Elecciones presidenciales de Chile 2025, en vivo | Comienza la votaciĂłn de los chilenos en el exterior
Este domingo 14 de diciembre los chilenos deben volver a las urnas para elegir al nuevo presidente en una segunda vuelta que enfrenta a candidatos totalmente antagĂłnicos. La candidata de la izquierda Jeannette Jara, y el postulante de la ultraderecha, JosĂ© Antonio Kast, compiten por ser el sucesor del actual mandatario de izquierda, Gabriel Boric, que deja el cargo el 11 de marzo de 2026. Con esta elecciĂłn, que se realiza con voto obligatorio para todos los chilenos habilitados en el padrĂłn electoral, se pondrĂĄ fin a una extensa campaña que ha estado marcada por los temas de seguridad, economĂa y migraciĂłn, ademĂĄs de las crĂticas a la gestiĂłn del Ejecutivo.
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As Mexican Tech Attracts Record-Breaking Levels of Capital, Here Are 10 Global Leaders Supporting The EcosystemÂ
Mexicoâs tech sector is ending 2025 on a high after a year of record-breaking performance.Â
In the second quarter of 2025, for instance, startups in the country raised $437 million, up 85% year-on-year.Â
Not only that, the amount of capital raised saw Mexico overtake Brazil, the leading powerhouse in the Latin American region. This is the first time since 2012 that Mexico has gained a lead over Brazil in terms of fundraising.Â
The largest raise helping to fuel Mexicoâs lead was thanks to a $170 million Series C round for Mexico City-based fintech startup Klar, believed to be Mexicoâs largest digital bank, that valued the company at $800 million.
As Mexico strengthens its position as the leading Latin American country for innovation, itâs also helped to usher in a new wave of activity from international leaders and companies. Danish Coffee brand Joe and Juice recently opened its first store in Mexico City, and its first in Latin America, seeing the Mexican capital is the key to scaling south through the Americas.Â
Further ties between European business is seen with the EUâLAC Innovation Cooperation initiative, held in Mexico City in November 2025 to bring together incubators, accelerators, policymakers, and ecosystem builders.Â
Meanwhile in Mexico City, Nuevo Polanco has been a preferred destination for Chinese tech workers since as early as 2017, when Chinese telecom giant Huawei set up shop in Plaza Carso. In Guadalarja, also known as Mexicoâs Silicon Valley, we can see a strong presence from U.S. companies like Intel and IBM.Â
This is underscored by Mexicoâs top-10 global ranking for engineering graduates, with over 220,000 engineers entering the workforce annually.
As the tech ecosystem in Mexico goes from strength to strength, the presence of international leaders are helping to boost the rate of innovation even further.Â
As the CEO of Ness Digital Engineering, a global full-lifecycle digital services transformation company, Dr. Tinaikar is responsible for spearheading important solutions that improve how software services are delivered across the globe.
Dr. Tinaikar was appointed as the CEO of Ness Digital Engineering in 2020, following his more than 20 years of experience driving growth in the technology sector. This included serving as President of data and analytical services business Fitch Solutions, where he repositioned the business for growth through strategic investments and acquisitions. Dr. Tinaikar was also a Partner at McKinsey, where he was one of the earliest leaders in forming its digital practice, founding the Lean Software Development and IT strategy practices.
In October 2025, Ness announced the inauguration of its Mexico headquarters in Puerta de Hierro, one of Guadalajaraâs most prestigious business districts located in Zapopan. The move reflected Nessâs commitment to building high-impact, nearshore Centers of Excellence for AI-driven Intelligent Engineering.Â
Designed as a client-centric delivery center, the Guadalajara office will enable faster time-to-market and scalable digital transformation across industries.
The Guadalajara center launches with 50 employees by the end of 2025, with aggressive growth plans to scale to 200+ employees by the end of 2026 and more than 300 employees by the end of 2027. This strong trajectory reflects both customer demand and Nessâs intent to make Mexico a true hub for Intelligent Engineering, where new software products and platforms will be conceived and built.Â
Freddy Vega is the Founder CEO of Platzi, and one of the most influential entrepreneurs in Latin America.
His company Platzi is the largest tech school in Latin America, and frequently hosts conferences in Mexico to further support the local tech ecosystem. The enterprise is looking to serve as the growth engine of the hispanic tech world.
Freddy was also earlier named an MIT 35 under 35 in 2020. Platzi was the 1st company targeting hispanics to be funded by Y Combinator (YC W15).
More information about Platziâs conference in Mexico can be found here.
Manuela Gutierrez has over 10 years of experience in the software industry, specializing in client management, visual design, and UI/UX. She has a proven track record of collaborating with international entrepreneurs to create and develop initiatives in Colombia, particularly in healthcare software and clinical trial studies.
Now, the scope of this work is driving impact in Mexico and the entire region of Latin America thanks to 360 Health Data. a close group of industry veterans launched 360 Health Data to create a bespoke resource platform that connects Spanish-speaking clinicians in Latin America with high-quality medical knowledge.âšâÂ
This will empower healthcare professionals across South America by harnessing the vast potential of scientific research and Real-World Evidence (RWE), providing up-to-date journal articles on all relevant disease areas and comprehensive information on pharmaceuticals and other treatments.Â
As a result, the team at 360 Health Data hopes to foster informed decision-making, improve patient outcomes, and advance the field of medicine.Â
Gutierrez is skilled in managing complex projects from inception to completion, ensuring timely delivery while maintaining strong client relationships.Â
Jitesh Shetty is the Founder and CEO of Credibl, a San Francisco-based SaaS company that is rapidly expanding across Latin America and Asia. Credibl, is rethinking sustainability data management across operations, products, and supply chains from the ground up to drive sustainable corporate growth with an AI-powered ESG platform.Â
New standards went into effect in Mexico in 2024 requiring private companies to include sustainability information in financial statements prepared under Mexican Financial Reporting Standards. Credibl is at the forefront of this development, supporting sustainable companies with comprehensive ESG data.Â
Shettyâs vision is a world where technology empowers organizations sustainably and drives positive impact. His AI-powered sustainability technology platform for the future of business has helped key players in the ecosystem transform end-to-end sustainability for companies. Its impact has set it apart, making them leaders in the hospitality and textile value chain industries.
In 2012, Shetty founded Qwiklabs, a large-scale hands-on lab company for software professionals, which he sold to Google in 2016. He is also co-founder and board member of MR Access, a portable MRI company with native AI that, thanks to its innovative design in the healthcare sector, has reduced both capital and operating expenses.
Christian Struve is the Co-Founder and CEO at Fracttal, a 100% cloud-based platform that integrates asset management software, IoT, and artificial intelligence.Â
Christian wrote his lines of code at age 10, marking an early passion for technology. He went on to earn a degree in Computer Science before getting his first real exposure to maintenance management in the oil and gas industry. He later joined PwC as a consultant, specializing in ERP and maintenance solutions, before transitioning into a CIO role in manufacturing, where he led large-scale digital transformation projects.Â
In 2008, he launched his own consulting firm, working on hundreds of projects to optimize maintenance operations through technology. Over the next years, Christian saw that asset management was stuck in the past. Companies were still relying on spreadsheets and outdated systems that couldnât keep up with modern industry demands.
This served as the catalyst to launch Fracttal to revolutionize maintenance and asset management with AI, IoT, and cloud technology, helping companies shift from reactive maintenance to predictive intelligence.
Roberto (Roby) Peñacastro is the co-founder and CEO of Leadsales, an innovative startup focused on providing specialized CRM for WhatsApp and social media, designed to drive direct resultsâoften tripling sales for its clients. Originally from QuerĂ©taro, Roby stands out in the entrepreneurial world for his innate ability to lead high-performing teams and find effective solutions to complex business challenges.
Robyâs dedication and strategic acumen have earned him significant recognition across the global tech ecosystem. He has successfully navigated and been supported by elite accelerators and programs, including SkyDeck Batch 14 S22, the Google for Startups Latino Founders Fund, and StartX S23. Beyond his impressive track record in scaling tech ventures, his commitment extends to philanthropic causes.
This blend of business savvy and social responsibility was formally recognized when Forbes Mexico highlighted him as one of their â30 Promising Business Leadersâ in 2024 and recently named as one of the Innovators Under 35 LATAM of MIT Technology Review 2025.
With a career that combines the financial world with sustainable development, Camila Quiñones has established herself as one of the most influential voices in social impact consulting in the region. A Colombian national who has been based in Mexico for a decade, she currently manages projects as Director of Delivery at Slalom Consulting, where she draws on more than 14 years of experience in high-level strategy and implementation.
Her career began in the financial sector, specializing in capital markets, with a focus on technology implementations for treasuries of large banks in Colombia, Panama, and Mexico.Â
However, in 2019, she made a decisive change: she founded and led the social and environmental impact area at a leading Mexican consulting firm, working with organizations that address critical challenges such as education and employability, financial inclusion, and climate action, among others.
An expert in program design, ecosystem mapping, and strategic alliances, Quiñones combines analytical rigor with a transformative vision. Her work not only drives projects forward but also generates research and innovative thinking, positioning her as a key bridge between the private sector and social development in Latin America.
The post As Mexican Tech Attracts Record-Breaking Levels of Capital, Here Are 10 Global Leaders Supporting The Ecosystem appeared first on Aztec Reports.
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Los candidatos y la salud
La salud figura entre las principales preocupaciones de la ciudadanĂa chilena, segĂșn diversas encuestas. Esto no resulta sorprendente: el sistema de salud chileno arrastra desde hace años una crisis estructural que ha dejado al Estado en deuda con la ciudadanĂa. Tal como señalamos en el capĂtulo de salud del Informe Anual de Derechos Humanos 2025, esta crisis es multicausal. Su origen estĂĄ en un modelo segmentado y discriminatorio segĂșn sexo, edad y nivel socioeconĂłmico, en la falta de sostenibilidad financiera, en la desigualdad entre los sectores pĂșblico y privado, en el bajo Ă©nfasis en la AtenciĂłn Primaria como puerta de entrada al sistema, y en la opacidad y dĂ©bil fiscalizaciĂłn del sector asegurador. Estos factores generan inequidades en acceso y calidad y perpetĂșan una lĂłgica de mercado que privilegia la capacidad de pago por sobre el derecho a la salud.
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Muere a los 86 años Abraham Quintanilla, padre y representante de la cantante Selena
El padre y representante de la popular cantante de la mĂșsica tejana Selena, Abraham Quintanilla, ha fallecido a los 86 años, segĂșn ha dado a conocer su hijo, A.B. Quintanilla III, a travĂ©s de sus redes sociales. âCon gran pesar les informo que mi padre falleciĂł hoyâ, publicĂł este sĂĄbado el mĂșsico en su cuenta de Instagram. Las causas de su muerte no han sido reveladas.
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Five-month preemptive arrest for former Bolivian President Arce
Former Bolivian President Luis Arce Catacora has been placed under preemptive arrest at the San Pedro detention facility in La Paz for five months, pending a corruption inquiry regarding the mismanagement of funds intended for indigenous projects when he served as Economy Minister under Evo Morales (2006-2019).
El tortuoso desembarco de Fabien Pisani en La Habana a ritmo de reguetĂłn y trova
Cuando Fabien Pisani escuchĂł que su pelĂcula En la caliente: Historias de un guerrero del reguetĂłn no se exhibirĂa en el Multicine Infanta, a la hora prevista en la tarde de lunes, reaccionĂł como si lo esperara. âSi viene la luz, proyectamos. Si no, pues noâ, dijo la trabajadora del cine, apostada en la puerta. Y la luz no llegĂł. Un apagĂłn tenĂa sumida a casi toda La Habana en la mĂĄs penosa oscuridad âasĂ ocurriĂł durante varios dĂasây habĂa frustrado, entre otras experiencias de la vida cotidiana de los cubanos, la proyecciĂłn del primer largometraje documental de Pisani, como parte de la selecciĂłn oficial del 46 Festival Internacional del Nuevo Cine Latinoamericano, celebrado del 4 al 14 de diciembre.
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Jeannette Jara, la comunista que busca el centro
El liderazgo de Jeannette Jara (Santiago, 51 años) arrancĂł en 1997, cuando fue presidenta de la FederaciĂłn de Estudiantes de la Universidad de Santiago de Chile. Y aunque fue subsecretaria de PrevisiĂłn Social durante dos años en el segundo Gobierno de la socialista Michelle Bachelet (2006-2010, 2014-2018), fue a partir de marzo de 2022, cuando asumiĂł como ministra del Trabajo del frenteamplista Gabriel Boric, que se hizo popular. Tanto asĂ, que en tres años se convirtiĂł en la principal figura de la izquierda chilena, llevando sorpresivamente al Partido Comunista (PC), en el que milita desde los 14 años, a una posiciĂłn tan protagĂłnica como inĂ©dita: es primera vez que la formaciĂłn tiene una candidatura competitiva a La Moneda. En junio ganĂł ampliamente las elecciones primarias del sector, con un 60%, a la socialdemĂłcrata Carolina TohĂĄ, exministra del Interior, y el 16 de noviembre pasĂł al desempate frente a JosĂ© Antonio Kast, de la derecha radical, con quien se enfrenta este 14 de diciembre.
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Colombian guerrillas declare nationwide armed strike to protest US aggression
BogotĂĄ, Colombia â The Colombian National Liberation Army (ELN) has declared a 72-hour nationwide armed strike beginning on Sunday in protest against increased US military activity in Latin America.
In a statement, the group warned Colombians not to travel via the countryâs roadways or navigable rivers during the three day window; while the group said it would not harm civilians, armed strikes are enforced through violence, with previous iterations involving vehicle burnings and civilian casualties.
The action will be the first national-level armed strike since 2022 and comes amid an ongoing U.S. boat bombing campaign â which the Pentagon says has targeted ELN members â as well as White House threats of further intervention, including land strikes in Colombia.
âWe, the peoplesâ forces of Colombia, protest the threat of imperialist intervention in our country as a new phase of Trumpâs neo-colonial plan, which aims to sink its claws even deeper into Latin American and Caribbean territories,â read a decree emitted on Friday by the ELN.
On multiple occasions, U.S. President Donald Trump has floated the idea of striking drug production targets within Colombian borders; Colombia is the worldâs largest producer of cocaine and the ELN is known to be a key actor in the drug trade.
The communiquĂ© said the strike would begin at 6:00 AM on Sunday, December 14 and last until the same time on Wednesday.Â
While it instructed civilians not to travel by road or river during the three day window, it maintained that its âroad control units will respect civilians and their property,â but advised regular people not to mix with soldiers in order to âavoid accidents.â
Although the measures are purportedly national, analysts say they are unlikely to affect the whole country.
âIn practical terms, this is a national announcement, but it has a limited impact because the ELN does not have a national presence,â Gerson Arias, investigator at the Ideas for Peace Foundation (FIP), a Colombian think-tank, told The BogotĂĄ Post.
Arias said the bulk of the effect will be seen in areas of ELN control, especially in Colombiaâs northeast and in the western departments of Cauca, Nariño and ChocĂł.
The last time the ELN implemented a nationwide armed strike was in 2022, with incidents across 17 departments including vehicle burnings and road blockages intended to protest the Ivan Duque administration (2018-2022).
But the ELN regularly uses smaller scale armed strikes to exert control over specific areas, usually in rural regions. Experts say that the guerrillas often use the actions as a guise to secure drug transit corridors and facilitate the movement of soldiers and contraband.
Rights groups criticize armed strikes for producing a host of deleterious effects on affected populations, with forced confinement impeding access to education, food, and healthcare.Â
While the ELNâs decree did not explicitly mention U.S. threats against Venezuela, the group is known to have a presence in the country and has recorded ties with the NicolĂĄs Maduro regime.
Much of the guerrilla groupâs territory lies on the border with Venezuela and any U.S. attack on Colombiaâs neighbor would also threaten the ELN, according to FIPâs Arias.Â
âThe ELN is well aware that it may be affected by some of the measures taken by the United States,â said the analyst.
The group has already been directly impacted by Trumpâs boat bombing campaign, with U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth saying an October 17 strike on an alleged drug vessel had killed three ELN members. The rebels denied the claim, insisting they do not smuggle drugs.Â
The ELNâs armed strike declaration underscores the complex panorama of armed groups in the region and their ties to government, drug trafficking, and border zones. While the impact of the action is yet to be seen, the announcement shows the far-reaching consequences of the White Houseâs mounting military pressure in the region.
This article originally appeared in The BogotĂĄ Post and was republished with permission.
Featured image description: ELN fighters.
Featured image credit: Brasil de Fato via Flickr
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U.S. Seizure of the Skipper Oil Tanker in the Caribbean: The Numerous Holes in Trumpâs Line of Reasoning
The U.S.âs seizure of the oil tanker the Skipper in the Caribbean is just one more example of the inconsistencies, lies and ludicrous claims that characterize Trumpâs justification for his actions against Venezuela. As Representative Gregory Meeks (NY), a ranking member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee pointed out, the seizure clearly demonstrates that the bombing of the 42 boats by the Southern Command has nothing to do with drug trafficking. Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt describes the Skipperâs shipment as âblack market oilâ but thatâs only because the U.S. sanctions donât give Venezuela any alternative to export its oil. Itâs like a judge who sentences a man to stop breathing and then when the man grasps for breath the judge declares heâs breaking the law.Â
Simultaneously, Trump sanctioned 6 more shipping companies that transport Venezuelan oil. The groundwork is being laid for more seizures. The Financial Times now states âfifty-five sanctions-hit tankers have participated in Venezuelan oil trades in the last year.â Why doesnât the Turmp administration just come out and say it? The U.S. is blockading Venezuela.
On the other hand, the Trump administration states that itâs the Skipper company that is being targeted because it allegedly finances terrorist groups, specifically Hezbollah and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard. But the oil belongs to Venezuela, not the Skipper. According to that logic, the U.S. should return the oil to Venezuela. Not likely to happen.
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Colombia stays silent on abstention in UN âkidnappedâ Ukraine children vote
MedellĂn, Colombia â The results of a UN forum, made public on December 3, revealed that Colombia abstained from taking a position on the statement urging Russia to guarantee the âimmediate, safe and unconditional return of Ukrainian children who have been deported or forcibly removedâ to Russian territory.Â
Despite 91 countries voting in favor of the document, Colombia, which will sit on the Security Council next year, joined 57 nations â including Brazil, El Salvador, and China â refraining from supporting the measure. Meanwhile, 12 countries voted against it.Â
The development has placed President Gustavo Petroâs government in the hot seat as opposition figures in Colombia criticize and question the decision while the administration, so far, refuses to comment publicly.Â
The United Nations statement, proposed by Ukraine with the sponsorship of Canada and the European Union, urged the return of thousands of Ukrainian children who were transferred from their homes to Russian territory over nearly four years of war.Â
The resolution also calls on the Russian Federation âto cease such actions without delay, and to end the practices of family separation and the âchange of [childrenâs] personal statusâ through citizenship, adoption, foster placement or indoctrinationâ, according to a UN press release on the approved resolution.Â

Source: https://x.com/sherwiebp/status/1996326527492075996
Backlash following the abstentionÂ
Colombiaâs decision to abstain has drawn criticism from the opposition, who say it highlights inconsistencies in President Petroâs foreign policy.Â
These voices point to Petroâs outspoken stance as a defender of human rights and his historically active role in international affairs, whilst demanding clarification as to why the government has avoided taking a concrete stance on Russiaâs invasion of a sovereign nation and the return of said Ukrainian children.Â
Members of Congress from the Centro DemocrĂĄtico, the leading opposition party, have taken to social media to raise their concerns.Â
Representative of the Democratic Center AndrĂ©s Forero, who urged, on X, that President Petro âmust explain to the country why he ordered the Colombian delegation to the UN to abstain from voting on the motion urging Russia to return the thousands of Ukrainian children who have been kidnappedâ.Â
Further dissent came from Senator Paloma Valencia who also took to X to question Petroâs government.Â
There has been no explanation offered by either President Petro or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.Â
According to Brazilian media, the vote reinforces the Lula governmentâs position of equidistance in the conflict but raises questions about seeking a position as a global mediator over prioritizing human rights.Â
The Russian government has accused the UN of âdistorting realityâ.Â
In a Facebook post, Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs lashed out at President of UN General Assembly Annalena Baerbock, accusing her of framing her speech in âGoebbels propaganda mouldâ.
Featured image description: United Nations Security Council.
Featured image credit: United Nations via Flickr.
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New Caribbean Music This Week: Sean Paul, Anthony B, Machel Montano, Fay-Ann Lyons & More Drop Fresh Releases

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Fri. Dec. 12, 2025: New Caribbean music continues to surge with purpose, rhythm, and global appeal as several of the regionâs most celebrated and emerging artists release new tracks this week, spanning dancehall, reggae, soca, and world music.

Leading this weekâs releases is Sean Paul, whose new single âFaith We A Keepâ dropped today under Dutty Rock Productions, with exclusive licensing to Milk & Honey Records. Inspired by the resilience of the Jamaican people following Hurricane Melissa, the track delivers an uplifting message centered on perseverance, faith, and protection during challenging times. Blending emotional depth with Sean Paulâs signature delivery, the dancehall release is expected to resonate across radio playlists and inspirational programming.
âFaith We A Keepâ was produced by Daramola and written by Sean Paul alongside Stephen âDi Geniusâ McGregor Henriques, Karen Amanda Reifer, and Abraham Olaleye. Recording took place at Paramount Studio and Dutty Rock Studio, with engineering by Kahlil âTanned Jesusâ Vellani and Andre âSuku Wardâ Gray. The track is officially released on December 12, 2025.
LISTEN HERE
Veteran reggae and dancehall artist Anthony B also returns this week with his new single âGood Music,â now available on all major streaming platforms. Produced by GRAMMY Award-winning producer J-Vibe, the song delivers classic feel-good roots reggae vibes and marks the second release from Anthony Bâs upcoming 2026 album on Ineffable Records. While Anthony B remains globally known for his iconic hit âWorld A Reggae Music,â his more recent track âChill Outâ from the 2023 album Bread & Butter has emerged as his top-performing digital release to date, signaling sustained audience demand for his sound.
Soca fans are also being treated to a high-energy collaboration as Voice, Machel Montano, and litleboy lsbeats767 team up on âBam Bam,â a track already gaining traction ahead of the 2026 Carnival season. Produced by litleboy lsbeats767, Precision Productions, and Machel Montano, with additional production by Mega Mick, the single blends modern soca with infectious hooks designed for both stage and fete settings.
The song features writing contributions from Aaron St-Louis (Voice), Machel Montano, Art Raoul Travis Philip, Foster Marcel Xavier, and Kasey Phillips, with recording sessions split between Trinidad studios. âBam Bamâ is released under Monk Music and is available on streaming platforms and YouTube.
Meanwhile, Trinidad and Tobagoâs soca powerhouse Fay-Ann Lyons teams up with producer GusBus on âCanât Fling Mud To A Love Song,â a world-soca release blending lyrical reflection with melodic warmth. Written and performed by Lyons, the track is released under Bad Beagle with exclusive licensing to Diaspora Sound, continuing her tradition of pairing social commentary with Caribbean rhythms.
Adding to this weekâs diverse offerings is the Guardians Riddim, released by Blackstarr Productionz under Larnox Global Entertainment Ltd, featuring a world and soca-driven soundscape designed for multiple artist interpretations.
Also new is âEarthquakeâ by YelloStone, released via Jahmari Records / Dimmie Joe Muzik, delivering contemporary Caribbean energy with crossover appeal.
Rounding out the week is rising Jamaican reggae artist Ras-I, who releases âReggae Mountain (Feel No Way),â a modern take on uplifting roots reggae. The single marks the first release from his upcoming 2026 album on Ineffable Records. Ras-I, who won Best New Reggae Artist at the 2024 Caribbean Music Awards, continues to gain international attention following the selection of his song âSomewhere Wonderfulâ as the official theme for the Jamaica Tourist Board earlier this year.
Together, this weekâs releases reflect the Caribbean music industryâs continued global influence â balancing heritage, innovation, and messages that resonate far beyond the region.
Haiti Needs to Lay New Tracks
By Jake Johnston
Research Associate, Center for Economic and Policy Research
Itâs been nearly a decade since Haitians last went to the polls to elect a president. Even then, barely one in five participated. In a country with a majority of the population under 25 years of age, this means that, for most Haitians, voting for oneâs leaders is a privilege never before experienced.
Haitiâs transition, precipitated by the assassination of Jovenel MoĂŻse in July 2021, is ongoing. For the better part of four years, progress toward elections has remained elusive. But that all appeared to change this fall.
âThe Haitians need to come to an election and elect a president,â the US Charge dâAffaires, Henry Wooster said in September. Security and other challenges must not be a âred herring for taking action,â he continued. Speaking directly to Haitiâs de facto authorities, he warned: âIn other words, you canât stay in those jobs for life.â
The reaction, in a country where the political class remains more responsive to Washington than the population in Haiti, was swift. Two months later, a new electoral law has been established and a vote scheduled for next August. But does this present Haitians with a path out of the multiple, overlaid crises affecting the country? More than half the country is facing food insecurity, the economy is about to wrap up its seventh consecutive year of negative growth, and insecurity continues to dominate daily life.
In 2023, when asked if they had trust in the electoral process, fewer than one in four Haitians responded yes. It is hard to imagine that number is higher today. Though few would be sorry to see the much-loathed leaders atop the transition fall, a vote is not a path out of the current crisis.
The quick response to Woosterâs threats was not so much about elections. It was about a date much closer on the horizon: February 7, 2026. That is when the mandate of the nine-member presidential council â which was put in place with a strong push from the Biden administration, CARICOM, UN, and the OAS 18 months ago â formally ends. For months, debate has raged over what should come next. The political class is auditioning, not with the ten-plus million citizens of Haiti, but with the foreign diplomats and multilateral entities they see as key to their own survival.
And if there was any doubt about who would ultimately decide, it was put to rest in mid-November. Amid an effort from some on the transitional presidential council to, once again, replace the prime minister, the US embassy stepped into the fight.
âIf you and your family value your relationship with the United States, I urge you in the strongest terms to desist from initiatives to oust the PM and to instead publish the electoral decree ⊠This is not the time to test U.S. resolve,â Wooster texted Fritz Jean, one of the councilors. Days later, Jeanâs US visa was revoked and the State Department publicly accused him, without providing evidence, of supporting armed gangs. The effort to replace the PM was stopped â at least for now. The next week, the electoral decree was published.
The âplanâ is coming into focus, and it is a familiar one: stability at all costs, no matter how rotten the foundation. To enforce this notion of stability and allow for elections, the US has been quick to assure that more security support is on the way.
In September, the UN Security Council approved a Gang Suppression Force (GSF). Authorized for up to 5,500 soldiers, it is currently little more than a rebranding of the Kenyan-led Multinational Support Mission (MSS) that the UN authorized in 2024. No new troops have arrived and, while this new mission will have some level of UN support, operationalizing any of it is expected to take the better part of a year.Â
The main difference then, for the 1,000 or so mostly Kenyan police on the ground in Haiti is that the rules of engagement have changed. The GSF, as its name suggests, is intended to be more âmuscular,â by which its architects mean lethal. The newly drafted Concept of Operations outlines a mission with a simple goal: kill the bandits.
But while few have taken note, that has been the de facto authoritiesâ strategy for some time. So far this year, police forces have been responsible for well over half of the 4,500-plus killings in Haiti. Hundreds of civilians have been caught in the crossfire as police battle armed groups that exert influence over much of Port-au-Prince and have traumatized a nation. Drone attacks, led by a secretive police unit operating with Blackwater CEO Erik Princeâs private mercenaries, are also racking up civilian casualties and drawing growing condemnation.
The outspoken leaders of Haitiâs armed groups, however, only seem to continue to accumulate more power, political influence, and heavy weaponry. While some areas of the capital have seen tension ease, violence in the provinces is expanding by the day. Armed groups still control all the major arteries of the nation. More people are displaced today than at the height of the post-earthquake recovery.
The US has expressed its goal in Haiti as saving the state from imminent collapse, thereby avoiding mass migration or the further entrenchment of transnational criminal organizations. But while precious oxygen is consumed by raging debates over electoral timelines, transitional governance structures, and how quickly foreign soldiers can arrive, nobody has stopped to ask a basic question: is the current state worth saving?
The root of the tension that has paralyzed the country for much of the last decade is not a fight between violent gangs and the state. Simplistic narratives of good versus evil miss the mark. Rather, it is a fight over putting the train back on the tracks to save a rump state in the name of stability or to lay new tracks to create the foundations for a more representative state to rise from the ashes. It is not elections nor a foreign military force that will resolve this fundamental tension. In fact, history shows those two responses are more likely to consolidate the status quo.
The Haitian people need an opportunity to vote freely. They need to feel safe and secure in their communities. But what is missing is a plan to bring it all together, to begin restoring faith in a state that long ago lost the trust of the population; a plan to achieve peace, which is not just the absence of violence, but the presence of opportunity. What is missing is a vision that can inspire the population and bring the nation together around a common path forward.
A peace process can fill that gap. Such an endeavor does not mean legitimizing armed actors, condoning violence, or accepting impunity; rather, what it should mean is treating the situation holistically while centering the population and in particular victims of both state and non-state violence. A foreign military force and low-turnout elections are tracks Haiti has been down many times before. A peace process offers a chance at laying new ones. But first, what Haiti needs are political leaders responsive to the needs of the people and not simply to foreign embassies.
Brazilâs lower house passes bill to shorten Bolsonaroâs sentence amid chaos inside the chamber
SĂŁo Paulo, Brazil â Brazilâs lower house of Congress on Tuesday approved a bill that aims to reduce sentences for those convicted of crimes involving the January 8, 2023 attacks on the countryâs government headquarters in BrasĂlia.Â
The bill would also apply to jailed former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a 27-year sentence for plotting a coup.Â
The Chamber of Deputies approved the bill at 2:30 AM during an unusually late session by 291 votes in favor and 148 against. The bill still needs to pass the Senate.Â
Voting for the bill on Tuesday was not expected, and when the president of the Chamber of Deputies called it to the floor for a vote, chaos broke out in the chamber.Â
Glauber Braga, a left-wing congressman, protested against holding a vote on the bill by taking the Chamber presidentâs chair and refusing to leave â he was eventually taken away by congressional police.Â
TĂșlio Amancio, a reporter from a national TV station, witnessed the melee and said he saw colleagues being physically injured.
Amancio told Brazil Reports the press was brutally expelled from the plenary, and the live TV signal from within the Chamber of Deputies was turned off.Â
According to the reporter, a number of journalists, including a female, were assaulted; one, he said, needed to be taken to get medical attention inside the Chamber.Â
In September, Bolsonaro was convicted along with military and government officials for planning a coup to remain in power after he lost the 2022 election to President Luiz InĂĄcio Lula da Silva. The plot allegedly included a plan to assassinate Lula. Bolsonaro has denied his involvement.Â
Since then, Bolsonaroâs lawmaker allies had been trying to negotiate an amnesty law to pardon the ex-president and all those convicted in the January 8 attacks, which caused millions of dollars in damage to Brazilâs Congress, Supreme Court and presidential palace.
The bill that passed through Congress on Tuesday is a lighter version of the amnesty law.Â
Maria do RosĂĄrio, a congresswoman from the center-left Workerâs Party, believes the Senate â which has a conservative majority â will most likely approve the bill.Â
Featured image credit:
Image: Discussion and voting on legislative proposals in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies
Source: Bruno Spada/CĂąmara dos Deputados
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U.S. biotechnology company secures $5.9 million USD under Nova IndĂșstria Brasil policyÂ
MIT-based biotechnology company Harmony Baby Nutrition has secured $5.9 million USD (31.9 million Brazilian reais) from the joint FINEP-BNDES innovation fund, one of Brazilâs foremost partnerships promoting the countryâs entrepreneurial ecosystem under the 2024 Nova IndĂșstria Brasil policy.
With the funds, the startup is planning to create a new research and development center in the eastern city of Belo Horizonte, focused on developing a wide range of infant formulas- from everyday products to Harmonyâs humanized solutions.Â
Nova IndĂșstria Brasil was introduced in January 2024 as a way to âstimulate productive and technological development, expand the competitiveness of Brazilian industry, guide investment, promote better jobs, and boost the countryâs qualified presence in the international market,â according to the Brazilian government.Â
The policy has allocated 3 billion reais ($555 million USD) to strengthen the nationâs domestic innovation capacity. Through it, the country selectively supports companies deemed capable of building large-scale research and development (R&D) infrastructure in Brazil.Â
As a method of reversing the countryâs premature deindustrialization, Nova IndĂșstria Brasil has called for coordinating a wide range of state instruments- including credit lines, non-refundable resources, regulatory and intellectual property actions, and public works policy- with incentives for the productive sector.Â
The selection of Harmony recognizes the companyâs scientific leadership and global potential, as well as its capacity to become a key player in Brazilâs technological and industrial future.Â
Harmony developed the first human breastmilk-based infant formula on the market. Its mission of transforming infant nutrition with a human-inspired hypoallergenic formula is now crossing international borders, as it will now use its Brazilian development center to accelerate the development of biologically-aligned infant formula- that are hypoallergenic, too.Â
âThere is currently no domestic infant formula industry in Brazil; the market has been dominated for decades by large multinational companies,â said Wendel Afonso, Founder and CEO at Harmony.Â
âThis funding allows us to establish a world-class research and production ecosystem right here in Belo Horizonte. In doing so, we are also positioning Brazil as a global leader in humanized infant formula innovation,â he added.Â
Afonso himself is native to the State of Minas Gerais, where Belo Horizonte is located, and holds a Pharmacy degree and a Masterâs in Food Science and Technology from the Federal University of Minas Gerais. It was here when he began researching protein hydrolysates for clinical nutrition.Â
The founder was inspired to innovate when he turned to instant formula after his second child showed an allergy to cowâs milk. Harmonyâs first product, Melodi, is a specialized toddler formula that has demonstrated 61% higher sensory preference compared to standard hypoallergenic products.Â
One in six babies experience allergic reactions to cowâs milk based formulas, but available hypoallergenic options often have unpleasant tastes that children reject. Unlike traditional formulas- which also rely on added sugars and industrial cowâs milk derived ingredients- Harmony eliminates all unnecessary ingredients. Melodi, in fact, has no corn serum, table sugar or maltodextrin.Â
Beyond this, dairy cows and their manure produce substantial amounts of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, and contribute to the conversion of a natural habitat to agricultural land due to the increasing demand for feed crops such as corn, alfalfa, and soy, as per the World Wildlife Organization. Brazil has the third-largest milk production in the world, and Minas Gerais is the largest producing state.Â
Harmonyâs dairy-free innovation aims to dramatically cut emissions, while also improving user satisfaction and boosting the Brazilian productive sector. The startup expects to commence the implementation of its new innovation center in the first semester of 2026, with an expansion encompassing 250 square meters including laboratories and a state-of-the-art application plant.Â
The initiative foresees the recruitment of 25 professionals- of which at least five will be scientists- who will contribute across scientific, technical, administrative, and operational domains.Â
Research activities, on the other hand, will focus on the development and performance assessment of novel formulations tailored to diverse needs, as well as the investigation of bioactive ingredient properties.Â
Harmony is now also raising a community round on Wefunder as a way to engage more stakeholders in participating towards a redefinition of early-life nutrition through science and sustainability.Â
Image source: Del Afonso via LinkedIn
Disclosure: This article mentions a client of an Espacio portfolio company.
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Ethiopians On TPS Given 60 Days To Leave US

News Americas, WASHINGTON, D.C., Fri. Dec. 12, 2205: The U.S. Department of Homeland Security, (DHS), today gave Ethiopian immigrants in the US on Temporary Protected Status, (TPS), 60 days to leave the country as they ended the program by concluding that country conditions no longer meet the statutory requirements for the humanitarian designation.

The decision was announced today by Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem following what DHS described as a careful review of current conditions in Ethiopia.
âTemporary Protected Status designations are time-limited and were never meant to be a ticket to permanent residency,â a U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, (USCIS,) spokesperson said in a statement. âConditions in Ethiopia no longer pose a serious threat to the personal safety of returning Ethiopian nationals. Since the situation no longer meets the statutory requirements for a TPS designation, Secretary Noem is terminating this designation to restore integrity in our immigration system.â
TPS provides temporary relief from deportation and work authorization to nationals of countries experiencing armed conflict, environmental disasters, or other extraordinary conditions that prevent safe return. Ethiopia was designated for TPS amid concerns related to internal conflict and instability.
Under the termination order, Ethiopian nationals currently covered by TPS who do not have another lawful basis to remain in the United States will have 60 days to voluntarily depart the country.
DHS is encouraging individuals who choose to leave voluntarily to use the U.S. Customs and Border Protectionâs CBP Home Mobile App to report their departure. According to DHS, the voluntary departure process includes a complimentary plane ticket, a $1,000 exit bonus, and the possibility of future opportunities for legal immigration to the United States.
The department warned that enforcement actions will follow the conclusion of the grace period. After February 13, 2026, DHS may arrest and remove Ethiopian nationals who remain in the United States without legal status following the termination of TPS.
âIf an alien forces DHS to arrest and remove them, they may never be allowed to return to the United States,â the agency cautioned.
Immigration advocates have historically raised concerns about TPS terminations, noting the potential impact on families, employers, and communities with long-standing ties to the United States. DHS, however, emphasized that TPS is intended as a temporary humanitarian measure and must be reassessed periodically based on current country conditions.
The termination of Ethiopiaâs TPS designation comes amid broader efforts by the administration to tighten enforcement while promoting voluntary compliance with immigration laws.
The Weight Of A Word: Rethinking âMinorityâ In America

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Fri. Dec. 12, 2005: âIn our country, we believe there should be no minority and no majority, just people.â â Steve Biko
The South African activist Steve Biko used these words to highlight how language itself can be a tool of division. Though Biko was speaking in the context of apartheid, his words hold relevance in the United States, where the categories of âminorityâ and âmajorityâ remain central to how race is discussed and understood.

Few words in American racial discourse are as common or as unexamined as minority. The term appears in government reports, census categories, school curricula, corporate diversity statements, and daily conversation. Black Americans, along with Latinos, Asians, Indigenous people, and immigrants, are routinely described as âminorities.â The word is so deeply ingrained in the national vocabulary that it often goes unquestioned. Yet its history and social implications reveal a different story. Beneath its surface neutrality, minority operates as a marker of marginalization.
The English word minority originally referred to being smaller in number or lesser in status. In political contexts, it described groups with less representation or less authority, such as a minority party in a legislature. In this setting, the meaning was both numerical and hierarchical: fewer members translated into less influence.
In the United States, this logic made its way into racial discourse. By the early to mid-twentieth century, as government agencies and social scientists studied racial and ethnic groups, âminorityâ became a shorthand for those outside the white mainstream. The U.S. Census, for example, tracked populations according to racial categories, but policy discussions increasingly referred to these communities collectively as âminorities.â The label appeared in debates on education, employment, and voting rights.
This was more than description. It was categorization. To call Black Americans a minority was not only to note their numbers but also to assign them a social position. It implied less power, less visibility, and less belonging. Over time, the word solidified into a label that carried assumptions of inferiority.
The implications of this language extend far beyond statistics.
Defining by deficit. To be labeled a minority is to be defined by lack. It frames identity in terms of what is missing, population size, influence, resources, rather than what is present. For Black Americans and Caribbeans individuals, this framing compounds the legacy of slavery, segregation, and systemic exclusion, reinforcing a narrative of limitation.
Masking diversity. The category also obscures difference. By grouping together Black Americans, Latinos, Asians, those of Caribbean decent, Native peoples, and others under one label, the word erases the distinct histories and struggles of each. Black Americans, whose presence in the U.S. is rooted in enslavement and centuries of systemic discrimination, are placed in the same category as immigrant populations with very different experiences. The flattening of identity that results prevents deeper recognition of each communityâs unique realities.
Sustaining hierarchy. The persistence of the word minority also reinforces a symbolic hierarchy. Even in places where Black and brown communities form the majority, cities like Detroit, Houston, or Atlanta, they are still labeled minorities. Nationally, demographic projections show that by mid-century, nonwhite populations will collectively outnumber whites, yet the label persists. This demonstrates that minority is less about numbers and more about social status.
The institutional use of âminorityâ has reinforced these implications. Civil rights legislation of the 1960s, while groundbreaking, often used the term âminority groupsâ to identify those entitled to protection. Affirmative action programs in higher education and employment were designed with âminoritiesâ in mind. These policies addressed real inequities but also embedded the label into the structure of law.
In education, textbooks routinely referred to Black, Latino, and Asian students as minorities. For generations of children, growing up meant encountering a narrative that positioned them as small, lesser, and outside the center of American identity. The repetition of the label in classrooms normalized the idea of difference as deficiency.
In the workplace, âminority hiringâ became a standard phrase. While meant to promote inclusion, it often created the impression that employees of color were tokens, exceptions granted space within institutions rather than central contributors. Again, the word framed belonging in terms of scarcity.
Perhaps the most damaging effect of the word minority is its internalization. Many Black Americans refer to themselves as minorities without questioning the label. Over time, this acceptance can subtly reinforce a sense of smallness.
Research in social psychology has shown that repeated exposure to deficit-based language can shape self-concept. Children labeled as minorities may come to see themselves as outsiders in their own country. Adults who internalize the term may carry an unspoken sense of limitation, even as they succeed. This is not because they lack confidence or capability, but because the language itself imposes boundaries on how they are imagined.
The damage here is not always visible. It operates quietly, through the drip of repetition, until it feels natural. When people embrace the label for themselves: âIâm a minority in this country,â they may unknowingly reinforce the very hierarchy that the term was designed to describe.
Despite its baggage, the term remains widespread. Bureaucracy plays a role. Government agencies and corporate diversity programs are still organized around categories like âminority representation.â Habit plays another role. Once embedded in textbooks, policies, and popular speech, words are difficult to uproot. Convenience also contributes. âMinorityâ is a single word that groups together diverse populations, offering an easy shorthand.
But convenience is not harmless. The continued use of minority allows the underlying hierarchy to remain unchallenged. It ensures that entire communities continue to be described, and therefore imagined in terms of what they are not.
Reconsidering the word is not about semantics for their own sake. It is about disrupting the ways language sustains inequality. Several alternatives have been proposed. âMarginalized groupsâ highlights the active process of exclusion rather than suggesting an inherent lack. âCommunities of colorâ emphasizes shared experiences of racialization, though it still groups diverse populations together. âUnderrepresented populationsâ draws attention to gaps in visibility and influence.
Some advocates use the phrase âglobal majority,â noting that people of African, Asian, Indigenous, and Latin descent make up most of the worldâs population. This term flips the perspective, reminding us that Black Americans and other groups are not minorities in any global sense.
None of these terms is perfect, but each offers a way of framing identity without reducing communities to symbols of smallness.
Of course, changing language alone will not dismantle racial inequity. The structural barriers that Black Americans face, economic inequality, disparities in education and healthcare, systemic discriminationârequire more than new vocabulary. But words matter because they shape the framework through which these realities are understood. Language is both a mirror and a mold. It reflects existing power structures while also helping to reinforce them.
Questioning the word minority is part of questioning the assumptions that sustain inequality. If Black Americans continue to be labeled as minorities, they are continually positioned at the margins of a society they helped build. Rejecting the term does not solve the problem, but it begins to shift the lens through which the problem is seen.
Steve Bikoâs vision that there should be no minority and no majority, just people remains unfinished business in America. The word minority may appear neutral, but its history shows otherwise. For Black Americans, it has been less a description of numbers and more a marker of marginalization. It defines by deficit, erases diversity, sustains hierarchy, and quietly shapes self-perception.
The persistence of the word is a reminder of how deeply systems of inequality are embedded in everyday life. To keep using it uncritically is to accept a worldview where some people are always smaller, lesser, or secondary. To challenge it is to recognize that no groupâs worth can be measured by numbers alone.
Reconsidering minority is not about erasing history or denying demographic reality. It is about refusing to let language dictate value. If the United States is to move toward genuine equality, it must begin with the recognition that no community is inherently minor.
EDITORâS NOTE: Nyan Reynolds is a U.S. Army veteran and published author whose novels and cultural works draw from his Jamaican heritage, military service and life experiences. His writing blends storytelling, resilience and heritage to inspire readers. Â
Nearly half of Latin America hit by informality, ILO warns
The International Labour Organization (ILO) warned Thursday that informality continues to affect almost one out of every two workers in Latin America and the Caribbean, reporting a regional average of 47% in 2025.
A Tribute To Pottersâ Queen Of Education â Teacher Gen

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Thurs. Dec. 11, 2025: Some lives arrive quietly, yet they leave whole generations glowing. Teacher Gen was such a life. In Potters Village in Antigua, she became our first library, our first lesson, our first understanding of discipline wrapped in devotion. For more than seventy years, she taught us not only how to read and count but how to stand tall in the world.
Her classroom felt like a living garden. Desks opened like fresh soil. Chalk drifted like soft pollen. And we, small and curious, blossomed beneath her care. She could correct you with a look, steady you with a word, or prune you gently with that well-known belt that somehow felt like love disguised as firmness. She knew the balance between shaping and sheltering.

She remembered every family. She remembered who raised you, who taught them, and how you were expected to carry that legacy forward. Her reminders could sting, yet they settled in the heart like seeds that later broke open into wisdom. Her lessons were not just instruction. They were inheritance.
I spent some of my primary years beneath her watchful eye. Her expectations carved lines of purpose into me. Her affection strengthened me. Even in her later years, when she drifted into brief classroom naps, she still sensed everything. A whisper. A shuffle. A thought of mischief. She woke with your name ready on her lips, as if teaching flowed through her even in rest.
When I became a teacher, I asked her for guidance. She spoke with quiet authority.
âLove the children. Their parents may test you, but do not allow rudeness. You are preparing them for life and for heaven. And go to class prepared. You are shaping destinies.â
I carry those words into every room where learning and leadership meet.
Teacher Gen embodied the mind, the heart, and the hands of true education. Her knowledge was deep. Her compassion was wide. Her influence was lasting. Every Independence poem, every Easter recitation, every Christmas program bore her touch. Our village grew because she planted confidence and character in every child.
Today we stand in the shade of the great tree she became. Her branches reach across generations. Her roots hold our memory steady. We honor more than a teacher. We honor a life of luminous service. She showed us that greatness grows quietly, nurtures patiently, and endures beautifully.
So we celebrate our Queen of Education, whose presence shaped us, whose memory steadies us, and whose legacy will continue to bloom long after us.
Editorâs Note: Dr. Isaac Newton is a strategist and scholar trained at Harvard, Princeton, and Columbia. He advises governments and international institutions on governance, transformation, and global justice, helping nations and organizations turn vision into sustainable progress.
Rethinking Caribbean Diplomacy In A Shifting Global Landscape

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Thurs. Dec. 11, 2025: Caribbean diplomacy must begin with a clear understanding of who we are and what we choose to become. Foreign policy is the outward expression of our identity. It carries our values, voice, and vision into the global arena. Strategy is the quiet discipline of listening beneath the noise of events and sensing change before it arrives. An asset is anything that grows in strength when used with intention. Transformation is the decision to rise into something greater than habit or history. When these ideas converge, foreign policy becomes the compass of national renewal and a foundation for a confident regional posture.

This vision resonates with the Right Hon. Dr. Denzil L. Douglas, one of the most accomplished statesmen in the modern Caribbean. A former four term Prime Minister and now Minister of Foreign Affairs, Economic Development, International Trade, Investment, and Commerce, he guides national engagement where domestic aspiration meets global possibility. His portfolio demands clarity, discipline, and forward-looking imagination. It is from this vantage that he reminds us, âForeign policy must not simply describe our world. It must shape the world we wish to enter.â
The Caribbean operates in a world of shifting alliances, fragile norms, and competing ambitions. Powerful nations speak of rules while bending them and praise sovereignty while ignoring it when convenient. For small island states, this produces both vulnerability and opportunity for those who navigate with insight. Influence no longer depends on size but on resolve, relationships, and resonance. Caribbean diplomacy must move from reaction to deliberate direction, strengthening resilience, economic security, and regional standing.
Diplomacy reaches far beyond negotiating tables. It shapes the price of food, the strength of our borders, the health of our reefs, and the energy that powers our homes. Foreign policy becomes the bridge that determines whether opportunities land on our shores or drift elsewhere. To secure them, Caribbean ministries of foreign affairs must be at the center of national strategy, coordinating systems and sectors with focus and discipline rather than ceremonial visibility.
Looking outward, partnerships with nations such as Indonesia, Africa, India, Brazil, the Middle East, and other countries with shared needs and compelling interests provide practical paths to renewal. These regions read the sea, the land, and the global economy as teachers rather than boundaries. Shared efforts in marine stewardship, climate resilience, renewable energy, technology transfer, and skills training can lift livelihoods and expand national capacity. These are immediate frontiers where cooperation turns potential into progress. The decade ahead invites the Caribbean to embrace a future powered by clean energy, guided by science, enriched by sustainable oceans, and led by citizens equipped for a complex world. If we meet this moment with clarity and courage, our diplomacy becomes not a mirror of global change but the instrument through which transformation takes flight.
Editorâs Note: Dr. Isaac Newton is a strategist and scholar trained at Harvard, Princeton, and Columbia. He advises governments and international institutions on governance, transformation, and global justice, helping nations and organizations turn vision into sustainable progress.
Petro suggests Maduro moves on to "transitional government"
Colombian President Gustavo Petro has intensified diplomatic pressure on his Venezuelan counterpart, NicolĂĄs Maduro, calling for a "general amnesty" and the formation of a "transitional government with the inclusion of all" to resolve Venezuelaâs protracted political crisis.
Former Bolivian President Arce arrested in corruption probe
Former Bolivian President Luis Arce Catacora was arrested in La Paz on Wednesday afternoon in connection with a major corruption case involving the now-defunct Indigenous Peoples Development Fund (Fondioc).
Honduran crisis deepens as elections remain undecided
Honduran President Xiomara Castro has escalated the political crisis surrounding the undecided November 30 presidential election, condemning what she termed "interference" by US President Donald Trump and claiming an "electoral coup" was underway.
Dutch Government issues another urgent Travel Warning for Venezuela
THE HAGUE â The Netherlands has issued an urgent warning advising against all travel to Venezuela due to a rapidly deteriorating security situation and rising geopolitical tensions. The Dutch government is also strongly urging Curaçao to avoid Venezuela and Venezuelan waters, citing increased security risks in the Caribbean Sea, including areas close to the island. [âŠ]
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The Multiple Dimensions of the US-Brazil Relations Crisis
By LĂvia Peres Milani
Public Policy and International Relations Institute (IPPRI-Unesp)
National Institute of Science and Technology for the Studies of the United States (INCT-INEU)
President Donald Trump meets with Brazilian President LuĂs InĂĄcio Lula da Silva during the ASEAN Summit at the Kuala Lumpur Convention Center. (Source: Wikimedia Commons)
On November 11th, the US announced a withdraw of the additional 40% tariffs it had imposed on many goods of Brazilian origin, including coffee, fruit, and beef. The tariffs, initially imposed on July 30th, are one among multiple dimensions of the current bilateral crisis. Besides commerce, the crisis also has a political dimension, initiated by the recent US decision to invoke the Magnitsky Act â an instrument ostensibly used to sanction corruption and human rights violations â against Alexandre de Moraes, one of the Brazilian Justices responsible for the conviction  of ex-president Jair Bolsonaro over his attempted coup dâĂ©tat. While the recent White House decision does not necessarily represent an end of the crisis, it represents a pause of sorts, and so, a timely moment to assess the relationship. Â
The imposition of tariffs Â
The White Houseâs initial imposition of tariffs may at first glance make little sense, since it appears to disregard its economic interests. The US enjoys a trade surplus with Brazil, and there is not sufficient production in the US of many of the tariffed products to meet national demand. That is the case for coffee, fruit, and a variety of industrial supplies. However, to understand the source of the crisis, it is necessary to consider its non-commercial dimensions. These include i) the transnational articulation of far-right movements, ii) Big Techâs economic interests, and iii) US geostrategic considerations. Â
Brazilian and US far-right currents are deeply connected. Eduardo Bolsonaro, son of the former president, has worked to promote the Brazilian radical right abroad. During his fatherâs trial, he took a leave from Congress to launch a pressure campaign in the US against the Brazilian Supreme Court (STF) and the Lula government. With cooperation from sympathetic US leaders, he lobbied against the Lula administration, claiming that the trial was a âwitch hunt,â his father was the victim of political persecution, and asking that the US government impose penalties on the Brazilian authorities responsible. This effort complicated Brazilâs relation with Foggy Bottom and the White House. Much of the language used by the White House to justify the new round of tariffs reflected this lobbying effort.Â
Another factor that explains US policy toward Brazil are the interests of Big Tech companies. Brazilâs Supreme Federal Court took up a case relating to the responsibilities of social media platforms for user-posted content, ruling that social media platforms should be civilly liable if they failed to remove undemocratic, discriminatory, or crime-inciting content. In response, the US Computer and Communication Industry Association (CCIA) welcomed the imposition of sanctions against Moraes. They argued that the ruling in Brazil violated âfree expression,â a strategy often used by Big Tech actors, in conjunction with far-right political leaders, to oppose the regulation of social media in Brazil and elsewhere. Â
Finally, larger geostrategic considerations are also in play. The current US administration seeks to reassert US regional and global hegemony. Brazil, for its part, wants to promote its Global South leadership, framed as part of a âmultipolar world order.â Promoting the BRICS forum is an important component of Brazilâs approach. The new tariffs were announced a few days after the BRICS summit in Rio de Janeiro, with the US president also threatening to impose tariffs on other countries that associate themselves with the BRICS+ group. This timing illustrates US opposition to the BRICS and pressure on Brazil to align with Western countries instead of its Global South partners.Â
Tariffs backfire and the future of US-Brazil relationsÂ
However, the Trump administrationâs aggressive strategy against Brazil has not led to the expected results. Brazilâs government managed to control the domestic narrative, framing US tariffs as an attack on Brazilian sovereignty, a strategy supported by public opinion, as polls show. The US approach also became an incentive for Brazil to shore up its relations with Global South leaders. Following the tariffs, Lula reached out to the presidents of China and India to discuss the expansion of trade relations. The tariffs also proved unpopular in the US, and harmful for the White House, since they drove up the cost of coffee and other products.Â
These several factors explain Trumpâs subsequent decision to change direction. He opened a dialogue with Brazil, first announced at the UN General Assembly, and then confirmed his goodwill in a bilateral meeting in Malaysia. High-level negotiations, and the unpopular inflationary trend in the US, led to the recent removal of tariffs from many Brazilian products. It also signals an end to this most recent period of bilateral crisis.Â
Nevertheless, there might still be consequences over the middle and long term. US sanctions communicate to the Brazilian government that, while a global power, the US is not a trustworthy partner, even when it comes to such non-strategic, everyday issues as the export of coffee and fruit. At the same time recent events have helped to cement the transnational partnerships of far-right leaders while also serving to illustrate how these relationships are impacting US government decision-making. Â
On the other hand, the recent US decision to alleviate the tariffs is a signal for both partners that the US-Brazil bilateral relationship is an important one. Even if this relationship is imbalanced, given the USâs economy and global influence, the recent tariff episode illustrates that the US cannot simply dictate policy to Brazil, and that the two countriesâ economic interdependence can function as a structural constraint upon the political will of far-right political actors.  Â
Latino Sense of Belonging Decreases amid Racial Profiling, Detention, and a Fading American Dream
By Anjini K. Patel
A recent Telemundo survey reveals increasing pessimism from Latinos in the United States regarding their sense of belonging. Telemundo, in collaboration with Axios and Ipsos, surveyed a nationally representative sample of over 1,100 U.S. Latino adults from October 21 to 27, 2025. Conducted in both English and Spanish, the survey asked a variety of questions about their views on the American Dream, their sense of belonging in the US, and their optimism about the future of the country. Only 44% of respondents described the American Dream as achievable in 2025, a decrease from 61% in 2023. Similarly, 40% of 2025 respondents affirmed that the US makes them feel like they belong, and only 36% felt optimistic about the future of the US. This âcomparesâ to 57% and 52%, respectively, in 2022. This survey provides an insight into the feelings of Latinos as they navigate the uncertainty of the current American political landscape. Â
The survey also asked respondents about their anxieties related to being Latino/Hispanic in the United States. Compared with 39% in June 2022, 53% of respondents in 2025 reported feeling worried about themselves or a loved one being attacked because of their ethnicity. Two out of three (2/3) Latinos who identify as Republicans say it is a good time to be a Latino in the United States, while only one in ten (1/10) Latino Democrats agree. Seventy-one percent (71%) of those aged between 18 and 29 and 57% of those who are 50 and older, said it is a bad time to be Latino.Â
Most respondents indicate that the Democratic Party, as compared to the Republican Party, better represents Latinos, cares more about them, and is better on economic and immigration policy. Additionally, most respondents agreed that the Republican Party takes Latino Americans for granted (39%) as compared to the Democratic Party (22%). Interestingly, more respondents describe the Republican Party as a good option for public safety compared to the Democratic Party, even in the face of increased fear and anxiety over being attacked for being Latino. Â
What do experts say?Â
Dr. Ernesto Castañeda, Director of the Center for Latin American and Latino Studies at American University, discussed this survey on Telemundo. As he states, the data from this poll are unsurprising given the very strong anti-immigrant rhetoric that Donald Trump and the Republican Party campaigned with and continue to use. Rather than focusing on people with violent criminal records, ICE raids and subsequent deportation, often without due process, have detained and deported people with all types of immigration statuses, and thus increased fear among Latinos. Castañeda points to comments by Justice Cavanagh and decisions by the conservative majority in the Supreme Court that made detaining someone based on their appearance and manner of speaking permissible, further blurring the lines between individuals with papers and those who are undocumented. In light of these violent mass deportations and detentions happening in public places, following stereotypes and racial profiling, it is no wonder that many Latinos report a decreased feeling of belonging in the United States.Â
Regarding the impacts of these recent events, Dr. Castañeda explains that the feasibility of immigrants achieving the American Dream is decreasing. While people still arrive in the United States with high hopes that âthey can come and work hard, send remittances, enjoy a better life, and that their children can go to university, in the United States right now, we see high underemployment rates, and many people are afraid to go to work because of mass raids. We are seeing inflation. It is harder to pay for health insurance, housing, and to save.â In this way, the American Dream is stalled. Since the end of the pandemic, the U.S. had seen a rapid and strong economic recovery, which Dr. Castañeda attributes largely âto the people arriving, especially from Latin America, seeking asylumâVenezuelans, Cubans, Haitians, Nicaraguans, and othersâwhich increased the US population by 1%, which was very significant.â With the border closing under the current administration and deportations by the dozens of thousands, businesses are unable to grow at the same rate. Dr. Castañeda underlines: âIf thereâs less migration, it doesnât mean there will be more jobs for locals. It means there will be less work for everyone, and more people will lose their jobs because the demand for goods and services decreases, businesses cannot hire and grow, and therefore they stop hiring and start firing workers.âÂ
Additionally, research shows that immigrants are much more likely to start businesses and hire more workers than businesses started by native-born citizens. Therefore, the lack of immigration has a negative impact on the overall economic growth of the United States. As Dr. Castañeda describes, âthe fact that Latinos arenât going to work here means there are fewer nannies. There are fewer construction workers, fewer lawyers, fewer nurses⊠it also makes many Latinos afraid. They donât go to the markets, they donât go to the malls, they are spending less, which has an impact, and many immigrants, seeing that thereâs no American Dream anymore, arenât going to bring their families or many of them are thinking about returning to their country.âÂ
The decreased sense of belonging by the Latino/Hispanic community has affected numerous outlets that embrace these cultures. Some events honoring Hispanic Heritage Month were canceled. This hurt artists, folk dancers, and musicians, as well as the larger public, who did not have the opportunity to engage with these rich cultural traditions. âLatin restaurants are struggling,â Dr. Castañeda says. âHundreds are closing because they canât hire enough people; workers are afraid to go to work because food is so expensive. So, itâs no longer a profitable business for them. The decline of the Latino food business also means fewer dining options, fewer cultural spaces, and fewer opportunities for communities to enjoy Latino cuisine. This is a loss for the United States as a whole.âÂ
Hope and Resilience in the Face of UncertaintyÂ
How should the Latino community respond to the ever-changing political landscape in the United States? Dr. Castañeda urges people to âstay calm and continue with their daily lives. We often do this for our children and grandchildrenâ,â who, I truly believe, will have a good future. This storm is temporary. This will pass.â Importantly, he points out that nearly 80% of Americans view immigration positively. Mass raids are not popularâ, âand vulnerableââ communities areâ witnessingâ peaceful protests carried out by citizens who are physically placing their bodies between immigration agents and migrants ââwho are in the process of beingââ detained. The November 2025 elections indicate that a majority of Americans reject the current administrationâs extreme policies on immigration and the mismanagement of the economy. The anti-immigrant sentiment is âdriven âprimarily byââ the federal government under Donald Trump, not the American people. With a hopeful outlook, Dr. Castañeda says, âI think that once this nightmare is over, there will be a greater sense of belonging, so we have to have patience, have faith in your fellow citizens, and I do truly believe that this will pass and the future will be better for U.S.-born Latinos and those immigrants who are able to stay. There will be concrete actions that will tell Latinos that they belong because this is their home.âÂ
Anjini K. Patel is a Sociology Research & Practice MA candidate at American University (AU) and works as a graduate research assistant at the AU Inequality, Social Justice, & Health Lab. Her research interests include immigration, criminal legal system & housing justice, and artivism & community building.
Luxury Mexico City Travel: The Capitalâs Finer Side
High-end, luxury travel to Mexico City is made possible with a slew of private and VIP experiences.
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"The Tree Within: The Mexican Nobel Laureate writer Octavio Pazâs Years in India" - Book by Indranil Chakravarty
The Mexican writer Octavio Paz was the most prominent Latin American to understand, analyze, interpret and promote India intellectually and culturally  from a Latin American perspective in the twentieth century. He had first hand experience of India as a diplomat posted in New Delhi for seven years. He has written numerous poems and articles on India. His book "Vislumbres de la India" (In the light of India) is regarded as one of the best introductions to India among Latin American thinkers.  Some cultural visitors from the Spanish-speaking world travel around the country with Pazâs book as an âintimate guideâ. They see India through his eyes, trying to grasp the immense complexity of India.Â
The Trump Administration Denies That the Bombing of 21 Boats in the Caribbean Amounted to Murder. But Facts are Facts
The Washington Post has reported that Secretary of War Pete Hegseth gave the order to not only blow up a boat in the Caribbean back on September 2, but to kill all the men in them. Hegseth at first refrained from publicly denying the statement, though the Trump administration did. The New York Times is reporting that the boat on September 2 was struck at least twice. Military norms prohibit a second strike on a vessel that has been neutralized or shipwrecked and no longer represents a military threat. Thatâs because once the military objective is achieved, a second strike means certain death for survivors. Given the gravity of the accusation, it is incumbent on the Secretary of War to provide details of the transcripts of the orders that were given and other specifics. Instead, Hegseth jokes about the incident.
Actually, that the Department of War was out to kill the alleged drug traffickers on September 2 should not be a matter of debate. Not if you consider Trumpâs famous statement on October 23: âI think weâre just going to kill people that are bringing drugs into our country. Okay? Weâre going to kill them, you know, theyâre going to be like, dead.â
There is a consensus among experts on international law (excluding those in the Trump administration) that the bombings of the now 22 vessels in the Caribbean amount to extra-judicial killing without any legal justification. It's not surprising that Hegseth did not go through legal channels. Thatâs because there is no such thing as "judicial killing.â No judge gives the order to kill someone and that's basically what the second strike amounted to. Even if it were proven (which it hasn't been) that the boats were carrying drugs, no judge would order killing the men on them. Indeed, âjudicial killingâ is an oxymoron.
Here is the statement in the New York Times article of November 29 titled âTrump Declares Venezuelan Airspace Closed:â
âOn Thursday, The Washington Post reported that for the first strike, on Sept. 2, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth gave a verbal order to kill everyone on the boat. And CNN reported that after the military detected survivors, a second attack was carried out to kill them."
"In September, The New York Times reported there were multiple strikes during the first operation. The Times also reported that the boat that was struck had altered its course and appeared to have turned around before the attack started because the people onboard had apparently spotted a military aircraft stalking it.â
Democratic Party leaders beginning with Senate leader Chuck Schumer criticize the bombing of the boats on grounds that it represents an act of war and that the decision to go to war corresponds to Congress not the Executive. But Schumerâs statement falls far short of what needs to be said. The real issue is not legal but rather humanitarian. The Democrats need to center their critique on ethical and humanitarian grounds, not only legal ones.
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âWe Knew We Were Going with Godâ
Religion, Hope, and Perseverance
By Tabby Ford
Migration is often a difficult process for those who leave their home country, both physically and emotionally. Whether their migration was motivated by finances, safety, or better career and educational opportunities elsewhere, leaving is not easy. The dangerous conditions of the journey and the uncertainty of what lies ahead deter many and can be overwhelming for those who proceed. For some migrants, religious belief gives them courage and strength to push forward, despite the stressful and hazardous obstacles they may encounter.
Many migrants and asylum seekers attribute their safety and the safety of others in their group to prayer and âGodâs blessingâ despite the dangerous conditions they faced on their journey to the United States. Especially for those who emigrate from Central and South America, the journey may require travel through multiple countries, often on foot or by car, and obstacles such as rough terrain, gangs, and hostile immigration agents. In some cases, migrantsâ faith protects them from the emotional toll of potential danger. As one migrant from Venezuela states, when asked if he felt like he was in danger during his journey north, âNo, we werenât afraid. I mean, we knew we were going with God.â His faith kept him going during the long journey.
Migrants who encountered dangerous obstacles also attribute their successful journey to God. For Arturo, from Venezuela, the journey was incredibly dangerous. He crossed a 60-mile stretch of dense rainforest, known as the DariĂ©n Gap, with strangers, enduring hunger and exhaustion. Armed groups are known to extort migrants at gunpoint in this remote area, and those unable to pay sometimes never return. âWe saw other people being kidnapped⊠thank God they didnât catch us,â he recounted, describing the terror of running through the forest with a child in his arms and the relief of making it through. Eduardo, from El Salvador, recounts being shot at by immigration authorities at one point in his journey and how many members of his group survived due to their prayers; âThank God, praying to God and the Virgin Mary, we hid [from] them ⊠God already performed the miracle.â For one Honduran immigrant, Alma, her migration journey was shaped largely by religion. While she was born in Honduras, she was brought to El Salvador as a teen to attend a high school run by Catholic missionaries. Her religion, education, and physical location have long been intertwined. Although she has needed to move a lot and now must adjust to living in yet another new country, she says, âthings happen for a reason. I always say, sometimes you feel lost, but God is showing you something⊠You gotta, you know, go forward.â She attributes her prayers and Godâs plan to where she is in life, especially her education and career. For many immigrants, even though their faith and belief in God did not shield them from life-threatening conditions and the challenges of immigrating, their faith fueled their courage, guiding them along the way.
Houses of worship often play an integral part in assisting migrants, especially in the first few months after arrival, by providing a space for community building and cultural events. They also become sources of mutual aid. For instance, this can be seen in local Mosques and Ukrainian churches, where Afghan and Ukrainian refugees, respectively, utilize resources. For example, Oleg, from Ukraine, reports a lack of restaurants that serve Ukrainian food in the region he settled in. Despite this lack of places to go out and eat Ukrainian food, he says that âusually, [he] can get something from the church.â Although he is able to make Ukrainian food at home, the local Ukrainian church is Olegâs only option for connecting with the wider Ukrainian community over a meal. Another example is Latif, a refugee from Afghanistan, who also utilized resources from local churches and mosques. In his efforts to further his education in the United States, he learned that a local mosque âhad some funds to help some refugees get an education.â He used these funds to enroll in an IT certificate program, which helped him find a job that aligned with his career goals.
In addition to getting material resources from local religious groups and congregations, many migrants also rely on faith in Godâs plan to get through the difficult transition and settling process. Once in the United States, religious migrants use their belief system as motivation to create a new life in their new community. They are able to leverage their belief systems for community engagement and to establish a sense of belonging. Many migrants also report celebrating religious holidays in local congregations and communities with similar cultural backgrounds or with other immigrants from their home country. Faith helps to form the lens in which people see the world through. As one Mexican woman states, âI practice my faith, [âŠ] Iâm Catholic, so I ground myself a lot in just the human dignity coming from something beyond me.â Arturo, an immigrant from Venezuela embodies this mindset well, as his faith has helped him in adjusting to his new life and feeling a sense of belonging. As he states, âWe are all equal as the children of God, we are all equal.â His belief system has given him an optimistic attitude about his new home and how he has been received.
Although it is taking him time to learn English, Arturo also thanks God for his ability to pick up enough English to get by in his work as a delivery driver and for his work permit allowing him to make money to send home: âRight now at this moment thank God at least I have the work permit, I have my partner and I am about to find a way to get my papers together.â He implies that process of finalizing his immigration papers will involve lots of time, money, and effort, but is hopeful and thankful to God for where he is and that he at least has a work permit. Similarly, Silvia, who immigrated from El Salvador in her 20s, implies that Godâs work helped her in finding a job when she first arrived in the United States, saying âIt was almost not difficult for me, thank God, because a lady gave me a job who had a business selling pupusas.â Arturo and Silvia both thank God for where they are in life now and have trust in their religious beliefs to carry them where they need to be.
For many people who undertake the process of immigration to the United States, their faith and religious beliefs are as essential to their journey and adaptation as it is to every other aspect of their life. Religion plays an important role in maintaining hope and resilience throughout the danger and uncertainty of both the journey and the destination. Once arrived, religious communities, positive outlooks, and faith in a bright future help immigrants settle and feel like they belong in their new home country.
Tabby Ford is a Research Assistant at The Immigration Lab and a Sociology Research & Practice MA Candidate at American University
Edited by Quinn Pierson, Sociology Research and Practice MA Candidate at American University, Ernesto Castañeda, Director, and Chris Belden, Research Assistant at the Center for Latin American and Latino Studies and the Immigration Lab.
The Peru Michelin Key Hotels (With Our Longer Reviews)
In October of 2025, the Michelin tire companyâs travel division announced which hotels in South America would be awarded a âMichelin Keyâ in their very first round of handing them out. Apparently our Luxury Latin America reviewers could have saved them some time with which places to consider, especially in Peru. All of the...
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USA authorizes Plunder Sale of Venezuelaâs CITGO to broker Vulture Fund Elliott
Caracas, December 2, 2025 (venezuelanalysis.com) â Delaware District Judge Leonard P. Stark has approved the sale of Venezuelaâs US-based refiner CITGO to Amber Energy, an affiliate of Paul Elliott Singerâs Vulture Management Fund @ a discount price of US $5.9 billion. Stark issued a sale order Friday to close a protracted process that saw multinational [âŠ]
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Caracas blocks Airspace for Iberia, TAP and Avianca airlines
The US military tensions have triggered a crisis in Venezuelaâs air connectivity. On Wednesday, the Venezuelan government revoked flight concessions for Iberia, TAP, Turkish Airlines, Avianca, Latam Colombia and Gol, accusing them of joining the actions of terrorism promoted by the USA. Maiquetia International Airport in Caracas operated on Thursday with only seven scheduled departures [âŠ]
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THE REAL LESSONS OF YESTERDAY'S SHOOTING IN WASHINGTON DC
President Trump, true to form, misses the real lesson from the tragic shooting of two national guardsmen in Washington. Trump announced that in light of what happened he will call on the Department of Defense (thatâs still its official name) to call up 500 more National Guardsmen to Washington. The refugee program is also being revamped in order to avoid incidents like this from happening in the future. Just hours after the incident, the Trump administration announced it had stopped processing immigration applications from Afghanistan. The shooter, Rahmanulla Lakanwal, is an Afghan who was trained by the CIA to fight the Taliban in one of their strongholds. Apparently, Lakanwal acted in reaction to the gutting of much of the refugee program.
Trumpâs moves miss the real lesson. Throughout the twenty-first century the United States has been in permanent wars throughout the world. The U.S. public doesnât even know about many of them. We bomb countries in Africa on a regular basis. Weâre in a permanent war situation in the Middle East. Weâre bombing boats -- in the process blasting fishermen to pieces on both sides of Latin America and the victims are people not only from Venezuela, but also Trinidad, Colombia, Mexico and Ecuador. In doing so we are creating Frankensteinâs both at home and abroad. Lakanwal is one of them. All studies indicate that most acts of terrorism in the U.S. are committed by people and groups on the Right and a very large number of the perpetrators served in the military and are war veterans. George Lincoln Rockwell, the founder of the American Nazi Party, is just one example of a phenomenon in which the chickens come home to roost. Another is Timothy McVeigh, the author of the Oklahoma City bombing that killed 167 people in 1995 who was a veteran of the Persian Gulf War.
This is the discussion we should be having, not one about retribution which is the one being raised by Trump and his MAGA followers. Unfortunately, we cannot count on the mainstream media, which is increasingly being taken over by the political Right and is becoming increasingly concentrated, to raise these issues.
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Boat Rides to Patagonia Glaciers and Penguins in Chile
If you come to the bottom of Chile, youâll probably take a boat ride or two at some point, getting up close to geographic features you donât see back home, like Patagonia glaciers that date back to the last Ice Age and if youâre lucky, a few pengins too. For my travels as the...
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The Battle for Venezuela @ Warp Speed
With US warships stationed off Venezuelaâs coast and a new regional right-wing bloc forming under Washingtonâs tutelage, the Western hemisphere is entering a volatile phase. Yet todayâs confrontation unfolds in a world very different from the one that allowed the US to dictate regional politics with little resistance in the past. Chinaâs rise, the return [âŠ]
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Trumpâs Provocations are a Boost for the Latin American Left
When Trump assumed the presidency in 2025, the Pink Tide governments in Latin America were losing ground. The approval rating of Brazilâs president Luiz InĂĄcio Lula da Silva reached the lowest of his three presidential terms while that of Colombiaâs Gustavo Petro was a mere 34 percent. Furthermore, in the wake of the highly contested results of the July 2024 presidential elections in Venezuela, NicolĂĄs Maduro found himself isolated in the region.
Now, less than a year later, the political landscape has shifted. Trumpâs antics such as renaming the Gulf of Mexico, his weaponization of tariffs, and military actions in the Caribbean and Pacific have revitalized Pink Tide governments and the Left in general. Latin America has reacted to Trumpâs invocation of the Monroe Doctrine with a surge of nationalist sentiment, mass demonstrations, and denunciations from political figures across most of the spectrumâincluding some on the center-right.
While the United States appears as an unreliable and declining hegemon, China positions itself as a champion of national sovereignty and a voice of reason in matters of international trade and investment. When Trump slapped a 50% tariff on most Brazilian imports in July, the Chinese stepped in to help fill the gap for the nationâs all-important soybean exports.
Lula versus Trump
Different scenarios are playing out in different nations, but with similar results: the strengthening of the Left and in some instances the weakening of the Right. One case is Brazil and Mexico, where Lula and President Claudia Sheinbaum have combined firmness with discretion, in contrast to Petroâs confrontational rhetoric.
In July, Lula responded defiantly to Trumpâs attempt to strong-arm Brazil through punitive tariffs designed to secure the release of his ally and former president Jair Bolsonaro, jailed for involvement in coup and assassination plots. Unlike other heads of state, Lula refused to reach out to Trump, saying âIâm not going to humiliate myself.â Instead, Lula declared âBrazil would not be tutored by anyone,â at the same time that he recalled the 1964 Brazilian coup as a previous instance of U.S. intervention.
The face-off sparked mass pro-government demonstrations throughout the country which far outnumbered those called by the Right demanding the freeing of Bolsonaro. Lulaâs supporters blamed the Right for the tariffs, and particularly Bolsonaroâs son Eduardo who campaigned for them after moving to Washington. Lula called Bolsonaro a "traitor" and said he should face another trial for being responsible for the so-called âBolsonaroâs tax.â As a sign that Trumpâs tariffs were a game changer and a boost for the Left, the 80-year old Lula announced he would run for reelection in October 2026, as his popularity reached the 50 percent mark.
Some analysts faulted Lula for having failed to use his 30-minute videoconference with Trump on October 6 to condemn Washingtonâs gunboat diplomacy in the Caribbean. According to this interpretation of the call, Lula displayed naivete and gutlessness by combining âconcern and accommodation with US imperialismâ and believing that ânegotiations will be guided by a âwin-win logic.ââ
In fact, Lula has spoken out against the U.S. military presence as a âfactor of tensionâ in the Caribbean, which he calls a âzone of peace.â Lula, though, undoubtedly could have gone further, as urged by the Landless Workersâ Movement (MST) â which backed Lulaâs last presidential bid â by explicitly declaring solidarity with Venezuela.
But Lula can hardly be accused of being submissive in his dealings with Trump. Venezuelaâs former Vice Minister for North America Carlos Ron told me that both Lula and Sheinbaum have shown that they âknow how to handle Trumpâ as they have âgotten much of what they wanted.â Indeed, at the same time that Trump retreated from his tariff threats toward both nations, he took to praising the two heads of state.
A United Front in the Making
In Brazil and elsewhere in the region, a new alignment is emerging, drawing in forces both to the right and the left of the government in reaction to Washingtonâs posture. One notable example was Lulaâs appointment of homeless workers movement activist and former presidential candidate Guilherme Boulos as Minister of the Presidency in October. Boulos belongs to the Socialism and Liberty Party, a leftist split-off from Lulaâs Workersâ Party that endorsed Lulaâs 2022 presidential candidacy but had ruled out holding positions in his government.
Boulos, who was instrumental in organizing the recent protests against Washingtonâs tariff hikes, spoke of the significance of his designation: "Lula gave me the mission to help put the government on the street⊠and listening to popular demands." His appointment signals a leftist turn in which, in the words of the Miami-based CE Noticias Financiera, âLula showed that he is going into the 2026 election ready for war. A war in his own style, using the social movements.â
 Venezuela is another example of political actors across much of the political spectrum converging on the need for a broad front to oppose U.S. aggression in the region. No other Pink Tide government has faced such a rapid succession of regime change and destabilization attempts as Venezuela under the Chavista (followers of Hugo ChĂĄvez) government of Maduro. The governmentâs response to these challenges has at times deviated from democratic norms and includes concessions to business interests, drawing harsh criticism from both moderate and more radical sectors of the Left.
One leader in the latter category is ElĂas Jaua, formerly a member of ChĂĄvezâs inner circle, whose leftist positions on economic policy and internal party democracy left him marginalized within the Chavista movement. In the face of the U.S. military threat in the Caribbean, Jaua has closed ranks with Maduro and decried the âpsychological warâ being waged against the President. He went on to say that in this critical moment it is necessary âto place the tranquility of the people above any ideological, political, or ulterior interest,â adding âthe Homeland comes first.â
Other long-standing political figures who have supported Maduroâs call for a national dialogue to face the U.S. threat â while not letting Maduro off the hook for alleged undemocratic practices â  include some on the center and even center-right of the political spectrum, including former presidential candidates Henrique Capriles, Manuel Rosales and Antonio Ecarri.
Others are moderate leftists who held important posts under ChĂĄvez and/or belonged to the moderate left party Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS) in the 1990s. One of the latter is Enrique Ochoa Antich who presented a petition signed by 27 leading anti-Maduro moderates that stated âit is disheartening to see an extremist sector of the oppositionâ supporting sanctions and other U.S. actions. Ochoa Antich proposed a dialogue with government representatives âover the best way to foment national unity and defend sovereignty,â while adding âbeing realistic, Iâm not going to ask that the party-state, which is the core of the Chavista project, be abolished.â
This stance, which views Maduro as a partner in resisting U.S. intervention, stands in sharp contrast to that of the Communist Party (PCV), which broke with his government in 2020 over its business-friendly orientation and its sidelining of sectors of the Left. In the same breath that it denounces imperialist aggression, the PCV points to the âauthoritarian and anti-democratic nature of Maduroâs government.â While the PCVâs criticisms are worthy of debate, the partyâs uncompromising hostility toward Maduro undermines efforts to face U.S. aggression. Indeed, the PCVâs position â supporting the Cuban government while denouncing Venezuelaâs as undemocratic â appears inconsistent.
In Argentina, Trump came to the aid of the Right in what will most likely be a Pyrrhic victory. On the eve of the October 2025 legislative elections, Trump offered to bail out the Argentine economy to the tune of $40 billion but only under the condition that the party of right-wing president Javier Milei emerge victorious, which is precisely what happened. Trumpâs blackmail was denounced as such by politicians from Peronist leaders linked to former Pink Tide governments to centrists who had been among their most vocal critics. Facundo Manes, leader of the centrist Radical Civic Union, was an example of the latter, declaring âthe extorsion advances.â Meanwhile on the streets of Buenos Aires, protest banners denouncing Milei were marked by anti-U.S. slogans âYankee go homeâ and âMilei is Trumpâs mule,â as well as the burning of a U.S. flag.
This convergence around the need to confront Trumpâs threats and actions creates an opportunity for progressives across the continent to unite. The call for such unity was taken up by the SĂŁo Paulo Forum, a body that brings together over 100 Latin American leftist organizations that Lula helped found in 1990. At the outset of Trumpâs first administration in 2017, the Forum drafted the document âConsensus for Our Americaâ as a response to the neoliberal Washington Consensus and the escalation of U.S. interventionism in the hemisphere.
At the same time that it defended the pluralism of progressive movements and avoided the term âsocialism,â the Consensus document foresaw the drafting of a more concrete set of reforms and goals. The expected step forward, however, never materialized. More recently, the Cuban ideologue Roberto Regalado lamented that, despite the urgent need for unity, âfar from consolidating and expanding, the âConsensus for Our Americaâ has languished.â
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Trump and the Latin American Right
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Much of the Latin American right has tied its fortunes to President Trump. The right-wing presidents of Argentina, Ecuador and Paraguay are Trump followers, as are Bolsonaro, the Chilean presidential candidate JosĂ© Antonio Kast and former president Ălvaro Uribe in Colombia. In Venezuela, right-wing opposition leader MarĂa Corina Machado dedicated her Nobel Peace Prize to Trump.
Machadoâs fellow Venezuelan rightist Leopoldo LĂłpez co-founded the National Liberty Congress in 2022 dedicated to regime change in nations that happen to be considered adversaries by Washington. The idea is in line with the idea of an International of the Right promoted by Trump strategist Steve Bannon, among others. Bannon founded The Movement in 2016 to unite the European Right, but it has been largely snubbed by much of the continentâs right-wing.
The âinternationalismâ on the right is even less likely to flourish in Latin America. While in the U.S., Trump plays on patriotism â or a bogus form of it â in the case of Latin America, nationalist sentiment and support for Trump are oxymorons, specifically when it comes to tariffs, threats of military invasion and the brandishing of the Monroe Doctrine. In Venezuela, for instance, Machadoâs popularity has declined and her opposition movement fractured as a result of popular repudiation of Trumpâs policies.
In the U.S., Trump plays to his fanatic supporters while his popularity steadily declines. In Latin America the same is occurring, with the difference being that his popularity couldnât be much lower than it is. Pew Research Center reports that just 8 percent of Mexicans have âconfidenceâ in Trump.
Trump has contributed to a major shift in the Latin Americaâs political landscape now marked by political polarization and leftist inroads. In many countries, the Leftâwhich for decades remained on the sidelinesâhas become a major point of reference, rallying around the banners of national sovereignty, if not, anti-imperialism.
In Chile, a Communist, Jeannette Jara, received a surprising 60.5 percent of the vote in the primaries to represent the main anti-rightist bloc in the upcoming presidential elections. In spite of the cautious tone of her discourse, Jara addressed Trump, saying âNo U.S. soldiers will enter. Chile is to be respected, and so is its sovereignty.â In Ecuador, despite harsh repression, the followers of ex-Pink Tide president Rafael Correa have come close to winning the last three presidential elections. And in Colombia, Petro has reinvigorated his movementâs base through his forceful denunciations of U.S. military operations and by leading a drive, begun in October, to secure two million signatures for a national constituent assembly.
Polarization often refers to a scenario in which the extremes on both sides of the political spectrum gain ascendancy. That is not what is happening in Latin America â at least on the left. Instead, there is a convergence of progressives of different political stripes both domestically and among Pink Tide governments in their opposition to Trump and all that he represents. The challenge now is to translate this convergence into organized forms of unity â through united fronts at the national level as well as in the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) and other regional bodies. Â
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This article was originally posted by Jacobin.
Steve Ellner is an associate managing editor of Latin American Perspectives and a retired professor at the Universidad de Oriente in Venezuela, where he lived for over forty years. He is the author of Rethinking Venezuelan Politics: Class, Conflict and the ChĂĄvez Phenomenon.Â
https://jacobin.com/2025/11/trump-latin-america-left-opposition
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Another Trump Turnaround âon Venezuela -- but this Time not Bad!
Trump just announced, âWe may be having some discussions with Maduro, and weâll see how that turns out.â Just about two weeks ago, Trump deauthorized Richard Grenell, who was his special envoy who said that no military incursion was being planned and that talks with Maduro were continuing. Now Trump says heâd like to continue talks with Maduro, even though Maduro all along has publicly indicated that he is open to talks and negotiations.
Iâm hesitant to criticize Trump for being so capricious since I very much hope that this represents a new line and a new approach which would result in the withdrawal of U.S. the naval presence just 100 miles from the Venezuelan coast and the presence of the USS Gerald R Ford aircraft carrier within striking distance of Venezuela. It may be that Trumpâs strategy all along was to attempt to intimidate Maduro and the Venezuelan armed forces and since that didnât work, Trump is going into a new gear, that is heâs downshifting. Hope thatâs the case. If it is, it demonstrates how effective Maduro has been in facing a dismaying challenge by mobilizing Venezuela militarily and politically and calling on people throughout the region to support the defense of Venezuela's national sovereignty. Regardless of what people think of Maduro, the effectiveness of this response and his leadership capacity in this context have to be recognized.
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Villa Rentals in Latin Americaâs Elite Communities
If you want to see what it would be like to live in a foreign country, in a development where you have access to golf, tennis, and restaurants, there are villa rentals waiting for you where all you have to do is book it and show up with a suitcase. In the elite communities...
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Can Peruâs Democracy Recover?
By Cynthia McClintock*
Photographs from the early hours of the Generation Z protest in Peru, 2025
(Source: Wikimedia Commons)
Since 2021, democratic backsliding has been severe in Peru, and Peruvians are furious. Peruâs Congress is loathed. In 2025, the approval rating for Peruâs President, Dina Boluarte, fell below 3 percent and she became the most unpopular president on the planet. Finally, in October, Boluarte was impeached on the grounds of âpermanent moral incapacityâ; it was the fifth time since 2018 that a president had been impeached or had resigned upon imminent impeachment. Per Peruâs constitution, Boluarte was succeeded by the Congress Speaker, JosĂ© JerĂ. Presidential and Congressional elections are scheduled for early 2026.
Why are Peruvians so angry? What does their anger mean for the 2026 elections (with the Congressional elections and the first round of the presidential elections scheduled for April 12 and a likely runoff on June 7)? Is it possible that the elections can lead to a democratic recovery?
Why are Peruvians So Angry?
The key reason is not âthe economy stupid,â but an escalation of organized crime and the perception that Peruâs political leaders are part of the problem rather than part of the solution.
Between 2019 and 2024 the number of homicides doubled and the number of reported extortions jumped sixfold. Extortion is hurting huge swathes of lower-middle class Peruvians. Transport workers have been particularly vulnerable; so far in 2025, approximately 50 bus drivers have been killed for refusing to make extortion payments.
The reasons behind the crime escalation are various. Demand for cocaine remains high and, over the last decade, Peruâs coca cultivation has increased. As the price for gold jumped, so did illegal gold mining. Peruâs gangs are fragmentedâand therefore hard to trackâand they have developed nefarious new strategies such as using WhatsApp for extortion.
But, Peruvians believe, the reasons also include the governmentâs complicity. In part because illicit operators have provided campaign finance, in 2024 approximately half of Peruâs legislators were under criminal investigation; these same legislators have passed laws to impede investigations and prosecutions. Boluarte herself is under investigation for various crimes, including illicit enrichment. She sported a Rolex watch priced at $19,000, despite no evident financial means for such extravagance.
Further, from the start large percentages of Peruvians did not deem Boluarte a legitimate president. In 2021-2022, Boluarte was Vice President under President Pedro Castillo. Leading a far-left party in fraught elections during COVID, Castillo was an accidental, unprepared president. He was virulently opposed by the dominant right-wing forces in Congress, in particular Fuerza Popular, the party of Keiko Fujimori, the daughter of former authoritarian President Alberto Fujimori. As Vice President, Boluarte had said that, if Castillo were impeached, she too would resign, triggering new elections. However, in the event of Castilloâs December 2022 impeachment, Boluarte stayed on, despite massive protests and ubiquitous calls for new elections.
As President, Boluarte appeared indifferent to Peruviansâ concerns. Between December 2022 and February 2023, 49 civilian protesters were killed by the security forces. Boluarteâs response was support for an amnesty law. And, amid an October 2025 transport workersâ strike, Boluarteâs advice to Peruvians worried about crime was that they should not open text messages from unfamiliar peopleâplacing blame for crimes on the victims.
What Does Peruviansâ Anger Mean for the 2026 Elections?
Peruviansâ anger spells difficulties for its incumbent parties and advantages for parties that can claim an âoutsiderâ mantle. Fujimoriâs Fuerza Popular is widely considered the dominant party in the Congress, and it will struggle against this perception. Its presidential candidate, Fujimori, is running for the fourth time and is likely to have worn out her welcome.
Not surprisingly, demands for an âiron fistâ against crime are strong. The current presidential frontrunner is RenovaciĂłn Popularâs Rafael LĂłpez Aliaga (aka âPorkyâ), a Trump-like far-rightist who placed third in the 2021 election and was subsequently elected Limaâs mayor. LĂłpez Aliaga promises a hardline strategy against organized crime, including implementing similar imprisonment policies to those of El Salvadorâs Nayib Bukele. But RenovaciĂłn Popular holds the fourth largest number of seats in Congress and it will be difficult for LĂłpez Aliaga to claim an âoutsiderâ mantle.
A candidate likely to claim an âoutsiderâ mantle is Mario Vizcarra, running as a proxy for his brother, former President MartĂn Vizcarra. As President in 2018-2020, Vizcarra confronted the dominant parties in Peruâs Congress, building his popularity but ultimately catalyzing his impeachment. After a strong showing in Peruâs 2021 legislative elections, he was disqualified from holding elected office for ten years. Yet, Vizcarraâs government was far from without fault. There are other candidates, including the popular former clown, Carlos Ălvarez, who could seize the âoutsiderâ mantle.
Can Peruâs 2026 Elections Lead to Democratic Recovery?
The challenges to Peruâs elections are serious. In recent years Fuerza Popular and other illiberal parties in Peruâs Congress have allied to skew the electoral playing field in their favor. Â Interim President JerĂ is, of course, new to his position and his possible impact on the elections is unclear. (His first-month record was better than was first expected.)
As elsewhere in Latin America, Peruâs illiberal parties have strategized to achieve the disqualification of viable candidates. As indicated, this strategy is currently being used against Vizcarra; it could also be used against a rising new candidate.
Peruâs illiberal parties have calculated that a plethora of candidates is in their interest. Currently, 39 party lists are registered. Such a head-spinning number is problematic for journalists trying to cover the campaign and problematic for voters trying to identify their preferred candidate, especially because pre-election polls are more likely to be inaccurate. Yet, Peruâs Congress cancelled a provision for a preliminary round of voting, in which parties would have been required to secure 1.5 percent of the vote in order to qualify for the âfirst round.â
Still, there are grounds for optimism. The massive protests of recent years have shown that Peruvians want their political views heard. Peruvians recognize the importance of honest, capable leadership and want to find it.
*Cynthia McClintock is Professor of Political Science and International Affairs at George Washington University.
Tequila Los Arango From Guanajuato
If you spend time in Mexican resort bars or browse around duty free shops, youâve probably seen the Corralejo tequila in the tall, thin bottle. It stands out for its design and shape, but the company that makes it has several other brands that are actually more noteworthy if youâre a real tequila fan,...
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US military squeeze on Venezuela might boomerang on Washington DC
The U.S. military buildup along South Americaâs northern rim is, Washington insists, aimed at Narco-Terrorists. A growing chorus of analysts arenât convinced; they suspect what the Trump administration is really after is regime change in Venezuela. NicolĂĄs Maduro, the countryâs leader since 2013, is taking no chances. In recent weeks he responded to the Trump [âŠ]
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Nicaragua, the âRepublic of Poetsâ has become a âRepublic of Clandestine Poets.â
 Nicaragua, the âRepublic of Poetsâ has become a âRepublic of Clandestine Poets.â
One of the martyred heroes of the Sandinista revolution is Leonel Rugama, the young poet who died in combat at the age of 20. His poem "The Earth is a satellite of the Moon " has been considered by critics as one of the most widely distributed poems in Latin American poetry. It was a poet, Rigoberto Lopez Perez, who assassinated the first Somoza, at a ball in 1956, and was himself beaten and shot to death on the dance floor.
Nicaraguan newspapers used to feature literary supplements filled with poems from both luminaries and unknowns. Leading poets could be spotted, like movie stars, in certain cafes in the cities. In the university town of Leon, busts of Nicaraguan poets and plaques with quotations from their work fill the âPark of Poets,â while the main street, Calle Ruben Dario, is named for the countryâs preeminent poet.Â
Ruben Dario, the poet and writer of Nicaragua is the most well-known in the world. He is considered as the father of the Modernist Movement in Spanish literature in the twentieth century. His book Azul (1888) is said to be the inaugural book of Hispanic-American modernism. He was a precocious poet and published his poem in a newspaper at the age of thirteen.
President Daniel Ortega is a poet, as is his wife, Rosario Murillo. When Ortega was a political prisoner from 1968 (at the age of 23) to 1974 during the dictatorship of Somoza, he wrote many poems, including the famous one titled âI never saw Managua when miniskirts were in fashion.â While in jail he received visits from Rosario Murillo, a poet. The prisoner and visitor fell in love; Murillo became Ortega's wife. She has published several books of poems. One of them is called as šAmar es combatir š- to love is to combat.Â
After the overthrow of the Somoza dictatorship in 1979, the victorious Sandinistas named one of the countryâs most famous poets, Ernesto Cardenal, as minister of culture. He brought poets to all corners of the country to teach people to read and write poetry at a time when Nicaragua suffered a 70 to 95 percent illiteracy rate. It is still possible in villages to find people who are unable to read or write but can recite Darioâs poetry by heart. Poetry was used as a tool for political literacy, consolidating the country as a "Republic of Poets.â
Some of the ministers in the initial years of President Ortega's cabinet were poets and writers. Notable among these is Sergio Ramirez, Gioconda Belli and Ernesto Cardinal.Â
Since his reelection as President in 2007, Daniel Ortega has become authoritarian and has rigged the elections and the constitution to continue as president indefinitely. His wife Rosario Murillo has now become the Co-President after having been Vice-President for some years. The couple have betrayed the noble ideals of the Sandinista revolution and have created a corrupt family dictatorship, similiar to the Somoza dynastic dictatorship which had ruled for 42 years. Most of the writers and intellectuals who had nurtured the revolution eventually left the Sandinista party and started fighting against the dictatorial regime. They used poetry to fight back, just like they did during the revolutionary era against the Somoza dictatorship.  The Ortegas have suppressed dissent and persecuted poets, intellectuals and journalists besides political leaders who resisted their dictatorship. The regime has imprisoned or exiled some of the dissidents, stripped their citizenship and even seized their assets and houses. The regime has become harsher after the large scale public protests in 2018. Many exiled poets and writes live in Costa Rica and Spain. The exiled poets include Sergio RamĂrez, Gioconda Belli and Freddy Quezada. The regime has shut down thousands of NGOs and independent media outlets, including PEN Nicaragua and the Nicaraguan Academy of Language. One of the hardest blows to Nicaraguan literary culture came in 2022 with the cancellation of the Granada International Poetry Festival, created in 2005, which once brought together more than 1,200 poets from 120 countries. The regime revoked the legal status of the NGO that funded it, leading to its cancellation.
While accepting the Cervantes Prize for literature in April 2018, RamĂrez dedicated his award to the young people then protesting Ortegaâs government and to the memory of Nicaraguans who had recently âbeen murdered on the streets after demanding justice and democracy.â
The Ortega-Murillo dictatorship has driven the poetry underground. The poets hide themselves and their poems from the repressive regime which has been ruthlessly censoring literature and news. The poets write clandestinely expressing their frustration and resistance. The "Republic of Poets" has now become the "Republic of Clandestine Poets".Â
Crooked plow- Brazilian novel by Itamar Vieira Junior
Itamar Vieira is a young and upcoming Brazilian writer. Crooked Plow (Torto Arado) is his first novel. He has earlier written a short story collection.
"Small Earthquakes: A Journey Through Lost British History in South Americaâ - book by Shafik Meghji
While the Spanish and Portuguese colonized Latin America, the British have played a significant role in slavery, wars of independence, politics, lending, investment, railways and football in the region. These have been brought out by the author of the book who has done extensive research and travelled through the South American countries which had been impacted by the British.Â
The Brazilian Supreme Court has done what its U.S. counterpart has tragically failed to do
The Brazilian Supreme Court has convicted (on 11 September) and sentenced ex-President Bolsonaro for his crimes of coup attempt, plot to assassinate political and judicial leaders and incitement of mobs to destroy the buildings of the Supreme Court, the Presidential palace, and the Congress, after he lost the elections in 2022. The court also sentenced seven other military and political accomplices of Bolsonaro. Earlier, the court had convicted more than 600 far right extremist followers of Bolsonaro who had vandalized the iconic government buildings of Brasila.Â
Bolsonaro has ignited a new gun culture in Brazil. His three politician sons have been fierce proponents of expanding gun ownership through policy proposals and social media posts. Eduardo Bolsonaro has spoken admiringly of the Second Amendment in the United States. He has lobbied to make the Brazilian market more attractive to foreign arms manufacturers, which he said would lower prices and provide gun buyers with more choices. FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro, a senator, made the promotion of gun manufacturing in Brazil the focus of his first project in the legislature. During his presidency,  Bolsonaro had loosened gun control to make more firearms available easily to more of his followers. Gun ownership rocketed by 98% during Bolsonaroâs first year as President.  Weapons newly available to the public now included semi-automatic rifles, previously only available to the army. In April 2020, Bolsonaro revoked decrees that existed to facilitate the tracing and identification of weapons and ammunition. One week later, he tripled the quantity of ammunition available for purchase by civilians, saying on record in a ministerial meeting, that he wanted âeveryoneâ to carry guns.. Bolsonaro's signature favorite pose is gun shooting gesture. Bolsonaro reaffirmed in his inaugural speech, âGood citizens deserve the means to defend themselves through gun ownershipâ. His supporters in the Congress cheered and applauded him by pointing their fingers in the shape of a gun.Â
The Marxist school of Dependency Theory - An interview with Professor Jaime Osorio
Our present, however, is one of spiraling crises. Since the financial crash of 2008, the economic crisis converges with ecological collapse and the exhaustion of liberal democratic forms, reaching civilizational dimensions. In this context, the pandemic laid bare how, instead of disappearing, the divide between the center and periphery of the world system is as sharp and as meaningful as ever.Â
With neoliberal hegemony fractured, other ways of thinking and practicing politics have reemerged from their intellectual exiles. Among these, dependency theory stands out as an original and revolutionary contribution of Latin American critical thought, offering tools for understanding uneven capitalist development and imperialism both historically and today. For an introduction to this unique framework, we turn to Dr. Jaime Osorio.Â
When a military coup dâĂ©tat in Chile overthrew the democratically elected government of Salvador Allende on September 11, 1973, Osorio had already been accepted to begin his doctoral studies at the University of Chileâs Center for Socio-Economic Studies (CESO, in Spanish). The dictatorshipâs advance brought him instead to Mexico, where today he ranks as Distinguished Professor at the Autonomous Metropolitan University (UAM) in Xochimilico and as Researcher Emeritus by the National Council of Science and Technology (CONACYT). He is the author of many books, including Fundamentos del anĂĄlsis social. La realidad social y su conocimiento and Sistema mundial. Intercambio Desigual y renta de la tierra.Â
In this interview, Osorio speaks with Jacobin contributing editor Hilary Goodfriend about the Marxist school of dependency theory, its origins and principles, and its present-day applications. Â
Dependency theory and its Marxist strain emerged from debates and dialogues about development, underdevelopment, and imperialism in the context of decolonization and the national liberation struggles of the twentieth century. What were the main positions and strategies in dispute, and how did Marxist dependency theorists position themselves in these arguments?
At the theoretical level, Marxist dependency theory [TMD, in Spanish] is the result of the Cuban Revolutionâs victory in 1959. Latin American Marxism was moved by the islandâs gesture. All the main theses about the nature of Latin American societies and the character of revolution came into question.Â
A little over a decade after that event, which sharpened the debates, TMD reached maturity. In those years, some of the proposals that fed theories of dependency emphasized the role of trade relations, such as the âdeterioration of the terms of tradeâ thesis put forward by the [Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean] CEPAL, which referred to the cheapening of primary goods against the rising prices of industrial products in the world market.
Orthodox Marxists highlighted the presence of internal âobstaclesâ that impeded development, like idle terrain in the hands of landowners, which also blocked the expansion of wage relations. Generally, in these proposals, capitalism wasnât to blame. In fact, it was necessary to accelerate its spread so that its inherent contradictions would heighten. Only then could a socialist revolution be proposed, according to this stage-based perspective prevalent in the Communist Parties.
For the Cepalinos, their horizon was achieving advanced capitalism, which would be possible by means of a process of industrialization. This would allow the region to cease exporting primary goods and food products and importing secondary goods, which would now be produced internally, sparking technological development and stemming the outflow of resources.Â
In both proposals, the industrial bourgeoisie had a positive role to play, be it in the medium or long term.
For Marxist dependency theory, the regionâs so-called economic âbackwardnessâ was a result of the formation and expansion of the capitalist world system, whose course produced development and underdevelopment simultaneously. Therefore, these divergent economic histories are not independent processes, nor are they connected tangentially. From this perspective, the fundamental theoretical and historical problem required explaining the processes that generated both development and underdevelopment in the same movement.Â
This problem demanded, furthermore, a response that accounted for how this process is reproduced over time since civilization and barbarism are constantly made anew by the world system.Â
Many of the acclaimed Marxist dependency theoristsâRuy Mauro Marini, Theotonio Dos Santos, Vania Bambirraâshare a trajectory of flight from South American dictatorships and exile in Mexico. You were also subject to this forced displacement. How did these experiences of revolution and counterrevolution influence the construction of TMD?
Four names stand out in the development of TMD: AndrĂ© Gunder Fank, Theotonio Dos Santos, Vania Vambirra, and Ruy Mauro Marini. The first was a German-U.S. economist and the other three Brazilians, who shared readings and discussions in Brazil before the 1964 coup in that country. Subsequently, they found each other in Chile in the late 1960s in the Center for Socio-Economic Studies, until the military coup of 1973. During this periodâat least in the case of the Braziliansâthey produced their principals works with regards to TMD. I had the fortune of meeting and working with Marini in Mexico in the mid-1970s, before his return to Brazil.Â
TMD offers no concessions to the local ruling classes, holding them responsible for the prevailing conditions in which they manage to reap enormous profits in collusion with international capitals, despite [international] value transfers. For this reason, it was hard for these theorists to find spaces for their knowledge in the academic world.
The 1973 military coup in Chile meant that the principal creators of TMD appeared on the search lists of the military forces and their intelligence apparatus. And this coup in Chile, which was preceded by the coup in Brazil in 1964, was followed by many more in the Southern part of the continent, which dispersed and disbanded working groups and closed important spaces in those societies.Â
At the same time, this long counterrevolutionary phase, which was not limited to military governments, favored sweeping transformations in the social sciences, where neoliberal theories and methodological individualism came to reign supreme. TMD emerged in an exceptional period of recent history. However, subsequently and in generalâsaving certain moments and countries in the regionâideal conditions for its development and dissemination have not existed.
In his classic work, The Dialectics of Dependency, Marini defines dependency as a ârelation of subordination between formally independent nations, in whose framework the relations of production of the subordinate nation are modified or recreated in order to ensure the expanded production of dependency.â What are the mechanisms of this expanded production, and how have they changed since Marini formulated his proposal in the 1970s?
When we talk about the processes generated by dependent capitalism, the âdependentâ qualifier isnât redundant. Weâre talking about another way of being capitalist. That is to say that in the world system, diverse forms of capitalism coexist and are integrated, and they feed off each other and deepen their particular forms within the global unity of capital.Â
The heterogeneity of the system can be explained, then, not by the backwardness of some economies, not as prior states [of development], not as deficiencies. Each constitutes its full, mature form of capitalism possible in this system.Â
In this way, with the stroke of a pen, TMD destroyed the hopes of the developmentalists, who supposed that the dependent economies could achieve higher states of welfare and development within this order constituted by capital. For them, it was just a matter of taking advantage of windows that regularly open. There is nothing in the prevailing dynamic to suggest that things are moving in that direction. To the contrary, what is produced and continues to emerge is the âdevelopment of underdevelopment,â so long as capitalist social relations prevail.Â
The gap between underdeveloped and developed capitalism, or between imperialist and dependent capitalism is ever widening. Dependency deepens and more acute modalities are generated. In a world in which digital capitalism is gaining groundâthe internet of things, artificial intelligence, robotics, as an exampleâthis isnât hard to understand.Â
Experiences like that of South Korea canât be repeated at will. They are, instead, exceptions to the rule. Why did the IMF cut off and suffocate the Argentine economy and not extend its hand like imperialist capital did for South Korea after the 1952 war on the peninsula? It was the latterâs exceptional position in a strategic space, which was disrupted by the triumph of Maoâs revolution in China and the need to construct a barrier to prevent the expansion of socialism in Korea, that turned on the faucet of enormous resources, at least for Japan and the United States, and put blinders on those defenders of democracy and the free market when South Korea was governed by a succession of military dictatorships that ferociously applied state intervention, not the free market, to define plans and programs to define priorities for investment and loans.Â
Today, all a government in the dependent world has to do is establish some rules for foreign capital, and the whole clamor and propaganda of transnational media demand that communism be stopped, impeding international loans, blocking access to markets, and seeking to suffocate those alleged subversives.Â
The concept of superexploitation as a mechanism by which dependent capitalists compensate for their subordinate insertion in the international division of labor is perhaps Mariniâs most original and polemic proposal. Some Marxists, for example, protest the possibility of the systematic violation of the law of value. This is a theme that you take up in your debate with the Argentinian researcher Claudio Katz. How do you define superexploitation, and why, or in what terms, do you defend its validity today?
With Mariniâs short book, The Dialectics of Dependency, whose central body was written in 1972 and would be published in 1973, TMD reaches its point of greatest maturity. We can synthesize the nucleus of Mariniâs thesis in the question: How is the reproduction of a capitalism that regularly transfers value to imperialist economies possible?
Itâs possible because in dependent capitalism, a particular form of exploitation is imposed which means that capital isnât just appropriating surplus value, but also part of workersâ consumption fund, which ought to correspond to their salaries, in order to transfer it to their accumulation fund. Thatâs what the category of superexploitation accounts for. If all capital eventually ends up being unpaid labor, in dependent capitalism, all capital is unpaid labor and the appropriated life fund [of the working class].
Mariniâs response is theoretically and politically brilliant, because it allows us to explain the reasons for the multiplication of misery and the devastation of the workers in the dependent world, but also the reasons for which capital is unable to establish stable forms of domination in these regions, regularly expelling huge contingents of workers from its civilizational promises, thrusting them into barbarism and converting them into contingents that resist, revolt, and rise up against the projects of the powerful.Â
Superexploitation has consequences at all levels of Latin American societies. For now, we can emphasize that it accompanies the formation of economies oriented to foreign markets. Following the processes of independence in the nineteenth century, and under the guidance of local capitals, the regionâs economies advanced on the basis of exports, initially of primary materials and foodstuffs, to which we can add, recently, the production and assembly of luxury industrial goods like cars, televisions, state-of-the-art cell phonesâproducts equally distant from the general consumption needs of most of the working population. This is compatible with the dominant modality of exploitation, which seriously impacts salaries, reducing workersâ consumption power and reducing their participation in the formation of a dynamic internal market.Â
Itâs relevant here to consider a significant difference with capitalism in the developed world. There, as capitalism advanced in the nineteenth century, it faced the dilemma that in order to keep expanding, which implied the multiplication of the mass of goods and products, it would need to incorporate workers into consumption. That was achieved by paying salaries with the purchasing power for basic goods such as clothing, shoes, utensils, and home furnishings. This balance was accomplished by introducing improved production techniques, which reduced the pressure to extend the working day by multiplying the mass of products thrown into the market. From there, we can understand the weight of relative surplus value in developed capitalism.Â
But in Latin America, things worked differently. Nineteenth-century capitalism didnât see the need to create markets, because they had been available since the colonial period in the imperialist centers. In addition, English capitalismâs takeoff increased the demand for primary materials and foodstuffs. For this reason, there wasnât any hurry to change the kind of use values and products put on the market. They continued to be foodstuffs and primary goods. In this way, the emergent capitalism in our region was under no pressure to do something qualitatively different. The mass of salaried laborers expanded, but they donât comprise the principal demand for the goods being produced, which was in Europe, the United States, and Asia. Â
Through their insertion in the world market and when it comes time to sell products, Latin American economies transfer value [abroad] for the simple reason that the capitals that operate here have lower compositions and productivities than the capitals in economies that spend more on new machinery, equipment, and technology, allowing them greater productivity and the ability to appropriate value created in other parts of the world. This process is called unequal exchange.Â
It's important to note that unequal exchange occurs in the market, at the moment of the purchase and sale of commodities. Apart from their low organic composition, this concept doesnât tell us much about how these commodities were produced, and above all, what allows for a capitalist process to be reproduced over time in such conditions. Thatâs where super-exploitation comes in.Â
That is the secret that makes dependent capitalism viable. And this calls all the more attention to the errors of people like Claudio Katz, who have formulated proposals that try to eliminate this concept and do so, furthermore, with grotesque arguments, like that Marx never mentioned it in Capital â he refers to [superexploitaiton] many times, in a variety of ways â because that would imply a dilution or a direct attack on his theoretical proposition since capitalism canât annihilate its workforce.Â
Iâm not going to repeat those debates with Katz. I will simply reiterate that Marxâs Capital is a book that is central to the study of capitalism and its contradictions. But no one can claim that it accounts for everything, or that capitalism, in its spread over time, canât exhibit theoretical or historical novelties of any kind. That is a religious reading, but Capital is not a sacred text. Such a position, furthermore, is an attack on a central dimension of Marxism as a theory able to explain not only what has existed, but also that which is new. For this reason, the only orthodoxy Marxism can claim is its mode of reflection.
It's also argued that the spread of superexploitation to the central economies following globalized neoliberal restructuring invalidates its character as a process unique to dependent capitalism.Â
Superexploitation can be present anywhere that capital operates, be that in the developed or underdeveloped world, just like forms of relative surplus value and absolute surplus value. Of course, there is superexploitation in Brazil and Guatemala, just as there is in Germany and South Korea.Â
But thatâs not the problem. Whatâs relevant is to elucidate the weight of these forms of exploitation, which can be present in any capitalist space, in capitalâs reproduction. So the central issue is different, and so are the economic, social, and political consequences.Â
Setting aside periods of crisis, when the most brutal forms of exploitation can be exacerbated everywhere, can capitalism operate in the medium and long term without a market that generates salaries, or with extremely low salaries? Something like if, in Germany, the average salary of the Armenians and Turks was generalized for the entire working population, or if the salaries of Mexican and Central American workers in the United States were predominant there. I donât think so.Â
Finally, what tools or perspectives does Marxist dependency theory offer us in the face of todayâs crises?
In its eagerness to deal with the acute and prolonged capitalist crisis, capital in every region seeks to accentuate forms of exploitation, including superexploitation. It seeks, once again, to reduce rights and benefits. With the war in Ukraine, it has found a good excuse to justify the increase in the price of food, housing, and energy, and its shameless return to the use of fuels that intensify pollution and environmental barbarism, as well as the increase in military budgets at the expense of wages and jobs.Â
The great imperial powers expect the subordination of economies and states to their decisions in periods of this sort. But the current crisis is also accelerating the crisis of hegemony in the world system, which opens spaces for greater degrees of autonomyâwhich does not put an end to dependency. This is evident in Washingtonâs difficulties with disciplining the Latin American and African states to support their position in the conflict in Europe.Â
The scenario in Latin America over the last few decades reveals processes of enormous interest. We have witnessed significant popular mobilization in almost every country in the region, questioning various aspects of the neoliberal tsunami, be it jobs, salaries, retirements, healthcare and education, as well as rights like abortion, recognition of gender identities, lands, water, and much more.Â
On this deeply fractured terrain that capital generates in the dependent world, class disputes tend to intensify. This explains the regular social and political outbursts in our societies. Itâs the result of the barbarity that capitalism imposes on regions like ours.Â
One expression of this social force is manifested in the electoral terrain. But just as quickly as there have been victories, there have been defeats. These comings and goings can be naturalized, but why havenât the victories allowed for lasting processes of change?Â
Of course, this is not to deny that there have been violent coups of a new sort that have managed to unseat governments. But even then, there were already signs of exhaustion that limited the protests, with the clear exception of Bolivia. There is an enormous gap between the leftist voter and the person who occasionally votes for left projects. The neoliberal triumph was not only in the economic policies and transformations it achieved, but also in its installment of a vision and interpretation of the world, its problems, and its solutions.
The struggle against neoliberalism today involves dismantling privatization of every kind and putting a stop to the conversion of social services and policies into private businesses. That means taking on the most economic and politically powerful sectors of capital, with control over state institutions where legislators, judges, and military members operate, together with the main media, schools, and churches. We can add that these are the sectors of capital with the strongest ties to imperialist capitals and their assemblage of supranational institutions, media, and states.Â
It's a powerful social bloc. Itâs hard to think about attacking it without having to attack capitalism itself. Â
Chile: ensaio sobre uma derrota histĂłrica
No dia 4 de setembro de 1970, o povo chileno foi Ă s urnas para eleger Salvador Allende presidente da RepĂșblica. A vitĂłria do socialista foi apertada, mas ainda assim referendada pelo Congresso, apesar das tentativas de golpe que jĂĄ rondavam. Mil dias depois da sua posse, numa terça-feira, 11 de setembro de 1973, o presidente Allende despertou apreensivo com os rumores de traição militar, mas ainda assim determinado a um objetivo: anunciar um plebiscito popular sobre a necessidade de uma Nova Constituição, que superasse os limites da carta vigente desde 1925. Esta, por sua vez, havia sido escrita por uma cĂșpula de supostos âespecialistasâ no governo de Arturo Alessandri, latifundiĂĄrio conhecido como âel LeĂłn de TarapacĂĄâ. A velha Constituição bloqueava o programa revolucionĂĄrio da Unidade Popular, ao assegurar os privilĂ©gios e poderes da classe proprietĂĄria. E Allende era, como se sabe, um sĂ©rio respeitador das leis.
Foi para evitar que Allende convocasse o plebiscito popular para uma Nova Constituição (anĂĄlogo ao que os chilenos de hoje chamaram de âplebiscito de entradaâ) que os comandantes militares anteciparam o golpe de 1973, ordenando o bombardeio ao PalĂĄcio de La Moneda dois dias antes do planejado. Foram informados das intençÔes presidenciais por Pinochet, chefe das Forças Armadas para quem, no domingo anterior, Allende havia confidenciado o anĂșncio do plebiscito em uma conversa privada na chĂĄcara de El Cañaveral.2
O plebiscito da Nova Constituição nunca foi anunciado. Allende morreu, a Unidade Popular foi massacrada. E a ideia allendista de um itinerĂĄrio popular constituinte foi soterrada pela repressĂŁo. A isso seguiu-se a ditadura com quase 4 mil chilenos mortos e desaparecidos, com 38 mil presos e torturados e tambĂ©m com a constituição de 1980, escrita por Jaime GuzmĂĄn, SĂ©rgio de Castro e outros homens da elite ditatorial. A carta teve a habilidade de projetar o âpinochetismo sem Pinochetâ, fundando o Estado subsidiĂĄrio e sua blindagem neoliberal que, por sua vez, foi perpetuada pelo pacto transicional de 1989, avançando por 30 anos de democracia. As dĂ©cadas de 2000 e 2010 foram de crescente luta social contra a constituição pinochetista - culminando com a revolta de 2019 e o tardio colapso total da sua legitimidade.
Retomar esse percurso Ă© importante para que se possa dimensionar o impacto histĂłrico e simbĂłlico do plebiscito de saĂda da Nova Constituição chilena ocorrido em 4 de setembro de 2022, cuja ampla escolha pelo rechazo ainda causa perplexidade e tristeza no movimento apruebista. Era enorme a carga de simbolismo histĂłrico presente nesse plebiscito, a começar pela sua data: o atual itinerĂĄrio constituinte estava desenhado para exorcizar Pinochet no aniversĂĄrio de 52 anos do triunfo eleitoral de Allende.Â
Se supunha que a Nova Constituição (NC), escrita de junho de 2021 a junho de 2022, era a mais genuĂna representação dos anseios populares, a primeira a escutar verdadeiramente as profundas demandas sociais desde o bombardeio de 11 de setembro. Mas nĂŁo era. Dessa vez nĂŁo foi um golpe militar que derrotou o horizonte de igualdade, diversidade, solidariedade e justiça plasmadas na nova carta, mas sim o prĂłprio voto popular, em um enredo que, por isso mesmo, ganhou ares trĂĄgicos. Afinal, foi justamente aquele povo excluĂdo e esquecido, invisibilizado e maltratado pelo Estado/mercado, o povo que a Convenção Constitucional acreditava representar de maneira profunda e inĂ©dita, que manifestou seu desagravo e gerou uma crise de legitimidade dos mecanismos democrĂĄticos mais inovadores do nosso continente.Â
Como explicar a crise de representatividade do organismo supostamente mais representativo da histĂłria chilena?
Voto popular contra a Nova Constituição por classe e território
A Nova Constituição chilena foi escrita por uma Convenção Constitucional (CC) eleita em maio de 2021, com voto facultativo de 6,1 milhĂ”es de eleitores (41% de participação). De maneira inĂ©dita, a CC foi composta por 50% de mulheres (lei 21.216)3 e 11% de povos indĂgenas (lei 21.298)4, e elegeu 32% de convencionales independentes,5 sendo considerada um organismo da mais alta representatividade popular. Apesar do polĂȘmico quĂłrum de â para aprovação das normas constitucionais e da tensĂŁo constante entre movimentos populares e instituiçÔes, a crĂtica avassaladora que a revolta de 2019 produziu Ă s classes polĂticas tradicionais se materializou em um organismo constitucional com rostos novos, formado por dezenas de âpessoas comunsâ, ativistas e lideranças populares. A CC mostrou a possibilidade de alteração rĂĄpida e radical da casta polĂtica, ao ser muito diversa do congresso nacional e dos profissionais de partidos que comandaram o âduopĂłlioâ das trĂȘs dĂ©cadas de democracia no Chile.Â
O resultado foi um texto constitucional atrelado Ă s lutas dos movimentos sociais e aos valores da solidariedade social opostos ao neoliberalismo, um dos documentos mais avançados em direitos sociais e promoção da diversidade dos nossos tempos.Â
Em poucas palavras, eu diria que cinco eixos caracterizavam a Nova Constituição chilena como uma das mais progressistas do mundo:Â
A plurinacionalidade intercultural, a representatividade polĂtica e o direito Ă autodeterminação dos povos indĂgenas, preservando-se a unidade do Estado chileno, conceito inspirado pelo novo constitucionalismo latino-americano inaugurado por Equador (2007) e BolĂvia (2009);Â
Os direitos da natureza e os freios Ă sua mercantilização, recuperando por exemplo o direito universal de acesso Ă ĂĄgua e suplantando o CĂłdigo de Ăguas da ditadura, sendo a primeira constituição do mundo a reconhecer a crise climĂĄtica como emergĂȘncia global e nacional;Â
Os direitos sociais de carĂĄter universal, como a educação gratuita, a saĂșde pĂșblica integral, a aposentadoria solidĂĄria, pĂșblica e tripartite, a moradia e o trabalho dignos (incluindo o direito universal Ă greve inexistente hoje), bem como o direito Ă cultura, ao esporte, a ciĂȘncia e ao tempo livre;Â
Os direitos reprodutivos, econĂŽmicos e polĂticos das mulheres em sentido transversal, assegurando reconhecimento da economia do cuidado e do trabalho domĂ©stico, o combate Ă violĂȘncia de gĂȘnero e a paridade em todos os organismos oficiais, bem como uma perspectiva feminista no sistema de justiça e uma educação nĂŁo sexista;Â
A descentralização do Estado como forma de aprofundar a democracia, garantindo maior orçamento e atribuiçÔes Ă s comunas, provĂncias e regiĂ”es, bem como criando organismos de poder popular vinculantes na formulação de polĂticas pĂșblicas locais e nacionais.
Apesar da NC responder Ă maioria das demandas populares levantadas na revolta de 2019 e nas mobilizaçÔes das dĂ©cadas anteriores, algo na Convenção Constitucional falhou para que o resultado desse grande esforço tenha sido tĂŁo amplamente derrotado. Se por um lado foi evidente o peso das fake news e o volumoso aporte financeiro das elites chilenas na campanha do Rechazo, que recebeu quatro vezes mais dinheiro que a campanha do Apruebo,6 tambĂ©m Ă© importante reconhecer que havia pontos cegos e fraturas na comunicação entre representantes constituintes e as maiorias chilenas. Do contrĂĄrio, a campanha de desinformação das direitas contra a nova carta nĂŁo encontraria terreno tĂŁo fĂ©rtil para se disseminar e prosperar.Â
Chegou-se ao seguinte paradoxo: o voto popular matou o projeto polĂtico mais democrĂĄtico da histĂłria do Chile. O mesmo voto popular que desbancou as elites polĂticas tradicionais, rejeitou o suposto âamadorismoâ dos convencionales, e com isso entregou o bastĂŁo da condução polĂtica constituinte novamente para o congresso.Â
O voto obrigatĂłrio no plebiscito de saĂda foi certamente um dos principais fatores para essa guinada. Diferentemente do plebiscito de entrada em outubro de 2020, com voto facultativo de 7,5 milhĂ”es de chilenos (50% de participação); da eleição dos convencionales em maio de 2021, com voto facultativo de 6,1 milhĂ”es de chilenos (41%); e do 2o turno das eleiçÔes presidenciais que deram vitĂłria Ă coligação âApruebo Dignidadâ com voto facultativo de 8,3 milhĂ”es de chilenos (55,7%), o plebiscito de saĂda teve voto obrigatĂłrio com multa de 180 mil pesos (aproximadamente mil reais) para quem nĂŁo comparecesse Ă s urnas. A obrigatoriedade punitiva do voto com essa altĂssima multa, em um contexto de desemprego, inflação e carestia, deu origem a uma mudança de perfil do eleitor que escapou Ă percepção dos apruebistas. AlĂ©m de inĂ©dita, a participação de 13 milhĂ”es de chilenos (86%) no plebiscito de saĂda forçou a manifestação de mais de 5 milhĂ”es de absenteĂstas histĂłricos, possivelmente o setor menos interessado em polĂtica da sociedade e os mais ausentes nas eleiçÔes da Ășltima dĂ©cada. NĂŁo Ă© nada desprezĂvel o fato de que o plebiscito de saĂda tenha contado com mais que o dobro (216%) do total de votantes das eleiçÔes para os representantes convencionales.
Este Ă© um dos elementos explicativos mais importantes de tamanha quebra de expectativas e da guinada polĂtica entre eleiçÔes tĂŁo prĂłximas. A NC foi rechaçada por 7,8 milhĂ”es de chilenos (61,8%) contra 4,8 milhĂ”es de apruebistas (38,1%). Os votos contrĂĄrios de Rechazo no plebiscito, sozinhos, somaram mais do que o total de votantes no pleito que elegeu os convencionales. Em nĂșmeros absolutos, o quĂłrum de 4 de setembro de 2022 foi o maior de toda a histĂłria chilena.Â
Tais nĂșmeros absolutos devem nos conduzir a uma anĂĄlise dos votos por classes sociais e territĂłrios, como alertou o historiador SĂ©rgio Grez.7 Ao segmentar o total de comunas em quatro estratos de renda, o quintil que reĂșne as comunas mais pobres do paĂs apresentou uma mĂ©dia de 75% rechazo, expressivamente maior que o resultado nacional. As comunas com renda mĂ©dia-baixa rechaçaram o texto em 71%; as mĂ©dia-altas o rechaçaram em 64%; e o quintil de maior renda o rechaçou em 60%. Quanto mais pobres as comunas, mais avassalador foi o rechaço.Â
Em Colchane, por exemplo, a comuna de TarapacĂĄ com mais altos Ăndices de pobreza (24%)8 e que enfrentou a fase mais aguda da crise migratĂłria do Norte, o rechaço obteve 94%. Ao mesmo tempo, provĂncias com maiores Ăndices de população indĂgena tambĂ©m demonstraram altos nĂveis de rechaço, ao contrĂĄrio do que se poderia imaginar. Foram as regiĂ”es de fronteira indĂgena - Ăuble (74%), AraucanĂa (73%), Maule (71%) e Biobio (69%)9 - que obtiveram os maiores nĂveis de rechaço em comparação Ă mĂ©dia nacional. JĂĄ as regiĂ”es com maior aceitação da NC - a RegiĂŁo Metropolitana (RM) e ValparaĂso -, ainda assim experimentaram a derrota do texto, com respectivamente 55% e 57% de rechazo. Em termos nacionais, o Apruebo sĂł obteve maioria em 8 de 346 comunas do paĂs, sendo 5 em ValparaĂso e 3 na RM.10 Entre elas, nĂŁo estĂĄ a comuna de Recoleta, na RM, governada desde 2012 pelo prefeito comunista Daniel Jadue, principal rival de Boric na coligação Apruebo Dignidad. A Recoleta foi palco de experimentos importantes do PC governo, como a universidade popular, as livrarias populares e as farmĂĄcias populares, reunindo habitantes santiaguinos simpĂĄticos Ă esquerda e entusiastas de Jadue. Seus votos do plebiscito, porĂ©m, resultaram em inexplicĂĄveis 51,9% pelo Rechazo.
AlĂ©m disso, como alertou Igor Donoso, nas comunas que âos ambientalistas denominaram zonas de sacrifĂcioâ11 por vivenciarem atividades de extrativismo e conflito socioambiental, o rechaço foi amplamente vitorioso, a despeito das diretrizes ecolĂłgicas da NC que asseguravam os direitos das populaçÔes dos territĂłrios de mineração, pesca industrial, monoculturas florestais e outras atividades predatĂłrias. Nestas âzonas de sacrifĂcioâ, Donoso menciona o triunfo do rechazo em La Ligua (58,93%), Quintero (58,11%), Los Vilos (56,93%), PuchuncavĂ (56,11%), Petorca (56,11%), Villa Alemana (57,82%) e Freirina (55,54%). Nas cidades mineiras afetadas pelo extrativismo e suas contaminaçÔes, o rechaço tambĂ©m venceu amplamente, como em Calama (70,64%) e Rancagua (60,63%).
EmblemĂĄtica dessa contradição territorial foi a comuna de Petorca, cenĂĄrio de uma aguerrida luta popular pelo acesso Ă ĂĄgua na Ășltima dĂ©cada. Ali, a desertificação prejudica os pequenos agricultores e a população em geral, que dependem de caminhĂ”es-pipa para obter a ĂĄgua necessĂĄria Ă sobrevivĂȘncia e Ă produção de alimentos, enquanto grandes empresas monocultoras detĂ©m direitos de propriedade sobre a ĂĄgua inclusive das propriedades camponesas, uma vez que o CĂłdigo de Ăguas de 1981 permitiu a bizarra desassociação dos mercados da terra e da ĂĄgua.12 A eleição de Rodrigo Mundaca, lĂder do Movimento pela Defesa do Acesso Ă Ăgua, Terra e Proteção Ambiental (MODATIMA), a governador da regiĂŁo de ValparaĂso em maio de 2021 indicava uma consistente orientação popular pela agenda ecolĂłgica e contra a privatização da ĂĄgua, princĂpios destacados da NC. No entanto, Petorca derrotou o novo texto com 56% de rechazo,13 o que fez Mundaca declarar: âsinto a incerteza de nĂŁo reconhecer o lugar que habito (...). Parece bastante irracional a votação sustentada por esta comunaâ. 14
Pontos cegos da polĂtica constituinte: causas do rechazo popular
Segundo pesquisa realizada pelo CIPER15 na semana seguinte ao plebiscito, com entrevista a 120 pessoas de 12 comunas com maiorias trabalhadoras, as principais razÔes do voto popular pelo rechazo foram, nesta ordem:
O Estado se apropriaria das casas das pessoas
Os fundos de pensĂŁo nĂŁo seriam herdĂĄveis
O paĂs seria dividido
O governo merece crĂticas (voto castigo)
ContrĂĄrios ao aborto
Â
A pesquisa CADEM feita na mesma semana,16 questionou 1.135 pessoas com a pergunta âqual foi a principal razĂŁo pela qual vocĂȘ votou rechazo?â e obteve como resultado o grĂĄfico abaixo. Foram 40% de entrevistados que atribuĂram seu voto a um processo constituinte âmuy maloâ, que despertou âdesconfiançaâ; 35% de mençÔes crĂticas Ă plurinacionalidade (um dos mais intensos focos de fake news); 29% de desaprovação do governo Boric; 24% de crĂticas Ă instabilidade e insegurança polĂtica e econĂŽmica; 13% contrĂĄrios Ă suposta proibição de saĂșde e educação privadas (fake); 13% de referĂȘncias a um âmal caminoâ do paĂs associado Ă delinquĂȘncia e ao conflito mapuche; 12% de mençÔes contrĂĄrias a uma nova constituição e em defesa da reforma da carta da ditadura; e 8% de referĂȘncias contrĂĄrias ao aborto e Ă s mudanças do sistema polĂtico.Â
Gråfico 1 - RazÔes para votar rechazo (CADEM)
As principais fake news que abalaram o voto apruebista se relacionavam Ă ameaça contra a chilenidade: se disseminou que a plurinacionalidade era o fim da bandeira e do hino, que o Chile iria mudar de nome, que imigrantes venezuelanos e povos indĂgenas tomariam o poder e se tornariam cidadĂŁos privilegiados, sem punibilidade pela justiça, e que os chilenos nĂŁo poderiam mais circular livremente pelo seu prĂłprio territĂłrio (usando como pretexto o desastrado episĂłdio da ex ministra do Interior, Iskia Siches, impedida de realizar uma reuniĂŁo em Temucuicui, AraucanĂa, bloqueada por uma barricada mapuche na primeira quinzena de governo Boric). TambĂ©m os direitos reprodutivos, a constitucionalização do direito ao aborto e o direito Ă diversidade sexual ocuparam um lugar de destaque nas fake news, embora a pesquisa CADEM indique que este nĂŁo tenha sido o ponto mais crĂtico impulsionador do rechazo.Â
AlĂ©m dos conglomerados midiĂĄticos tradicionais da direita e extrema direita, dezenas de contas de Facebook, Youtube e Instagram nĂŁo declaradas ao Servel propagaram, durante meses, uma sĂ©rie de mentiras sobre a NC, se aproveitando do sentimento de insegurança e instabilidade dos mais pobres, em função da crise econĂŽmica, do trauma da pandemia e do flagrante aumento da criminalidade. Medo da violĂȘncia, racismo, xenofobia foram dispositivos conservadores mobilizados em massa, mas que nĂŁo teriam obtido sucesso se tais sentimentos nĂŁo existissem no terreno da experiĂȘncia social e das ideologias populares, como diagnosticou Jorge Magasich.17 Afinal, fake news nĂŁo se propaga no vĂĄcuo.
A opiniĂŁo de que o processo constituinte foi âmal feitoâ, de que a Constituição nĂŁo era uma obra tecnicamente viĂĄvel e que a CC foi marcada por escrachos, anarquia e confusĂŁo Ă© particularmente importante para um paĂs que havia acabado de âdemitirâ sua classe polĂtica e convocar âpessoas comunsâ para o centro da elaboração constituinte. HĂĄ um paradoxo de difĂcil interpretação no fato de que a revolta de 2019 consolidou a crĂtica popular ao duopĂłlio, Ă s instituiçÔes tradicionais e aos profissionais dos partidos, mas que somente trĂȘs anos depois o plebiscito de saĂda tenha desmoralizado os legĂtimos representantes do chileno comum, do lado de fora dos acordĂ”es e diretamente do chĂŁo das ruas. Com isso, o plebiscito de saĂda devolveu a bola para as mesmas instituiçÔes de sempre, que o estallido social havia deslegitimado e declarado incapazes de governar.Â
A ideia de uma Convenção amadora e caĂłtica, que errou mais do que acertou, terminou sendo reiterada por declaraçÔes como de Marcos Arellano, convencional independente da Coordinadora Plurinacional, que pediu desculpas, em nome da CC: âĂ© de exclusiva responsabilidade da Convenção como ĂłrgĂŁoâ, declarou sobre o triunfo do rechazo: âvĂĄrios convencionales tiveram condutas de soberba. Houve falta de solenidade em alguns casos, uma sĂ©rie de performances que afetaram a credibilidade do ĂłrgĂŁoâ.18 Arellano tambĂ©m expressou uma autocrĂtica sobre o uso excessivo das horas de trabalho dos convencionales das portas da CC para dentro, com evidente descaso e descuido com o trabalho de comunicação polĂtica de massas e experiĂȘncia de base nas periferias em defesa do novo texto. Ă fato inegĂĄvel que os debates sobre justiça social, paridade e plurinacionalidade dos convencionales aconteceram em termos que alguns consideraram âacadĂȘmicosâ ou âpos-modernosâ, distantes da realidade vivida pelo povo chileno e de suas subjetividades polĂticas. Essa fratura Ă© trĂĄgica, porque a CC se legitimou como organismo mais popular, representativo e democrĂĄtico da histĂłria do Chile, mas terminou sendo desmoralizada pelo povo que alegava representar.Â
Talvez a vitĂłria retumbante de 78% pelo Apruebo no plebiscito de entrada tenha distorcido a percepção polĂtica sobre o plebiscito de saĂda, subestimando sua dificuldade. O plebiscito de saĂda nĂŁo era nenhum passeio. NĂŁo era uma vitĂłria a mais na coleção de triunfos da esquerda pĂłs-estallido, mas sim outra montanha a ser escalada, dentro de uma correlação de forças mĂłvel, que afinal ofereceu 3,75 milhĂ”es de votos Ă extrema direita com JosĂ© AntĂŽnio Kast em dezembro de 2021. A CN nĂŁo estava ganha apenas pelos significados de justiça e solidariedade mobilizados pelo seu texto em si mesmo. Ainda mais considerando o fator voto obrigatĂłrio e o ponto cego dos 5 milhĂ”es de absenteĂstas agora convertidos em votantes, que sequer se interessaram pelos pleitos anteriores. Era preciso escrever a NC e ao mesmo tempo lutar pela sua comunicação popular nas poblaciones.
Por outro lado, questionar a capacidade tĂ©cnica e a seriedade de um organismo com independentes, mulheres, indĂgenas e lĂderes populares parece ser uma forma trĂĄgica de cair na armadilha das campanhas de deslegitimação arquitetadas pelas direitas (pinochetista e centrista), que buscaram a todo tempo desmoralizar um organismo que permaneceu fora do seu tradicional controle polĂtico. Se levarmos em conta os relatos insuspeitos de uma brasileira, a constitucionalista Ester Rizzi, que esteve dentro da Convenção em fevereiro, os trabalhos estavam eficientes, tĂ©cnicos, organizados e com assessoria de inĂșmeros profissionais competentes emprestados pelas universidades, em um processo constitucional com parcos recursos financeiros e pouco investimento pĂșblico.19 Nesse sentido, a qualidade da NC foi quase um milagre, fruto de um esforço coletivo e tĂ©cnico fenomenal em condiçÔes das mais adversas, que merece aplausos aos convencionales.
Entre as possibilidades nĂŁo aproveitadas pela CC estavam os plebiscitos intermediĂĄrios, que inicialmente visavam contornar o bloqueio dos â de quĂłrum pelo voto popular e superar a impossibilidade de amplos consensos entre convencionales recorrendo Ă s maiorias simples do povo. Talvez a impressionante vitĂłria das esquerdas na eleição da CC em maio de 2021 tenha sido, no mĂ©dio prazo, uma vitĂłria de Pirro, ao gerar um excesso de confiança no procedimento interno do ĂłrgĂŁo, enfraquecendo a comunicação necessĂĄria com as maiorias sociais e descartando os plebiscitos intermediĂĄrios em função dos consensos progressistas dos â de esquerda e centro-esquerda obtidos no caminho. Assim, a CC se fechou em si mesma e se distanciou do processo mobilizador que a tornou possĂvel.Â
Terceiro Turno, derrota de Boric e o novo gabineteÂ
A coligação de Boric, Apruebo Dignidad, carregava no seu nome a opção governista pela NC. Embora tenha se engajado na campanha tardia e timidamente, constrangido pelas imposiçÔes da FiscalĂa que proibia a campanha oficialista para qualquer um dos lados, Boric utilizou a ideia de que a mĂĄxima participação no plebiscito seria em si mesmo um triunfo da democracia. SerĂĄ mesmo?
Entre as causas mais relevantes do rechazo estĂĄ a evidĂȘncia de que o plebiscito representou o terceiro turno das eleiçÔes presidenciais. A mĂĄ avaliação do governo, por sua incapacidade de apresentar soluçÔes compreensĂveis aos problemas do paĂs e melhorias rĂĄpidas da vida popular, somadas as contradiçÔes entre o comportamento de Boric antes e depois de se tornar presidente (sendo a posição contrĂĄria ao âquinto retiroâ dos fundos de pensĂŁo o exemplo mais escancarado), fez cair a popularidade do presidente numa velocidade preocupante. Entre março e setembro de 2022, a aprovação do governo Boric caiu de 50% para 33%, enquanto a reprovação subiu de 20% a 60%. NĂŁo por acaso, a reprovação corresponde Ă votação no Rechazo, como mostra o grĂĄfico abaixo.
Gråfico 2 - Aprovação do presidente Gabriel Boric, mar-set/2022 (CADEM)
Em termos numĂ©ricos, o voto Apruebo correspondeu de maneira quase exata ao voto em Boric no segundo turno (ganhando apenas 200 mil novos apoiadores, de 4,6 milhĂ”es nas eleiçÔes a 4,8 milhĂ”es no plebiscito).20 Territorialmente, a votação do Apruebo foi quase idĂȘntica Ă de Boric. Na RM, por exemplo, Boric teve 2,1 milhĂ”es e o Apruebo 2,2 milhĂ”es. Em ValparaĂso, 545 mil votos em Boric e 583 mil no Apruebo. Na regiĂŁo de OâHiggins, respectivamente 252 mil e 244 mil. As diferenças entre os votos do Boric e do Apruebo foi tĂŁo pequena que se conclui que os quase 5 milhĂ”es de novos votantes no plebiscito de saĂda se direcionaram quase integralmente para o rechazo.Â
A incapacidade do Apruebo de ganhar votos entre o segundo turno presidencial (dezembro de 2021) e o plebiscito (setembro de 2022) diz muito sobre as dificuldades de dois setores das esquerdas em transferir suas agendas de mudança do plano da utopia e da imaginação polĂtica para a vida concreta das maiorias mais desinteressadas do paĂs. Tanto a esquerda centrista do governo com seu modus operandi continuista e atĂ© repressor de movimentos sociais, como as esquerdas de horizontes mais rupturistas que atuaram na CC (chamadas por Boric de maximalistas), por motivos diferentes, nĂŁo conseguiram atingir o objetivo mais crucial de toda sua luta: superar o a Constituição pinochetista/neoliberal e abrir caminho constitucional para um Estado de bem estar social, com justiça distributiva e direitos assegurados.Â
De tudo isso, se apreendeu que a relação entre as multidĂ”es mobilizadas no estallido (que encheram avenidas com milhĂ”es e demonstraram uma convicção impressionante) e as multidĂ”es silenciosas, absenteĂstas e invisibilizadas (que estiveram em casa nos Ășltimos dez anos de eleiçÔes) Ă© profundamente contraditĂłria e muito mais complexa e tensa do que os apruebistas supunham. As classes trabalhadoras sĂŁo heterogĂȘneas e nem sempre se entendem.
A mudança de gabinete de Boric mostrou que das duas coligaçÔes que compĂ”e o governo - Apruebo Dignidad e Socialismo DemocrĂĄtico - a segunda saiu ganhando. A nova ministra do interior, Carolina TohĂĄ (filha do ministro do interior de Allende, JosĂ© TohĂĄ) foi SecretĂĄria Geral da PresidĂȘncia (Segpres) de Bachelet, entrou no lugar da polĂȘmica Iskia Siches, que teve sua reputação derretida em cinco meses de governo, erros vergonhosos e excessivos pedidos de desculpas. A nova Segpres, que substituiu Giorgio Jackson (o engenheiro da Frente Ampla), Ă© Ana Lya Uriarte, que foi chefa de gabinete de Bachelet. Enquanto Siches foi demitida, Jackson, que nĂŁo poderia ficar fora do governo por sua enorme relevĂąncia na trajetĂłria de Boric da FECH Ă presidĂȘncia, foi deslocado para o ministĂ©rio do desenvolvimento social.
O governo Boric, dessa forma, aumentou o nĂșmero de mulheres em seu comitĂȘ polĂtico tanto quanto de bacheletistas, se transformando em uma espĂ©cie de governo Bachelet 3.
Buscando atenuar e naturalizar sua derrota, Boric discursou no 4 de setembro: âno Chile as instituiçÔes funcionam (âŠ), a democracia chilena sai mais robustaâ.21 TambĂ©m apontou para mais um passo em direção Ă moderação, dizendo que âo maximalismo, a violĂȘncia e a intolerĂąncia com que pensa diferente devem ficar definitivamente de ladoâ, como se algum tipo de radicalismo tivesse dado o tom da CC, o que nĂŁo Ă© verdade. Afirmou ainda que âĂ© preciso escutar a voz do povo, nĂŁo sĂł este dia, mas sim de tudo o que aconteceu nestes Ășltimos anos intensosâ. E arrematou: âNĂŁo esqueçamos porque chegamos atĂ© aqui. Este mal estar segue latente e nĂŁo podemos ignorĂĄ-loâ.Â
No mesmo tom de relativização da derrota, a ministra vocera Camila Vallejo, cujo cargo Ă© o equilĂbrio tĂȘnue que segura o Partido Comunista em uma coligação cada vez mais inconveniente, afirmou: âo compromisso do governo de impulsionar seu programa estĂĄ intacto (âŠ). NĂŁo esqueçamos porque estamos aqui. O que nos levou a ser governo foram anos e dĂ©cadas demandando maior justiça social, aposentadoria digna, saĂșde digna, o direito Ă educação. Temos um mandato a cumprir. (âŠ) Estes desafios estĂŁo em pleno trĂąmiteâ.22 Resta saber, ainda, como seria possĂvel cumprir o programa de Boric sem a NC. A verdade inconveniente Ă© a adequação deste programa Ă velha ordem (Bachelet 3).
Limbo constitucional e novo itinerĂĄrioÂ
AtĂ© mesmo os politicos da direita tradicional, comemorando o resultado na sede do comando do Rechazo, afirmaram que a constituição de 1980 estĂĄ morta. Sua campanha esteve baseada em escrever uma âNC melhorâ, âuma que nos unaâ, mais nacional e unitĂĄria, que nĂŁo âdĂvida o paĂsâ, apelando Ă falsa compreensĂŁo do plurinacional como antagĂŽnico ao nacional.Â
Ă certo que haverĂĄ um novo itinerĂĄrio constituinte, mas nĂŁo se sabe ainda quanto da Constituição de 1980 serĂĄ contrabandeada para dentro do novo processo. Fez parte dos acordos pĂłs-estallido a ideia de uma NC a partir de uma folha em branco, contrĂĄria a reformar mais uma vez o texto de Pinochet. Agora, como disse Boric e sua nova ministra Uriarte, o protagonismo serĂĄ do congresso, o que contraria todo esforço da revolta de 2019 atĂ© aqui.Â
 Ainda havia a possibilidade de diferentes modalidades de golpe contra o resultado do plebiscito de entrada, que apontou inequivocamente para uma nova constituição e para uma convenção eleita para este fim, rejeitando que o congresso redigisse o novo texto para envernizar o velho. No dia 12 de setembro, uma reuniĂŁo entre lideranças dos partidos no Parlamento definiu que haverĂĄ sim um âorganismo eleitoâ, possivelmente formado nos prĂłximos meses, e acompanhado de um âcomitĂȘ de expertosâ,23 o que significa o triunfo do neoliberalismo pela tecnocracia.Â
Ganha a interpretação de que a NC foi rechaçada por ser amadora, enquanto a nova carta deverĂĄ ser controlada por saberes tecnocrĂĄticos obviamente vinculados ao mercado e suas normativas tĂpicas. A questĂŁo Ă© que se jĂĄ era difĂcil combater o neoliberalismo com uma nova constituição (cuja aplicação seria desafiadora e dependeria da luta constante dos movimentos sociais), se tornou frustrante e falsificador combatĂȘ-lo submetido a uma tutela tecnocrĂĄtica que emanarĂĄ da racionalidade neoliberal.Â
Mas a luta nĂŁo terminou. Segundo a declaração dos movimentos sociais apĂłs a derrota, âo aprendizado que construĂmos serĂĄ fundamental, porque os movimentos sociais jĂĄ nĂŁo somos o que Ă©ramos antes de escrever esta Constituição. Neste processo o povo aprendeu a auto representar-se, isso nĂŁo Ă© algo dado, depois de dĂ©cadas de exclusĂŁo dos setores populares da vida polĂtica, poder representar a nĂłs mesmas Ă© um trabalho do qual nĂŁo iremos renunciarâ.25
O Rechazo foi um bombardeio Ă s avessas, quase tĂŁo inimaginĂĄvel quanto o do dia 11. O PalĂĄcio de La Moneda nĂŁo foi avariado fĂsica, mas politicamente. Dessa vez nĂŁo de cima pela Força AĂ©rea, mas âdesde abajoâ pela vontade popular, em um estranho paradoxo democrĂĄtico.Â
Para atravessar tempos de derrota histĂłrica, os mapuche usam a palavra âmarichiweuâ, que significa ânunca vĂŁo nos vencerâ, explica Elisa LoncĂłn, a linguista indĂgena que presidiu a primeira metade da CC.25Â
Nos triĂȘnios de 1970-1973 e de 2019-2022, o Chile mostrou sua capacidade de entusiasmar a AmĂ©rica Latina com criatividade polĂtica e projetos utĂłpicos, que inspiram e iluminam povos vizinhos como miragens magnetizantes. Suas derrotas doem, porque tambĂ©m costumam ser nossas.
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-- Jordana
Gang warfare in Haiti (May 23, 2022)
U.S. navigates choppy diplomatic waters (May 20, 2022)
News Briefs
Brazil Supreme Court rejects Bolsonaro complaint (May 19, 2022)
A Brazilian Supreme Court judge rejected a complaint filed by President Jair Bolsonaro in which he accused another justice of abusing his authority, the latest in an ongoing battle between Brazil's executive and judicial branches ahead of October's presidential elections.Â
U.S. encourages Venezuela talks (May 18, 2022)
The U.S. Biden administration has slightly eased restrictions on Chevron's ability to negotiate with Venezuela's government. Senior administration officials said the move was intended to support talks between the government of President NicolĂĄs Maduro and the U.S.-backed opposition, reports the Washington Post.Â
Political Report #1466 The April 2002 Coup Through Time
 by LAP Editor, Steve Ellner
Political Report #1465 âThose Who Are Poor, Die Poorâ | Notes on The Chilean Elections
Political Report 1464 - Nicaragua: Chronicle of an Election Foretold
With seven opposition presidential candidates imprisoned and held incommunicado in the months leading up to the vote and all the remaining contenders but one from miniscule parties closely allied with President Daniel Ortega and his Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN), the results of Nicaraguaâs November 7 presidential elections were a foregone conclusion. The government declared after polls closed that Ortega won 75 percent of the vote and that 65 percent of voters cast ballots. The independent voting rights organization Urnas Abiertas, meanwhile, reported an abstention rate of approximately 80 percent and widespread irregularities at polling stations around the country.
The vote was carried out in a climate of fear and intimidation, with a total absence of safeguards against fraud.The vote was carried out in a climate of fear and intimidation, with a total absence of safeguards against fraud. In a complete breakdown of the rule of law, Ortega carried out a wave of repression from May to October, leading the opposition to issue a joint statement on October 7 calling for a boycott of the election. Several dozen opposition figuresâamong them, presidential candidates, peasant, labor, and student leaders, journalists, and environmentalistsâwere arrested and detained without trial, while several hundred others were forced into exile or underground.
Among those exiled were celebrated novelist Sergio Ramirez, who served as Ortegaâs vice president during the 1980s revolution. While the government charged Ramirez with âconspiracy to undermine national integrity,â his crime was provoking the ire of the regime by publishing his latest novel, Tongolele No SabĂa Bailar, a fictionalized account of the 2018 mass protests that marked the onset of the current political crisis and the degeneration of the regime into dictatorship. The book was promptly banned in the country, with customs authorities ordered to block shipments at ports of entry.
The repression particularly decimated the left-leaning opposition party Democratic Renovation Union (UNAMOS), formerly called the Sandinista Renovation Movement (MRS). The MRS was formed in 1995 by Ortegaâs former comrades in arms who either left the FSLN after the failure of their efforts to democratize it or were expelled for challenging Ortegaâs leadership of the party. Among those UNAMOS leaders arrested and to date held incommunicado are legendary guerrilla commanders Dora MarĂa TĂ©llez and Hugo Torres, as well as deputy foreign minister in the 1980s, Victor Hugo Tinoco, and party president Ana Margarita Vigil. Amnesty International condemned such detentions and incommunicado conditions as âenforced disappearance as a strategy of repression.â
As part of the crackdown the government also banned 24 civic organizations and professional associationsâin addition to some 30 that it had previously banned, including three opposition political parties. The majority of these 24 organizations were professional medical guilds that had come under fire for criticizing the regimeâs handling of the Covid-19 pandemic, including reporting that the government had concealed the number of infections and deaths. Vice President Rosario Murillo accused doctors of âhealth terrorismâ and of spreading âfalse outlooks and newsâ on the impact of the contagion. During the early months of the pandemic the government convened mass public events under the banner of âLove in Times of Covid.â Nicaragua, together with Haiti, has the lowest rate of vaccination in Latin America, with only 4.9 percent of the population inoculated as of October.
In late 2020, the Sandinistas decreed a spate of laws that allows authorities to criminalize anyone who speaks out against the government. Among these are a Cybercrime Law that allows fines and imprisonment of anyone who publishes in the press or on social media what the government deems to be âfalse news.â Meanwhile, a âhate crimesâ law allows life sentences for anyone considered to have carried out âhate crimes,â as defined by the government. Among the varied offenses listed by Sandinista prosecutors for the recent wave of detentions are âconspiracy to undermine national integrity,â âideological falsehood,â âdemanding, exalting, or applauding the imposition of sanctions against the Nicaraguan state and its citizens,â and âusing international funding to create organizations, associations, and foundations to channel funds, through projects or programs that deal with sensitive issues such as sexual diversity groups, the rights of Indigenous communities, or through political marketing on topics such as free expression or democracy.â
A week before the vote, Ortega proclaimed that his wife, Vice President Rosario Murillo, was henceforth the âco-presidentâ of the country. While his bizarre declaration has no legal basis or constitutional legitimacy, it was widely seen as a move to anoint her as his successorâthe 76-year-old Ortega is known to be in ill healthâand a further step towards the rule of a family dynasty. The ruling coupleâs eight children already serve as advisors to the presidency and manage the familyâs empire of private and ostensibly public media outlets, investment funds, and family businesses.
A mid-October poll by CID-Gallupâan independent pollster that has been conducting political opinion surveys in the country since 2011âfound that 76 percent of the countryâs electorate believed the country was moving in the wrong direction. The poll reported that 19 percent of the electorate planned to vote for Ortega, 65 percent stated they would favor an opposition candidate, and 16 percent remained undecided. A rival pollster contracted by the FSLN, M&R, showed Ortega with nearly 80 percent support. While all polls should be assessed with caution given the methodological limitations to surveys conducted amid political instability and civil conflict, it is noteworthy that Ortegaâs support dropped to 19 from the 33 percent support reported by a CID-Gallup survey conducted in May of this year, which in turn was down from the high point of popular support for Ortega, 54 percent, registered in CID-Gallupâs 2012 poll.
Now that the votes have been cast, it is impossible to get accurate figures for the results given that the Sandinistas control the Supreme Electoral Council and exercise a near absolute control over reporting on the results. In addition, independent foreign observers were banned, and the threat of repression has dissuaded journalists and civic organizations from speaking out.
Ortega will now start his fourth consecutive term in office since the FSLN returned to power in 2007 in the midst of economic and political crisis. With its legitimacy shattered in the aftermath of the 2018 mass uprising and its violent repression, the regime has to rely more on direct coercion to maintain control. After the economy contracted each year from 2018 to 2020, the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America estimates a 2.0 percent growth rate for the current year and 1.8 percent for 2022ânot enough for the economy to recover from the three-year tumble. As the crisis has intensified, the number of Nicaraguans trying to cross the U.S.-Mexico border climbed to historically unprecedented levels to exceed 50,000 this year, compared to just a few thousand in 2020. These numbers are in addition to the 140,000 who had already fled into exile since 2018, mostly to Costa Rica.
The International Left Remains Divided on Nicaragua
The international left remains divided on the Nicaraguan crisis, with some among it arguing that the Ortega-Murillo regime represents a continuation of the 1980s revolution and that the United States has been attempting to overthrow it. However, as I showed in an earlier NACLA article, there is little evidence to corroborate the claim that the 2018 mass uprising was instigated by Washington in an attempt to carry out a coup dâĂ©tat against the government, or that the United States has since carried out a destabilization campaign aimed at overthrowing the regime.
It was not until the mass protests of 2018 that the co-government pact that Ortega had negotiated with the capitalist class, organized into the Superior Council of Private Enterprise (COSEP), broke down.The Ortega inner circle hacked its way into the ranks of the countryâs elite in the aftermath of the 1980s revolution and launched a new round of capitalist development starting in 2007. During this period, the Sandinista bourgeoisie set about to vastly expand its wealth. Leading Sandinistas grouped around Ortega heavily invested in tourism, agroindustry, finance, import-export, and subcontracting for the maquiladoras. Ortega and Murillo championed a programâdressed in a quasi-leftist discourse of âChristian, Socialist, and Solidarityââ of constructing a populist multiclass alliance under the firm hegemony of capital and Sandinista state elites. This model did improve material conditions until the economy began to tank in 2015. It was not until the mass protests of 2018 that the co-government pact that Ortega had negotiated with the capitalist class, organized into the Superior Council of Private Enterprise (COSEP), broke down.
Washington would have liked to have a more pliant regime in place from the start, and the recent events have upped the ante in U.S.-Nicaragua relations. Nonetheless, successive U.S. administrations accommodated themselves since 2007 to the Ortega government, which cooperated closely with the U.S. Southern Command, the Drug Enforcement Agency, and U.S. immigration policies. Although the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) has supplied several million dollars to opposition civic organizations through the National Endowment for Democracy (NED), USAID also granted several hundred million dollars directly to the Ortega government from 2007 until 2018.
On the eve of the Nicaraguan vote, the U.S. Congress passed the RENACER Act, which calls for targeted sanctions on Nicaraguan government officials found guilty of human rights violations and corruption. It also requires the executive branch to determine if Nicaragua should be expelled from the Central American Free Trade Agreement and to âexpand oversightâ of lending to Nicaragua by international financial agencies. In 2017 the U.S. government passed almost identical legislation, the NICA Act, which to date has resulted in sanctions slapped on several dozen top Nicaraguan government officials, affecting the assets they hold in the United States.
Apart from these sanctions on individuals, however, Washington did not enforce the NICA Act. It did not apply trade sanctions and has not blocked Nicaragua from receiving billions of dollars in credits from international agencies. From 2017 to 2021, Nicaragua received a whopping $2.2 billion in aid from the Central American Bank of Economic Integration (BCIE), and in 2020-2021 it received several hundred million in credits from the Inter-American Development Bank, the World Bank, and the International Monetary Fund.
Some among the international Left condemn calls for sanctions on Ortega. Yet the U.S. and international Left broadly mobilized (unsuccessfully) in 1978 and 1979 to force Washington to impose sanctions on the Somoza dictatorship and block international financing because of the regimeâs gross human rights violations. The worldwide Left similarly demanded sanctions against apartheid South Africa, sought to block U.S. and international financing for the Pinochet dictatorship, and currently calls for âboycott, divestment, and sanctionsâ against Israel.
Grassroots opponents of the Ortega-Murillo regime find themselves between the rock of an Ortega-Murillo dictatorship and the hard place of the capitalist class and its political agents among the traditional conservative parties. The Rightâjust as disturbed as Ortega by the outburst of popular protest from below in the 2018 uprisingâtried to hitch mass discontent to its own agenda of recovering direct political power and assuring there would be no threat to its control over the Nicaraguan economy.
It was the governmentâs repression of the popular uprising of students, workers, feminists, and environmentalists that paved the way for the Rightâs current hegemony over the anti-Sandinista opposition. The mass of Nicaraguansâbeyond the Sandinistasâ secure base in some 20 percent of the populationâhave not shown any enthusiasm for the traditional conservative parties and businessmen that dominate the opposition and have no real political representation. Indeed, the October CID-Gallup poll found that 77 percent of the countryâs electoral does not feel represented by any political party.