
  • Ecuador's former vice-president Jorge Glas, who served 4.5 years in prison on a bribery conviction before being released last month, was arrested on Friday by police under a court order to return him to jail. (Reuters)
Critter Corner
  • An international team of 120 institutions has collected a massive archive of Amazon camera trap data— with records for over 150,000 snapshots taken between 2001 and 2020. It’s an attempt not just to get the information in one place but to enable researchers to study some of the biggest challenges that face the region. Many — such as climate change, deforestation and fire — are human-caused, reports the Washington Post.
Did I miss something, get something wrong, or do you have a different take? Let me know ...Latin America Daily Briefing

U.S. navigates choppy diplomatic waters (May 20, 2022)

20 May 2022, 17:04 – Latin America Daily Briefing

News Briefs

Regional Relations
  • U.S. failure to help Latin American democracies has contributed to the region's multiple democratic failures, and weakened U.S. influence, writes Scott Hamilton in Global Americans. Strengthening of democratic institutions and the promotion of democratic values should be the top U.S. national security priority everywhere in the region, he argues, which would align the U.S. with regional aspirations for democracy, economic opportunity, and social justice. "U.S. efforts to invest in security forces, nudge countries to “pick sides” in Great Power competition, or increase the use of sanctions for those that don’t follow its lead would only hasten the decline in U.S. influence."

  • The U.S. Biden administration has several reasons for its newly announced (marginal) shifts towards moderation in its policies towards Cuba and Venezuela -- including concerns over migration and oil shortages related to conflict with Russia. But officials could also be aiming to counteract the threat of a regional boycott of the upcoming Summit of the Americas, motivated by its stance towards these countries. "Even if the Biden administration does not end up including Cuba and Venezuela in the summit, these new policies show that Washington is not unshakably wedded to a hard-line position toward the countries," writes Catherine Osborn in the Latin America Brief. (See Wednesday's post.)

  • U.S. officials accused Cuba of creating controversy about its possible exclusion from the US-hosted Summit of the Americas next month to portray Washington as the “bad guy” and distract attention from Havana’s human rights record at home. Kerri Hannan, deputy assistant secretary of state for Western Hemisphere Affairs, said countries that have threatened to skip the regional meeting if Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua are not invited should attend or else they would lose an opportunity to engage with the United States, reports Al Jazeera.

  • The Biden administration appeared set to renew its assessment that Cuba is among a handful of countries "not cooperating fully" with the United States in the fight against terrorism, reports Reuters.
  • U.S. National Security Council Senior Director Juan González, one of President Joe Biden's top Latin America advisors, dismissed calls for the US to unilaterally lift sanctions against Venezuela, saying that any relief should be accompanied first by the Latin American government taking more democratic steps, reports Bloomberg. (See Wednesday's post.)

  • Britain said it was launching talks over a free trade deal with Mexico, reports Reuters.
Mexico
  • More than 100,000 people have disappeared in Mexico since records started being kept in 1964 -- but most victims were added to the list after 2006. Activists, victims collectives and organizations of civil society reiterated calls to the government to respond to the crisis with integral policies, reports El País.

  • "Disappearances are the fear that sneaks in like fog and eats away at the social fabric." Quinto Elemento Lab illustrates the numbers and the deeper implications of Mexico's crisis of disappearances.
El Salvador
  • El Salvador's government negotiator with the MS-13, Carlos Marroquín, told the gang that he personally aided in the international escape of “Crook,” an MS-13 figurehead, despite a U.S. extradition request. The revelation is part of El Faro's investigation into the negotiations between the Bukele administration and the street gang, and how their breakdown led to a spate of record killings in March. (See Wednesday's post.)
Guatemala
  • Guatemalans are paying attention to the ups and downs of their country’s institutions like never before -- "a momentous change in public attitudes, with the potential to reorient the country’s politics," writes Claudia Méndez Arriaza in Americas Quarterly. President Alejandro Giammattei's decision to give attorney general Consuelo Porra a second term, earlier this month, has raised tensions among a public anxious to see the country's endemic corruption tackled, she writes.
Regional
  • A new InSight Crime investigation delves into the illegal trafficking of cattle from the natural reserves of Nicaragua, Honduras and Guatemala to Mexico. This trade has resulted in the deforestation of thousands of hectares and numerous acts of violence against Indigenous communities. The growing economy both satisfies the growing global demand for beef and helps to mask other criminal activities held in parallel, including cocaine trafficking and money laundering.

  • AS/COA looks at cryptocurrency proliferation and regulation in countries like Argentina, Brazil, and El Salvador.
Brazil
  • Programmed testing of Brazil's electronic voting system -- a three-day battery of attempted assaults by 20 would-be hackers -- ended last week without succeeding at disrupting the system, reports the Associated Press. While the tests occur regularly, they have taken on particular relevance given President Jair Bolsonaro's insistent questioning of the electoral system's integrity.
Uruguay
  • A spate of gang-related killings in Uruguay’s capital of Montevideo, alongside violence throughout the country, is raising debate about the alleged success of the government's hardline security strategies towards microtrafficking, reports InSight Crime.
Argentina
  • A landmark criminal trial in Argentina has found the state guilty of the massacre of more than 400 indigenous people nearly a century ago. (BBC)
Chile
  • Nearly 22% of Chile’s electricity is generated by solar and wind farms, putting it far ahead of both the global average. But natural gas companies obtained government priority in the power market, undermining the country's push to renewables, reports the Associated Press.

  • Chile's Constitutional Convention entered its final phase, a "harmonization" of the text put together by commissions and approved by the plenary of constitutional delegates. The delegates carrying out this final task did not form part of the other commissions that proposed norms for the draft magna carta, reports La Bot Constituyente.

  • Among the nerdier tasks, the Harmonization Commission heard from linguist Claudia Poblete who convinced delegates to jettison the legal text practice of excessive capitalization. (La Bot Constituyente)

Did I miss something, get something wrong, or do you have a different take? Let me know ... Latin America Daily Briefing

Brazil Supreme Court rejects Bolsonaro complaint (May 19, 2022)

19 May 2022, 18:06 – Latin America Daily Briefing

A Brazilian Supreme Court judge rejected a complaint filed by President Jair Bolsonaro in which he accused another justice of abusing his authority, the latest in an ongoing battle between Brazil's executive and judicial branches ahead of October's presidential elections. 

Bolsonaro filed a complaint arguing that Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes is slow-walking an investigation to determine whether a group of Bolsonaro allies are running a social media network aimed at spreading threats and fake news against Supreme Court justices. He said the pace is aimed at hurting his standing in an electoral year. Supreme Court Justice Dias Toffoli denied the request, arguing that the facts described “do not bring evidence, even minimal,” of a crime. (Associated Press)

Bolsonaro and associates have continued to cast doubt on the integrity of the elections, particularly the country's long-established electronic voting system. His son, Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, said that a loss in Bolsonaro's reelection bid would not be credible, and castigated the country's electoral court for rejecting military suggestions to improve transparency. Earlier this month, the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) said several of the suggestions were already in practice, reports Folha de S. Paulo.

Indeed, it is Brazil’s democracy and the independence of its judiciary are under threat from Bolsonaro's government, according to a group of 80 lawyers and legal experts, who yesterday appealed to the UN Special Rapporteur on the independence of judges and lawyers, Diego Garcia-Sayan, to visit Brazil and report on attacks on the Supreme Court and the TSE. (Al Jazeera)

In a speech today, de Moraes said that the TSE currently has the same desire for democracy and the same courage to face those who do not believe in the democratic regime that it had when it was created 90 years ago. (Reuters)

More Brazil
  • Bolsonaro -- along with unlikely allies Google and Facebook -- successfully postponed in Congress an omnibus bill that would establish moderation and transparency requirements for the internet platforms and payment for news content. Which means the so-called Fake News Bill is unlikely to enter into play before October's elections, writes Patricia Campos Mello at Poynter. "Bolsonaro will likely head into the 2022 presidential campaign without any risk of restrictions on Telegram, WhatsApp and the social media platforms he uses to spread the Brazilian version of “Stop the Steal.”"
News Briefs

Regional
Regional Relations
  • Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro has found an unlikely political lifeline thanks to geopolitical shifts caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Venezuelan political deadlock, which prompted a major policy rethink from the U.S. Biden administration, reports the Guardian. (See yesterday's post.)

  • Mexican Foreign Minister Marcelo Ebrard said the country hopes to receive a response today or tomorrow regarding Mexico's proposal for all countries in the region to attend the Summit of the Americas, reports Reuters. A growing number of Latin American leaders have said they would not attend the conference or not attend if all countries in the region were not invited.

  • U.S. President Joe Biden’s new Cuba measures "appear driven by the confluence of the migration crisis and Latin America’s rebellion over U.S. Cuba policies," writes William LeoGrande in World Politics Review. (See Tuesday's post and yesterday's.)

  • The growing chorus of regional dissent regarding the U.S. decision to likely exclude Cuba from the Summit of the Americas is nothing new. "Obama’s 2014 decision to normalize relations was heavily influenced by the public scolding he received from Latin American heads of state at the Sixth Summit of the Americas in 2012. Even close U.S. allies warned that unless Cuba was invited to the 2015 summit, they would not attend." (World Politics Review)

  • U.S. First Lady Jill Biden is embarking on a high-stakes, six-day diplomatic tour of three Latin American countries: Panama, Ecuador and Costa Rica. (Washington Post)
Haiti
  • Haitian Prime Minister Ariel Henry resumed negotiations with the opposition coalition, the “Montana Accord," which favors the creation of a transition government to bridge the gap between the Henry government and a government to eventually be democratically elected. Negotiations between the Haitian government and the group had been on hold since February 14, reports the Latin America Risk Report.
Chile
  • Chile's congress voted to approve a 14.3 percent increase in the minimum wage yesterday, as the country struggles with soaring inflation, reports Reuters.
Guatemala
  • Guatemala's congress approved a $500 million loan from the World Bank that the government has said will be used to pay down debt, freeing up funds for social spending, reports Reuters.
El Salvador
  • El Salvador's big bet on bitcoin has closed some potential off-ramps from a current fiscal crisis that includes an upcoming major debt repayment, reports Reuters.
Argentina
  • Argentina carried out its postponed 2020 Census yesterday. Infobae reports on the adventure of reaching one of the country's most remote inhabitants. (Infobae)
Did I miss something, get something wrong, or do you have a different take? Let me know ... Latin America Daily Briefing

U.S. encourages Venezuela talks (May 18, 2022)

18 May 2022, 14:19 – Latin America Daily Briefing

The U.S. Biden administration has slightly eased restrictions on Chevron's ability to negotiate with Venezuela's government. Senior administration officials said the move was intended to support talks between the government of President Nicolás Maduro and the U.S.-backed opposition, reports the Washington Post

Senior U.S. officials said resumption of the negotiations were expected to be announced by Venezuelan officials late yesterday, reports the New York Times. The chairs of the negotiating teams for the Maduro government and the opposition Unitary Platform met yesterday, and tweeted about "rescuing the spirit of Mexico," in reference to talks suspended last year. (Twitter)

The U.S. Treasury Department license for Chevron,  the main U.S. oil company with assets in Venezuela, is the first in what could be a series of steps toward oil sanctions relief, depending on the Maduro government’s cooperation, according to officials. Additionally, Carlos Erik Malpica-Flores — a former high-ranking PDVSA official and nephew of Venezuela’s first lady — will be removed from a list of sanctioned individuals, reports the Associated Press.

Delcy Rodríguez, a top senior Maduro administration official implied in a Twitter post that the sanction deal was broader than what was announced by the White House, and would allow foreign oil companies to restart operations in Venezuela.

It remains unclear whether the U.S.'s limited allowances will be enough to entice Maduro to offer meaningful political concessions to the opposition, notes NYT. Further sanctions relief would be tied to progress at the talks in Mexico City, reports the Miami Herald.

U.S. officials told reporters the tiny concessions were made at the request of the opposition Unitary Platform. For example, McClatchy reports that a senior U.S. official said "It is very important to stress that this was done in coordination with the interim president, Juan Guaidó, to move the talks forward. But the coalition denied the reports yesterday. (Efecto Cocuyo) The opposition said the request came directly from Maduro, reports the New York Times.

U.S. officials were emphatic yesterday that the phased plan leaves the sanctions regime against Maduro in place -- an attempt to placate critics who include U.S. lawmakers from both parties who are opposed to any deal with Maduro.

The move, along with Monday's decision to ease certain sanctions against Cuba (see yesterday's post), come as the U.S. Biden administration "is trying to take advantage of a closing window of opportunity in Latin America before midterm elections in November," and as Latin America shifts leftward, leaving the U.S. isolated in its approach to Venezuela and Cuba, reports the Washington Post.

Already the Biden administration is facing significant pushback in the region regarding the possible exclusion of Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua from the upcoming Summit of the Americas. (See May 12's post, for example.) "Countries across the hemisphere are looking for ways to respond to the Venezuelan crisis that matches the reality on the ground, which is that Maduro retains de facto control of the territory," WOLA Venezuela analyst Geoff Ramsey told the WaPo. 

More Venezuela
  • Several international airlines are looking at restarting flights to Caracas, which has been significantly isolated in recent years, reports El País.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MS-13 confessed responsibility for March killings, response to breakdown of gov't negotiations

Extracts from El Faro's exclusive investigation.

High-ranking Mara Salvatrucha-13 (MS-13) sources confessed to El Faro their responsibility for the killings of 87 people between March 25 and 27 in El Salvador, including 62 of them on March 26, the most violent day in the past two decades. MS-13 spokespersons revealed that the murders were carried out in response to what they call a “betrayal” by President Nayib Bukele's administration of the covert pact that reduced homicides since 2019.

As proof of their dialogue with the Bukele administration, MS-13 provided El Faro with seven audio files in which Carlos Marroquín, one of the negotiators on behalf of the president, speaks with at least one member of the gang during and after the violent weekend in March. In the recordings, Marroquín, the administration’s Director for the Reconstruction of Social Fabric, details to his MS-13 counterparts his efforts during the spike in homicides to convince Bukele to keep the agreement alive.

The recordings detail how the killings in late March were the way the Mara Salvatrucha exerted pressure on the government after its members' arrests, explains El Faro.

In the six weeks following the spike in violence and the souring of the agreement between the Bukele administration and the gangs, authorities claim to have made over 31,000 arrests and the press has registered at least 11 in-custody deaths. Human rights groups  have reported widespread arbitrary detentions and Bukele announced he would severely ration and limit prison meals.

In one of the later recording Marroquín says: "Inside they’re torturing people, right? They’re suffering and being humiliated. They’re treating them like animals, and that’s not what we’ve been fighting for. We did it to generate better conditions for those inside and for the people on the street, the communities, the poorest people. Right now all I know, brother, from what they told me, is that it’s going to get worse in the communities. So yeah, put people on alert, brother, because things are going to get even more fucked."

Ruling party legislators have called for a second 30-day extension of the emergency measures, currently set to expire on May 27.

News Briefs

Migration
  • A UK deportation flight to Jamaica took off today with seven people onboard. Home Office deportation flights to Jamaica are among the most contentious carried out by the department, reports the Guardian, as many of those earmarked for removal have Windrush connections or have been in the UK since childhood, with children and other close relatives in the country.
Regional
  • This year is likely to be the seventh consecutive above-average Atlantic hurricane season. (Severe Weather Europe)

  • Early investigations and intelligence indicate that the Mexico's Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generación is striking partnerships with drug rings in Guatemala – active on the Pacific Coast and the western border with Mexico – that receive shipments of cocaine from Colombia and Venezuela and deliver them to the cartel, reports InSight Crime.
Mexico
  • Mexican farmers have travelled to London to demand that mining company Fresnillo compensate them for illegal mining on their land and explain violence against anti-mining activists. (Guardian)
Peru
  • A government proposal for Peru to purchase all the country’s coca production has generated fierce debate, but experts question whether it is even feasible, reports InSight Crime.
Arts
  • "Graphic Turn: Like the Ivy on a Wall" at Madrid's Reina Sofía explores how graphic art – whether on walls, posters, prints, flyers or fabric – has been used to confront political repression and demand social justice in Latin America and beyond over the past 50 years. (Guardian)
Did I miss something, get something wrong, or do you have a different take? Let me know ...
Latin America Daily Briefing

Political Report #1466 The April 2002 Coup Through Time

15 Mar 2022, 21:07 – Latin American Perspectives

 by LAP Editor, Steve Ellner


Published in NACLA: Report on the Americas. Vol. 54, no. 1


On April 14, 2002, the folly of the abortive coup staged against the government of Hugo Chávez three days earlier was clear, but the depth of its long-lasting impact was not. The April 11 coup was a milestone event that shaped politics in Venezuela and the region for the next two decades. Most important, the coup and the events that immediately followed it set off polarization marked by the radicalization of the government and the opposition, which impacted not only national politics but also government policy on all fronts.

The year 2002 was thus a turning point in Venezuelan politics. How did the nation reach such a defining moment? In the initial period after gaining power, the Chavista movement, like Fidel Castro's Movimiento 26 de Julio in 1959, did not stand for thoroughgoing socioeconomic transformation, even though both movements originated in attempts to gain power using force. Castro in 1959 denied being a leftist, and Chávez embraced the “third way” doctrine that stood between pro-capitalist and pro-socialist.

In both cases, however, powerful adversaries viewed the movements as existential threats. In Cuba’s case, the Eisenhower administration took steps to overthrow Castro shortly after he came to power. And in Venezuela, the nation’s two main parties, Acción Democrática (AD) and Copei, joined forces in an eleventh-hour attempt to avoid Chávez’s triumph at the polls in 1998, while the business organization Fedecámaras staunchly opposed his candidacy. Shortly after his election, the Catholic hierarchy claimed that Chávez had earned the wrath of God. By 2002, Washington officials, who for the most part initially refrained from criticizing his government, questioned his democratic credentials and then, in effect, supported the April coup. These developments intensified the polarization that has plagued Venezuela ever since.

In our article “The Remarkable Fall and Rise of Hugo Chávez,” published in the July/August 2002 issue of the NACLA Report, NACLA director Fred Rosen and I showed how the radicalization of the opposition unfolded the day after the April 11 coup. The article defined two contrasting positions within the opposition that, despite changing political terrain, have continued to this day: a hardline, right-wing strategy that on April 12 decreed the elimination of democratic institutions, and a centrist strategy of working through existing institutions. The latter favored reaching an agreement with former Interior Minister Luis Miquilena and other disenchanted Chavistas to achieve regime change through the legislative branch and in a way that “broad sectors of the population would be represented,” we wrote.

We pointed out that the hardliners, guided by “a well-conceived plan” that gave them an advantage over the centrists, seized control of the government in what we called “nothing less than a coup within the coup.” Economic policy lay just beneath the surface. We noted that “as a member of the export-oriented business class, [provisional president Pedro Carmona] and his followers very likely wanted once and for all to remove all the obstacles to full-fledged, neoliberal formulas.” To do so required “a clean and violent break with the populist past.” In other words, to achieve pressing objectives, democratic principles had to be compromised.
Carmona was set on implementing a radical neoliberal program, sometimes referred to as the “shock treatment,” consisting of harsh and swiftly implemented austerity measures. He staffed his cabinet with members of the elite while excluding labor leaders of the AD-controlled Confederación de Trabajadores de Venezuela (CTV), even though the CTV had made April 11 happen in the first place and its president, Carlos Ortega, was originally slated to head the provisional government, as Gregory Wilpert later noted in a piece for Venezuelaanalysis.

The absence of leaders of AD, the nation’s largest party, which had wholeheartedly supported the mobilizations against Chávez, was not by accident. Throughout the 1990s, a major faction within AD had opposed the shock treatment brand of neoliberalism, a position that partly explains the party’s decision to expel neoliberal ex-president Carlos Andrés Pérez in 1993.

The neoliberal radicals, however, attributed Venezuela’s backwardness to the allegedly left-wing populist tradition associated with AD, which they blamed for Chávez’s rise to power in 1998. On the eve of Chávez’s election, one prominent academic supporter of neoliberal reform, Aníbal Romero, ominously wrote in Latin American Research Review: “Venezuela is experiencing the agony of populism…and one cannot be sure of where it may lead.”

Fast forwarding to the Maduro years, the polarization between the Chavista government associated with socialism and an intransigent opposition remained intact, as did the high stakes of Venezuelan politics. Various features largely dating back to 2002 stand out.

Most important, a dominant radical faction of the opposition continues to overshadow a moderate one. The moderates, unlike the radicals, advocate electoral participation, favor recognizing the legitimacy of the nation's democratic institutions and the Maduro presidency, and oppose U.S.-imposed sanctions.
As in 2002, radicals—headed by self-proclaimed president Juan Guaidó and Leopoldo López of the Voluntad Popular party—have had a distinct advantage over moderates, this time due to decisive support from Washington. The State Department demanded that the Maduro administration refrain from taking judicial action against Guaidó despite his numerous attempts to overthrow the government, and it influenced Maduro to privilege Voluntad Popular in the negotiations held in Mexico in 2021. In contrast, Washington placed sanctions on four important moderates including Bernabé Gutiérrez, a long-time AD politician.  

Radicals under Carmona prevailed the day after the April 11 coup even though they did not necessarily represent a majority of the opposition. Similarly, hardliners have relied throughout the Maduro years on U.S. support to maintain the upper hand over the rest of the opposition, even as most Venezuelans opposed sanctions and Guaidó’s popularity precipitously declined over the course of 2019 and 2020.   
Another overlap between 2002 and the current state of Venezuelan politics is the prospect of a revanchist wave should radical sectors of the opposition take power. The first day of Carmona’s two-day rule saw efforts to round up leading Chavistas as "Wanted: Dead or Alive" leaflets with prominent Chavista names circulated. Similarly, threats against Maduro supporters upped the stakes in the confrontation between him and Guaidó. In an indirect threat against Maduro supporters in the armed forces, the opposition-controlled National Assembly headed by Guaidó introduced a law in 2019 that granted “amnesty” to officers who supported regime change.

Blunders by opposition hardliners in 2002 repeated themselves over the next two decades, resulting in one fiasco after another. In April 2002 the opposition lacked a fallback plan. When sectors of the military, specifically among the high command, resisted the coup, the entire undertaking imploded. Similarly, as the prolonged general strike of 2002-2003 faltered and its regime change objective seemed lost, opposition leaders failed either to take stock or change strategy, instead letting the protest peter out. It was a pattern repeated in the months-long street protests known as La Salida (The Exit) in 2014 and later, during even more pitched protests against Maduro’s call for a Constituent National Assembly in 2017, as well as in numerous attempts at regime change undertaken by Guaidó beginning in January 2019.

The events of 2002 also affected Chavista leaders. Chávez reacted to the defection of his right-hand man and possible father figure Miquilena, and then the support of oil company personnel for the 2002-2003 general strike, by privileging political loyalty over competence and calling for unity at all costs. Hence Chávez’s oft-repeated slogan: "unity, unity and more unity." This type of learning experience—which political scientists call “political over-learning"—downgraded the importance of technical expertise, prompting frequent cabinet shuffles under both Chávez’s and then Maduro’s governments with little or no consideration of the professional training of incoming ministers.
The April coup also convinced Chávez and those closest to him of the need to prioritize social goals over economic ones to ensure the future support and mass mobilization of the popular sectors, so instrumental in defeating the coup. The government’s failure to put the accent mark on economic diversification to sever economic dependence invited criticism from across the political spectrum.
Another consequence of the 2002 events is that they exposed unreliable military officers as a result of their actions during the coup and general strike. Subsequently, loyal officers were privileged with promotions to higher ranks, particularly those involving troop command. The loyalty of the armed forces in the face of multiple efforts by the opposition and Washington to encourage rebellion has been a key factor in the Maduro government’s survival. Indeed, the U.S. strategy has backfired, as Washington failed to take into account the nationalist sentiment of military officers.


The overthrow of a president who in the previous three years had won two presidential elections with 56 and 60 percent of the vote—and went on to win again with 63 percent in 2006—proved a fatal move for the opposition. Refusing to recognize their error led to continuous insistence that the Chávez government was authoritarian and illegitimate, resulting in electoral boycotts and non-recognition of electoral results, even ones certified by international observers. As a consequence, the opposition time and again forfeited its presence on elected bodies at the national, state, and municipal levels.

The events of 2002 also locked Chavista leaders in a polarizing mindset of viewing Venezuelan politics as a faceoff between Chavistas and insurgent adversaries with little room for constructive criticism. As I discuss in a forthcoming article in Science and Society, the resultant sectarianism toward critical allies on the left led to the exit in 2020 of various parties from the governing coalition, including the nation’s oldest one, the Communist Party.  

Ultimately, what revisiting the April 2002 events shows is an urgent need for both chavismo and its opponents to take a step backward and critically analyze both the coup and its legacies, intended and otherwise, and examine their lessons against 20 years of hindsight.






________________________________________
Steve Ellner is an Associate Managing Editor of Latin American Perspectives and a retired professor of the Universidad de Oriente in Venezuela. His latest books include his edited Latin American Extractivism: Dependency, Resource Nationalism and Resistance in Broad Perspective (2021).



To cite this article: Steve Ellner (2022) The April 2002 Coup Through Time, NACLA Report on the Americas, 54:1, 16-19, DOI: 10.1080/10714839.2022.2045097

To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/10714839.2022.2045097

Political Report #1465 “Those Who Are Poor, Die Poor” | Notes on The Chilean Elections

3 Jan 2022, 21:50 – Latin American Perspectives

by LAP Editor, Jeffery R. Webber
Posted by SPECTRE Journal



Premature obituaries of Chilean neoliberalism abound on the heels of the December 19 run-off presidential election. Gabriel Boric of Apruebo Dignidad (Approve Dignity, AD) – a coalition of the Frente Amplio (Broad Front, FA) and the Partido Comunista de Chile (Communist Party of Chile, PCC) – secured a surprisingly robust victory over his far-right opponent, José Antonio Kast (aka, JAK), of Frente Social Cristiano (Christian Social Front, FSC) – a coalition of Kast’s Partido Republicano (Republican Party, PR) and the Partido Conservador Cristiano (Christian Conservative Party, PCC).1 Boric took 55.9 percent of the popular vote to Kast’s 44.1 percent, with 1.2 million more people voting in the second round than in the first contest in November. That put voter turnout at 56 percent, the highest of any presidential election since 2012, when voting was made voluntary.2 The result represents a serious setback for forces of the far right in Chile, and, indeed, the region more generally – it wasn’t good news for Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil, for example, who faces elections in 2022 that he was already likely to lose to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (“Lula”).

Scenes of elation on streets across Chile were as much a collective sigh of relief as a roar of triumph. Only a month earlier, momentum had decidedly shifted to the ultra-conservatives, with Kast coming out on top in the first-round with 27.9 percent to Boric’s 25.8. The simultaneous congressional elections also witnessed right-wing small majorities solidified in the Senate and Chamber of Deputies.3 The hopeful possibilities unleashed by the insurrection of October 2019 were temporarily replaced by the fear that that cycle was coming to a close, to be replaced with a vicious, restorative reaction. From their antipodal vantage point, investors read November’s election similarly – Chile’s stock market leaped by 9.4 percent, alongside a 3.5 percent gain in the peso relative to the dollar.4


In another sign of left retreat, and reflective of the unsettled turbulence of contemporary Chilean politics, third place was occupied by Franco Parisi, a right-wing, anti-party populist for the newly-minted Partido de la Gente (Party of the People, PDG), whose platform emphasized securing the borders against migrants. Parisi is an economist with a PhD from the University of Georgia, whose previous positions include Vice Dean of the Faculty of Business at the Universidad de Chile and Professor of Economics and Business at the Universidad Andés Bello. He has since relocated to the US. After a stint at Texas Tech University, where a student accused him of sexual harassment, Parisi now lives in Birmingham, where he is an adjunct professor at the University of Alabama. He never set foot in Chile during the campaign, ostensibly because he tested positive for COVID-19, but perhaps more likely because he is in arrears for $249,000 in alimony payments and would not be allowed to leave the country if he returned until this debt was paid. A social media personality with a popular YouTube show called “Bad Boys Who Make the Elite Uncomfortable,” Parisi captured 12.8 percent of the vote (37 percent in the North, a traditional bastion of the center-left, where anti-immigrant sentiment has surged in recent years).5


Back in June 2020, Boric unexpectedly defeated Communist Daniel Jadue in the primaries of the newly-formed Apruebo Dignidad, and there were high expectations for his performance in the forthcoming presidential contest. But Boric was already viewed with suspicion by many social movement and left activists. This was the same person who had personally signed the congressional Agreement for Social Peace and the New Constitution in November 2019, without the support of his party, Frente Amplio, precipitating a split in the latter. That agreement, which set in place a restricted process for the renewal of the constitution, was severely criticized by large sectors of the popular movement, including initial opposition from the Communists.6 Boric then made a point of signaling “governability” to the political and business establishment in the lead-up to the first-round elections in November 2021, further alienating layers of the popular movement, and muting enthusiasm for participating in the election.7


Nonetheless, the bulk of social movements and left-wing forces in Chile, whether inside or outside of Apruebo Dignidad, rallied to bring out the vote for Boric in the second round. Above all, the priority was to defeat pinochetismo and to keep alive for another day the transformative cycle propelled by the revolts of October 2019.8 Marta Lagos, Chilean political analyst and founding director of the opinion research company Latinobarómetro, points to a remarkable parallel between the election of December 2021 and the 1988 referendum that formally ended Pinochet’s rule. The proportion of votes in 1988 responding “No” to continuing Pinochet’s reign was virtually identical with support for Boric in December this year, with the “Yes” vote in 1988 eerily matching the proportion backing Kast in December.9


For the everyday politics of class struggle in Chile, Kast’s defeat ensured a dramatically better terrain for the oppressed in 2022 than the alternative. But every early signal from the president-elect screams a hardening of his already-apparent turn to centrism and a willful lowering of popular expectations. Reviving the radical agenda of the “social explosion” of October 2019 will require reanimation of politically independent struggles by all the myriad social forces of the left that made Boric’s election possible in the first place: the Mapuche struggles in the south; the student movement; popular feminism; pension activism; precarious workers; dockworkers and miners; and the ecological front.


CATASTROPHE AVERTED: “LA DERECHA SIN COMPLEJOS”


But let’s begin with what was avoided, or at least temporarily contained. Kast is an ultra-conservative former congressperson, devote Catholic, and father of nine. He is openly inspired and aligned with Spain’s far right Vox, and a host of other constituent forces of the global tide of reaction.10 Kast campaigned on a platform of restoring law and order, cracking down on crime, and protecting free markets and traditional values. He railed against immigrants, particularly those from Venezuela and Haiti, and promised to build a 3-meter deep ditch along the northern border of the country. Kast has long proclaimed his allegiance to the legacy of Pinochet, declaring a few years ago that if the dictator were still alive he would receive Kast’s vote. In 2016, Kast declared that, “apart from the subject of human rights, the Pinochet government was better for the development of the country than that of Sebastián Piñera.” He has pledged to reverse same-sex marriage and the limited rights to abortion in the country, and generally channeled hostility toward recently emboldened indigenous, feminist, and LBTQ+ activism.11


Every early signal from the president-elect screams a hardening of his already-apparent turn to centrism and a willful lowering of popular expectations.


Authoritarian reaction is something of a Kast family trait. Michael Kast, JAK’s father, fought for the German army against the Soviets in World War II, and was a voluntary member of the Nazi Party in 1942.12 Kast senior migrated to Chile in 1950, establishing himself in Paine, a rural community south of Santiago. He gradually built a nationwide network of restaurants and industrial centers for the manufacture of packaged meat.13 The Kast family was elevated politically and socially under Pinochet’s dictatorship. JAK’s brother, Miguel, obtained a Masters degree in economics from the University of Chicago and served as Minister of Labor and president of the Central Bank during the Pinochet regime.14 When Miguel died of bone cancer at 34 years of age, he became a mythic figure on the Chilean far right. Investigative journalists have also exposed a potential facilitative role played by another brother, Christian, alongside Kast senior, in the torture and disappearance of one of their employees in Paine, who was a member of the MIR at the time of his disappearance.15


Cleaved internally along the lines of democratic respectability, the travails of the post-dictatorship Chilean right are traceable to the referendum of 1988. Political movements backing the “No” campaign that year subsequently congealed under the center-left coalition of the Concertación de Partidos por la Democracia and secured themselves in office for the coming decades. Those behind “Yes” to pinochetista continuity, meanwhile, hunkered down in the defensive trenches of preserving the dictatorship’s legacy, especially as symbolized by the 1980 Constitution.16 This avowedly pinochetista right-wing proved inadequate to the early democratic contests of 1989 and 1993, on both cases allowing the center-left to win handily in the first round, having captured more than 50 percent of the votes.17


Responding to these feeble electoral showings, the Chilean right gradually repositioned itself more proximately to the centrism of the Concertación. In 1999, this strategy forced the center-left into a run-off presidential round for the first time since the return to democracy, and in 2009 it finally ensured Sebastián Piñera’s rise to the presidency – the first time in half a century that the Chilean right formed a government via the electoral path.18 The break with Pinochet was never clean, with currents of the mainstream right-wing parties refusing to renounce the Pinochet ideal; but more and more, explicit references became a taboo. More roundabout defenses continued to be permitted, as evidenced by the fact that the traditional parties of the post-dictatorial right-wing coalition, Renovación Nacional (National Renovation, RN) and the Unión Democrática Independiente (Independent Democratic Union,UDI), only formally deleted from their party programs apologia for the 1973 coup in 2014 and 2018, respectively.19


Unsatisfied with the moderating turn of the Chilean electoral right, Kast left the UDI in 2016, disparaging the party’s departure from its “foundational project.” As a political independent in this period, Kast ostentatiously wed himself to the legacy of Pinochet, and gathered 8 percent of the vote on this niche ticket in the 2017 presidential election.20 So far, the story runs parallel to Bolsonaro’s long political career on the far periphery of institutional political influence in Brazil, before he was catapulted to the presidency. The similarities don’t end there. What were the circumstances that allowed for Kast’s ascent from 8 percent in 2017 to the lead position in the first round, and very respectable finish in the second round of 2021? His arch of ascension parallels the timing of early institutional victories for the left on the terrain of the constitutional process. In particular, Kast was boosted by the impotency of Chilean centrism in the face of these left-wing advances.


The first of these moments was the plebiscite on a new constitution on October 25, 2020. To the initial question posed to the population – “Do you want a new constitution?” – the response was a resounding 78.3 percent “Approve.”21 “Reject” garnered only 21.7 percent of the vote; even more significantly, the latter gained a majority in only five communes in the entire country, three of which were the wealthiest anywhere in Chile.22 A democratic demand sustained for over four decades – to bury the constitution of Pinochet alongside the bones of the grotesque himself – had finally been secured by the revolts of October 2019. “What the parties that administered the democratic transition couldn’t do in thirty years,” Pablo Abufom and Karina Nohales rightly point out, “the working class accomplished in a few months.”23 “What body should be responsible for the writing of the new constitution?” So read the second question posed in the plebiscite. For 79 percent of voters, all delegates to the Constitutional Convention should be popularly elected, and there should be gender parity among them. For 21 percent, there should be no rule of gender parity, and only half the delegates should be popularly elected, with the remaining half composed by the existing congress, at the time divided between the discredited center-left and center-right.24


Body blows against Chilean centrism continued to mount the following May, this time in the form of simultaneous mayoral, local council, and gubernatorial elections, alongside a vote to select delegates to the 155-seat Constitutional Convention. For the latter contest, the center-right joined the far-right under the unity ticket of Chile Vamos. Pundits were unanimous in the view that Chile Vamos would certainly win at least the 52 of 155 seats necessary for veto power. (The Constitutional Convention was designed such that a two-thirds majority was necessary to advance every article in the constitutional process, an in-built conservatizing function.) Instead, the united right would have to settle for only 37 seats, roughly 23 percent of the total.25 Meanwhile, the list bringing together the Communists and the Broad Front won 28 seats, three seats more than the combined performance of the social-liberal parties of the former Concertación (15 for the Socialist Party, and only two for the Christian Democrats).26


Most novel, though, were those Convention votes that went to leftist expressions of the “anti-political” conjuncture. A remarkable 48 seats were captured by independent candidates, some of whom were right-wing conspiracists, but most of whom were progressive candidates, like feminist Alondra Carrillo (of the 8M Feminist Coordinator), or independents from social movements connected through joint tickets, such as those of the Social Movement Constituents, or the People’s List, or, alternatively, delegates numbering among the 17 seats reserved for indigenous peoples, seats now occupied in the main by indigenous activists embedded in historic movements for liberation.27 The spirit of October also fed into the municipal disputes. For example, Jorge Sharp, a long-time activist on the anti-neoliberal left, was re-elected mayor of Valparaíso, while Communist Daniel Jadue won the mayoralty of Recoleta, a municipality within the Santiago Metropolitan Region.28 Irací Hassler, a feminist activist and Communist, became mayor of the Commune of Santiago, effectively downtown Santiago. At the gubernatorial level, the environmental activist and agricultural engineer, Rodrigo Mundaca, won the region of Valparaíso.29


Not all of the news was positive. The representational crisis of the traditional party system which spawned the polyvalent “anti-politics” of the moment found a depressing expression in the unprecedented rate of abstention. An alarming 61.4 percent of the electorate didn’t turn out to vote, with abstention reaching 65-70% in working-class municipalities.30 Still, the overall dynamic of the May 2021 elections, and especially those of the Constitutional Convention, was unanticipatedly weak performance by the united right, and an overarching discrediting of traditional political parties. The Convention would thus be composed by a range of delegates weighted toward an eclectic melange of social-movement and party elements of the left and center-left, with the former stronger than the latter in the progressive bloc.


With the support of the dominant media powers, an aggressive campaign to discredit the very notion of the Constituent Convention began in earnest. Reject/Approve became the most definitive axis of class struggle in the country.


It was during the plebiscite on the constituent process that Kast first came to be the face of “Reject.” This was obviously a losing position in the narrow terms of voting on the day, but the campaign built around the Reject platform consolidated Kast as a national political figure, something that had eluded him even in the presidential race of 2017. The campaign also reinforced a coherent right-wing movement identity – conservative, nativist, anti-immigrant, anti-feminist, and anti-indigenous – for all those layers of Chilean society hostile to the possibilities for change opened up by social explosion of 2019. Instead of defending Pinochet, Kast now rallied around the symbol of the dictator’s 1980 constitution. As in Bolsonaro’s Brazil, evangelical TV personalities devoted their influential program content to the most dynamic right-wing force of the day, pivoting collectively behind Reject.31


Once the delegates to the Constitutional Convention had been elected, every conservative force in Chile saw the writing on the wall. With the support of the dominant media powers, an aggressive campaign to discredit the very notion of the Constituent Convention began in earnest. Reject/Approve became the most definitive axis of class struggle in the country. According to polls, among those who identified as right-wing, 68 percent held that the citizenry had little to no inclusion in the constituent process. Among those identifying themselves as on the left, the comparable figure was 13 percent. By this time, Kast had already established himself as the figurehead of Reject. While the traditional institutions of the center-right initially backed Sebastián Sichel – a political independent with a past in the Christian Democratic Party – as their preferred presidential candidate, when he quickly proved a non-entity in the polls they shifted their loyalties – as well as their ample war chests and media infrastructures – to Kast. Anything, it seems, to defeat Boric, the face of “Approve.”32 With political temperatures rising over the “Mapuche conflict” in the South, and immigration in the North, Kast’s Reject platform was ever-more inflected with security and order. The pandemic, meanwhile, introduced new anti-science and anti-globalist elements, although not to the same degree as Trump or Bolsonaro.33

LOOKING BACK


Election reporting invites presentism. So, let’s insist on some history. If, in Gramscian terms, Boric appears today as the “plough-man” of history, the molecular processes of movement “fertilizer” have been at work for some time. Between 1967 and 1973, the socio-political capacities of Chilean workers and peasants reached their modern apogee. That historical cycle posed the possibility of redefining all the entire terrain of or social life, from institutions of the state to the organization of the economy.34 Once in office, the Unidad Popular (Popular Unity, UP), along with the pressures of popular mobilization on an incredible scale, altered previous frameworks of the law and other state-institutions. Experiences of workers’ management in the industrial belt and peasant seizures of latifundios in the countryside were propelled not only autonomously from the state, but on occasion with independence from party lines, including those of the most radical parties on the left.35


“The Popular Unity program and the authors of its economic strategy envisioned a carefully controlled revolution from above,” Peter Winn suggests in his magisterial Weavers of Revolution.36 It was “to be carried out legally, using the instruments created by the bourgeoisie and the powers granted the state.” Allende’s mass base saw things differently. Workers, peasants, and shantytown dwellers understood the election of the UP as an invitation to seize the initiative themselves, through direct action, oriented to fulfilling decades of pent-up demands. Allende’s pledge never to turn the coercive power of the state on the Chilean masses meant that they were released from the threat of repression. Because the UP’s program included promises of far-reaching transformations of society, the distribution of wealth, and coverage of basic necessities for the poor, the popular classes understood that when they assumed responsibility for advancing the revolutionary process in their interests they were carrying out the government’s agenda.37
The consequent unfolding of “a revolution from below” more often than not outpaced the “legalistic and modulated revolution from above,” revealing the limits of Allende’s guiding hand. The revolution from below consisted of the transformation of ordinary workers, peasants, and urban poor into, “active agents of change, the protagonists of their own destiny,” through their relatively unchoreographed socio-political experiments. In a complex blend of spontaneity and coordinated activity with organized political groups, plebeian Chile entered center-stage on its own behalf.38 With a horizon bent toward the end of capitalist society, this revolutionary impulse from below and deep reformism from above were brought abruptly to a close with the coup d’état of 1973, which installed Augusto Pinochet’s regime of terror.


After a few years of experimentation, Pinochet adopted a single-minded agenda of neoliberal counter-revolution. From the mid-1970s forward, the country witnessed the execution of momentous socio-economic restructuring, “linking social life in Chile with the rest of capital worldwide,” through the gun barrels and torture camps of state terror.39 The regime dismantled the dense infrastructures of class struggle built-up over time, and eradicated popular organizations of the left. It retooled the institutions of the state as brazen instruments of capital, the entire edifice ultimately constructed on the base of the 1980 Constitution. For Karina Nohales and Javier Zúñiga this was a true capitalist revolution, with constituent power, “a refoundational impulse that lasts to this day, consolidating a political-institutional regime that is based on the generalized precarity of living conditions, the weight of large rentier capitalists, the financial sector, alongside a commercial sector that promotes debt, and with pauperized working conditions to the benefit of capital.”40


Despite its heroism, the movement for democracy in Chile in the 1980s was unable to overturn this epochal defeat of the left even after Pinochet was ousted in 1989 and electoral liberalism restored to the country by 1990. The audacity of social experimentation from below characteristic of the Allende period was replaced over the 1990s and early 2000s by resignation in the face of a post-political technocracy. Alongside a commitment to neoliberal continuity, authoritarian enclaves underpinned the new order, with legacies from the dictatorship enmeshed in the nodes of an ostensibly democratic state structure.


Beginning in 2006, the first cracks in the neoliberal consensus emerged, kicking off a cycle of movements that would culminate in the social explosion of October 2019. The wave began in the opening year with the so-called revolt of the Penguins – referring to the black and white uniforms of high-school students – which brought more than 1.4 million students into the streets across the country, more than any demonstrations since the pro-democracy mobilizations in the closing years of the dictatorship. By 2011, the generation of militant high-school students were now in university, igniting mass mobilizations across the higher education sector, this time in a more or less syncopated rhythm with Mapuche and other indigenous liberation struggles, socio-ecological movements in the “sacrificial” mining zones, and a reviving movement of precarious, contracted-out laborers.41




The demand for a new constitution cannot be reduced to an empty juridical abstraction. It became the centripetal focus of plurinational, feminist, and class struggles, in which the change of the constitution itself was not ultimately an end in itself, but rather a vehicle for making viable the next set of conditions for more general and profound changes to the conditions of life in Chile.




Women and youth assumed a dominant position in the new assemblyist forms of mass democracy which presided over the emergent and newly forming movement cultures. Out of the many-sided infrastructures of this milieu, left-wing feminism stormed to the frontlines. Feminist militants rooted in the myriad struggles around agro-ecology, housing, territory, education, health, labor, pensions, gender violence, and abortion organized the Chilean iteration of the International Feminist Strike in March 8, 2018, out of which the 8M Feminist Coordinator was born.
The following year, Chile’s feminist strike amounted to one of the biggest demonstrations in Chilean history, at least until the quasi-insurrections broke out a few months later. Amid the latter revolts of October 2019, the 8M Feminist Coordinator was the first organization to call for a general strike, soon joined by the militant dock workers, who had just emerged on the other side of a series of successful sectional strikes of Chilean ports a year earlier. Student federations at all levels shuttered schools and universities. By October 23, banks and businesses were closed, classes suspended, 20 ports paralyzed, 75 percent of industry shut down, and still more was running at only half capacity.42


October established the foundations of possibility for a new historical period, one which would be characterized by open contestation between life and capital, by struggles in which the minimal conditions for social reproduction were pitted against profitability – climate crisis, gender violence, pauperized labor conditions, and social rights. Out of these struggles the demand for a new constitution cannot be reduced to an empty juridical abstraction. It became the centripetal focus of multiple class struggles: plurinational, feminist, and popular for which changing the constitution was not ultimately an end in itself, but a vehicle for pushing the next set of conditions for more general and profound changes to the conditions of life in Chile.43


The meaning of October remains in flux. Political parties, including the PCC and the FA, were marginal to the uprising. While militants from these parties were embedded in the unrest, an overwhelmingly anti-party sentiment predominated and extended even to parties of the left. The idea of Chile as a neoliberal model for the world, an oasis of stability amid Latin American turmoil, was decisively ruptured. A new disposition for militant class struggle was on display among the heterogenous layers of the working class, together with a radicalizing orientation of significant layers of the precariously indebted middle class. But the atmosphere of “anti-politics,” without more effective political leadership from an organized left, remained vulnerable to eventual dispersal, fragmentation, and eventual canalization in different political directions.


As Noam Titelman points out, few in the streets in October were members of unions, much less political parties, and many of the activists were very young.44 Revealingly, a study from the Centro de Estudios Públicos shows that the percentage of people who identify with a position along the left-right axis fell from 65 percent in 2006 to 38 percent in 2019, and, in the same period, the percentage of the population that identified with any party fell from 53 to 22 percent.45


With the hindsight of two years, it is clear that the politicization of Chilean society initiated by the social explosion of October has not simply been an unmitigated turn to the left. Thousands of people have been politically activated on the left and right alike without necessarily identifying as such. To be clear, this is not an equilibrium. To the extent that the popular sectors have been politicized it has mainly been through objectively feminist and leftist socio-political organizing in the broad activity of the process of change propelled forward by the bolt of October, ranging from street-level activism to electoral campaigns around the Constitutional Convention. This activity has been “massive, open, self-managed, participatory and constructive, with a plurality of voices.”46


On the right, by contrast, politicization has been reactionary, channeled through conservative and anti-communist groupings, evangelical churches, and neo-fascist street organizations on a scale unseen since the Allende period.47 It has also been minoritarian, constituted by small numbers of organized cadre, financed by large-scale capitalists, and amplified by more traditional right-wing political figures. Kast, above all, has cohered these sentiments and activities under the banner of Reject.48

BORIC MOVES TO THE CENTER


Despite an objective opening for further left politicization, Boric’s presidential acceptance speech set a conciliatory tone: “I know that beyond the differences that exist between us, in particular with José Antonio Kast we will find a way to build bridges that can bring a better life to our compatriots. Because what unites us is our love of Chile and its people.”49 There were gestures to some of the social themes arising from the October revolts, mixed with appeals for calm and unity – economic growth with less inequality, social cohesion, true and sustainable development, stability of Chile’s democratic institutions, healthcare, pensions, housing, basic services, workers’ rights, gender equality, and the promise of a new relationship with indigenous peoples.


But ideal pacing was the real order of the day. Get ready to go slow: “advances, to be solid, need to be the fruit of broad agreements. And in order to last, they must always be step by step, gradual, in order not to ruin nor put at risk what each family has achieved through its own effort,” Boric insisted.50 The speech contained none of the ruptural energies of October: “Of course, not everything can be done at the same time, and we will prioritize in order to achieve progress that allows us to improve, step by step, the lives of our people. It will not be easy, it will not be fast, but our commitment is to move down the path with hope and responsibility.”51
Multiclass alliance was another recurring motif. “We are going to work with all sectors,” Boric emphasized. “The challenges are too important to stay tied to the trenches. Here everyone is necessary. The workers who day to day produce the wealth of our country. The cooperation of the business world, to build alliances, to bring our visions closer. We are here to assure that prosperity reaches every corner of our land, and for that no one can be left out.”52 Naturally, this required textbook assurances of monetary rectitude. “In this night of triumph,” Boric said, “I repeat the commitment that we made during the entire campaign: we will expand social rights and we will do it with fiscal responsibility, we will do it while protecting our macroeconomy. We will do it well and that will allow improvements to pensions and health, without having to go back on these in the future.”53 Finally, there was a nod to dialogue across the aisles of a divided congress: “We have a balanced congress, which means at the same time an invitation and an obligation to dialogue. I honestly see it as an opportunity to meet again, to unite in great feats for the welfare of our country, to achieve wide and lasting agreements that will improve the quality of life of our compatriots.”54


While it’s true that Boric moved to the center between the first and second rounds of the presidential contest, the predominant characterization in the international media of a Chilean political scene polarized between a far-left and a far-right has always been a radical distortion. In other words, Boric had long-since begun his adaptation to centrism. “In the case of Boric,” the discerning and sympathetic journalist Pablo Stefanoni reports, “in spite of being the candidate of an alliance to the left of Concertación, his program is very far from being radical. It is, rather, the expression of a project of social justice of a social democratic type, in a country where, in spite of the advances in terms of the struggle against poverty, unacceptable forms of social inequality – and hierarchies of ethnicity and class – persist together with the marketization of social life.”55


Boric is tilting hard to the center, and every structural expression of capital will try its best to pull him further in this direction.


The welfare plans of Boric and his team of advisers are not premised on socio-political polarization, nor are they linked to the historic demands of the radical left. Tax-system restructuring and redistributive policy define the parameters of the possible in this vision, and would only require changes at the margins of the model of development. These are the outlines of a more robust welfare state. In many ways, Boric is pledging to carry out the change that the Socialist Party has long promised but never delivered, hollowed out as it has been over thirty-years of alternating in-and-out of centrist coalitions, often with partners to its right.56 In terms of public policy – on pensions, education, health, housing, taxes, and social welfare – there is considerable ideological overlap with the more reformist elements of the ex-Concertación. High-profile academic supporters of Boric, like Claudia Heiss, celebrate this reality and insist that under the new government not all of the promised changes will be possible in one term, but that at least there will be progress in the discussion of these matters, which there wasn’t under the Concertación.57


For their part, the eyes and ears of international capital are wary of prejudging the new government. They worry that remnants of Boric-the-young-student-radical might have outlived adolescence. They acknowledge, too, that he has just won a considerable mandate for change, and the scary thing would be if he took it seriously. Overall, however, the tenor of Boric coverage in the financial press has been sedate, pointing to persistent signals of centrism and moderation. Boric has lowered the bar for his planned tax reforms, promised a slower and trimmer rollout of his social program, and has based it all on fiscal prudence and a commitment to macroeconomic stability. The new head of state seems to recognize that he will need to thoroughly dilute reform measures if they are to survive a divided congress. The hope and expectation of leading financial pundits is that Boric will form a government that more closely approximates Lula’s years in office in Brazil or Ollanta Humala’s in Peru, rather than, say, Cristina Fernández de Kirchner’s in Argentina, or, worse still, Hugo Chávez’s in Venezuela.58 “His challenge,” writes Michael Stott, Latin America editor of the Financial Times, “is to negotiate a path towards the green, sustainable, fairer economy many Chileans want without destroying the country’s appeal to business.”59


It is very early days, but Boric appears committed to the path of least resistance, much closer to Lula’s first term in office than Allende’s. A significant part of his strategy going into the second round, after all, was courting the support of Christian Democracy and the Socialist Party. The most dramatic success to this end was Bachelet’s bold embrace of the Boric ticket. The former president, now the acting High Commissioner of Human Rights at the United Nations, flew to Santiago to cast her ballot, and released a short video in which she called on Chileans to back Boric.60
The president-elect has indicated that he will take a month to name his cabinet, but omens thus far suggest the composition will include a broad coalition. It is likely to encompass the center-left beyond Apruebo Dignidad, in order to reward centrist support for Boric in the campaign for the second round, and, most importantly, to lubricate deals in the divided congress. In the week since the election, the president-elect has been working arduously on the configuration of his governing coalition, expressing his disposition to open the door to myriad forces of the center-left, including the Socialist Party, Partido por la Democracia (Party for Democracy, PPD), Partido Radical de Chile (PRC), and the Partido Liberal (Liberal Party, PL).61 Key ministerial positions, particularly the portfolios of Finance and the Interior, are likely to signal the new government’s moderation, with nominations being announced before the month is up.62 Within ex-Concertación political circles, the talk has apparently been of an inverted Portuguese model. Since 2015, in the Portuguese case, the Socialist Party of Antonio Costa has been supported in parliament by the Communist Party and the Left Bloc, although without the left parties’ participation in cabinet. The ostensible Chilean inversion would see parties of the center-left supporting Boric from congress, with the twist of also holding positions in cabinet.63


Chile’s gross domestic product grew at reasonably high levels by regional standards in the years immediately following the 2008 global crisis – 5.8 (2010), 6.1 (2011), 5.3 (2012), 4.0 (2013) – before slowing in the wake of the end of the commodities boom, with 1.8, 2.3, 1.7, and 1.3 percent growth between 2014 and 2017. Accumulation picked up in 2018, however, with 3.7 percent growth, although it slowed again in 2019, reaching 0.9, before plummeting to -5.8 percent in 2020 in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic.64


One of the major indications of the strength of the October rebellions – and a lesson on the importance of extra-parliamentary class struggle (or its downturn) in determining Chile’s next steps – is the fact that social movements had created a scenario in which, when the coronavirus pandemic hit Chile, it was impossible even for a Conservative government, in full control of congress, to avoid a sizeable spending rollout. Indeed, the Piñera government responded to COVID-19 with one of the largest emergency aid programs anywhere in the Global South, amounting to 14 percent of GDP. This counter-cyclical boost tipped GDP growth to between 11 and 12 percent for 2021, after a 5.8 percent contraction the previous year.65


Next year’s projected growth is expected to fall sharply to 2 percent, and the pressures on the Boric government to comply with capital’s demands for social austerity in a context of low growth, high inflation, and rising interest rates will be relentless.66 Indeed, these pressures are already evident in Boric’s repeated campaign pledges to guarantee fiscal responsibility. According to Chile’s Central Bank, more than $50 billion has already fled the country by way of capital flight in the wake of uncertainties following the events of 2019, and more of that is likely to follow unless Boric concedes to neoliberal metrics of good economic governance.67 With a split congress, ex-Concertación elements, whether from outside or (more likely) inside of cabinet, will apply the conservative instincts on this front that they have displayed so consistently since 1990.
But the tenor of Boric’s administration is hardly up to Boric alone, or even Boric together with the most conservative sections of his coalition. His government will remain vulnerable to the social forces of disruption that animated the social explosion of October two years ago, especially if the new president proves maladroit in his efforts to balance appeasing capital with responding in some minimal sense to the popular demands opened up by the events of October. While a divided congress will be a conservatizing pull, the Constitutional Convention is still likely to gravitate in the other direction. And we shouldn’t forget the 44-percent of the population who embraced the extreme right.


The media has tended to emphasize the centrality of the center-left’s cooperation in improving Boric’s standing in the second round. Unsurprisingly, this misses the important role played by popular movements to Boric’s left in the get-out-the-vote mobilizations between the first and second rounds of the presidential election. These are important to remember because they are one of the signs that significant layers of the Chilean population are willing and able to creatively defend the constituent moment using a variety of tactics. Ebullient demonstrators who took to the streets to celebrate Kast’s defeat are unlikely to simply go home quietly and accept a more or less straightforward return to the disgraced past of the Concertación era.


The present conjuncture is open-ended. On one side of the field of force, Boric is tilting hard to the center, and every structural expression of capital will try its best to pull him further in this direction. His likely coalition and cabinet partners from the ex-Concertación social-liberal parties demonstrated in the recent past an enormous capacity to integrate and decapitate popular energies from below. Outside of the governing coalition, the far-right may have been defeated at the polls, but they are clearly more powerful and popular than at any point since the Pinochet era.


On the other side, the period in which the Concertación was able to integrate and demobilize popular forces so effectively was characterized by dynamic and expansionary capitalist growth, as well as a left physically and psychologically scarred by years of state terror – i.e., all of that predated the earth-quaking political experiences of October 2019. There remains a chance, therefore, that important social reforms will be enacted during the Boric government, but it’s evident that they won’t originate from initiatives on high. Politically independent class struggle on a variety of fronts will be required at every turn.


The stakes could scarcely be higher. “’Those who are poor, die poor. The riches of our country are badly distributed,’ said Carolina Cavieres, a 35-year-old mother of two who cast her vote on Sunday in La Pintana, a working-class suburb to the south of Santiago.”68 A centrist consolidation under Boric would leave unaltered all of the sources of grievance that led to popular, leftist eruptions in the recent past. A centrist turn will not provide an exit to the multi-sided crises facing Chile’s capitalist order. If a government elected on the basis of a left coalition moves to the center and thus precludes an exit to the crisis involving robust solutions for the social welfare and dignity of the majority, we are unlikely to have seen the end of Kastism, whether or not the next iteration is channeled by the figure of Kast himself, and whether or not it is restricted to the legal niceties of electoralism.




________________________________________
Jeffery R. Webber is an Associate Professor in the Department of Politics at York University, Toronto. Impasse of the Latin American Left, co-authored with Franck Gaudichaud and Massimo Modonesi, is forthcoming with Duke University Press.










Originally published in SPECTRE Journal (here)
URL: https://spectrejournal.com/those-who-are-poor-die-poor/?fbclid=IwAR3pvo4wRKU9qBoHRGpnv-b4X7vtCZY5PUxn1t9nGa6up-r9sFlJ5_r9RYA

Political Report 1464 - Nicaragua: Chronicle of an Election Foretold

15 Nov 2021, 23:30 – Latin American Perspectives

by LAP Editor, William I. Robinson
Posted by NACLA

With seven opposition presidential candidates imprisoned and held incommunicado in the months leading up to the vote and all the remaining contenders but one from miniscule parties closely allied with President Daniel Ortega and his Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN), the results of Nicaragua’s November 7 presidential elections were a foregone conclusion. The government declared after polls closed that Ortega won 75 percent of the vote and that 65 percent of voters cast ballots. The independent voting rights organization Urnas Abiertasmeanwhile, reported an abstention rate of approximately 80 percent and widespread irregularities at polling stations around the country.

The vote was carried out in a climate of fear and intimidation, with a total absence of safeguards against fraud.The vote was carried out in a climate of fear and intimidation, with a total absence of safeguards against fraud. In a complete breakdown of the rule of law, Ortega carried out a wave of repression from May to October, leading the opposition to issue a joint statement on October 7 calling for a boycott of the election. Several dozen opposition figures—among them, presidential candidates, peasant, labor, and student leaders, journalists, and environmentalists—were arrested and detained without trial, while several hundred others were forced into exile or underground.

Among those exiled were celebrated novelist Sergio Ramirez, who served as Ortega’s vice president during the 1980s revolution. While the government charged Ramirez with “conspiracy to undermine national integrity,” his crime was provoking the ire of the regime by publishing his latest novel, Tongolele No Sabía Bailar, a fictionalized account of the 2018 mass protests that marked the onset of the current political crisis and the degeneration of the regime into dictatorship. The book was promptly banned in the country, with customs authorities ordered to block shipments at ports of entry.


The repression particularly decimated the left-leaning opposition party Democratic Renovation Union (UNAMOS), formerly called the Sandinista Renovation Movement (MRS). The MRS was formed in 1995 by Ortega’s former comrades in arms who either left the FSLN after the failure of their efforts to democratize it or were expelled for challenging Ortega’s leadership of the party. Among those UNAMOS leaders arrested and to date held incommunicado are legendary guerrilla commanders Dora María Téllez and Hugo Torres, as well as deputy foreign minister in the 1980s, Victor Hugo Tinoco, and party president Ana Margarita Vigil. Amnesty International condemned such detentions and incommunicado conditions as “enforced disappearance as a strategy of repression.”

As part of the crackdown the government also banned 24 civic organizations and professional associations—in addition to some 30 that it had previously banned, including three opposition political parties. The majority of these 24 organizations were professional medical guilds that had come under fire for criticizing the regime’s handling of the Covid-19 pandemic, including reporting that the government had concealed the number of infections and deaths. Vice President Rosario Murillo accused doctors of “health terrorism” and of spreading “false outlooks and news” on the impact of the contagion. During the early months of the pandemic the government convened mass public events under the banner of “Love in Times of Covid.” Nicaragua, together with Haiti, has the lowest rate of vaccination in Latin America, with only 4.9 percent of the population inoculated as of October.

In late 2020, the Sandinistas decreed a spate of laws that allows authorities to criminalize anyone who speaks out against the government. Among these are a Cybercrime Law that allows fines and imprisonment of anyone who publishes in the press or on social media what the government deems to be “false news.” Meanwhile, a “hate crimes” law allows life sentences for anyone considered to have carried out “hate crimes,” as defined by the government. Among the varied offenses listed by Sandinista prosecutors for the recent wave of detentions are “conspiracy to undermine national integrity,” “ideological falsehood,” “demanding, exalting, or applauding the imposition of sanctions against the Nicaraguan state and its citizens,” and “using international funding to create organizations, associations, and foundations to channel funds, through projects or programs that deal with sensitive issues such as sexual diversity groups, the rights of Indigenous communities, or through political marketing on topics such as free expression or democracy.”

A week before the vote, Ortega proclaimed that his wife, Vice President Rosario Murillo, was henceforth the “co-president” of the country. While his bizarre declaration has no legal basis or constitutional legitimacy, it was widely seen as a move to anoint her as his successor—the 76-year-old Ortega is known to be in ill health—and a further step towards the rule of a family dynasty. The ruling couple’s eight children already serve as advisors to the presidency and manage the family’s empire of private and ostensibly public media outlets, investment funds, and family businesses.

A mid-October poll by CID-Gallup—an independent pollster that has been conducting political opinion surveys in the country since 2011—found that 76 percent of the country’s electorate believed the country was moving in the wrong direction. The poll reported that 19 percent of the electorate planned to vote for Ortega, 65 percent stated they would favor an opposition candidate, and 16 percent remained undecided. A rival pollster contracted by the FSLN, M&R, showed Ortega with nearly 80 percent support. While all polls should be assessed with caution given the methodological limitations to surveys conducted amid political instability and civil conflict, it is noteworthy that Ortega’s support dropped to 19 from the 33 percent support reported by a CID-Gallup survey conducted in May of this year, which in turn was down from the high point of popular support for Ortega, 54 percent, registered in CID-Gallup’s 2012 poll.

Now that the votes have been cast, it is impossible to get accurate figures for the results given that the Sandinistas control the Supreme Electoral Council and exercise a near absolute control over reporting on the results. In addition, independent foreign observers were banned, and the threat of repression has dissuaded journalists and civic organizations from speaking out.

Ortega will now start his fourth consecutive term in office since the FSLN returned to power in 2007 in the midst of economic and political crisis. With its legitimacy shattered in the aftermath of the 2018 mass uprising and its violent repression, the regime has to rely more on direct coercion to maintain control. After the economy contracted each year from 2018 to 2020, the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America estimates a 2.0 percent growth rate for the current year and 1.8 percent for 2022—not enough for the economy to recover from the three-year tumble. As the crisis has intensified, the number of Nicaraguans trying to cross the U.S.-Mexico border climbed to historically unprecedented levels to exceed 50,000 this year, compared to just a few thousand in 2020. These numbers are in addition to the 140,000 who had already fled into exile since 2018, mostly to Costa Rica.

The International Left Remains Divided on Nicaragua

The international left remains divided on the Nicaraguan crisis, with some among it arguing that the Ortega-Murillo regime represents a continuation of the 1980s revolution and that the United States has been attempting to overthrow it. However, as I showed in an earlier NACLA article, there is little evidence to corroborate the claim that the 2018 mass uprising was instigated by Washington in an attempt to carry out a coup d’état against the government, or that the United States has since carried out a destabilization campaign aimed at overthrowing the regime.

It was not until the mass protests of 2018 that the co-government pact that Ortega had negotiated with the capitalist class, organized into the Superior Council of Private Enterprise (COSEP), broke down.The Ortega inner circle hacked its way into the ranks of the country’s elite in the aftermath of the 1980s revolution and launched a new round of capitalist development starting in 2007. During this period, the Sandinista bourgeoisie set about to vastly expand its wealth. Leading Sandinistas grouped around Ortega heavily invested in tourism, agroindustry, finance, import-export, and subcontracting for the maquiladoras. Ortega and Murillo championed a program—dressed in a quasi-leftist discourse of “Christian, Socialist, and Solidarity”— of constructing a populist multiclass alliance under the firm hegemony of capital and Sandinista state elites. This model did improve material conditions until the economy began to tank in 2015. It was not until the mass protests of 2018 that the co-government pact that Ortega had negotiated with the capitalist class, organized into the Superior Council of Private Enterprise (COSEP), broke down.

Washington would have liked to have a more pliant regime in place from the start, and the recent events have upped the ante in U.S.-Nicaragua relations. Nonetheless, successive U.S. administrations accommodated themselves since 2007 to the Ortega government, which cooperated closely with the U.S. Southern Command, the Drug Enforcement Agency, and U.S. immigration policies. Although the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) has supplied several million dollars to opposition civic organizations through the National Endowment for Democracy (NED), USAID also granted several hundred million dollars directly to the Ortega government from 2007 until 2018.

On the eve of the Nicaraguan vote, the U.S. Congress passed the RENACER Act, which calls for targeted sanctions on Nicaraguan government officials found guilty of human rights violations and corruption. It also requires the executive branch to determine if Nicaragua should be expelled from the Central American Free Trade Agreement and to “expand oversight” of lending to Nicaragua by international financial agencies. In 2017 the U.S. government passed almost identical legislation, the NICA Act, which to date has resulted in sanctions slapped on several dozen top Nicaraguan government officials, affecting the assets they hold in the United States.

Apart from these sanctions on individuals, however, Washington did not enforce the NICA Act. It did not apply trade sanctions and has not blocked Nicaragua from receiving billions of dollars in credits from international agencies. From 2017 to 2021, Nicaragua received a whopping $2.2 billion in aid from the Central American Bank of Economic Integration (BCIE), and in 2020-2021 it received several hundred million in credits from the Inter-American Development Bank, the World Bank, and the International Monetary Fund.

Some among the international Left condemn calls for sanctions on Ortega. Yet the U.S. and international Left broadly mobilized (unsuccessfully) in 1978 and 1979 to force Washington to impose sanctions on the Somoza dictatorship and block international financing because of the regime’s gross human rights violations. The worldwide Left similarly demanded sanctions against apartheid South Africa, sought to block U.S. and international financing for the Pinochet dictatorship, and currently calls for “boycott, divestment, and sanctions” against Israel.

Grassroots opponents of the Ortega-Murillo regime find themselves between the rock of an Ortega-Murillo dictatorship and the hard place of the capitalist class and its political agents among the traditional conservative parties. The Right—just as disturbed as Ortega by the outburst of popular protest from below in the 2018 uprising—tried to hitch mass discontent to its own agenda of recovering direct political power and assuring there would be no threat to its control over the Nicaraguan economy.

It was the government’s repression of the popular uprising of students, workers, feminists, and environmentalists that paved the way for the Right’s current hegemony over the anti-Sandinista opposition. The mass of Nicaraguans—beyond the Sandinistas’ secure base in some 20 percent of the population—have not shown any enthusiasm for the traditional conservative parties and businessmen that dominate the opposition and have no real political representation. Indeed, the October CID-Gallup poll found that 77 percent of the country’s electoral does not feel represented by any political party.


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1 year ago
Indigenous Languages of Latin America: Exploring the Otomi Language

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1 year ago
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1 year ago
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1 year ago
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1 year ago
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1 year ago
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